Trade ideas
US100: Imbalance rejection – Bears back in control
🧠 SKILLING:US100 Technical Analysis
🧱 Resistance Zone (Imbalance)
• The 24,900 – 24,950 area acts as a strong resistance, overlapping with a supply/imbalance zone.
• Price has reacted bearish from this level, showing clear selling pressure.
• This is a potential area to look for short (Sell) setups.
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📉 Current Market Structure
• After a sharp bullish retracement, price formed a rising channel 🔵.
• However, inside the highlighted circle, price has broken down from the channel — indicating weakening bullish momentum.
• This breakdown supports a short bias in the short term.
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💡 Trade Plan
• Bias: Look for Sell setups near the resistance zone.
• Confirmation: Wait for a small pullback and a new lower high before entering short.
• Target (TP): Toward the Support zone 24,740 – 24,868 (previous bottom).
• Stop Loss (SL): Above resistance at around 24,950 – 25,000.
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🟢 Support Zone
• The 24,740 – 24,780 area is the previous bottom, where price previously bounced strongly.
• This level might attract profit-taking from sellers or temporary buying interest.
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⚠️ Risk Notes
• If price closes above 25,000 (H1 candle), the bearish scenario becomes invalid.
• Manage position sizing carefully and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
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🧭 Summary
• Short-term Trend: 🔻 Bearish correction
• Mid-term Trend: 🔄 Sideways – waiting for a breakout of either 24,740 or 25,000.
• Current Opportunity: Sell from resistance → Target support zone
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️.
🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯.
📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
NAS updateNasdaq, $25,100 📍
She came through, I lit that shxt up!!! 💣
Dumped out all my trash entries at $24,820.
Still holding the 25,100s.
Plan here…. She should be rushing on $24.714.
Maybe even further. If she can leave $24,982 alone…. There’s a VERY high probability for the playback off the jump from $24,714, putting her on a ATH mission.
Let’s see!!!!
Nasdaq Nears ATH as Volume DivergesFenzoFx—Nasdaq is up by 0.20% today. The majority of the gains were in the London session. As we approach the NY session, the price is getting closer to the $25,080.0 all-time high.
However, the cumulative volume profile signals caution. The indicator is making lower lows, while the price is in an uptrend. Therefore, we expect the price to dip in today's NY morning session.
In this scenario, we expect the price to close the opening gap, which rests at $25,000.0. The next support in focus is the October 2 and October 3 close price, $24,924.0. Please note that these levels can provide a discount price to plan long strategies.
NAS 100 CORRECTIVE MOVE Analysis:
4H timeframe showing a clean Head and Shoulders formation, confirming momentum shift after the right shoulder rejection. Price has pushed back into the previous sell zone, showing signs of exhaustion at resistance. If bearish structure holds, expecting continuation to the downside as momentum aligns with higher-timeframe bias.
Summary:
• Structure: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
• Zone: Retesting previous sell zone / supply area
• Bias: SELL
• Confirmation: Rejection + bearish pressure building
ict rading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
ict in the mixrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Wall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed sigWall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed signals
U.S. stocks were little changed Oct 7, easing after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, as traders looked to upcoming Federal Reserve remarks for policy cues. Gains have slowed amid stretched valuations and uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, now in its seventh day.
Markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut later this month, supported by signs of labor market softness, though the data blackout has limited visibility. Analysts say the absence of official reports leaves the Fed leaning dovish unless future labor data show improvement.
Investor focus is also shifting toward the upcoming earnings season, where forecasts and corporate commentary may play a larger role in shaping sentiment. Fed officials including Michelle Bowman, Raphael Bostic, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari are set to speak this week.
Stop Guessing Risk — Start Measuring It Like a QuantStop deciding risk based on emotion or setup. Do what quants do. Measure volatility and let it define your risk.
Most traders size positions emotionally:
• "This setup looks strong, I’ll double size."
• "I’m not sure, so I’ll go small."
→ Both are inconsistent and lead to unstable performance.
Professionals and systematic traders use a simple principle:
Risk is not a feeling, it’s a function of volatility.
⚙️ The concept
Markets breathe in volatility cycles. When volatility expands, risk should contract.
When volatility contracts, risk can expand.
Your position size should adapt automatically to those cycles.
This Idea demonstrates the logic behind the new 📊 Risk Recommender — (Heatmap) indicator, a tool that quantifies how much of your equity to risk at any time.
🧮 How it works
The indicator offers two complementary modes:
1️⃣ Per-Trade (ATR-based)
• Compares current volatility (ATR) to a long-term baseline.
• When market noise increases, it suggests smaller risk per trade.
• When conditions are quiet, it recommends scaling up—within your own floor and ceiling limits.
2️⃣ Annualized (Volatility Targeting)
• Computes realized and forecast volatility (EWMA-style).
• Adjusts your base risk so your overall exposure stays near a target annualized volatility (e.g., 20%).
• The same math used in institutional risk models and CTA frameworks.
🎨 Visual interpretation
The heatmap column acts as a “risk thermometer”:
• 🟥 Red = High volatility → scale down
• 🟩 Green = Low volatility → scale up
• Smoothed and bounded between your chosen floor and ceiling risk levels.
• The label shows current mode, recommended risk %, and volatility context.
💡 Why this matters
Risk should *never* depend on how confident you feel about a trade.
It should depend on how loud or quiet the market is.
Volatility is the market’s volume knob and this indicator helps you tune your exposure to the same frequency.
📈 Example use case
• NASDAQ volatility spikes → recommended risk drops from 3.0% → 1.2%
• SPX volatility compresses → risk rises gradually → 4.5%
You stay consistent while others overreact.
🚀 Automating it
My invite-only strategy applies this logic automatically to manage exposure in real time.
Combine it with the Risk Recommender indicator for full transparency and adaptive position sizing.
🎯 Summary
✅ Stop guessing risk size.
✅ Let volatility guide you.
✅ Keep risk constant, results consistent.
That’s how quants survive. That’s how traders evolve.
#RiskManagement #Volatility #ATR #PositionSizing #Quant #TradingStrategy #AlgorithmicTrading #SystematicTrading #Portfolio #EWMA #RiskControl
NASDAQ Double Bottom Rejection and Demand ZonesA few days ago I posted a nasdaq setup on the H4 TF showing that a Double Bottom Rejection was at play and would result in new ATHs. I also indicated a possibility of a retest before the rally began and so far this is going according to plan.
There is still room for price to rally and claim new ATHs.
I recommend using either one of these demand zones to validate your entries for longs and using them as your Stop Loss zones.
Nasdaq updatedLooking to short it from these 2handles…
$25,012.23 holds the answers on closures.
She can do it from here…
Big ask, but also big potential if this can hold below in the next 3hr 30 mins!!!
Willing to allow $25,100 for closures. That should be at max and will also determine the next sequence of numbers to run off!!!
Full target on here is $24,714!
Then it be back to layering into longs from the previous post.
LFG Traders!! 🙌🏾
BUY EVERY BIG TECH, BUY AND HOLD UNTIL OCTOBERBuy the pivot level. hold for the last 7-month bull run until October 2025.
Price and time cycles suggest that price will peak in October 2025 and a second swing high in March 2026 for the midcycle correction. We would look for the top at 26k
Buy every big tech, buy the major stocks, buy, buy......
The 7-month cycle from March to October 2025 will be the second largest swing within the 5-year bull run from 2020 crash low
Trade safe, good luck.
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place.
On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low.
As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600.
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