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US100: Bullish Divergence Meets Institutional SupportUS100 1H Analysis – Bullish Divergence at Strong Support
Price is compressing within a descending channel, currently testing a multi-touch support zone around 24,730–24,490. Volume shows signs of accumulation, and RSI reveals bullish divergence, hinting at potential reversal. If support holds, a bounce toward 25,900–26,250 is likely. Breakdown below 24,490 invalidates the setup.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NSDQ100 key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25180
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25500
Support Level 1: 24655
Support Level 2: 24490
Support Level 3: 24330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Potential for Further CorrectionThe NASDAQ index currently appears to be in a short-term correction, with the price likely to retest 25430 from 25570 before further movement.
- Above 25430–25575: Bullish continuation towards 25700 → 25820 → 25960.
- Below 25430: Bearish momentum is likely towards 25230 → 25010.
Wall Street Tech Rally Resumes | USNAS100 Holds Firm Above 25440USNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bullish Bias Above 25440
The Nasdaq continues to trade with bullish momentum after stabilizing above 25440, supported by strength in tech stocks and improving market sentiment.
Above 25440: Bullish continuation toward 25700 → 25820 → 26170 (ATH).
Below 25430: Bearish correction possible toward 25230 → 25000 → 24760.
Pivot: 25440
Support: 25230 · 25000 · 24760
Resistance: 25570 · 25700 · 25820
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25440, but a confirmed 1H close below 25430 could trigger a short-term bearish correction toward 25230–25000.
USNAS1OO Appear Breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.The USNAS100 (NASDAQ 100) appears to be in a consolidation-to-breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.
U.S. stock index futures are advancing on Monday following positive developments in Washington toward ending the U.S. government shutdown the prolonged shutdown had delayed key economic data releases and increased uncertainty over growth. Renewed optimism for resolution has improved risk sentiment, prompting buying momentum in equity futures.
If price sustains above 25,000 and momentum continues, bulls could “shut down” the recent NASDAQ decline by pushing toward 25,750 – 26,005 a strong breakout with volume could trigger further upside toward 26,250–26,500, aligning with the next major resistance zone.
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US100 (NASDAQ 100) – Short TradeSetup Type: Short Position
Entry: Around 25,650 (Resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 25,787
Target: 24,850
Analysis:
Price is retesting a key resistance zone after a strong impulsive move upward. A rejection from this level could indicate the start of a short-term correction. If bearish confirmation appears (e.g., lower high formation or bearish engulfing candle), short positions could be valid toward 24,850 support.
Bias: Bearish below 25,787
Invalidation: Break and close above 25,787
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support level 25000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 26250.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the round support level 25000.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was strengthened by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily trend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (top of the previous impulse wave i).
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
NASDAQ Excellent rebound on the 1D MA50. Bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and last Friday made another 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern, and rebounded.
This has market the last two bottoms of the Channel Up and kickstarted the Bullish Legs, which have both been at +9.59%. As you realize, this it technically the pattern's strongest Support and most optimal buy entry for the medium-term.
We expect at least another +9.59% rally on the emerging Bullish Leg, targeting 26950.
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New Highs Before a Major Correction?The NASDAQ remains firmly within its main ascending trend channel, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries since mid-2023. After a sharp dip triggered by tariff-related headlines, the index quickly recovered, reaffirming bullish momentum and establishing a new support base along the lower trendline.
We’re now approaching the 2nd Fibonacci extension level drawn from the previous major top to the last significant bottom — a key confluence area that historically signals potential exhaustion of the current leg up.
Based on the current price trajectory, this zone could act as a probable top region, marked by the green resistance box on the chart. If the market reacts here, a technical correction or consolidation phase could unfold, retracing back toward the support zone around the mid-channel (highlighted in green).
The “500 Days Rich Man Theory” line (July 2026) may coincide with a macro cycle inflection point, suggesting a timing window for trend reversal or cooling period before the next long-term advance resumes.
NAS100 Intraday Technical AnalysisNAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
Nasdaq 100 at 25,454 (2:05 PM UTC+4) — multi-chart confluences signal breakout setup.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact; Gann Square-of-9 vibration levels 25,520/25,320.
🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
1D: Broadening wedge; RSI 63 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 25,180; bullish engulfing pattern intact.
4H: Rising wedge 25,280-25,520; Elliott Wave (3) mid-extension; anchored VWAP from Oct 29 = 25,180 (buy anchor).
1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base at 25,360; BB expanding; VWAP reclaimed post-morning dip.
30M: Symmetrical triangle; hidden bull divergence (RSI higher lows); volume contracting pre-breakout.
15M: Bull flag over 25,340; Tenkan>Kijun bullish; stochastic RSI reset—ready for push.
5M: Falling wedge retest 25,420; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch bull trap on volume weakness.
🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP
Entry: 25,360-25,390 (VWAP + flag support) — wait for bullish 15M close above 25,380.
Stop Loss: 25,300 (below symmetrical triangle base).
Target 1: 25,480 (+26 pips).
Target 2: 25,540 (+86 pips).
Target 3: 25,620 (+166 pips — harmonic alt bat PRZ).
Confirmation: RSI >55, volume >20% of 20-day avg, VWAP slope upward.
⚡ MOMENTUM ADD-ON: Scale above 25,520 ONLY if RSI>65 & volume surge confirmed; trail stop to 25,460 once first target prints.
🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP
Entry: 25,600-25,640 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
Stop Loss: 25,700 (above rising wedge).
Targets: 25,500 → 25,420 → 25,320 (Gann support).
Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
🚨 BREAKOUT & BREAKDOWN ALERTS:
BULL: 1H close >25,540 confirms Wave (3) extension; target 25,720; move stop to BE+20.
BEAR: 1H close <25,300 with volume expansion opens 25,180 cloud base test; watch VWAP support.
📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) expanding; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope UP; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (bullish stack).
⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat completes 25,620; rising wedge failure <25,320 = Wyckoff UTAD signal; H&S only valid if neckline 25,260 breaks.
📈 TIMING & RISK: Gann 90° window 15:30 UTC; ATR(14)=90 pts; CPI whispers & Fed speakers elevate volatility. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock partials; avoid sub-average volume chases.
Educational purposes only. Align with your plan, manage risk, adapt to real-time action.
Nasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US ShutdownNasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US Shutdown
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.
According to Reuters, a bill has been introduced in the Senate proposing amendments to extend government funding until 30 January. The news acted as a bullish catalyst for equity markets. Still, the question remains – is the risk truly behind us?
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 4 November, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel;
→ Noted signs of momentum exhaustion, as mentioned in our previous headline.
Since then, price action has evolved as follows:
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support (1), prompting a brief rebound;
→ The 25,770 level acted as resistance (2) on two occasions, strengthening the bears’ confidence to push for a downside breakout — which ultimately succeeded.
The index’s subsequent movements have now more clearly outlined the formation of a descending channel (shown in red).
From the demand-side perspective:
→ After a false bearish breakout below 24,680 (showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab pattern), the market staged an aggressive rally from point B;
→ Today’s session opened with a bullish gap, and the price has moved above the red median line.
From the supply-side perspective:
→ The 25,500 level, where sellers gained control during the previous channel breakout, may now act as resistance;
→ If the A→B move is viewed as an impulse, today’s rally appears to be a corrective rebound consistent with Fibonacci proportions — suggesting that downward momentum could resume within the red channel.
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NASDAQ Double Top Rejection Still At PlayI do not believe the bears are quite done yet in this market. What I am seeing currently is a bullish correction or retest of this double top rejection.
Momentum to the downside will resume soon enough. For now however, enjoy the ride to the upside - cautiously.
This is a buy to sell setup. My overall bias is bearish.






















