NSDQ100 ovrsold rebound supported at 23350US equities advanced, with the S&P 500 +0.41%, closing just shy of record highs, as solid US data offset Fed uncertainty. Conference Board consumer confidence (97.4 vs. 96.5 exp) and core capital goods orders (+1.1% vs. +0.2% exp) signaled resilience, while the Richmond Fed index (-7 vs. -11 exp) improved.
Focus today is Nvidia earnings, which could be pivotal for NASDAQ 100 given its AI leadership and sensitivity to US-China trade tensions. Asian tech strength overnight reflects bullish positioning ahead of results.
Meanwhile, hedge funds are running record shorts in VIX, betting on low volatility—an extreme stance that has historically preceded sharp market moves, something to watch around Nvidia’s release.
In the UK, BoE’s Mann argued for keeping rates high for longer, but impact is limited for US tech trading focus.
For NASDAQ 100: near-record highs, tech sentiment riding on Nvidia, but positioning risk in volatility markets could amplify any surprise.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23700
Resistance Level 2: 23830
Resistance Level 3: 23920
Support Level 1: 23350
Support Level 2: 23250
Support Level 3: 23100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 trade ideas
US 100 – All Eyes on the NVIDIA Earnings UpdateLast week was a challenging one for US 100 traders who had to negotiate a period of increased volatility caused by concerns of the development of an AI bubble leading to over extended valuations for key technology companies, and then a headline speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium where he hinted at the potential for rate cuts later in the year. This saw prices drop 3% from opening levels at 23745 on Monday August 18th down to lows of 22970 on August 20th, before rebounding strongly on Friday, back up to current levels around 23545 (0730 BST).
While the potential for Fed rate cuts may still be an important driver for the US 100 index, traders are waiting for key future economic data updates to provide more clarity on whether a 25bps (0.25%) cut is possible when the Fed meet next on September 17th. Before then traders will be waiting on the Friday August 29th PCE Index release, (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge), Friday September 5th Non-farm Payrolls release, especially given how Chairman Powell indicated a link between the health of the US labour market and potential rate cuts, and then the next US CPI update on Thursday September 11th.
This data waiting game means volatility for the US 100 index could be determined this week by details provided by NVIDIA in their Q2 earnings update which is due after the market close later today. NVIDIA is the world’s biggest company by market capitalisation (circa $4.4 trillion) and is considered the bellwether for AI demand and revenue performance. While traders may be focused on judging actual earnings performance against expectations, they could also be looking for reassurance regarding the strength of AI spending, as a more cautious outlook for future earnings could bring a negative reaction to AI stocks in the US 100.
Being prepared for an extended period of volatility in the US 100 index may be a wise move.
Technical Update: Still Positive Sentiment into NVIDIA Earnings?
Although the US 100 index entered a correction phase from the August 13th high of 23986 to the August 20th low of 22970, the overall positive trend that began at the April 7th low of 16290, appears to remain intact.
As the chart above shows, since the April 7th low, the US 100 index has traced out a pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price. This suggests positive sentiment, with buyers appearing at higher levels after each pullback. As long as this pattern of rising lows continues, the outlook could be viewed as skewing risks toward further attempts at upward movement in price.
While positive sentiment does currently appear to remain in place, NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report has the potential to shift market sentiment. Therefore, it’s important to identify and monitor the next key support and resistance levels to be prepared in case an increase in volatility develops.
Potential Support Levels:
After finding support at 22970 on August 20th, traders are likely still watching this level. As long as prices continue to close above 22970, a more positive outlook could still be viewed as valid. However, a negative reaction to NVIDIA earnings if seen, may result in closes below this support level, even signal a sentiment shift toward the possibility of further price declines.
While a break below 22970 doesn’t guarantee further price weakness, it could open the door toward a test of 22678, the August 1st low, and potentially even 21375, which marks the June 23rd downside extreme.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Following the recent rebound from the August 20th low of 22970, the first key resistance is likely to be the all-time high of 23986 set on August 13th.
A close above this resistance level at 23986 could signal improving momentum and the potential for further attempts at price strength. If this break is sustained, traders may start to focus on levels at 24,421 and 24,665, corresponding to the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci extension levels, respectively.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Nasdaq Intraday AnalysisOn the chart, Nasdaq is consolidating above crucial psychological support of 23500, creating a bullish cup & handle pattern
However, the prices despite Governor Cook's news failed to break the 0.618 Fib level (23586),
Still, Trump’s firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook has created majority in the Fed, which has risen prospects of deeper rate cuts.
And lower rates historically support tech stocks.
Therefore, if prices breaches the immediate resistance at 0.618 Fib level (23586), then the US tech index will continue its bullish momentum toward 23756–23,970.
What Indicators are indicating:
1) RSI is hovering in the buying zone near 58, showing momentum is recovering but not yet overbought — room for further upside.
2) Bollinger Bands are widening slightly and turning their trend toward up-side, hinting at increasing volatility and potential for breakout trades.
Overall bias: Buy on dips toward 23500–23450 zones with targets at 23756 and 23950 intraday.
NAS100 – Strong Bullish Structure Points to 25,000 TargetThe NAS100 has been respecting a clear bullish market structure, forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows since June. After completing an uptrend continuation pattern, the index broke above the resistance area and is now consolidating near a weak high, signaling potential for further upside momentum.
🔹 Market Structure:
Bottom 1 → BOS → Bottom 2 → BOS → Bottom 3 formed a solid base for continuation.
A strong breakout confirmed the bullish bias.
Demand zones have been respected multiple times, showing institutional buying pressure.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 23,800 – 23,900
Major Target Zone: 25,000 psychological level
Support Levels: 23,200 (short-term), 22,800 demand zone, 21,600 major support
🔹 Bullish Outlook:
If the price holds above 23,600 and buyers defend the resistance area, we could see a strong rally toward the 25,000 mark. The trend remains bullish unless the market closes below 22,800 demand zone, which would indicate weakness.
Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Positive
Targets: 25,000 short-to-medium term
Risk Level: Moderate.
US equities advanced despite concerns over Fed independence
Despite the uncertainty following President Trump’s dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, USTEC advanced slightly.
President Trump dismissed Fed Governor Cook due to allegations of mortgage fraud, raising concerns over the Fed's independence. JPMorgan warned the move could set a precedent for politically driven dismissals of other board members.
Meanwhile, the August CB Consumer Confidence Index rose to 97.4, indicating a more positive outlook on current conditions. However, 12-month inflation expectations rose from 5.7% to 6.2%, while the share of respondents viewing jobs as plentiful decreased from 29.9% to 29.7%.
USTEC has risen above both EMAs, signaling an attempt at a trend reversal. The narrowing distance between EMA21 and EMA78 suggests a potential shift toward bullish momentum. If USTEC holds above both EMAs, the index may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 23700. Conversely, if USTEC falls back below both EMAs, the index could retreat toward the support at 23300.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-26This new video should help you understand the dynamics playing out related to SPY/QQQ, BTCUSD and GOLD/SILVER.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
Keynote:
Resistance & Demand is still the same
Yesterday was limited - Overlap was one sided - UK banks were closed
I am only biased LONG - due to High Timeframe BIAS - bigger picture.
How I see it:
1) A break above or a break below is possible
2) BELOW - I will wait for reaction in strong demand zone.
3) ABOVE - There is some imbalance to fill, but I will close before resistance.
4) A clear and decisive break above 23580 will support price higher.
5) Between resistance and demand we are still lingering within -
INTERNAL STRUCTURE.
Let's see:
Price is setting up at same confluence as yesterday.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US100 / NASDAQ Technical AnalysisThe Nasdaq index is currently trading near 23,400, heading for a price correction after its recent rally.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains consistently below the 23,400 area, it will likely test the 23,200 level, which is a potential bounce zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
Should a rebound signal appear and the price successfully breaks and holds above 23,560, this could support a continued rally toward 23,800.
NAS100 Overextended: Support or Further Downside Ahead?The NAS100 is currently overextended following Friday’s strong rally. From a technical perspective, I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward equilibrium, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci level of the prior price swing. This zone will be key in determining whether price establishes support and resumes its bullish continuation, or if a breakdown occurs that could signal further downside risk. (Not financial advice.)
NASDAQ 100 Near Key Support — Decision Zone AheadUSNAS100 – Overview
After Powell’s speech lifted market sentiment and boosted Fed cut bets, tech remains in focus ahead of Nvidia’s earnings (Aug 27) — a potential key catalyst for NASDAQ’s next big move.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Price action still looks bearish in the short term, with potential continuation down toward 23,295.
If the index stabilizes above 23,295, a bullish reversal can start building.
Otherwise, a break below 23,295 exposes the next supports at 23,165 and 23,045.
On the upside, holding above 23,520 would support renewed bullish momentum toward 23,695.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 23,295 – 23,165 – 23,045
Resistance: 23,530 – 23,690 – 23,870
✅ Summary:
NASDAQ remains under pressure but is trading close to a decision zone. Stabilization above 23,295 could trigger a bullish rebound, while a breakdown would extend the bearish move. With Powell’s dovish tilt and 90% cut bets already priced in, all eyes now turn to Nvidia earnings to determine if tech can lead the next rally.
US100 Price Bullish Looks expertise Bounced backThe US100 index has recently shown signs of consolidation that could be interpreted as bullish. Despite experiencing multiple pullbacks over the past months — each ranging from 3.5% to 4% — the index consistently bounced back. These sharp drops were not trend reversals but rather buying opportunities during deep pullbacks.
Last week, the US100 fell approximately 4.3%, echoing previous retracements the market rebounded sharply following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, which hinted at a potential interest rate cut during the September FOMC meeting This rebound suggests that investors remain confident in the broader uptrend, using dips as entry points. If bullish momentum continues, we could see the US100 retesting its recent highs near the 24,001 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
Nas100 Breakdown with Trade Setup🕰 Weekly Structure
Price has completed a Wave (3) high and is now transitioning into a corrective Wave (4) phase.
The broader market cycle suggests sell-side liquidity is being targeted before any new impulsive leg higher.
The EMA structure is still bullish long-term, but retracements are healthy after extended rallies.
Key downside zones:
21,985 – 22,135 (mid-support pocket)
16,962 – 16,353 (deeper retracement if correction extends)
📉 Daily Timeframe
Current daily candles are rejecting the upper levels after tagging swing-high liquidity.
Price is consolidating near the swing range support line (~22,700–23,200).
Buyers are defending the level marked by the green triangle, aligning with a previous Wave (3) pivot.
If this level holds, we may see a relief rally targeting 23,800–24,200 before deciding the next move.
⏱ 1H Short-Term View
Price recently tapped into sell-side liquidity (SSS) and bounced from the 71% fib retracement + demand zone.
A change of character (ChoCH) is visible from the highlighted yellow candle, indicating buyers are stepping in.
Expect a possible bullish leg toward 23,800 – 24,000 if higher-low structure confirms.
If 23,200 fails, downside liquidity sits at 23,000 → 22,700.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Short-term bullish relief rally inside larger corrective Wave (4).
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,400 demand retest.
Target 1: 23,800 (SS liquidity pocket)
Target 2: 24,000–24,200 (daily resistance)
Invalidation: Sustained close below 23,000 → opens path to 22,200.
📌 Summary
NAS100 looks corrective after a strong multi-month bullish wave. Near-term, liquidity sweep setups favor a bounce into 23,800+ as long as 23,000 holds. Medium-term, Wave (4) correction could extend deeper into 22k–20k levels before the next major bullish wave.
Bearish drop off?USTEC has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a multi swing low support.
Pivot: 23,523.60
1st Support: 22,967.13
1st Resistance: 23,920.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NAS100 Rejection – Short Setup in PlayAnalysis:
NAS100 rejected from trendline resistance and broke below the rising channel, confirming bearish momentum. The rejection zone aligns with previous supply, and price is now pushing lower.
Resistance held at 23,450 – 23,500
Break below structure adds confluence to bearish bias
Next support area sits around 23,200 – 23,150
Outlook:
As long as price stays under the trendline, sellers have the upper hand. A clean close below 23,200 could open the way for deeper downside.
💬 Do you think NAS100 heads lower or finds support here?
NAS100 Buy Side Trade IdeaI have entered a buy position on NAS100 after a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline resistance. The price is holding above the Alligator moving averages, showing early bullish momentum. RSI is trading above the 60 level, indicating strengthening buying pressure. My entry is aligned with the breakout structure, with stop-loss placed below the recent support level and target positioned at the next resistance zone. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, anticipating a continuation of upward momentum.