EURJPY ๐ EUR/JPY Live Report - Oct 12, 2025 (UTC+1)Current Rate: ยฅ175.71 ๐
(Up 0.2% today from recent highs near ยฅ177.93 โ Yen holding steady amid policy watch.)
๐ฏ Fundamental & Macro Score
Overall Score: 7/10 ๐ข (Mildly Bullish)
Interest Rates: ECB at 2.15% ๐ | BOJ at 0.50% ๐ (Euro edge from higher yields)
Inflation: Eurozone 2.2% ๐ฅ | Japan 2.7% โ๏ธ (Japan cooling supports Yen caution)
Economic Growth: Eurozone Q2 +0.1% ๐ | Japan Q2 +0.5% ๐ (Japan stronger, but Q3 forecast -1.1% drag)
Jobs Market: Eurozone 6.3% unemployed ๐ฅ | Japan 2.6% ๐ฅ (Tight Japan labor boosts Yen)
๐ฆ๏ธ Seasonal Tendencies
October Vibe: Neutral to Mild Bear ๐ป
Historically, EUR/JPY dips ~0.25% on average in October โ Yen often strengthens as safe haven.
Watch for end-month flows; past data shows 68% chance of Yen gains vs. Euro.
๐ผ Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders: 55% Long ๐ข | 45% Short ๐ด (Slight Euro bias, but fading highs)
Institutional Traders: 60% Short ๐ด | 40% Long ๐ข (Big players piling on Yen strength)
Institutional Signal: Bearish ๐ป (Net shorts at 8-year highs)
Crowd Sentiment Signal: Neutral โ๏ธ (Retail optimism vs. pro caution)
Mood Check: Investors mixed โ Euro bulls tiring after rally, Yen seen as hedge.
๐จ Fear & Greed Index
Current: 52/100 โ Neutral ๐
Balanced vibes: No panic selling, but greed cooled from summer peaks.
Yen flows add caution; watch for fear spike if BOJ hints hike.
๐ฎ Overall Market Outlook
Bull (Long) ๐ข
Euro supported by steady ECB, but Yen policy divergence favors upside if Japan delays hikes.
Key driver: Weaker Japan growth outlook keeps pair afloat. Stay nimble โ short-term pullbacks likely.
