Strong Momentum at ResistanceNow I am projecting DXY is strong for upcoming session. Potential for resistance Breakout.
Plan,
Bullish for USDxxx
Bearish for xxxUSD
USDX trade ideas
US DOLLAR LIQUIDITY GAMES MAPThe U.S. Dollar is testing traders resolve.
Price action keeps pressing higher, and a daily close above 97.394 would confirm a classic “fractal low” — the kind of structural pivot that lures late buyers before the real move unfolds.
3 Key Insights
Macro Calendar – Stay alert:
Thu – Final Q2 GDP, Weekly Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders.
Fri – Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending, University of Michigan Sentiment (final).
These are the week’s steering currents for USD flows.
A daily close above 97.394 is the key trigger to confirm a fresh leg higher.
• EUR/USD short bias remains valid while DXY stays bid, but expect intraday volatility around data releases.
DXY – Post-Fed Cut: What’s Next for the Dollar?The Fed has cut rates — but the dollar didn’t flinch. No major reaction, which suggests the move was priced in.
I currently see two possible scenarios unfolding on DXY:
Scenario 1: Triangle Completed – More Downside Ahead
If we’ve finished a triangle correction, a break below 96.20 could confirm the move and open up downside toward $95–$92.
Chart:
Scenario 2: Ending Diagonal in Wave 5
Alternatively, the recent low may mark the end of a 5th wave diagonal, completing Wave 3 of the broader decline. If so, we could see choppy corrective action before any larger moves.
Chart:
Key level to watch: Break below $96.20
If price closes above $100.25 I will review the analysis as this may indicate the downward trend is complete.
EUR/USD ShortEUR/USD Short Position Analysis
Currently holding short positions on EUR/USD initiated during the Asian session. The trade setup shows a bearish bias with multiple profit targets clearly marked on the 5-minute chart:
Primary Target: Target 2 around 1.17540 level
Additional Targets: Target 1 at 1.17679 and Target 3 at 1.17360
The chart displays key horizontal resistance/support levels with dashed lines, and the current price action suggests continued downward momentum toward the designated targets. Risk management levels and entry points appear well-defined based on the technical structure shown.
Trade Status: Active short positions with systematic target approach for profit-taking.
H4 DXY Market UpdateRight now, DXY is showing signs of indecision. No clear direction has been established yet.
I’m currently waiting for price to move towards one of the Turning Points (TNP) — either TNP A (resistance) or TNP B (support) — before making any trading decisions.
For now, I’ve set alerts at both zones and will keep monitoring closely.
Dollar Index drop at the start of the weekAfter last week’s high volatility due to major news — which gave the dollar a slight upward move — today, at the start of the week, it turned bearish. The channel it had managed to break after a long time now seems to be retesting, and so far it looks like it may fall back inside.
Overall, the dollar’s trend remains bearish, and taking long positions isn’t logical until we clearly see strong bullish signals. ✅
DOLLAR INDEX DXY WEEKLY ANALYSISDXY is trading near 97.70, attempting a rebound from the 96.90–97.00 support zone (since last week), aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
Prices are facing a confluence of resistance including fib level 0.786 & middle Bollinger band near 97.70 towards approaching the falling trendline resistance around 98.00–98.10, which will be a key inflection level for direction.
RSI has bounced from near-oversold (45 zone) and is pointing higher, suggesting mild bullish momentum in the short term.
On the downside, a failure to hold 97.40 (fib level 0.618) could extend weakness toward 96.90, towards the falling trendline support.
This week’s heavy US data calendar (Powell’s speech, PMIs, GDP, PCE) could provide catalysts for a breakout move.
Overall, bias is neutral-to-bullish in the short term unless 97.40 - 97.00 zone is breached decisively.
DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios💡 DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios
Price is currently testing an important supply zone (97.7 – 98.0) after showing a strong recovery. From here, I’m watching two possible outcomes:
🔼 Bullish Scenario
If buyers manage to hold above the 97.7 – 98.0 supply zone, we could see continuation toward the next major resistance between 98.2 – 98.6.
Break & retest of 98.0 would be a strong confirmation for buyers.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If the 97.7 – 98.0 area rejects strongly, price could reverse back down toward the demand zone (96.4 – 96.6) for liquidity grab.
This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 98.0 | 98.2 | 98.6
Support: 97.4 | 96.6
📊 This setup gives both bulls and bears opportunities depending on how price reacts at these zones.
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💼 For those who want account management services (personal or funded accounts), feel free to reach out – I can help you grow consistently with risk management and proven strategies.
US DOLLAR War Map stays simple right nowThe dollar’s been sliding for months, but we finally saw the range lows taken out after the FOMC spike, and that sets up the next move.
Here’s how I’m reading it:
Rotation lower is still the logical path unless politics or surprise news change the game.
On the DXY chart, I’m watching for a heavy-volume node to act as a target for a short-term pullback higher.
For cross-pairs, that means I’ll look for short setups while using the recent bullish dollar lows as day-to-day reference points.
Key level to watch: around 98.7, where heavy bearish order-flow has been building.
If the market keeps moving, it’s a straightforward trade plan: stay positive, take intraday signals, and let the bigger down-cycle play out.
DXY: Key Levels + Change of CharacterBias: Long
Type: Reversal Trade
Trend: Range
Area of Value : Key Levels from downtrend before change of character.
Momentum : 1D MACD Histogram about to cross the High Tide.
Entry: 97.691
Exit: Stop Loss @ 96.890; Take Profit @ 100.894.
Analysis
Fact 1: DXY since 2022 has stayed above the 100.890 support level trending as a range.
Fact 2: DXY has now crossed the key support level @ 100.890 which now acts as a resistance
Fact 3: DXY crossed the trend line signaling a change of character + DXY MACD Histogram is about to cross to High Tide also signaling a change of character.
Conclusion:
Since the key support level @ 100.890 has now been broken, and there is a change of character about to happen. I believe that DXY will at the very least reach the resistance level @ 100.890 before bouncing off to continue the down trend or break to re-enter the range.
Recommendation:
Long Entry on the Area of Value (97.691), for stop loss add 1D ATR for distance (96.890), for take profit let it be the key resistance level (100.894). R:R of 4
MY VIEW ON THE DXY - 22 / 26 SEPTEMBER 2025Last week we saw the Index testing a new low, continuing its downward trend, cause by the Feds cutting interest rates.
On the major frames the Index is in fact bearish unless we have a clear move above 101.400.
This week I expect a pullback to the 98.300 - 98.750 critical area of resistance by Tuesday, Powell speech could push the index up to 101.050 - 101.350 or down to new lows in the 96.000 - 95.220 area of support.
The Dollar Index situation in the past weekThere’s no doubt that the Dollar Index is still in a downtrend. During this decline — while moving inside a channel — it managed, thanks to the news, to break the channel’s ceiling with relatively weak momentum. The probability of a pullback to the channel’s ceiling or even a return inside the channel is high because the momentum is weak. In any case, we’ll have to see how the dollar starts the coming week. ✅
DXY weekly outlook.Going into the new week, I expect the dollar index (DXY) to continue its bullish momentum. Price has reacted well from support and I’m anticipating a move towards the daily FVGs above.
DXY (US Dollar Index) AnalysisPrice is currently trading near 97.60 – 97.90, which is a strong resistance zone.
I’ll be waiting for bearish confirmation here before expecting downside momentum.
🔻 If sellers hold this level, we could see DXY drop further, aligning with bearish pressure on USD across correlated pairs (EURUSD bullish, GBPUSD bullish, Gold bullish).
Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: 97.60 / 97.90
🟢 Target Zone: 95.00
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for rejection at 97.60 – 97.90 before entering.
Look for sell setups targeting 95.00.
Correlation: Bearish DXY supports bullish momentum in major USD pairs.
⚠️ Risk management is key. Always wait for confirmation before taking positions.
DXY 4H – Bullish Reversal Setup from FVG Zone | Target 98.63Technical Analysis
Downtrend Channel (Bearish Structure)
Price has been moving inside a descending channel (highlighted in red).
Recently, it touched the lower boundary and formed a rounded bottom pattern (possible reversal signal).
Trendline Breakout
A short-term downtrend line has been broken to the upside.
This suggests momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish.
Fair Value Gap (FVG Zone)
Price is currently testing an FVG zone around 97.00–97.28.
This zone acts as a potential entry area for long trades.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Target
Entry Point: 97.28 – 97.27
Stop Loss: 96.90 (below FVG zone support)
Target Point: 98.63
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → good setup.
Potential Scenario
If price holds above the FVG zone and doesn’t break below 96.90, we may see a bullish move toward 98.63.
But if the FVG fails and price closes below 96.90, it could resume the downtrend.
✅ Summary:
Market structure shows a possible bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
A clean long setup is planned: Buy near 97.27 → Stop 96.90 → Target 98.63.
Confirmation needed: Strong bullish candle closing above the FVG zone
Dollar Weekly WrapThe dollar ripped to fresh lows early in the week on the FOMC spark and is now set to close with a heavy bearish rejection candle.
Next week’s macro stack:
Tue – U.S. PMI flash
Thu – Q2 GDP final and Durable Goods
Fri – Personal Income/Spending and PCE
Price sits just below a five-week liquidity shelf around the 98.00 area.
Technically the market is oversold near the lower range, so high probability to target next week 98ich highs and lower on cross pairs. lets see how it will play out!
DOLLAR/GOLD/RATESDXY is sitting at a key monthly support.
Gold is getting extremely hot.
is it time for a flip? majority sentiment feels like gold is going up forever (i agree to an extent, but im not against some pullback/higher lows first)
FED mentioned inflation was a bit sticky.
sharing purely to see how she ages
GOLD = red
DXY = BLUE/BLACK
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 96.755 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 96.629 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The dollar making fresh yearly lows for the FedThe dollar making fresh yearly lows yesterday for the Fed decision. 95 looks close. At some point the dollar will be on sale. Last time Trump was elected the dollar went on sale in early 2018 after a year of selling off. Will the dollar be on sale next year?
DXYDXY maintains a bearish bias, trading below last week’s open and confirming weakness with a series of lower highs and lower lows. Commitment of Traders (COT) data shows non-commercial traders reducing long positions and adding to shorts, reinforcing the downside outlook. As long as price holds beneath the current week open, bearish momentum is expected to persist, with any rallies into resistance or supply zones offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend.
DOLLAR DOLLAR holding daily retest demand floor waiting FOMC outcome. The market will be surprised that fed might keep rate the same dont expect rate cut.
how ever i dont care about the FOMC policy outcome
Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Rangebound PlayPrice is boxed between 96.20 and 96.40 as market makers build volume on both sides ahead of the Fed.
Key Levels
• 96.40 – top of the current node, first spot for squeeze fuel.
• 96.20 – base of the range, stop pockets just beneath.
Until the statement drops, expect tight, whipsaw action—classic pre-FOMC positioning. Patience over prediction.
