US30 trade ideas
DowJones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Yesterday I shared a short setup on the Dow Jones using the rising wedge pattern. I entered at 46,267 and exited with a small profit at 46,179. I exited because I did not like the reaction at that level and anticipating a better entry.
Today, I’m looking to re-enter if price reaches 46,343, which could form a potential double top on the chart.
🧐 Market Overview:
Rising wedges generally act as bearish reversal patterns, that said, the broader market remains bullish following the FOMC, so I’ll be risking less and proceeding with caution.
However, the VIX has been sitting near multi-month lows, which often precedes sharp moves. If volatility picks up post-FOMC, rising wedge patterns could act as early warning signs of a pullback.
So I am willing to risk a small amount and potentially be rewarded BIG!
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46,343
Stop Loss: 46,539
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45,000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45,000
Also, if this plays out, I expect NAS and S&P to fall too which will likely drag crypto with it.
Thanks for checking out my post!
I would love to hear if you have any rising wedge trading tips? And if you are trading the Dow Jones or S&P today?
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTRadingMethod👋 Hello Traders.
Yesterday I mentioned I’d be watching for a breakout and retest setup — that plan still stands. However, I’ve also taken a short position off the diagonal resistance line.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m currently seeing rising wedge structures across Nasdaq, S&P, Russell 2000, and Dow Jones. These patterns typically lean bearish, and I can’t ignore the confluence. That said, wedges can fail, and with the market leaning bullish after of the FOMC announcement, I’m aware this is swimming against the trend.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46 267
Stop Loss: 46 450
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45 000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45 000
(I’m already short from 46 267 and will look to add if price retests that level.)
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Bearish patterns like rising wedges can offer high R/R setups, but always remember — strong bullish backdrops (like major data events) can cause them to fail. Risk management is everything.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts on what you think the markets will do today and how you would trade rising wedges :)
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
US30: Rebound to resistance & continue to break down
📝 1. Market Context
The SPREADEX:DJI dropped sharply from the recent high around 46,700 down to near 45,700, showing that sellers are currently in control in the short term. After this sharp decline, price is experiencing a mild recovery but still remains within a clearly defined downtrend channel and below key resistance.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone
The major resistance is located around 46,250 – 46,130 (highlighted in blue on the chart):
• This zone overlaps with the EMA and the upper band of the Keltner Channel.
• It was previously a sideways consolidation area that has now turned into resistance.
• It also intersects with the descending trendline, making a bearish rejection likely.
🟩 3. Support Zone
The nearest support lies at 45,858 – 45,748 (first pink zone).
If price breaks below this level, it is likely to continue falling toward the lower support zone at 45,520 – 45,640 (second pink zone).
🚨 4. Bearish Scenario
• Main scenario: Wait for a price pullback into the 46,250 – 46,130 area and watch for bearish signals → then SELL.
• Target: First target at 45,860 – 45,750 → if broken, expect further decline toward 45,520 – 45,640.
• Invalidation: A daily close above 46,250 would invalidate this bearish setup.
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US30 - TRADER EDGE💎 Diamond Difference Maker:
Everyone sees the same chart, but only those who read the full breakdown see the edge.
The complete setup is served on a silver platter - you still have to pick up the fork -
Take action and apply your own special skills, insight, and adaptability with ever-changing markets.
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
SUPPLY ZONE: 46,400 - 46,500
Heavy volume concentration at VRVP node around 46,450
Multiple session POCs aligning in upper range
Major resistance showing institutional distribution
📊 PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: 46,400 - 46,500 (Primary supply test)
T2: 46,600 - 46,700 (Higher resistance node)
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: 46,000 - 46,100 (Support POC cluster)
T2: 45,800 - 45,900 (Lower volume concentration)
⚡⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from 46,400-46,500 supply rejection for move to 46,000-46,100
🔍 KEY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Rejection at 46,400-46,500 with increased volume
✅ Break below 46,200 current support level
✅ Session POCs providing dynamic resistance on rallies
📈 TRADE SETUP
🔴PRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH
Short Setup:
Entry: 46,400 - 46,500 (on supply zone rejection)
Stop Loss: 46,550 (above supply invalidation)
Target 1: 46,000 - 46,100
Target 2: 45,800 - 45,900
Risk/Reward: 1:3
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🟢TURNS BULLISH IF:
Break and hold above 46,550 with strong volume
Reclaim 46,400-46,500 as support on retest
POCs start acting as support levels
⚡Then Target:
46,700 - 46,800 (next resistance cluster)
46,900 - 47,000 (higher volume node)
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 250 points per position
Position Size: Risk 1-2% of account per trade
Time Stop: Close before major news or market close
US30 - Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
🎯Trading Edge:
Following USTEC leadership but needs independent breakout above 46,450 for confirmation
Key Level: 46,450 (breakout confirmation)
Pivot: 46,200 – 46,350
Bias: Bullish above pivot
Bull target: 46,500 → 46,700
Bear target: 46,100 → 45,900
Correlation: +88% with USTEC (2–3-Hour lag), +48% with Gold
Risk Assets Alignment:
GOLD🔄USTEC🔄US30
✅Gold + USTEC + US30 all bullish above pivots = Fed dovish trade confirmed
✅Unusual Gold/equity positive correlation suggests monetary policy driving both higher
Assets Overbought:
🔴USTEC - 4HR Overbought Divergence Detected
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US 30 Index – Preparing for the End of Q3Historically, September is usually a poor month for US stock indices but, so far at least, this year it’s different. The US 30 index, which opened the month at 45609, is up around 850 points, trading close to new all time highs of 46465 recorded yesterday (time of writing 0800 BST). That’s a monthly gain of 1.8%.
Some of the reasons for this positive performance lie in last Wednesday’s 25bps (0.25%) interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which included in the accompanying statement the potential for another 2 more 25bps cuts into the end of the year, if the incoming US labour market data suggests it is necessary, and the incoming inflation data is subdued enough to permit it. Two potential sticking points when considering whether this move high can continue.
Looking forward on the scheduled events front, traders receive updates on the health of the US economy in the form of the September Manufacturing and Service activity PMI surveys today at 1445 BST. Any reading above 50 = economic expansion, while below 50 = economic contraction. The focus may be the Services print which has been the main driver of US growth in 2025, with traders comparing Septembers performance against expectations (53) and the strong August print (54.5).
Fed Chairman Powell is also due to speak today on the economic outlook at an event in Warwick at 1735 BST. This could hold the attention of traders later in the day and is an important risk event to be negotiated.
Then, on Friday, the US PCE index is released at 1330 BST. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and with traders extremely sensitive to the direction of US inflation and its potential knock-on implications for the viability of future Fed interest rate cuts, this update could create extra volatility for the US 30 index into the weekend.
One final consideration for could be the upcoming end of the third quarter on Tuesday September 30th. Q3 has seen the US 30 index gain an impressive 5.2% from opening levels at 44073 on July 1st to 46420 this morning, leading to the question, Could investors decide to lock in these gains over the next 7 trading days or are they happy to hold positions, preparing for a further rally into the end of 2025?
Technical Update: Uptrend Bias Remains In Force
It’s difficult to ignore an asset that consistently posts new all-time highs, which is the case for the US 30 index. As the chart below shows, Monday registered another new upside extreme of 46465.
It could be argued this pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows materialising since the 36440 April 7th downside extreme reflects positive investor sentiment. Traders currently appear happy to pay a higher price each time a sell-off is seen, with this buying support then able to close above resistance marked by the previous high.
This is of course no guarantee that this price action will extend further over coming sessions, but it could mean that assessing what may be the potential support and resistance levels to monitor in the week ahead could be helpful in case an increase in volatility materialises.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having encountered selling pressure at the 46465 new all-time high on Monday, this level could mark the first resistance focus for the coming week. A closing break above 46465 might well be interpreted by traders as opening scope to maintain the uptrend pattern to higher levels.
Such moves could then see tests of 46986, which is equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension level, and if this gives way, even potentially towards 47674, which is the higher 138.2% extension.
Possible Support Levels:
During the latest phase of the US 30 index advance, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that acted as support to price setbacks, limiting declines and enabling the move to resume upside strength. Therefore, with the average currently standing at 45779, this level could well mark the first support focus.
Closing breaks below 45779, if seen, could lead to the possibility of further price declines, opening potential to test the next support at 45262, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August to September 2025 price strength (see chart above).
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US30 Resistance Cluster Above!
HI,Traders !
#US30 made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 46329.8 then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on Thursday and
Friday but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
We are close to a very RARE and HISTORICAL event.We are close to a very RARE and HISTORICAL event.
This would be only the 2nd time in over 125 years that we get a "SUPER" Capital Rotation Event.
Stock markets get destroyed when adjusted for inflation...
While gold, silver and friends enjoy their BEST years of outperformance!
us30 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
Bulllish continuation?Dow Jones (DJ30) has bounced off the support level which acts as a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 46,182.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 45,737.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 47,000
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
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US30 DropsUS30 looks bearish on the M30 timeframe with one price target of 46,108.7 and a bias of 46,002.2.
The setup will be invalidated if the price breaches 46,463.5, which is derived from bearish pressure at the H4 to Daily resistance.
The high at 46,363.4 is held by the 46,417 area zone, and the bulls' momentum is also challenged by the bearish highs at 46,353.8. Overall, the sentiment is therefore bearish.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
"Trade setup on US30 for a weekly sell"We have a market with a bullish accumulation that has been attracting buyers with an upward sentiment. What I’m looking for is a downward manipulation to shake buyers out of this accumulation, as you can see in this flag. It’s an accumulation that is breaking through highs, and banks usually look to break liquidity zones in order to generate their sales. In addition, the price needs to find stability since it has been rising too much. I see this sell opportunity as possible with this trading pattern I look for: problem, reaction, and solution.
Wall Street 30 Cash - Trading The Wedges Highest PointUS30 (Wall Street 30 Cash on the chart) is trading a Falling Wedge at it is highest point and could be due for a drop however the Falling Wedges at it's failure could trigger a new Bullish Trend for another $1K Rally while the 36500 Point still remains as strong resistance.
Bullish structure remains strong and though rejection from 46500 - 46800 could shot back to the level 46000.
Please add your ideas in the comment.
Thanks
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 45,683.56
1st Support: 44,863.66
1st Resistance: 47,367.24
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US30 hits new all-time high amid robust AI fever
US equities rallied to fresh record highs, fueled by the Fed’s rate cut, resilient US economic data, and optimism over progress in US-China trade negotiations. Ongoing enthusiasm for AI also boosted technology stocks.
Nvidia (NVDA) drove the strongest market reaction after announcing a \$5 bln purchase of more than 4% of Intel (INTC). Sentiment was further buoyed by reports that Chinese regulators halted their antitrust probe into Google (GOOGL), ending a long-running investigation into Android’s dominance.
US30 maintained a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, setting a new high. The index holds above both EMAs, indicating the potential continuation of the bullish momentum. If US30 breaches above the 46415 high, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 47000. Conversely, if US30 breaks below EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index could retreat toward 45000.
DowJones Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 45960
Support Level 2: 45840
Support Level 3: 45670
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US30 - Bullish Path Toward 48,000The market remains strongly bullish with no clear signs of correction, even in lower timeframes.
Active targets are 46,550, 47,300 (key level), and 47,690, with the next major target at 48,000.
Beyond this, 48,920 has also been identified as a potential extension.
While higher targets exist, they belong to a larger fractal and are not yet confirmed.
The deepest possible correction could reach the 45,300 area, which may provide a good long opportunity.
Short positions are not recommended due to high risk and strong buying pressure.