Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 28 November 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.3000
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 25000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from October (which encloses the previous primary ABC correction 2).
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 1 of the intermediate impulse wave (1) from November.
Given strong daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (former top of wave (5) from October).
Trade ideas
NAS100 – Quick Technical OutlookNAS100 continues its strong rebound after the sharp drop from the 21st. Price has now broken above the 25,350 level, showing sustained bullish momentum with higher highs and higher lows forming throughout the week.
If buyers maintain control, the next resistance sits around 25,500–25,550. A failure to hold above 25,300 could trigger a pullback toward 25,150 before any continuation.
Momentum favors the upside as long as structure remains above the recent breakout zone.
Heading into a 2026 bear market ? Tracking NDX, SPX and NIKKEII just want to track the major indices over the next couple of months. There are some signs that could point to a potential major market top around October 30th 2025.
Looking at big US tech, the development of the stock prices over the last 7 months are what you would usually expect in many years. And the market did that despite all the political uncertainty and chaos caused by Washington street. So fundamentals and news don't matter that much.
I'll stick to simple charts without any fancy indicators.
Here is the first one of NDX (US100). Many traders where quite surprised by the move since last Thursday, myself included. But looking at this chart, it makes a lot of sense. Might get invalidated tomorrow, we will see.
Pre market analysis for NAS 27/11/2025No strong set ups showing pre market. Leaning towards a Bullish move. Price comes down after open, tests the previous H4 origin on the topside, deep dives to the Hourly, then bullish move to the H1 polarity above.
Bearish case. Price taps into the hourly break level at the top of the current range before moving down
NQ 100 Direction and indicationsWaiting for another indication or reversal from NQ.
Key Levels need to be broken or rejected to tell direction. Generally it is looking like NQ is bearish. Just need to wait for the right time to enter. No trading NQ for the rest of the week due to holidays and lack of Gov data.
Nasdaq Outlook – Accumulation, Early Close & Two Key ScenariosThe Nasdaq is repeating yesterday’s market structure: Asia has accumulated once again, and London is likely to provide the manipulation phase before setting the day’s direction. Today we must also factor in reduced liquidity, as the New York session will close early due to Thanksgiving—this typically increases intraday volatility and can exaggerate moves in either direction.
Technical Setup:
Price is consolidating tightly, showing clear signs of preparation for a breakout. The bullish momentum remains intact as long as the index holds above the 25,000 region, supported by expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in the coming weeks, which continues to fuel risk-on sentiment across equities.
Scenario 1 (Most interesting):
If price breaks the current accumulation to the downside, I will look for long entries in the 25,090–25,020 zone, aiming for a continuation of the bullish rally.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks upward directly from the range, the next bullish target sits around 25,600.
SP:SPX TVC:DXY TVC:VIX CAPITALCOM:US100
NAS100 GasStationSupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declineshortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
Nasdaq (sell)**Disclaimer (Smart Money Concepts Analysis)**
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and represents only the analyst’s personal perspective. All marked levels, scenarios, and the two potential entry points are provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice, investment guidance, or a buy/sell signal.
Any trade you choose to take is entirely your own decision and must be executed with proper risk management and full personal responsibility. Market conditions may shift at any time and may invalidate the outlined scenarios.
This analysis is not a substitute for professional financial or investment advice. It is recommended to:
* Always use a **stop-loss**
* Follow a **clear risk management plan**
* Verify setups with your own analysis
* Be aware that the market can move unpredictably
By using this analysis, you acknowledge that all trading decisions and outcomes are solely your responsibility.
Nasdaq 100 Ahead of the HolidaysNasdaq 100 Ahead of the Holidays
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 has rebounded from its roughly 2.5-month low recorded on 21 November. At that point, bearish sentiment was driven by fears of an “AI bubble”, expectations of higher interest rates, and other news-related pressures.
The recovery from that level was strong — in less than a week the index gained around 5.3%, signalling robust demand. This not only offsets last week’s concerns but also injects optimism into the near-term outlook.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Examining recent price action in the Nasdaq 100, we can outline an ascending channel in which:
→ the median line acted as support until mid-November;
→ support at the lower boundary helped form the 21 November low.
From the perspective of buying pressure:
→ The November dip appears to be an intermediate correction within a broader emerging uptrend.
→ The brief move below the psychological 24k level (where the notable September and October lows lie) resembles a Liquidity Grab pattern, suggesting so-called Smart Money may have used sellers’ liquidity to build long positions — a sign of bullish intent.
From the perspective of selling pressure:
→ the market remains within a corrective structure (highlighted in red);
→ today, the Nasdaq 100 is trading near 25,265, a level that acted as resistance on 17–20 November.
It is possible that trading near the channel’s median line will encourage a balance between buying and selling forces — just as market participants head off to celebrate Thanksgiving.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq Eyes Resistance: Pullback Before Year-End Highs?The Nasdaq posted another strong 2% rally yesterday, even after New York’s opening session swept liquidity by hunting early long positions before reversing higher. This behavior suggests that smart money continues to accumulate positions on dips. Currently, price is pressing into a key resistance zone, which has historically triggered short-term pullbacks. For today, a reasonable scenario would be a final tap into this resistance, followed by a retracement toward the Previous Day’s High (PDH)—a level that may now act as fresh support for bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, investors remain optimistic as the market increasingly prices in the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which historically boosts tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. Additionally, overall risk sentiment has improved, supported by strong corporate earnings and stabilizing inflation trends. If momentum continues, the Nasdaq could be setting up for a push toward new highs into year-end.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has swept internal liquidity and is now approaching the horizontal supply but hasn’t retested it yet. If the retest confirms distribution, SMC flow favors a drop toward the next sell-side liquidity zone.
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Stop Loss: 25,288
Take Profit: 24,756
Entry: 25,076
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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NQ1) Daily Bias: Buy
reason:
a) D1- above green line (bottom)
b) H4- above green line (top)
c) H1- above green line (top)
2) Setup: EW + ICT
reason:
a) D1- Correction Wave ( Wave C)
b) H4- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
c) H1- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
3) Confirmation entry:
a) H4/H1-trendline & above green line
b) H4/H1-fvg
c) Momentum Candle
4) Minimum Risk : Reward= 1:2
NAS long idea for market open 25/11/2025Currently in a range between H1 polarity/M1 polarity at the top, mirrored to H1/M1 polarity at the bottom.
H4 range trend just below polarity, price comes down to M1 polarity, taps the H4 range trend, absorbs previous H4 low, back up to fail the top of the range and onto the H4 range trend above
NASDAQ Analysis – Accumulating at Resistance With Bullish CorrelThe Nasdaq is currently accumulating right beneath a key resistance zone, showing strength despite last week’s volatility. A positive factor heading into today’s session is Bitcoin’s strong weekend recovery — a move that often correlates with green momentum in equity markets, especially tech.
If the Nasdaq manages to break this resistance with conviction, price could push toward the 25,000 trendline during the week, as we are still roughly 2.5% below that level.
The ideal scenario would be:
A strong breakout,
A clean retest of the broken resistance acting as new support, and
A controlled long-position continuation toward 25,000.
As long as accumulation holds and risk sentiment stays positive, the bias remains bullish — waiting for confirmation and a structured entry.
Next NAS100 TPVolume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to declineshortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.






















