NZDUSD Fundamental Analysis – August 26th 2019Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for New Zealand Dollar trades:
New Zealand Trade Balance: The New Zealand Trade Balance for July was reported at -NZ$685M monthly and at -NZ$4,463M 12-month year-to-date. Economists predicted a figure of -NZ$254M and of -NZ$5,012M. Forex traders can compare this to the New Zealand Trade Balance for June which was reported at NZ$365M monthly and at -NZ$4,937M 12-month year-to-date. Exports for July were reported at NZ$5.03B and Imports were reported at NZ$5.71B. Economists predicted a figure of NZ$5.05B and of NZ$5.20B. Forex traders can compare this to Exports for June which were reported at NZ$5.01B and to Imports which were reported at NZ$4.65B.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for US Dollar trades:
US Chicago Fed National Activity Index: The US Chicago Fed National Activity Index for July is predicted at 0.05. Forex traders can compare this to the US Chicago Fed National Activity Index for June which was reported at -0.02.
US Preliminary Durable Goods Orders: US Preliminary Durable Goods Orders for July are predicted to increase by 1.0% monthly and Durables Excluding Transportation are predicted flat at 0.0% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to US Durable Goods Orders for June which increased by 1.9% monthly and to Durables Excluding Transportation which increased by 1.0% monthly. Capital Goods Orders Non-Defense Excluding Aircraft for July are predicted flat at 0.0% monthly and Capital Goods Shipments Non-Defense Excluding Aircraft are predicted to increase by 0.3% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to Capital Goods Orders Non-Defense Excluding Aircraft for June which increased by 1.5% monthly and to Capital Goods Shipments Non-Defense Excluding Aircraft which increased by 0.3% monthly.
US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index: The US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for August is predicted at -4.5. Forex traders can compare this to the US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for July which was reported at -6.3.
Should price action for the NZDUSD remain inside the or breakout above the 0.6340 to 0.6410 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Long Position
Entry Level: Long Position @ 0.6375
Take Profit Zone: 0.6585 – 0.6665
Stop Loss Level: 0.6580
Should price action for the NZDUSD breakdown below 0.6340 the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Short Position
Entry Level: Short Position @ 0.6315
Take Profit Zone: 0.6170 – 0.6235
Stop Loss Level: 0.6340
Trade ideas
NzdUsd: False Breakdown Or Retest?Make up your own mind and go with it. The breakdown was decisive but decisive breakdowns usually keep on going. The move up is now right at the breakdown point. A firm close above this area will have me going long on Monday with a tight stop. However a breakdown from here will have me doing the opposite
NZD Futures The 50 MA And a Death CrossPrice has broken through major support. Also notice the death dross forming up. Breaking through 64. support look for 62 next before recovery.
High Probability Trade Setup for New Zealand Dollars FutureThe following are trades setup ideas in 15 mins chart for New Zealand Dollars Futures .
There are 2 distinctive dotted lines labeled as
1. AI's Intraday Resistance
2. AI's Intraday Support
These 2 Support and Resistance signal lines are generated by machine learning AI robots as a high probability trade setup for long or short.
If price action was ABOVE the AI intraday support line AND price closed ABOVE Pivot Point line, the idea is to LONG and take profit at Pivot R1 price region.
Instead of relying on 100% discretionary (human) trading, the robots will provide trade execution plan and it is entirely up to the human trader's decision to follow.
This is highly recommended to trade during Europe and US market hours for liquidity and volume for this product.
High Probability Trade Setup for New Zealand Dollars Future.The following are trades setup ideas in the 1 hour chart for New Zealand Dollars Future.
There are 2 distinctive dotted lines labelled as
1. AI's Daily Resistance
2. AI's Daily Support
If price action was above the AI Daily Resistance line AND price closed above the Pivot Point line, the idea is to long and take profit at Pivot Point R3 line around the $0.694 to $0.696 region .
Instead of relying on 100% discretionary (human) trading, the robots will provide trade execution plan and it is entirely up to the human trader's decision to follow.
NZD Analysislooking at the chart of NZD (N61!) daily/4hr. price has arrived back into daily supply, looking at a weak 4hr chat since we removed 4hr demand.
looking for a pullback to look for shorts.
707 Fib with 1618 Extensionconfluence of 707 and 1618 makes the 707 more likely to be a reversal zone
NZD Continues Short RunPrice has barely tipped into supply and it appears that early sellers are dominating the run from current price.
NZD Continues Short RunPrices have barely tipped into supply and it appears that sellers are dominating the run early.
Potential trend change - Buy .6582RSI 3 crossed above 20
RSI14 crossed above 30
Stoch crossover
This may be another attempt at a trend change ( to uptrend).
Last time this occurred was in July, but it failed due to increasing USD strength.
I would enter at .6582 with .6544 as my stop.
Short on New Zealand FuturesStoch crossed, MACD signal a couple of days ago, and RSI crossed below 40 today.
Strong trend down, but I am uncertain how much further down it can go. Been down here for a while now.
NZD: Trade for Bearish Wave After breakout of the ending diagonal structure (previous idea linked below) I am interested in sells. There is now a nice correction forming under the trendline. Not sure if it will reach so high but for now I will place trade as shown. More details on chart.
New Zealand Dollar: Trade for Bullish Breakout of FlagLooking for entry as shown for a potential breakout of the flag on the hourly and perhaps eventually the flag on the daily (zoom out). Will update later in the day, it will be a busy one for me.
New Zealand Dollar GartleySince the move on USD the New Zealand dollar is setting up for a fall. Projected pattern bullish Gartley. RSI 50% should take us down to S2 support at .7055
NZD Futures Chart ReviewPrice has climbed steeply. This indicates that price has moved too quickly. Steep and quick is a set up for price to decline anytime. Look at the price levels marked by the horizontal 3 black lines. These are potential areas for price to descend to. Price is also diverging away from the rsi. Rsi line marked on chart is flatter relative to the price climb. Watch for price to break support.
NZD Futures Chart ReviewRising wedge formation is bearish. Watch and stay on the sidelines until you see price break.
New Zealand FuturesRSI is overbought and beginning to tip. You have sellers into supply (black lined banded area) where they would be to take shorting positions. I have marked profit target areas.
New Zealand Dollar Bearish CypherNZD tapping out on RSI hit just below R2 resistance. Expect fall soon. USD bullish and at an end for downside, or at least pretty close. Downside target for NZD is pivot at .7006. Need break at R1 .7124 for confirmation.
NWZThere is a high chance of retracement to occur between the levels 50% - 61%.
Looking at a higher timeframe, we can see it broken the upward channel.
New Zealand Dollar Analysis - ShortFX_IDC:NZDUSD
Several factors pointing to a reversal in price:
- Fibonacci Cluster (161.8% extension, 327.2% projection, 70.7% retracement)
- 9 month Trend line Resistance (9/7/16-present)
- Elliott Wave 5 Top
- Supply zone
- Doji candlestick
Tough to short against such a strong uptrend, therefore look for confirmed reversal in form of back to back bearish candles, lower high + reversal candlestick, etc.






















