Trade ideas
FTSE bullish breakout supported at 9655The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9655 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9655 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9765 – initial resistance
9800 – psychological and structural level
9885 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9655 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9625 – minor support
9595 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9655. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK 100 Index – Psychological 10000 level Within Sight!As the dust settles on the UK Chancellor’s Autumn budget that was released on Wednesday it’s potentially a good time to assess the current backdrop for the UK 100 moving into early December.
First things first, Wednesday’s budget didn’t lead to an immediate rush to sell UK assets, which most notably was the case in the Liz Truss era and was a possible concern in the lead up to this release. Government bond markets took the series of tax rises and spending announcements in their stride, GBPUSD squeezed out some weak shorts to post a high of 1.3268 on Thursday, and the UK 100 followed it to print a 2 week high of 9715 before running into some profit taking on a move which had seen it rally from a low of 9425 posted on November 21st.
Looking forward, the focus for 100 UK traders may now shift to the interest rate decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) on December 10th and the Bank of England (BoE) on December 18th. The Fed rate decision could be important for two reasons, the first is that it may dictate the path of general risk sentiment into year end and secondly, with the UK 100 index dominated by multi-national companies generating around 70% of their revenue outside of the UK, any Fed move could directly impact their earnings outlook for early next year.
In terms of the BoE, while the Autumn budget wasn’t perhaps perceived by economists to be as dis-inflationary as it could have been, it may have done enough to shift the voting at the December meeting towards another 25bps (0.25%) cut. Certainly, the market thinks this to be the case with around 90% chance of a cut currently priced, although there could still room for a surprise ‘no change’ or disappointment on the speed of future rate cuts to start 2026.
While UK 100 price volatility may have reduced over this US Thanksgiving holiday period into the end of November, it could be very different story during the first 3 weeks of December.
Technical Outlook: How Much Further Can the Current Rally Go?
Since posting the 9425 November 21st low, the UK 100 index has rallied just over 3%, with immediate resistance levels giving way. This now includes closes above 9692, a level equal to the Bollinger mid‑average.
Traders may see this as the start of a further phase of price strength, but it remains essential to monitor both immediate support and resistance levels to gauge the next directional themes.
While a close above mid‑average resistance at 9692 could be interpreted as a signal of further upside potential ahead, there is no guarantee of this, and near‑term support levels may prove just as important in shaping price action over the coming days.
Potential Resistance Levels:
After the close above the Bollinger mid-average resistance at 9492 the focus could now be on 9742 as the next resistance. This level is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
A successful close above 9742 is required to suggest further attempts at price strength, which could then shift focus towards potential tests of 9940, the November 12th all-time high.
Potential Support Levels:
After the latest price strength, initial support may now stand at 9605, the 38.2% retracement of the November rally. While a pattern of higher highs and higher lows is still intact, closing breaks below 9605 could lead toward further short-term weakness.
If the 9605 retracement gives way on a closing basis, risks could then shift toward deeper declines, opening scope for tests of 9537, which is the 61.8% retracement, possibly even 9425, the November 21st session low.
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FTSE 100 SHINES BRIGHT, WITHIN A WHISKER OF 10000 EPIC MILESTONEThe FTSE 100 index TVC:UKX is on track for one of its strongest years in decades in the year 2025, delivering a total return of about 18% year‑to‑date and trading just below the round and psychologically important 10,000‑point level by December, 2025.
This rally has been powered by a mix of miners, financials, and select growth names, with a handful of stocks delivering triple‑digit returns and heavily influencing the index.
2025 returns and 10,000 milestone
The FTSE 100 has returned roughly 20% in 2025 including dividends, making it the seventh‑best year on record and the strongest since the post‑financial‑crisis rebound.
By the middle of November, 2025 the index had climbed to around 9,930 points, described as “within a whisker” of 10,000 , and had outperformed major US indices (like S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI ) over the year.
Forward‑looking models cited by analysts place many year‑end projections in the mid‑9,000s, underlining that 10,000 is more a timing than a feasibility question if earnings strength persists.
From a structural standpoint, supportive global policy, reasonable valuations, and strong contributions from commodities and financials have underpinned the surge, while the high dividend yield continues to attract both domestic and international investors. The index’s heavy overseas revenue exposure also means that periods of sterling softness have translated into stronger reported profits in 2025, magnifying gains.
Top 5 performers in 2025
Different datasets cut “top” slightly differently, but across major sources the standout FTSE 100 winners in 2025 cluster around a similar, defence-related, group of stocks:
Fresnillo LSE:FRES - precious‑metals miner with a total return around 345%, benefiting from a powerful rally in gold and silver prices and improved operational performance.
Technically saying, Fresnillo stock shows 7 consecutive Bull quarters in a row, as epic breakthroughs of 200-month SMA and multi-year highs has recently occured.
Either precious metals shine bright in 2025, their year-to-date returns definitely are not about "quadruppling in price".
This is why Fresnillo stock feels like 'a repeat mode' of 'MSTR v. 2024'... isn't it.
Airtel Africa LSE:AAF – telecoms and mobile money group with about 171% return, driven by rapid earnings growth, financial inclusion trends, and rerating from previously depressed valuations.
Technically saying, Airtel Africa stock shows 4 Bull consecutive quarters in a row, as epic breakthrough of multi-year highs has recently occured.
Babcock International LSE:BAB – defence and engineering group described as the best‑performing FTSE name earlier in the year, up roughly two‑thirds by May and supported by defence spending tailwinds and balance‑sheet repair.
Technically saying, Babcock International stock shows its best ever calendar year, with nearly 140% YTD return in the 2025.
Rolls-Royce Holdings LSE:RR. - one more defence and engineering group that develops and delivers complex power and propulsion solutions for safety-critical applications in the air, at sea and on land.
Technically saying, Rolls-Royce Holdings stock has nearly doubled in price in 2025, and printed more than 10x over the past 3 years.
Antofagasta LSE:ANTO - is a copper mining group with significant by-product production and interests in transportation. The Group creates value for its stakeholders through the discovery, development and operation of copper mines.
Antofagasta stock has also nearly doubled in price in 2025, following multi-year Bull vibe.
A broader “next tier” that often appears in top‑15 lists includes Next and Games Workshop each returning more than 50% and highlighting the role of retail, niche consumer brands, and copper in the 2025 upswing.
These stocks’ outperformance reflects a combination of cyclical leverage to commodities and defence, structural growth (mobile money, gaming IP), and market rerating from previously low multiples. Their weight in the index means they have had an outsized effect on the FTSE 100’s approach to 10,000.
Key drivers: 2026 fundamentals
Into 2026, large banks and brokers broadly expect the FTSE 100 to “grind higher” rather than explode upwards, with central scenarios pointing to moderate index gains supported by improving earnings and still‑reasonable valuations.
One major house outlines a base case of steady profit growth and a wider spread of contributors, moving away from the narrow group of 2025 winners, while an upside scenario sees the index potentially reaching around 10,800 by December 2026 if global growth accelerates, financial conditions ease, commodity prices remain firm, and sterling weakens.
Fundamentally, several factors look supportive: gradual interest‑rate cuts would relieve pressure on rate‑sensitive domestic sectors; 75–80% of FTSE 100 revenues are generated abroad, so a softer pound would lift reported earnings; and multi‑year capex programmes in energy and defence, such as SSE’s planned £33 billion investment and BAE Systems’ large export contracts, provide visible revenue pipelines.
Offsetting this, downside scenarios focus on risks of a global slowdown, stubborn inflation keeping rates elevated, falling commodity prices, and a stronger pound, which could pull the index back toward the low‑7,000s.
Technical picture into 2026
Technically, analysts describe the FTSE 100 in a mature but still constructive uptrend, with long‑term charts showing a breakout above prior resistance zones in the mid‑9,000s and potential for an extension toward roughly 10,500–11,000 if momentum is sustained.
One widely cited framework highlights an expanding wedge pattern, with 9,500 as a key breakout area and 7,000 as a major historical support zone that would likely attract buyers on any deep correction.
As the index hovers just below the 10,000 mark, that level functions as both psychological resistance and a potential springboard: a decisive weekly close above it, supported by rising volume and breadth beyond miners and financials, would strengthen the case for a attempt of 2026 bull leg.
Short‑ to medium‑term, the risk is that the 2025 rally has already priced in much of the near‑term earnings recovery, making the index more vulnerable to disappointments or sharp commodity pullbacks.
However, history suggests that once (and if) major indices convincingly clear big round numbers, those levels often become support rather than ceilings, especially when underpinned by improving macro data and ongoing dividend appeal.
FTSE oversold rally support at 9600The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9600 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9600 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9734 – initial resistance
9775 – psychological and structural level
9806 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9600 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9570 – minor support
9540 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9600. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE100 support retest at 9655The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9655 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9655 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9765 – initial resistance
9800 – psychological and structural level
9885 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9655 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9625 – minor support
9595 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9655. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE sideways consolidation below 9765 resistanceThe FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9655 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9655 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9765 – initial resistance
9800 – psychological and structural level
9885 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9655 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9625 – minor support
9595 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9655. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE100 uptrend continuation supported at 9655The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9655 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9655 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9765 – initial resistance
9800 – psychological and structural level
9885 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9655 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9625 – minor support
9595 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9655. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE resistance retest at 9715The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9510 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9510 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9715 – initial resistance
9760 – psychological and structural level
9800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9510 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9477 – minor support
9430 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9510. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE100 post-Budget rally: Inverse Head & Shoulders eyes 9800Chancellor Reeves unveiled tax rises worth £26 billion annually by 2029-30 but showed fiscal discipline by committing to reduce government spending as a share of GDP each year and more than doubling the fiscal headroom buffer to £21.7 billion, reassuring bond markets still scarred by the Liz Truss mini-budget crisis.
With gilt yields falling, sterling at its best level since October, and a Bank of England rate cut expected in December, the macro backdrop supports further upside for Footsie, though sticky inflation and OBR growth downgrades remain headwinds.
Key drivers:
UK Budget introduces tax rises totalling £26bn annually by 2029-30 via threshold freezes, mansion tax, and dividend levies, but spending will decline as a share of GDP each year, calming government borrowing concerns and sending gilt yields lower.
Fiscal headroom buffer more than doubled to £21.7bn (from £9.9bn last year), giving bond vigilantes confidence that the debt trajectory is sustainable.
Sterling rallied above 1.32 towards 1.33 on lower borrowing risks, while FTSE 100 gained, led by financials.
Bank of England expected to cut rates 25bp in December, supporting equities, though sticky inflation and OBR growth downgrades are headwinds.
Technical setup : inverse head and shoulders with neckline/support at 9,630 (38.2% Fib), measured move and Fib confluence target 9,800 (between 61.8% and 78.6% retracement).
Trade idea : Entry on pullback to 38.2% Fib (9,630), stop below previous low (9,434), target 9,800, for 2:1+ risk-to-reward.
Trading the FTSE bounce? Drop your setups in the comments and follow for more high-action technical and macro trade ideas.
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FTSE higher - UK Budget in focusThe FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9510 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9510 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9715 – initial resistance
9760 – psychological and structural level
9800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9510 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9477 – minor support
9430 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9510. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 H4 | Bearish Continuation SetupMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected off the sell entry, which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell entry: 9,593.59
Strong overlap resistance
Stop loss: 9,663.89
Pullback resistance
Slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 9,455.33
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
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FTSE oversold bounce resistance at 9620The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9420 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9420 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9620 – initial resistance
9690 – psychological and structural level
9745 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9420 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9380 – minor support
9310 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9420. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
You Not Mess This [weekly analysis Nov. 24-28th 2025]Get ready for a deep dive into the key market moves, upcoming catalysts, and trade ideas you can’t afford to miss. In this week’s edition we’ll cover:
EURUSD BTc S&P500 AUDNZD AUDNZD GBPCAD
AMZN MSFT FTSE
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📣 Share your thoughts in the comments: What are you bullish/concerned about this week? What setups are you watching?






















