US30 trade ideas
US30: Long Trade Explained
US30
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy US30
Entry - 45841
Stop - 45733
Take - 46034
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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US 30 INDEX 11 SEPTEMBER 2025 TRADE IDEAThe US30 is currently trading near the top of an ascending channel, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish run since April. Price is struggling to hold above the 45,500 area, suggesting the possibility of a pullback as liquidity builds up beneath recent higher lows. From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, the market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but with equal lows and inefficiencies below, a corrective move is likely. A clean break of the channel support could trigger a retracement toward key demand zones around 45,015, 44,141, and possibly deeper into 43,315–43,260, where institutional buyers may re-enter for continuation to the upside. Fundamentally, the short-term outlook is cautious, as traders await fresh US inflation and labor market data; softer economic releases would strengthen the case for Fed rate cuts later in 2025, which supports equities, while stronger-than-expected figures could put pressure on risk assets and fuel a temporary correction. Overall, the directional bias for the week is leaning bearish in the short term as price tests the upper channel, with expectations of a corrective dip into demand before resuming the broader bullish trend.
US30 - Bullish Continuation SetupBias: Bullish
High-Timeframe (4H/1H):
Price shows a strong bullish board structure with momentum firmly to the upside. Volume candles are clean and imprinted, signaling continuation potential and smart money control.
Mid-Timeframe (30M):
Dropped down to monitor board continuations. Structure has been mapped and refined—everything is aligned with HTF bullish intent. We are now waiting for proper sell-side liquidity to be taken. This is the “courtyard” where stops are absorbed before smart money resumes the upward move.
Lower-Timeframe (5M):
Once mitigation occurs and the order block is properly cleared, we will drop to 5M for precise entry confirmation. Price should hold the mitigated area, confirming smart money support before riding the continuation.
Entry Zone: Pending proper mitigation of the mid-timeframe order block.
Targets:
• Lower timeframe highs (5M)
• Mid-timeframe highs (30M)
Mindset Note:
Let smart money lead direction. No rushing entries—wait for the order block to be mitigated and price to confirm support before engaging. Patience and precision over impulse.
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
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Potential bullish continuation?DJ30 is falling towards the support level, which is pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 45,688.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 45,306.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 46,177.16
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
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Dow Jones support levels to watchThe Dow was the star of the show yesterday. After chopping sideways for a few days above the 45,000 mark – a crucial resistance level taken out back in late August – we’ve finally got that breakout everyone was waiting for. Thursday's push through the resistance around 45,760 is a strong signal that the bulls are still in charge. As long as we hold above that level on any retest, the uptrend looks very healthy. If we slip back below, yes, things could get a bit messy, but honestly, the broader structure still screams bullish. The 45,000 level remains the real line in the sand – lose that and the tone changes, but for now, I’d be surprised if we don’t see higher highs from here.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DowJones Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46210
Resistance Level 2: 46415
Resistance Level 3: 46640
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45610
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DowJones key support at 45800Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46213
Resistance Level 2: 46415
Resistance Level 3: 46640
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45600
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SHORT TERM DOW - REVERSE (H & S ) PATTERN FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed
The chart shows a reverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) attempt.
Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are marked clearly.
But note: written that “8 out of 10 times H&S fails”, which is important — H&S is powerful, but also prone to false breakouts. AND FALSE BREAKOUT ITSELF IS VERY STONG SETUP!5
🔹 Short-Term Technical View
Structure:
Price attempted to form an inverse H&S, but neckline is not yet broken decisively.
Instead of breakout, Dow is showing weakness near the right shoulder.
Bearish Bias Active:
Failure of the reversal pattern often triggers sharp declines (trapped longs exit).
Breakdown projection is already plotted on your chart.
Target Zone:
Immediate downside target highlighted = 41,125.
That’s consistent with measuring the depth from head to neckline and projecting downward.
Invalidation:
If price reclaims and sustains above the neckline (~45,000–45,200 zone), the bearish view weakens.
🔹 Short-Term Trading Implication
Bias: Bearish as long as below neckline.
Target: 41,125 (short-term).
Stops: Above neckline (45,000+).
R:R: If entered near 44,600–44,800, reward to risk is favorable (2.5:1+).
✅ Conclusion
The Dow shows a failed inverse H&S, which typically results in downside continuation. Short-term target is 41,125, with risk managed above 45,000.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, or derivative. Trading carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
US30 LONG/BUY Hello there
Looks like a high probability trade is forming on US30
1. Regular flat formation
2. MACD divergence 1HR TF forming
3. 3 WAVE corrective structure
4. 61.8 FIB retracement of impulsive move
Strategy: Entry at 61.8 FIB retracement entry
Entry: Current Market Price/ 45641 (little gap left)
Stop Loss: 45391
Take Profit: 46300
Trade with care
God Bless you
US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 45,509.9
Target Level: 43,969.8
Stop Loss: 46,527.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US30 Liquidity Play📌 **POV – US30 Liquidity Play**
Currently looking for a **short-term long position on US30**, with the main objective of grabbing liquidity above last week’s high and the daily previous high.
This move aligns with a classic **liquidity sweep** setup – expecting price to run the highs before showing signs of exhaustion.
Once liquidity is taken, I’ll shift bias to a **bearish scenario**, looking for a clear **CHOCH/BOS confirmation** and an entry around newly-formed **FVGs** for the larger move to the downside.
For now, the bullish move is only a **liquidity play**, not a structural shift. The real interest lies in the bearish continuation after the sweep.
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Lord Emerson