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USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59

USD Dollar Basket Index DXZ5 Exp 08/12/2025 23:59

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USDX trade ideas

DXY FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25🌍FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25 📊 DXY FRGNT Breakdown + Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs 1. Higher Timeframe Context (Weekly) Trend: Bearish → clear lower highs & lower lows since mid-summer. Unmitigated Imbalance (IMB): 99–101 zone above current price → acts as a long-term liquidity magnet but not yet tested. Bias: Weakness dominates until price proves otherwise. 2. Daily Timeframe Supply Zone: 98.200–98.500 (aligns with Daily 50 EMA). Demand Zone: 96.800–97.000 (next liquidity draw). Expectation: Retrace into 98.2 supply, then continuation lower toward 97.0 demand. 3. Intraday (4H) Supply Overlap: 97.800–98.200 (Daily + 4H confluence). Structure: Still bearish, repeated rejections from the 50 EMA. Projection: Price likely taps 98.0 area, then drives into 97.0 demand. Summary Bias: Bearish. Watch for liquidity sweep above 98.0 → rejection → sell setups toward 97.0 demand. 🌍 Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs GBPUSD Effect: Dollar weakness supports bullish setups. Expect retrace into 1.2670–1.2720 demand before price extends higher. Targets: 1.2800–1.2850, with potential stretch toward 1.2950. Narrative: As long as DXY stays capped under 98.2, GBPUSD should continue higher. EURUSD Effect: Also benefits from USD weakness, though less aggressively than GBP. Look for longs around 1.0850–1.0880 demand. Targets: 1.0950–1.1000. Narrative: Similar structure to GBPUSD, but GBP is likely to outperform EUR. EURGBP Effect: GBP stronger than EUR → bearish bias. Shorts valid below 0.8520, aiming for liquidity under 0.8430–0.8450. Narrative: Even if both EUR and GBP rise against USD, GBP is leading. Other USD Cross Pairs USDJPY: Likely to weaken, targeting 144.50–145.00 liquidity. USDCAD: Bearish pressure, could reach 1.3600 demand. USDCHF: Lower toward 0.8850–0.8900 demand. ✅ Overall Picture DXY Bearish = Favor longs on GBPUSD & EURUSD. GBP stronger than EUR = EURGBP shorts are attractive. JPY & CHF weak = Pairs like GBPJPY and EURJPY can push higher. 👉 In short: DXY’s weakness is the engine, driving GBPUSD and EURUSD higher. The Pound has the edge, making EURGBP a sell candidate while GBPJPY becomes a standout buy. TVC:DXY FRGNT
TVC:DXY
by JCFRGNT
US Dollar: Upside Price Target vs. GoldSince the historic print low of 70.69 in 2008, the US dollar has risen more than 55% to its current levels north of 110. There is no telling just how high the dollar can run amid the parabolic move upward from its 2021 low. An inverse head and shoulder pattern suggests a minimum upside price target of 117.64 or around 7% north of current levels. Fibonacci time cycles portend potential turning points this October and in November 2023. Despite all the headline inflation, the rise in the dollar is, by definition, deflationary. This suggests that given inflation remains steadily on the rise, the dollar needs to go significantly higher for its deflationary effects to manifest in the real economy. One item of particular note is the dollar-based price of gold today vs. at the dollar lows in 2008. At the all-time lows of 2008, Gold was trading in the $800-$1000 range. Contrast that to today, with a dollar that is 55% higher, and we see Gold trading at $1700. That says a lot about Gold's ability to hold its value amid a rising dollar, which is typically bearish for Gold.
INDEX:DXY
by Wave-Tech
3
Pre-FOMC Crossfire US DOLLAR INDEXPre-FOMC Dollar War Map The weekly chart just printed a fourth straight lower high— a slow grind down while Friday’s close stayed red. Liquidity is stacked behind us, perfect fuel if the desks want to run stops before the Fed. Order flow shows massive resting bids around 96.962, the last structural block. If that line cracks, expect the move to be fast and brutal. Cross-markets are whispering the opposite: equities, metals, and crypto are coiled to run if the dollar slips. The headlines will call it a surprise. It isn’t. The map was drawn weeks ago. Focus on levels, not noise. Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
DXY 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets. Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
TVC:DXY
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
The Buck’s Getting Bucked“Rule #1: Respect Bitcoin. Rule #2: When you think you’ve respected it enough…double it. Big players like BlackRock manage trillions of dollars. They usually keep their money in things like U.S. dollars and government bonds because that’s been the “safe spot” forever. But the dollar keeps losing buying power and the U.S. keeps adding debt. So these big funds are starting to put a small slice of their cash into Bitcoin—a digital money that nobody can print more of. It’s not that the dollar is disappearing tomorrow. They just want a backup that can’t be inflated away. When companies with that much money start buying, it makes Bitcoin look less like a fad and more like the next big “store of value.”
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
Will history repeat for Dixie and TrumpThe Wild Card: The US Dollar (Dixie) Trend. A sustained Trump-led drop in the Dixie (as we had seen in his first term) is still a significant downside risk for the dollar. Potentially lifting majors further even despite the woes of European currencies and most risk assets. This is the "smart money buys dips" trend we've seen across Cable and Euro. However, this is a bet on a US story, not a Euro Zone one and could reverse temporarily before eventually go lower and taking Sterling and the Euro with it as the multi-polar world arises. For now, Dixie has enjoyed a boost from better than expected Treasury sales, last month seeing massive inflows and strong demand. Especially from indirect buyers (foreign investors) with the primary dealers, buyers of last resort, given some respite (seeing lowest participation on record). Perhaps a catalyst for a swift dollar rally into more aggressive downward pressure. With the US potentially dipping into a recession. The dollar generally does well in economic slowdowns. But can it stop the drop to 93.6 ?
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by PointBreak42
2
Head and Shoulders Pattern on U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Bearish Overview of the Idea (as shown in the chart) The chart illustrates a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern forming on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). This classical technical pattern signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Left Shoulder: The first peak followed by a pullback. Head: A higher peak, forming the top of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, roughly equal to the left shoulder. Neckline: A support line connecting the lows between the shoulders. Once broken, it indicates potential bearish continuation. The chart highlights: A breakout below the neckline. A retest of the neckline (common in H&S setups, where old support becomes resistance). A projected downside target aligned with the height of the head-to-neckline move. Detailed Analysis 1. Pattern Identification The H&S is clear: higher high (Head) flanked by two lower highs (Shoulders). The neckline is slightly ascending, but once broken, it signals sellers stepping in. 2. Breakout Confirmation Price broke below the neckline, confirming the bearish pattern. The retest at ~97.62 shows rejection, strengthening the bearish outlook. 3. Bearish Projection Technical rule: the expected downside target is approximately equal to the distance from the head to the neckline, projected downwards from the breakout point. The chart projects a move toward 97.25, which aligns with the marked support zone. Timing The projection points to Monday, 15/09/25, suggesting this bearish move may unfold in the upcoming trading sessions. Walkthrough Thought Process Think of the market like a battle between buyers and sellers: The buyers pushed price higher (Head), but then failed to sustain strength at the right shoulder. When price breaks the neckline, it shows sellers are gaining control. The retest confirms that what was once support (neckline) has now become resistance. This setup gives traders confidence to enter a short (sell) trade, targeting the projected downside. Trade Idea Entry : After retest rejection around 97.62. Target (TP) : 97.25 (support zone based on H&S projection). Stop Loss (SL) : Above the right shoulder at 97.80 (to protect if pattern fails).
TVC:DXYShort
by MacLongloi
1
Dollar index downtrend continuationOn the daily timeframe, we could observed a downtrend movement impact of the NFP news. The market then, made a healthy retracement. When will this retracement end? Lets zoom-in in a lower timeframe. This chart is m30. We could observed a complete H&S pattern hint for down movement is about to start. I believed it can go further down but lets aim as what H&S pattern suggest, Distance from 'Head' to 'Neckline'= Distance from 'Neckline' to 'Target'. This is analysis is for my future reference. If you want to follow, make sure calculate your own risk & reward. This analysis will have corelation with other currencies:- USDXXX : Down trend XXXUSD : Up trend Good Luck
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by azmi12321
USD, DXY Monthly - X Marks the SpotThe US Dollar is near the mid-point of the 20-year range but for the past few months, the currency has been tangling with long-term trendlines that haven't yet shown a willingness of giving way. The upper trendline originates in 2001 and connects to the 2020 high. This caught the low in 2023 and then again in April. Shorter-term, the weekly chart of DXY has been taking a seat on this trendline with sellers unable to yet leave it behind. The support trendline originates in 2011 and connects to the 2021 low. This caught the low around the Q3 open and hasn't been back in play since. But - as we move towards the FOMC rate decision next week this is a big level to watch. With the Fed widely expected to cut rates, the bigger question and likely bigger driver from next week's meeting will likely come from the bank's dot plot matrix, and if the Fed does lean towards the 125-150 bps of rate cuts that are expected into the end of next year, USD bears could finally get a shot-in-the-arm. Perhaps a bigger question behind that is whether EUR/USD can finally take on strength after the pair has stalled for the past two and a half months. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Weekly Timeframe) (Chart 2) Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long-term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline. #SabaliCapital #TechnicalAnnalysis #DXY
TVC:DXY
by Sabali_Capital
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Daily Timeframe). On the 1st of July 2025 price began printing a sideways correction, wherein minute wave (a) terminated on the 1st of August 2025. Price is currently printing a minute wave (b) before a minute wave (c) to complete minor wave 4. Minute wave (c) may not take out the 100.257 levels due to the strength of the Bears. Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline. #SabaliCapital #TechnicalAnnalysis #DXY
TVC:DXY
by Sabali_Capital
DXY at Major Support – Dollar Ready to Rebound?Today, I want to analyze the DXY index ( TVC:DXY ) for you. First, I must say that this week, US indexes can have an impact on the DXY index trend . US indexes to be released this week: Core PPI m/m: Tomorrow PPI m/m: Tomorrow Core CPI m/m: Thursday CPI m/m: Thursday CPI y/y: Thursday Unemployment Claims: Thursday Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: Friday Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: Friday The DXY Index is currently moving near the Support zone($97.989-$97.834) , Yearly Support(2) , and the lower line of the descending channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the DXY index has managed to complete microwave 5 of the main wave C . The corrective structure is of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) type. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between consecutive valleys . I expect the DXY index to rise to at least $98.07(First Target) before the US indexes are announced. Second Target: $98.56 Stop Loss(SL): $96.997 Note: With the DXY index rising, we can expect a correction in Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), and major Forex pairs (dollar strength). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S. Dollar Index Analyze (DXYUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
27