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Spain 35 CFDSpain 35 CFDSpain 35 CFD

Spain 35 CFD

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The Ibex’s 18,000 level is now historyThe Ibex 35 breaks above 18,000 points effortlessly, but it is important not to lose perspective By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The Ibex 35 remains firmly entrenched in a clear phase of free upside, one of the most favorable technical situations a market can offer. In the session on Monday, February 2, the Spanish benchmark managed to decisively surpass the psychological barrier of 18,000 points, closing at 18,115 points, with a gain of close to 1.3%. A clean move, without excessive volatility and supported by broad-based participation across constituents. At today’s open, it appears to have reached a technical ceiling and has stalled around 18,160 after touching 18,271.83 points. IBEX 35 Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: ESP35) From a technical standpoint, the reading is clear: the trend is in control. On the daily chart, price action continues to build its advance above the 50- and 100-period moving averages, with the point of control (POC) located around the 17,615-point area. As long as the index maintains an orderly sequence of higher lows, the primary scenario remains one of bullish continuation. In this context, the 17,241-point zone consolidates as a key reference to monitor on weekly closes. At present, there are no objective signs of buying exhaustion beyond potential very short-term adjustments. That said, it is worth introducing an important nuance. Currently, the evolution of the RSI indicator points to exhaustion in overbought sentiment at 69.58%, at the very least suggesting a pause. The MACD continues to signal upward momentum. This current phase could be generating a technical shakeout aimed at consolidating price levels in the short term. It is well known that no market moves up in a straight line, and following such a clear break of key psychological levels, the emergence of pauses, consolidations, or technical pullbacks designed to digest short-term excesses should not come as a surprise. These phases, far from being negative, often strengthen the underlying structure when they occur in an orderly manner. The consolidation channel appears to be defined between 17,840.55 and 17,395.33 points, a zone that has recently been breached, as mentioned. Should the main support area be broken, the next correction zone would be 16,888.72 points as the first strong resistance, and 15,755.98 points as the previous impulse zone. European Markets Are Providing Support In addition, the behavior of European markets is supportive. The Euro Stoxx 50 maintains its structure intact as long as it holds above the 5,800-point area, while the German DAX continues to trade within a broad range, pending confirmation of strength above 25,000 points. All of this, however, remains highly conditioned by developments across the Atlantic, particularly in the Nasdaq 100, which is still trapped between decisive technical levels. In short, the Ibex 35 is enjoying a technically privileged moment. The trend is bullish, the broader context is supportive, and as long as key supports are not broken, there are no reasons to anticipate a change in scenario—although expectations and risk must continue to be managed with discipline. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Long
by ActivTrades
SPAIN 35 ⌁ Pullback Within Established Uptrend📊 SPAIN 35 INDEX (IBEX 35) - Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀 | Day/Swing Trade Opportunity 🎯 MARKET OVERVIEW Asset: SPAIN35 (IBEX 35 Index CFD) Trade Type: Day/Swing Trade Bias: 📈 BULLISH - Confirmed with HULL Moving Average Pullback Strategy Market Structure: Higher lows forming + Momentum building 💪 💎 THE "THIEF OG" STRATEGY - LAYERED ENTRY METHOD 🔐 Entry Zones (Limit Order Layers): This is the Thief's Signature Stealth Entry - Scale in like a pro! Layer 1: 17,600 🎯 Layer 2: 17,700 🎯 Layer 3: 17,800 🎯 OR - Market Entry at Current Price ⚡ (For aggressive traders who don't wait!) "While others hesitate, the Thief accumulates. While others panic, the Thief profits." 💰 🎁 PROFIT TARGET 🏆 Take Profit Zone: 18,200 ⚠️ Critical Resistance Alert! ⚠️ Strong institutional resistance level 🏦 Overbought conditions likely 📊 Correlation with European indices showing exhaustion signals 🇪🇺 Police Force Zone - Where market makers trap late buyers! 🚨 Exit Strategy: Scale out profits as you approach 18,200. Don't be greedy - Secure the bag! 💼✨ 🛡️ STOP LOSS ❌ Stop Loss: 17,450 Risk Management is King! 👑 This trade offers a 750-point risk for 400-600 point reward - Solid R:R ratio! 📐 ⚠️ Thief OG Disclaimer: This is MY stop loss based on technical structure. YOU control YOUR money! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size. Trade smart, not hard! 🧠 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH European Indices (Direct Correlation): 🇩🇪 GER40 (DAX) - German powerhouse leading EU sentiment 🇫🇷 FRA40 (CAC 40) - French index correlation strong 🇮🇹 ITA40 (FTSE MIB) - Italian market mirror movements 🇪🇺 EU50 (Euro Stoxx 50) - Overall European equity health Dollar-Denominated Watch List: 💵 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation with EU indices 📈 SPX500 (S&P 500) - Global risk appetite indicator 🏦 EURUSD - Euro strength = Spanish index strength correlation ⚡ VIX (Volatility Index) - Fear gauge (Low VIX = Bullish indices) 📌 Pro Tip: If DAX & CAC break higher, SPAIN35 follows. If DXY weakens, European equities strengthen! 🌍 📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🔥 Current Market Drivers: 1️⃣ European Central Bank (ECB) Policy 🏦 Recent rate decisions affecting European equity sentiment Watch for ECB commentary on inflation & growth outlook Dovish tones = Bullish for indices 📈 2️⃣ Spanish Economic Data 🇪🇸 GDP growth figures Unemployment rates (Spain's key metric) Manufacturing PMI & Services PMI data Consumer confidence indices 3️⃣ Corporate Earnings Season 💼 Major IBEX 35 constituents reporting (Banks, Energy, Telecom sectors) Watch: Banco Santander, BBVA, Iberdrola, Inditex earnings 4️⃣ Geopolitical Landscape 🌍 EU-wide policy decisions Energy crisis developments Trade relations & tariff news 5️⃣ Global Risk Sentiment 🌐 US Federal Reserve policy impact China economic recovery signals Commodity prices (Oil, Natural Gas) affecting Spanish energy sector 📅 Upcoming Events to Monitor: ECB Interest Rate Decisions 🏦 Spanish Inflation (CPI) Reports 📊 EU Economic Forecasts 📈 FOMC Meetings (US Fed impacts global markets) 🇺🇸 🎨 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS SNAPSHOT ✅ HULL Moving Average: Bullish pullback confirmed - Price respecting dynamic support ✅ Market Structure: Series of higher lows intact ✅ Volume Profile: Accumulation detected at entry zones ✅ Momentum Indicators: Building bullish divergence ✅ Key Support: 17,450 - 17,600 demand zone holding strong 💬 THIEF TRADER WISDOM & MOTIVATION "The market doesn't reward the loud - it rewards the calculated." 🎯 "Patience in entries, discipline in exits. That's how Thief OGs operate." 👑 "While the crowd chases pumps, we accumulate dips. That's the difference." 💎🙌 "Risk management isn't boring - it's the reason you'll still be trading next year." 🛡️ "Your stop loss is your best friend. Your greed is your worst enemy." ⚔️ ⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER 📢 ATTENTION THIEF OG COMMUNITY! This is NOT financial advice - it's a trading idea based on technical analysis & market structure! 🔍 ✋ Do your own research (DYOR) 💰 Risk only what you can afford to lose 📊 Markets can be irrational longer than you can stay solvent 🎯 Take profits when YOU feel comfortable - not when others tell you 🛑 Adjust stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance Remember: Every trader's account size, risk tolerance, and strategy is different. What works for me might not work for you! 🧩 🔔 ENGAGEMENT CALL-TO-ACTION 👍 SMASH that LIKE if you found this useful! 💬 COMMENT your thoughts - Are you taking this trade? 👁️ FOLLOW for more Thief OG setups & market insights! 🔔 Turn on notifications so you don't miss the next opportunity! 📲 Share this idea with fellow traders who need this setup! 🏆 THE THIEF OG WAY We don't chase - we plan. We don't hope - we execute. We don't gamble - we calculate. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, stay profitable! 💪✨ 🎯 Trade Safe. Trade Smart. Trade Like a Thief OG. 🥷💰
THINKMARKETS:SPAIN35
by The-Thief
IBEX 35: Today’s highs show potential downside pressureBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The start of 2026 has been accompanied by a temporary increase in uncertainty across financial markets, mainly driven by pressure from the US government on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy. Nevertheless, the reaction of European equity markets has been contained. There have been no sharp movements in equities, although a rise in the dollar’s risk premium and increased demand for safe-haven assets—most notably silver—has been observed. Fundamental analysis: Europe withstands macro noise From a fundamental perspective, the European backdrop remains relatively constructive. Inflation continues to moderate gradually, allowing the ECB to maintain a more flexible stance than the Federal Reserve, thereby supporting financial conditions across the euro area. In addition, corporate earnings have proven more resilient than expected, particularly in sectors that are key to the Ibex 35 such as banking, energy, and infrastructure. The financial sector continues to benefit from interest rates that, while stable, remain high in historical terms, sustaining margins. Meanwhile, energy and utility companies remain supported by long-term investment plans and more predictable regulatory frameworks. This environment largely explains the Spanish benchmark’s relative outperformance compared with other European indices. Technical analysis: a well-defined bullish structure From a technical standpoint, the Ibex 35 has maintained a clearly bullish structure since April 2025, both in the short and long term. The index has managed to string together several weekly closes above the previous week’s lows, a sequence that reflects strong buying interest and continued control by the bulls. The 17,840.55-point area becomes the key technical reference for the new highs reached in the early hours of today’s session. Meanwhile, 17,400 points remain the support level that has driven the index to this latest daily achievement. This level coincides with the lows of the most recent corrective attempt and acts as a dynamic support within the current bullish structure. A clear break below this area—especially on a daily or weekly close—would begin to raise reasonable doubts about buying pressure and open the door to a broader consolidation phase, potentially targeting the year’s lows around 16,260 points. For now, the control zone around 17,655.32 points acts as the midpoint of this year’s advance. Looking at technical indicators, moving average crossovers confirm the prevailing bullish trend supporting price action. At the same time, the RSI has reached elevated overbought levels at 77.42%, which could lead to temporary pullbacks following corporate earnings announcements. The MACD remains bullish, although its histogram suggests some trend exhaustion. If we look at the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicator, we can observe an increase in RISK-ON sentiment, reinforcing the view that some long positions could be liquidated around earnings-report dates. This could lead to price corrections over a few sessions during the second half of the month. As long as this support holds, the dominant scenario remains one of trend continuation. On the upside, the index faces no immediate, significant resistance, leaving room for further extensions provided the macro backdrop does not deteriorate materially. European context and market message The performance of other European indices reinforces this constructive reading. Both Paris and Frankfurt have broken above historical resistance levels, entering territory of absolute free upside. Such breakouts typically send a clear message to the market: the underlying trend is bullish, and corrections, when they occur, tend to be opportunities rather than threats. It is also important to consider the value of money versus debt, which in recent periods has been significantly facilitated for both companies and markets. In this context, the market’s message is clear. Any pullbacks that may occur are likely to be vulnerable and should be interpreted as technical adjustments within a broader positive trend. For the Ibex 35, defending the 17,400-point level will remain crucial, acting as a key barometer of buying appetite in the weeks ahead. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Long
by ActivTrades
IBEX 35 Hits Historic LevelIBEX 35 Hits Historic Levels, Facing the Challenge of Winning Back Retail Investors Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades 01/12/2025 The IBEX 35 has officially returned to territory unseen since 2007. The Spanish benchmark is trading at historic highs and has established itself in 2025 as the best-performing stock index in Europe, surprisingly outperforming major U.S. benchmarks. Over the past three years, its returns have doubled the average of Wall Street, driven by a combination of corporate strength and a domestic economy that continues to outpace the eurozone. In this context, Juan Flames, CEO of BME, sends a clear message: the Spanish market is doing well, but complacency is not an option. “We need to win back retail investors, and for that, we must return to the spirit of the 1990s,” he notes. During that period, 38% of privatizations were financed by small investors, fueling an unprecedented cycle of stock market growth. A Solid Market… but with Pending Challenges The IBEX’s strong performance is backed by fundamentals. Spanish companies are contributing decisively: expanding profits and offering a dividend yield of 4.2%, well above the European average. At the same time, Spain’s economy is growing faster than the eurozone in 2024 and is expected to do so again in 2025. However, as Flames pointed out, Spain still faces structural challenges. More listed companies and deeper markets are needed. After a peak in IPOs in 2020, activity slowed noticeably. BME is now addressing this through reforms inspired by the White Paper, which proposes 56 measures to modernize the capital markets. Key initiatives include: BME Easy Access, a new segment that simplifies IPO processes after decades of stagnation. Reduced brokerage fees, encouraging new investors to enter the market. Spanish traders have long sought these changes, as U.S. markets are often more cost-effective, offering higher daily trading volumes and a wider variety of companies. By reinforcing both capital supply and demand, and focusing on bringing retail investors back to a market reminiscent of the 1990s—where international access was more limited—Spain aligns with the European initiative to create a “pan-European savings and investment account.” Similar strategies can be seen elsewhere: the London Stock Exchange consolidates trading volumes to prevent dilution into international markets, while emerging U.S. regional exchanges aim to reduce costs for companies compared to major indices like Nasdaq or NYSE. This regionalist approach seems increasingly popular. Technical Analysis: Impeccably Bullish Trend Technically, the IBEX 35 shows one of the cleanest uptrends in recent years. Breaking 16,500 points confirmed a new upward leg, projecting the index toward its next major challenge: 17,000 points, now the main psychological and technical resistance. Meanwhile, moving averages continue to act as dynamic support. Key levels to watch: 16,144 points (50-day moving average) and 15,755.98 points (200-day moving average). With a bullish opening above 16,300, the index appears set to retest the mid-November highs. The RSI currently sits in a neutral zone at 56.61%, while the MACD is recovering into positive territory, with the histogram beginning a bullish phase. The ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse signals market neutrality with a gradual increase in risk, indicating institutional entries ahead of the year-end rally typical for this season. With banks and energy stocks driving market momentum, the IBEX maintains a structure of higher highs and higher lows, supporting the potential for further upside if immediate resistance is surpassed. Conclusion Spain is experiencing an unusually favorable stock market environment. Prices are rising, macroeconomic conditions are supportive, and companies are posting strong figures. Yet the real challenge lies beyond the charts: attracting more companies to list and bringing retail investors back—key elements to consolidate the Spanish market as a genuine alternative for financing and savings. If this balance is achieved, the outlook for the IBEX 35 could prove even more promising than its historic highs. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Long
by ActivTrades
5
E35 Continuation LikelyPrice just broke through the previous resistance zone. This zone was a key area in the past, but this time, buyers broke through it with strong momentum. Price has pulled back slightly, a healthy retest of the broken structure. Buyers managed to defend this area, which confirms the zone flipping from resistance to support. The expectation from here is a continuation toward near 16,355. Candle strength support the idea that momentum remains bullish for now.
FUSIONMARKETS:E35Long
by TrendDiva
12
The IBEX 35 holds above 16,000 pointsThe IBEX 35 holds above 16,000 points despite IAG’s collapse Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The Spanish stock market faces the end of the week with uncertainty but remains steady above 16,100 points, thus consolidating the area of historical highs reached in recent sessions. The tone is one of caution, in a session marked by IAG’s sharp correction after presenting results that failed to convince the market. In the early stages of the session, the IBEX 35 rose 0.25% to 16,158 points, driven by gains in Amadeus and ArcelorMittal, although the benchmark later reduced its advance, dragged down by the steep drop in Iberia’s parent company. IAG reported a net profit of €2.703 billion between January and September, up 15.5% year-on-year, but the market punished the slight 2.3% decline recorded in the third quarter, as well as the cautious outlook for year-end. The airline’s shares fell by more than 7% following the announcement. By contrast, Amadeus was among the day’s top performers, rising over 3% after reporting an adjusted profit of €1.108 billion through September, up 8.2% year-on-year. The company also highlighted its solid cash generation and reduced debt levels — factors supporting its share price in a highly volatile environment. Among other standout stocks, ArcelorMittal advanced more than 1.5%, supported by improving steel prices and positive demand expectations in Europe. On the downside, Cellnex reported losses of €263 million up to September, an 87% increase compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting the impact of divestments and accounting adjustments. Sacyr also posted a 15.9% drop in profits, to €62 million, limiting buying appetite within the index. Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: ESP35) From a technical standpoint, the IBEX 35 consolidates its position in the 16,000–16,100 point range. In the long term, moving average crossovers remain stable, showing a clear upward trend. The key short-term support is located at 15,755 points. The opening pushed the price down to 16,027 points in the first hour of trading, showing a corrective tendency. It is worth noting that the RSI is cooling down from an excessive overbought level of 70%, currently at 60.39%, which could drive the price back to 16,000 points during today’s session. The MACD remains in positive territory, but the histogram is entering bearish ground today. If the historical high of 16,205.66 points (set on October 29) is broken, we could see a rally toward 16,500 next week. Conversely, if the current short-term support is lost, a correction toward 15,442 points could follow. The lack of momentum and the absence of relevant macroeconomic references could result in a lateral movement over the next sessions. IBEX 35 remains flat this Friday The index’s performance remains closely tied to Wall Street’s evolution, where declines in major U.S. tech stocks are putting pressure on European markets. Nevertheless, the resilience shown by the energy and financial sectors in Spain allows the IBEX 35 to maintain a moderate tone of strength against the international backdrop. Under this scenario, the IBEX 35 is heading to close the week with an almost flat balance, supported by the strong results of companies such as Amadeus and Repsol, but weighed down by IAG’s volatility and the cooling expectations surrounding artificial intelligence in global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Long
by ActivTrades
IBEX 35: Signals of Trend SeekingBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The IBEX 35 opened the session higher and by midday was trading around 14,920 points, after several weeks in which the Spanish index has followed the global rebound. Since April, stock markets have staged an almost vertical rally, with examples such as the Nasdaq 100, which has gained nearly 45%. However, overbought conditions are becoming evident, pointing to an imminent correction. In the case of the Spanish benchmark, 15,442.90 points marked the peak of the bullish move that began in spring and the start of a pullback that could turn into an opportunity. The rally that started on August 1, which pushed the index up by 10%, has already corrected by about 6%, mirroring—albeit with some delay—a pattern seen in Germany’s tech-heavy DAX. At present, the price is attempting to recover, although with mixed signals. From a technical perspective, a strong breakout above resistance at 14,988 points would open the door to a new test of recent highs. However, the price has lost support at the 50-session moving average, while the Point of Control (POC) lies at 14,230 points, below the nearest support zone around 14,368.93 points. As for indicators, the RSI remains at a neutral level (52.77), the MACD shows a clear bearish trend, and the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse places European market risk in neutral territory, suggesting more of a consolidation phase than a structural decline. In conclusion, barring a more significant shift, the outlook suggests that both the IBEX 35 and the major European indices are preparing the ground for a new entry window in the coming weeks, in line with previous corrective patterns within their broader upward trend. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35
by ActivTrades
bullish on IBEX35Trading Idea Setup: IBEX35 has given me enough confirmation indicators to forecast a bullish run from this price point. ↗️🟢   ✅Favorable TP level(s): ⦁ 14269.64 ⦁ 14357.51 🛑Stop Loss: ⦁ 13834.00 Indications used: Trend confirmation indicator Elliot wave assistance Momentum indicators ______________________________ Trading Involves Risk: Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments carry inherent risk, including the possibility of substantial losses. Please ensure every trade placed is supported by your own thorough analysis and/or fundamental research. Ps: All the trades that I place, I do hold indefinitely unless noted otherwise but TP points will always be provided. Happy Trading 🖤
THINKMARKETS:SPAIN35Long
by justin_MXM
Why Spain's Market Faces a Challenging Horizon?The IBEX 35, Spain's benchmark equity index, navigates a complex landscape. Despite encouraging macroeconomic indicators, including robust GDP growth and declining unemployment, underlying vulnerabilities persist. Political instability forms a significant headwind. A fragmented parliament, ongoing corruption scandals, and the specter of early elections create an environment of legislative gridlock. This uncertainty directly impacts investor confidence and hinders the effective implementation of crucial reforms and budget approvals, contributing to the IBEX 35's underperformance compared to its European counterparts in 2025. Social tensions further exacerbate the country's domestic challenges. Recent anti-migrant protests, such as those in Torre Pacheco, underscore a societal fragmentation that can deter foreign investment and impact labor dynamics. While immigration is vital for Spain's economic growth, rising anti-immigrant sentiment, potentially exploited by far-right political factions, introduces unpredictability into social cohesion and future policy directions. This confluence of political and social unease creates an unstable backdrop for businesses and investors. Beyond internal dynamics, global factors add to the pressure. Lingering uncertainties surrounding international trade, including potential US tariffs, pose risks for Spain's export-oriented sectors and its globally exposed corporations. Furthermore, while Spain champions renewable energy, persistently high electricity prices due to domestic policies continue to challenge industrial competitiveness. The historical context of ineffective deployment of significant EU NextGenerationEU funds, hampered by political hurdles, also raises concerns about Spain's long-term growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on recovery initiatives. These combined elements suggest a difficult period ahead for the IBEX 35. Sectors sensitive to domestic policy, such as construction, banking, and real estate, face direct exposure to political uncertainty. Moreover, Spain's traditional reliance on tourism and agriculture makes it susceptible to external shocks, including global travel disruptions and climate change impacts like severe droughts. Investors must carefully assess these multifaceted risks, as they are likely to shape the IBEX 35's performance in the near to medium term.
BME:IBCShort
by UDIS_View
Trump Threatens Sánchez Over Defense Spending ShortfallTrump Warns of Trade Reprisals Against Spain for Refusing NATO's 5% Target: Direct Impact on the IBEX 35 By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The recent NATO summit in The Hague concluded with an ambitious proposal: raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. However, Spain distanced itself from the consensus, triggering a diplomatic storm led by former U.S. President Donald Trump. His remarks have already begun rippling through financial markets — especially the IBEX 35. Sánchez Rejects 5% Target, Cites "Realism" During the summit, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez succeeded in including a clause allowing Spain to stick to its current commitment of 2.1% of GDP for military spending. In his address, Sánchez argued that increasing it to 5% would jeopardize essential public services like healthcare and education, warning against “budgetary fetishism” in foreign policy. "Security isn’t measured solely in percentages. We will defend fiscal sovereignty and the welfare state," Sánchez stated from The Hague. Trump Launches Verbal Offensive Against Spain The Spanish leader’s comments were swiftly met with criticism from across the Atlantic. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Donald Trump labeled Spain “a problem for NATO” and warned the country would “pay double” in future trade deals with the U.S. for refusing to meet the new defense spending target. "Spain is freeloading off its allies. If they won’t pay, they shouldn’t expect our protection," Trump said, hinting at potential tariffs on Spanish products and exclusion from preferential terms in bilateral trade negotiations. IBEX 35 Reacts: Declines in Export-Sensitive Companies Technically, the IBEX 35 is in a consolidation phase, with immediate support at 13,698 points and key resistance near recent highs. Indicators like the RSI, now in neutral territory, and a bearish MACD suggest caution, as a breach of support could trigger a deeper correction. While the broader trend remains bullish, the control point lies around 13,300 — an area that previously served as an accumulation zone and breakout level — which the market may revisit before resuming its upward trajectory. Investor anxiety was evident in Madrid’s trading floor: the IBEX 35 closed Thursday down 0.85%, weighed by internationally exposed firms such as Naturgy, Cellnex, and Grifols, which fell as much as 3.5%. The index also formed a low-volume doji candle — a technical signal that may precede a pullback. In contrast, stocks like Acciona Energía and IAG, either less reliant on the U.S. or more diversified, managed modest gains. This week, the index has shown signs of fatigue after peaking at annual highs of 14,368 points in late May. It opened today around 13,876. With the RSI at 48% and a bearish MACD, the IBEX remains in consolidation. The 13,300 area continues to be a key control zone, potentially acting as a springboard should sentiment improve. Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: Spain’s New Risk Factor Trump’s combative tone introduces a fresh layer of uncertainty into an already tense global backdrop of trade frictions and evolving security strategies. His threat of trade reprisals places strategic sectors of the Spanish economy — such as agri-food and industrial exports — in a vulnerable position. Domestic politics complicate the picture further: internal criticism from the opposition and a minority government reduce Spain’s ability to respond decisively to external pressure. Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation or Correction? From a technical standpoint, the IBEX remains in consolidation with key support at 13,750. A break below could deepen the correction, while any easing of geopolitical tensions might pave the way for a retest of annual highs. Conclusion: Spain’s refusal to adopt NATO’s 5% defense spending goal has sparked a diplomatic rift with the United States, already reflected in financial markets. Trump’s threats are not merely rhetorical — if they materialize into trade barriers, the economic consequences for Spain could be significant. The IBEX 35, as a barometer of investor sentiment, will remain closely tied to this unfolding story. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Short
by ActivTrades
Ibex 35 Drops Below 13,800 PointsIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The Ibex 35 falls 1.28% and drops below the 13,800 mark amid Fed uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Ibex 35 closed Wednesday’s session with a 1.28% drop, ending at 13,744.9 points, on a day marked by monetary uncertainty in the United States and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. With Wall Street closed for a public holiday, the Spanish benchmark index mirrored the widespread losses seen across European markets. Two key factors shaped the session: on one hand, the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates within the 4.25%–4.5% range, alongside an upward revision in inflation forecasts and a downgrade in growth projections. On the other hand, escalating risks of a potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran, following threats of military intervention tied to the ongoing hostilities between Israel and the Islamic Republic. The steepest losses of the day came from Indra (−6.06%), ArcelorMittal (−3.83%), and Amadeus (−2.99%). The financial sector also faced notable declines: Santander dropped 2.40%, Sabadell 2.07%, and Unicaja 1.99%. The rise in oil prices — with Brent surpassing $78 after a gain of more than 2% — weighed on stocks like IAG, which lost 2.97%. In contrast, energy companies acted as a safe haven amid the market volatility. Solaria led the gains, rising 4.24%, followed by Repsol (+2.32%), Endesa (+0.71%), and Acciona Energía (+0.16%). Losses spread across the continent. The EuroStoxx 50 fell 1.28%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped by more than one percentage point. Italy’s FTSE MIB and the UK’s FTSE 100 also ended in the red, both impacted by the same monetary and geopolitical pressures. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:ESP35Short
by ActivTrades
Elliott Wave Outlook: $IBEX Poised to Surge to 6 Year HighThe NASDAQ:IBEX , Spain’s stock market index, may soon surpass its peak from March 25, 2025, before a tariff war triggered a selloff. That peak marked the end of wave I in Elliott Wave analysis. The subsequent decline, wave II, formed a zigzag pattern, as shown on the 1-hour chart. From the March 25 high, wave ((A)) dropped to 13,051.8, wave ((B)) rebounded to 13,347.3, and wave ((C)) fell to 11,570.06, completing wave II. Since then, the NASDAQ:IBEX has recovered strongly, with the rally from wave II following an impulsive Elliott Wave pattern. Starting from wave II, wave 1 peaked at 12,318.8, and wave 2 dipped to 11,615.2. The index then climbed in wave 3, with sub-waves ((i)) at 12,810.8, ((ii)) at 12,158.5, ((iii)) at 13,241.2, and ((iv)) at 13,110.4. The index is expected to soon complete wave ((v)) of 3, followed by a wave 4 pullback, before rising again in wave 5 to finish wave (1). After that, a correction in wave (2) from the April 7, 2025 low is likely before the index continues higher. In the near term, as long as the 11,570.06 low holds, any pullbacks should attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further gains.
TVC:IBEX35
by Elliottwave-Forecast
IBEX Spain Index outperforming America and others target 14890It seems like it's the year for Europe and Spains Index. I love tracking Spain because it has a similar motion and momentum with the JSE Top 40 in South Africa. Well Spain is finishing up the Cup and Handle and once it breaks out of the brim level, then we can expect upside to come. 🇪🇸 Strong Spanish Economy Spain's growth outpaces the eurozone, boosting stocks. 🏦 ECB Rate Cuts Help Lower rates from the ECB fuel equity demand. 💼 Bank Stocks Surge Sabadell & Caixabank post big gains, lifting IBEX. 📊 Attractive Valuations High dividends and low P/Es attract investors. 🚀 Investor Optimism Positive sentiment keeps driving the rally higher. Technicals Cup and Handle Price> 20 and 200 Target 14,890 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:IBEXLong
by Timonrosso
1
SP35 / ES35 / IBEX35 "SPAIN 35" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 ⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the SP35 / ES35 / IBEX35 "SPAIN 35" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (13000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (13360) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 12400 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: SP35 / ES35 "SPAIN 35" Indices CFD market is currently experiencing a Bearish🐼 trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐⚡🌟Fundamental Analysis Economic Indicators: GDP Growth Rate (Q4 2024): 2.5% (YoY) Inflation Rate (Feb 2025): 3.2% (YoY) Unemployment Rate (Jan 2025): 12.2% Company Performance: Earnings Growth: Mixed, with some companies showing strong growth, while others face challenges. Dividend Yield: Average dividend yield of 4.5% for the index. ⭐⚡🌟Macro Economics Interest Rates: ECB Deposit Rate: 3.75% Spanish 10-Year Bond Yield: 2.35% Monetary Policy: The ECB has maintained a hawkish stance to combat inflation, but with a cautious approach to avoid economic downturn. Fiscal Policy: The Spanish government has implemented expansionary fiscal policies to support economic growth. ⭐⚡🌟COT (Commitment of Traders) Data Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long positions have decreased by 10% over the past week, indicating a decrease in bullish sentiment. Commercial Traders: Net short positions have increased by 5% over the past week, indicating an increase in bearish sentiment. ⭐⚡🌟Index-Specific Analysis Trend Analysis: The IBEX 35 has been trading in a range-bound manner over the past few months, with resistance at 13,500 and support at 12,000. Technical Indicators: RSI (14): 55.23, indicating a neutral sentiment. MACD (12, 26): Bullish crossover, indicating a potential trend reversal. ⭐⚡🌟Market Sentimental Analysis Investor Sentiment: Mixed, with some investors optimistic about the economic growth, while others are cautious due to geopolitical tensions. Put-Call Ratio: 0.65, indicating a slightly bullish sentiment. ⭐⚡🌟Geopolitical and News Analysis Global Economic Outlook: The IMF has revised its global growth forecast downward, citing concerns over inflation and trade tensions. Brexit and EU-UK Relations: The EU and UK have reached a trade agreement, but tensions remain, and the situation is being closely monitored. US-China Trade Relations: Tensions between the US and China have eased, but the situation remains uncertain. ⭐⚡🌟Intermarket Analysis Correlation with Other Markets: S&P 500: 0.75, indicating a strong positive correlation. Euro Stoxx 50: 0.85, indicating a strong positive correlation. Commodity Prices: Oil (Brent): $83.50, indicating a moderate increase in energy prices. Gold: $1,850, indicating a moderate increase in safe-haven demand. ⭐⚡🌟Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for the IBEX 35 is likely to be bearish, driven by: Decreasing bullish sentiment among speculators. Increasing bearish sentiment among commercial traders. Mixed economic indicators, with inflation remaining a concern. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the EU-UK trade relations. ⭐⚡🌟Targets Short-Term (1-2 weeks): Bullish Target: 13,500 Bearish Target: 12,500 Medium-Term (2-6 weeks): Bullish Target: 14,000 Bearish Target: 11,500 Long-Term (6-12 weeks): Bullish Target: 15,000 Bearish Target: 10,000 ⭐⚡🌟Overall Summary Outlook The SPAIIN35 / IBEX 35 is likely to experience a bearish trend in the short-term, driven by decreasing bullish sentiment, increasing bearish sentiment, and mixed economic indicators. However, the long-term outlook remains uncertain, and investors should closely monitor the geopolitical and economic developments. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:SP35Short
by The-Thief
SPAIN35 Bullish Momentum in Play — Targeting 13,700FUSIONMARKETS:E35 is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the price maintaining strong bullish momentum. This suggests the uptrend may continue, with the upper channel boundary serving as a potential target. A short-term pullback could present an entry opportunity if buyers show strength through bullish candlestick patterns like a bullish engulfing or hammer formation, potentially driving the price toward the 13,700 level. However, a break below the channel's lower boundary would invalidate the bullish outlook and may indicate a shift in market direction. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
FUSIONMARKETS:E35Long
by TrendDiva
1