GooglGoogl finished with a weekly bearish engulfing
It's first since March 2025
Currently 25% extended from its weekly 20sma .. last 3 times googl extended past its 20sma over 16% a draw down occurs
Completely detached from its monthly Bollingerband; This a huge red flag! You don't chase longs up here
But remember you have to trade the time frame you analyze . Since this is over bought on the monthly and I don't think this continues into Dec , your shorts should have 45-60 days minimum on the expiration.
I'm expecting a pullback to 240-255 within the next 30-45 days
For entry purposes, you would look for an entry near 290.. be willing to add short up into 300 with a stop loss above 300.
First target would be 270 and then 250 below it
Trade ideas
Google - A major correction starts now!🚽Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is now creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a major rally on Google of about +100%. This rally was totally expected, following the underlying bullish rising channel. But with the current retest of the trendline, Google is heading for a major correction.
📝Levels to watch:
$300 and $200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOOGL – Primed for a Breakout? Nov. 20 Trade Plan1-Hour Outlook (Main Bias)
GOOGL reclaimed the entire sell-off from yesterday and is now pushing directly into the 299.50–300 resistance zone, which has rejected multiple times on the 1-hour chart.
1H Structure
* Clear ascending structure with higher lows forming.
* A confirmed BOS shifted market structure bullish earlier in the session.
* Price is sitting right under the major 300 psychological level.
* MACD on the 1H is crossing bullish with growing momentum.
* Stochastic is extended but not rolling over yet, still supportive.
1H Key Levels
* Breakout trigger: above 300
* Upside targets:
* 303.70 (previous high and GEX resistance)
* 307–308 (thin liquidity zone)
* Support zone: 292–293
* Bears gain control only below: 289
1H Trading Idea
Bullish scenario:
If price holds above 295–296 and reclaims 299, a breakout through 300 becomes highly probable, with momentum favoring 303.70.
Bearish scenario:
Only valid if price rejects 300 with a full-body reversal candle, with downside magnets at 295.50 and 292.60.
15-Minute Outlook (Execution Timeframe)
Price is consolidating in a constructive range after a strong impulse move.
15M Structure
* Sequence: CHoCH → BOS → FVG retrace → continuation.
* EMAs on the 15M are stacked bullish.
* Consolidation above the FVG is healthy for continuation.
15M Trading Setups
Bullish entry:
* Ideal retracement zone: 297.80–298.20
* Look for a bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick.
* Targets: 300 → 303.70
* Stop below 296.80
Breakout entry:
* Enter if price cleanly breaks above 300
* Stop below the last 15M swing low
* Targets: 303–304
Bearish scalp:
* Only if repeated lower-high rejections occur under 300
* Target: 295.50
GEX Confirmation
Based on the GEX chart:
Bullish Signals
* Highest positive NETGEX sits at 303.70, creating a natural upside magnet.
* Significant call walls at 299, 300, 305, which support upward drift.
* Positive GEX blocks (GEX8, GEX9) favor continuation to the upside.
* Minimal put defense above current price.
* Bears only gain real advantage below 292.
Interpretation
GEX supports an upside breakout.
Once 300 opens, the natural gamma path leads toward 303–305.
Options Trading Plan (GEX-Based)
Bullish Plan
If price breaks above 300 with momentum:
* Contracts to consider:
* 300C
* 305C
* Targets:
* 303.70 → 307
Reason:
A break over 300 forces market makers to hedge upward, creating a gamma push into 303–305.
Bearish Plan
Only valid if 300 rejects cleanly:
* Contracts to consider:
* 295P
* 292.5P
* Targets:
* 295 → 293
Reason:
Below 295, GEX becomes neutral and liquidity begins pulling toward 292.
Final Bias for Nov. 20
GOOGL has a strong bullish structure with a high probability of testing 300. If 300 breaks, the next natural target is 303.70.
Downside scenarios only gain momentum if price breaks below 296.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform independent research and manage risk appropriately.
Google Stock Approaches the $300 MarkGoogle’s stock has managed to remain near its all-time highs, and since its last major correction, it has posted a gain of more than 5% over recent trading sessions. However, the company’s recent comments regarding an increase in capital expenditures, projected to reach approximately $91 billion, have started to slow the stock’s upward momentum in the short term. This expansion in investment implies a greater financial commitment and a risk that expected revenue growth may not materialize. For now, buying pressure has entered a consolidation phase, which could lead to indecisive price movements in the coming sessions. Nonetheless, if the overall market bias remains bullish, this could support a gradual move toward the 300-dollar per share level.
Uptrend
Since late June, Google’s stock has maintained consistent upward movements, forming a rising trendline that has guided the price toward the $300 area. Despite the recent neutral phase, there are no significant bearish corrections threatening this trend, which continues to serve as the dominant technical structure in the short term. If buying pressure holds, the trendline could gain strength in the coming sessions. However, the recent lack of directional momentum also leaves room for potential short-term pullbacks.
RSI
The RSI indicator line shows dominant buying momentum, though it remains close to the overbought zone (around 70). Additionally, while the stock’s price has made higher highs, the RSI has formed lower highs, signaling a potential bearish divergence that could indicate an imbalance in market strength. This setup could lead to a short-term correction period in the coming sessions.
TRIX
The TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level of 0, suggesting that the average of exponential moving averages continues to show consistent buying strength. As long as the TRIX keeps rising, it could signal dominant buying pressure in the medium- to long-term trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
290 USD – Major Resistance: This level corresponds to the stock’s all-time highs and represents the most important bullish barrier to monitor. A breakout above this area could trigger a more aggressive short-term uptrend, potentially pushing the stock toward the psychological 300-dollar level, provided buying pressure remains dominant.
276 USD – Immediate Support: This level corresponds to the recent pullback zone and may serve as temporary support against short-term corrections.
257 USD – Key Support: This level coincides with both the uptrend line and the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this zone could endanger the current uptrend structure and give way to a new bearish bias of technical relevance.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
Can GOOGL Sustain Its Bullish Run Before 320 Resistance Hits?🎯 GOOGL HEIST: Operation Alphabet Escape Plan 💰
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ) - Swing Trade | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy
📊 THE SETUP
Sentiment: 🟢 BULLISH | Timeframe: Swing Trade | Risk Level: Medium
🎲 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING"
Strategic multi-level buy accumulation using limit orders
Layer-by-Layer Approach:
🔵 Layer 1: $270.00 (Initial entry - 30% position)
🔵 Layer 2: $275.00 (Support zone - 35% position)
🔵 Layer 3: $280.00 (Strength builder - 35% position)
Why This Works? Multiple entries reduce average cost basis and allow maximum capital efficiency. If price rejects higher, you've got fills at lower zones. If it pumps, you're already in! 💡
🛑 STOP LOSS PROTECTION
Hard Stop: 🚨 $265.00 (Below support structure)
This represents a 1.9% risk from Layer 1 entry — disciplined risk management at its finest.
⚠️ Risk Acknowledgment: Your stop loss, your rules. We're traders, not financial advisors. Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and account size. This is educational strategy sharing, not personalized financial advice.
🎖️ PROFIT TARGETS & ESCAPE ROUTES
Primary Target: 📈 $310.00
Strong resistance zone forming
Overbought conditions developing
Action: Take 50-60% profits here
Secondary Target: 🏆 $320.00
Police barricade zone (extreme resistance)
High trap probability at this level
Action: Scale out remaining 40-50% OR tighten stops to breakeven
Exit Philosophy: Greed kills traders. Take profits systematically. The best trade is one where you sleep well at night. 😴
⚠️ Profit Note: Your targets, your timing. Scale exits based on market conditions, volume confirmation, and YOUR comfort level.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch)
🔵 NASDAQ:MSFT 📱 — High Correlation (Tech Sector) | If MSFT breaks down, GOOGL faces sector headwinds. Watch for divergence signals here first.
🔵 NASDAQ:QQQ 🔺 — 0.85+ Correlation (Nasdaq-100) | QQQ weakness = potential GOOGL pullback signal. This is your sector health check before entry.
🔵 AMEX:IWM 📊 — Inverse Correlation (Rotation Risk) | Russell 2000 strength = growth money leaving mega-caps. If small-caps pump, tech might cool off.
🔵 NASDAQ:TLT 💳 — Interest Rate Proxy | Rising bonds = tech pressure; falling bonds = tech friendly. Fed policy flows directly through here.
🔵 TVC:VIX 😰 — Volatility Index | VIX spike = risk-off, potential GOOGL liquidation. Above 20 = reduce position exposure.
Key Insight: Watch QQQ and MSFT first. They're your canary in the coal mine. If sector is weak, reconsider your entry conviction. 🚨
💎 STRATEGY SUMMARY
✅ Bullish bias with disciplined multi-entry accumulation
✅ Defined risk with hard stop at $265
✅ Staged profit-taking to lock gains systematically
✅ Correlation awareness prevents surprise sector rotations
🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS
Remember: This is the Thief Strategy™ — a fun, educational framework for swing trading, NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Position sizing, stop losses, and profit targets should reflect YOUR unique situation, risk tolerance, and account size.
The heist only works if you ESCAPE with profits. Don't get caught holding the bag! 💼🚪
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#GOOGL #AlphabetInc #SwingTrade #TechAnalysis #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TradingIdeas #MultiLayers #RiskManagement #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #TradingCommunity #TradingView #Technical #StockMarket
Crypto Market Trends (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Stablecoins)1. Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, remains the benchmark for the entire digital asset market. Several recent trends shape its behavior:
A. Institutional Adoption Accelerates
Institutional involvement has grown consistently, driven by exchange-traded products, corporate investments, and hedge funds using Bitcoin as an alternative asset. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major economies (primarily the US and a growing list of other countries) has created new channels of capital inflow. These funds have attracted billions of dollars in assets under management, making Bitcoin more accessible to traditional investors.
B. Bitcoin as a Macro-Driven Asset
Bitcoin is increasingly treated like a risk-on macro asset influenced by:
Global interest rates
Inflation expectations
U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy
Liquidity cycles
During periods of rate cuts or economic uncertainty, Bitcoin often attracts attention as “digital gold” or a hedge against currency debasement. Conversely, when rates rise and liquidity tightens, BTC experiences downward pressure.
C. Halving Cycles and Supply Shock
Bitcoin operates on a fixed supply of 21 million coins, with block rewards halving every four years. Each halving reduces the rate of new BTC entering the market. Historically, these events lead to:
Reduced selling pressure from miners
Increased scarcity-driven demand
Potential long-term bullish cycles
Even after each halving, the narrative of Bitcoin as a scarce, deflationary asset strengthens.
D. Growing Role in Global Money Transfers
Bitcoin usage in cross-border payments has surged due to:
Lower transaction fees via the Lightning Network
Faster settlement times
Limited dependency on traditional banking systems
This trend is especially prominent in countries facing currency crisis, inflation, or capital controls.
E. Market Maturity and Reduced Volatility
Compared to earlier years, Bitcoin’s volatility has begun to moderate as liquidity increases and institutional participation grows. This does not eliminate major price swings, but BTC is gradually moving toward being a more established asset class.
2. Ethereum Trends
Ethereum (ETH) dominates the smart contract and decentralized application ecosystem. It serves as the backbone for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, tokenization, and much more. Ethereum trends include:
A. Transition to Proof of Stake (PoS)
The successful transition from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS)—known as the Merge—has permanently shifted Ethereum’s energy consumption and security model. The PoS upgrade has:
Reduced energy usage by ~99%
Made staking a core yield-generating activity
Enhanced network security through validator decentralization
ETH staking continues to grow, locking a significant portion of supply away from active circulation.
B. Surge in Ethereum Layer-2 Ecosystems
Ethereum’s scalability challenges led to the rise of Layer-2 chains like:
Arbitrum
Optimism
Base
zkSync
StarkNet
These chains:
Reduce transaction fees
Increase processing speed
Expand Ethereum’s usability for retail users
The long-term trend is toward Ethereum becoming the settlement layer while L2s handle high-volume activity.
C. Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA)
One of the fastest-growing sectors on Ethereum is asset tokenization. Institutions are issuing blockchain-based representations of:
Government bonds
Real estate
Corporate debt
Money-market funds
Tokenized U.S. Treasury products on Ethereum have grown rapidly, showing real institutional use beyond speculation.
D. Ethereum as the Base Layer for DeFi
Even after market cycles and volatility, Ethereum remains the dominant chain for:
Lending protocols (Aave, Compound)
Decentralized exchanges (Uniswap, Curve)
Price oracles (Chainlink)
Yield staking
Total Value Locked (TVL) tends to rise and fall with overall market sentiment, but Ethereum consistently holds the largest share.
E. Shift Toward Deflationary Supply
After EIP-1559 introduced base fee burning, Ethereum sometimes becomes deflationary, meaning more ETH is burned than issued—especially during periods of high network activity. This creates a long-term bullish supply dynamic similar to Bitcoin’s scarcity.
3. Stablecoin Trends
Stablecoins are the foundation of global crypto liquidity. They provide stability, enable global transactions, and serve as a bridge between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralised finance (DeFi).
A. Rapid Growth in Market Capitalization
Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and emerging decentralized alternatives have seen strong growth. They are increasingly used for:
Trading pairs on crypto exchanges
Remittances
Yield generation
On-chain settlement
DeFi collateral
USDT continues to dominate due to its wide availability and high adoption in cross-border markets.
B. Regulatory Tightening and Transparency
Governments worldwide are enforcing stricter oversight of stablecoins. The aim is to ensure:
1:1 reserve backing
Independent audits
Stronger disclosure requirements
These regulations help institutional adoption and reduce risks associated with opaque issuers.
C. Rise of On-chain Payments
Stablecoins are rapidly emerging as a global payments infrastructure. Businesses and fintech companies increasingly use stablecoins for:
Payroll
B2B transfers
E-commerce
Cross-border settlements
Their speed, low cost, and 24/7 availability make them an attractive alternative to SWIFT.
D. Competition from CBDCs
Central banks globally are experimenting with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Although CBDCs will coexist with stablecoins, they may compete in retail and wholesale payments. Stablecoins, however, retain the advantage of flexibility, programmability, and cross-chain mobility.
E. Decentralized Stablecoins Return
Decentralized options like DAI and FRAX are evolving to become more resilient. The trend is toward:
Overcollateralized models
Multi-asset backing
Algorithmic governance with strong safety features
This helps reduce dependence on centralized issuers.
4. Combined Crypto Market Themes
A. Institutionalization of Crypto
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins together form the backbone for large institutions entering the market. Their maturity and regulatory clarity provide confidence for long-term investment.
B. Integration with Traditional Finance
Crypto is increasingly merging with traditional financial rails:
Tokenized stocks
Tokenized treasury bonds
Crypto payment cards
Stablecoin-powered banking services
C. Market Cycles Driven by Liquidity
Crypto markets remain heavily influenced by global liquidity. When monetary conditions ease, capital flows into BTC and ETH first, then spreads to altcoins.
D. On-Chain User Growth
Wallet creation, transaction counts, staking participation, and L2 adoption are rising steadily. Crypto is shifting from speculation to real-world usage.
Conclusion
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins represent the three fundamental pillars of the modern cryptocurrency ecosystem. Bitcoin leads as a global digital store of value, Ethereum powers decentralized applications and financial innovation, while stablecoins act as the liquidity engine for global on-chain activity. Together, these sectors continue to grow due to institutional adoption, technological advancements, and increased global demand for decentralized alternatives to traditional financial systems. As regulatory clarity emerges and more real-world uses develop, these assets are positioned to drive the next phase of crypto market expansion.
Can One Company Control Computing's Future?Google has executed a strategic transformation from a digital advertising platform to a full-stack technology infrastructure provider, positioning itself to dominate the next era of computation through proprietary hardware and breakthrough scientific discoveries. The company's vertical integration strategy centers on three pillars: custom Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) for AI workloads, quantum computing breakthroughs with verifiable advantages, and Nobel Prize-winning drug discovery capabilities through AlphaFold. This approach creates formidable competitive barriers by controlling foundational computational infrastructure rather than relying on commodity hardware.
The TPU strategy exemplifies Google's infrastructure lock-in model. By designing specialized chips optimized for machine learning tasks, Google achieved superior energy efficiency and performance scaling compared to general-purpose processors. The company's multibillion-dollar deal with Anthropic, deploying up to one million TPUs, transforms a potential cost center into a profit generator while locking competitors into Google's ecosystem. This technical dependence makes migration to rival platforms financially prohibitive, ensuring Google monetizes a significant portion of the generative AI market through its cloud services regardless of which AI models succeed.
Google's quantum computing achievement represents a paradigm shift from theoretical benchmarks to practical utility. The Willow chip's "Verifiable Quantum Advantage" demonstrates a 13,000-times speedup over classical supercomputers in physics simulations, with immediate applications in molecular structure mapping for drug discovery and materials science. Meanwhile, AlphaFold delivers quantifiable economic impact, reducing Phase I drug development costs by approximately 30% from over $100 million to $70 million per candidate. Isomorphic Labs has secured nearly $3 billion in pharmaceutical partnerships, validating this high-margin revenue stream independent of advertising.
The geopolitical implications are profound. Google holds the second-highest number of quantum technology patents globally, with strategic IP covering essential scaling technologies like chip tiling and error correction. This intellectual property portfolio creates a technical chokepoint, positioning Google as a mandatory licensing partner for nations seeking to deploy quantum technology. Combined with the dual-use nature of quantum computing for both commercial and military applications, Google's dominance extends beyond market competition to national security infrastructure. This convergence of proprietary hardware, scientific breakthroughs, and IP control justifies premium valuations as Google transitions from cyclical advertising dependence to an indispensable deep-tech infrastructure provider.
W. BUFFETT GOES 'GOOGLE'. DOES IT WORTH TO FOLLOW HIM AT PEAKSWarren Buffett has recently led Berkshire Hathaway to buy around $5 billion in Alphabet stock NASDAQ:GOOGL during the third quarter of 2025, making Alphabet one of Berkshire’s top ten holdings and sparking renewed interest in whether following Buffett’s move makes sense at today’s stock highs.
Technical Analysis
Alphabet is currently in a well-defined uptrend, with its price above short-term moving averages and an RSI near 60, indicating bullish momentum but no overbought signals.
Price action shows consolidation near highs (around $283–$290), pointing to the potential for a breakout, particularly with increasing volume on up days, which is a sign of institutional accumulation.
Critical technical levels: $260 (major support), $283–$290 (resistance zone). If the stock holds above $260 (Q3 2025 peaks), the underlying trend appears robust, but any reversal signals near resistance should be watched closely.
Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) and stable volume profile suggest sustained optimism but prudent risk management is advised in case sentiment shifts.
Fundamental Analysis
Alphabet boasts strong recent earnings, with robust year-over-year growth in revenue and profit, especially from AI and Cloud businesses. Analyst consensus remains bullish, supported by upward revisions in price targets.
Valuation: Currently trading at roughly $284 per share, Alphabet’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits around 28, which is relatively attractive for a company growing earnings per share (EPS) at over 17% per year and maintaining high margins (ROE 32%, ROA 23%).
Intrinsic value estimates (base case) place fair value closer to $180, suggesting the stock is technically overvalued on traditional models, though AI/cloud potential and ecosystem advantages could justify a premium.
Key strengths: Dominant data ecosystem (Search, Android, Chrome, Gmail), world-leading AI research (DeepMind, Gemini), and a healthy balance sheet (minimal debt, strong free cash flow).
Risks: Heavy reliance on ad revenue, potential regulatory headwinds (especially in the EU), and risk of AI-driven disruption to legacy business lines.
Does It Worth to Follow Buffett at the Google' Peak?
Buffett’s purchase signals confidence in Alphabet’s long-term moat and ability to transition to AI-driven growth, despite current valuations appearing rich by historical standards.
Technically, the uptrend has not shown signs of exhaustion, and volume patterns indicate continued market accumulation. But buying near technical resistance always carries risk of short-term pullback.
Fundamentally, Alphabet’s growth engines, profitability, and fortress balance sheet remain appealing. However, potential macroeconomic and regulatory shocks are real, and intrinsic valuations suggest caution for value-focused investors.
Beta-relative testing
We have examined Google stock in AU measure (one stock value in grams of gold). The graph below indicates on major long term upside trend, with a possible nearly 60% further upward potential is such measurement.
We have also tested Google stock in a measure of Nasdaq-100 (in example below NASDAQ:QQQ has been used; both - Google stock and QQQ - were used in 'total return' format).
Well, right now we can consider that multi-year 'flat regime' finally goes to breakthrough.
In conclusion, following Buffett now is technically supported by trend and recent accumulation, and fundamentally underpinned by growth, but it means accepting a premium and faithfully betting that Alphabet’s evolving AI/assets will deliver above-model returns over time.
Even The Most Accomplished Make Mistakes $Goog [Berkshire]Berkshire Hathaway made an entrance into the Mag 7 (Excluding Apple) with its purchase of Alphabet / Google I believe that this was a mistake solely based on the fact that the majority of the tech industry is extremely overvalued. While Googles Valuation at least in my opinion is justified considering how strong Its business model is with its High Margin Reoccurring Subscription models (Google Cloud),(YouTube Premium),(Google Workshop),(Google Play) to name a few and how Dominate it is in Ads with YouTube / Chrome. It also Dominates Web Search let alone the majority of people saying they will "Google something" it sounds stupid but its a good mental metric on how people think of search. Google has built Search / web ecosystem to complement each other and force you to use there services in one way or another you are using there web ecosystem everyday from Google maps, to Google Docs or Gmail, they made you dependent on there services, Especially the younger generation (GenZ) is growing very dependent on Google Maps which may be free but shows you the grip they have on peoples web use. The Primary issue I have with Berkshire Hathaway entering at these prices is generally the markets are indiscriminate if the mag 7 or tech industry has a red day no matter how strong Google may be that will bring them down too.
-----------------------
My Personal Thesis on Google:
I am very bullish on several areas of Alphabet Including but not limited to Google Cloud, YouTube, Its subscription Services, Its high Margin software business model. Most Importantly to me is There Robotics Section Deepmind and Gemini Robotics. Robotics is underappreciated and my personal belief is that it is the Next AI like boom but we are very early to this. Robotics has use cases in every industry from Solving lack of labor issues and an aging workforce / population especially in western countries Robots can easily pick up this slack and they will greatly benefit from Artificial intelligence Google / Alphabet has the money and cashflow to heavily invest in this area maybe not creating the physical humanoid robots but they can definitely excel in the software section of it. Segments like Waymo are also interesting and bullish. Google is also massively profitable has very little debt, and an extremely solid balance sheet.
-----------------------
Risks:
I Believe the biggest Risk for Alphabet once again is that The American Tech Sector is extremely Overvalued, I Also See moderate amount of risk being that Google is such a monopoly that leaves it open for Antitrust Suits.
-----------------------
Business Model:
Google Is Vertically Integrated its Business was closely tied to the AI Boom being one of the Big 3 with its AI spending. People Disregard its extremely impressive moat it possesses having one of the strongest moats in tech let alone in the history of business.
-----------------------
Fundamentals:
Cash: US$98.50b
Debt: US$26.60b
Equity: US$386.87b
Total Liabilities: US$149.60b
Total assets: US$536.47b
Net Margins: 32.23%
-----------------------
Metrics:
Return On Equity: 32.1%
Return On Assets: 22.5%
Return On Capital Employed: 28.8%
-----------------------
Valuation:
Price to Sales: 8.9x
Price To Earnings: 27.7x
Price To Book: 8.9x
-----------------------
Disclaimer: I am not Initiating buy, Sell or Hold Opinions. I Only make these posts for Conversation. I am not a financial Expert or an Analyst.
Google Wave Analysis – 19 November 2025
- Google broke resistance level 290.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 310.00
Google recently broke through the resistance zone between the resistance level 290.00 (which stopped the previous waves iii and b) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from June.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 5 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (1) from April.
Given the overriding daily uptrend, Google can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 310.00 – target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5.
GOOGL Bullish Breakout: Pennant SetupGOOGL’s daily chart remains firmly bullish, with price riding above the 20, 60, and 120-day moving averages and printing a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After a strong leg up into the $292.50 area, price has slipped into a tight bullish pennant, consolidating near the top of the range while the last candle shows renewed buying interest. The demand zone around $275.50, aligned with the 20-day MA, is the key short-term floor to watch.
The primary path favors continuation. A daily close above $295 would confirm a breakout from the pennant and the $292.50 resistance, opening the door toward $305 initially and potentially $315 as price enters fresh discovery territory. If instead GOOGL breaks below $284, that would signal short-term pattern failure and invite a deeper test of support near $275.50, with risk of extension into the 270s. For the bullish view, a decisive daily close below the $275.50–273 zone would be a clear invalidation and shift the narrative toward a broader correction rather than trend continuation.
Thought of the Day 💡: Strong trends reward patience, but clear levels help you tell the difference between “normal noise” and a real regime change.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Google ( $GOOG) Faces €573M Fine but Trend Remains BullishGoogle (GOOG) has been hit with a major legal setback after a Berlin court ordered the company to pay €573 million ($666 million) in damages to two German price-comparison platforms. The case stems from long-running antitrust disputes tied to Google’s alleged practice of favoring its own shopping service over competitors—an issue the European Commission initially penalized in 2017 with a €2.4 billion fine.
The court awarded Idealo €374 million plus €91 million in interest, while Producto GmbH will receive €89.7 million plus €17.7 million in interest. Both companies argued that Google’s search dominance limited their visibility, costing them years of lost revenue. Although pleased that much of the €3.3 billion originally sought by Idealo was dismissed, Google maintains that it disagrees with the ruling and will appeal. The company insists the 2017 remedy addressed the concerns and that the EU’s monitoring supported that view.
However, the Berlin judges concluded that Google’s changes were not sufficient to eliminate the competitive harm—even after 2017. This marks the first time a national European court has explicitly stated that Google’s remedy failed to end the abuse, potentially opening the door for billions more in follow-on claims across Europe. Plaintiffs may push for larger settlements, making this an evolving legal headwind for Alphabet.
Technical Outlook
Despite the legal news, GOOG’s chart remains structurally bullish. The stock has been in a steady uptrend, supported by consistent higher lows and strong demand across tech. Recently, price broke above a key trendline, signaling renewed upside momentum.
GOOG did experience a pullback on Friday as headlines hit, but the broader direction remains intact. As long as the stock holds above its breakout zone and the trendline, bullish continuation remains the dominant bias with buyers stepping in on dips.
Alphabet (GOOG) Set For Correction -RSI Shows Bearish DivergenceThis daily chart highlights an upside impulse in the making
Price action fits neatly within the orange uptrend
The major portion of the move appears complete with waves 1-3 finished as shown by the white labels
RSI displays strong bearish divergence against the higher highs on the chart
The large wave ((4)) is expected to unfold next
The downside target zone is shown by the pink box between 245 and 208 representing the 38.2-61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave ((3))
The bottom of the smaller wave 4 sits within this zone at 237 and price often retests that level
And yes wave ((4)) could break down the uptrend
After that the final wave ((5)) should at least retest the wave ((3)) peak at 304
Good Luck!
GOOGLE Bull Cycle running out of steam. Be ready to sell.It's been exactly 2 months (September 05, see chart below) when we last had a look at Google (GOOG) giving a strong break-out Buy Signal that methodically hit our $275 Target:
This time we look at the stock from a much longer term perspective on the 1W time-frame, where it is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started on the COVID crash (March 2020).
This is a major Sell Alert as the 1W RSI is also printing a Double Top formation similar to the November 15 2021 Top. Given that +125% rallies have been the most common long-term sequences of this pattern, we believe that any price above $300 is a major Sell for Google.
The strongest long-term Support and Target of correction sequences/ Bearish Legs has been the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and this is our Target for 2026. We estimate that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 can be made at around $180 (also marginally above the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the bottom of the previous correction). A contact with the 1W MA200 will be our next long-term Buy on Google.
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$GOOG – Post-Earnings High Tight Flag SetupGoogle ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) is setting up a high tight flag after blowout earnings, and it’s easily one of the strongest charts in the entire Mag 7 lineup right now.
🔹 The Setup:
Earnings were outstanding — strong revenue growth and margin expansion.
Price has been tightening up perfectly post-earnings, riding above all major moving averages.
The pattern has that classic high tight flag look — clean, compact, and primed for continuation.
A breakout over $290 is the trigger that could send this higher.
🔹 Why It Stands Out:
Relative strength vs. the rest of the Mag 7 — while others are chopping, NASDAQ:GOOG is leading.
Tight range = low risk, high clarity.
Volume has contracted nicely post-earnings — ideal pre-breakout behavior.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Holding $290 calls for next week’s expiration.
2️⃣ Trigger: Watching for a breakout through $290 with volume confirmation.
3️⃣ Stop: Will cut the position if price breaks under the 9 EMA on the daily chart.
Why I Like It:
Best relative strength among large-cap tech.
Textbook high tight flag structure.
Earnings-driven setup with clear risk management — everything lines up clean.
Alphabet’s to Invest $6 Billion in Germany as Stock Eyes $300Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) surged to new highs this week as reports surfaced that Google plans to invest approximately €5 billion ($5.8 billion) in Germany to expand its data center and infrastructure footprint. According to sources cited by Reuters, the plan includes the construction of a new data center in Dietzenbach, near Frankfurt, and the expansion of an existing facility in Hanau. Both projects reinforce Google’s growing commitment to Europe’s largest economy and its long-term push toward artificial intelligence and climate-neutral innovation.
The investment marks one of Google’s most significant in Europe, aligning with its broader strategy to enhance data processing power and sustainability. A press conference is scheduled for Tuesday, where German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil is expected to provide additional details. Analysts view this expansion as a strong signal of confidence in Europe’s digital economy and AI-driven transformation.
On the technical front, Google’s stock has been on a powerful uptrend, recently reaching around $290 after breaking through long-term resistance. The bullish momentum shows little sign of slowing, with traders eyeing the key psychological level of $300 as the next major target.
Volume and trend structure remain supportive, with an ascending trendline acting as a potential area of support in case of a retracement. A bounce from that region could further fuel continuation toward fresh record highs.
With strong fundamentals backed by a major European investment and a bullish technical setup, Google appears poised to extend its rally. Investors will be watching whether this momentum can push GOOGL beyond $300, a move that could signal the next chapter of growth for one of the world’s leading tech giants.
Google pullback still in play, local chartWave III continues but price looks exhausted and may trap late investors causing them to capitulate lower later.
Wave (5) of III is likely to complete with a throw-over of the upper channel boundary. Wave IV has an expected retracement target of the 0.382, $222, filling the gap left and meeting the daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has printed bearish divergence from overbought.
Continued upside hasa target of the R3 pivot, $358.
Google Stock (NASDAQ: $GOOGL) Rises on Nano Banana Pro UpdateGoogle parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOGL ) introduced Nano Banana Pro, an upgraded version of its AI image-editing and generation platform powered by Gemini 3 Pro. The update improves text legibility inside AI-created images—one of the most persistent challenges for image models—and integrates deeper reasoning features from Gemini 3, enabling more consistent output and broader creative control.
The tool will also be available across Google Search’s AI Mode, the Gemini API, Google Ads, and Flow, the company’s filmmaking platform. Free-tier Gemini users will receive limited access quotas, a move designed to increase usage while showcasing the improved capabilities.
The launch comes just days after Google unveiled Gemini 3, a major release aimed at closing competitive gaps with OpenAI. According to The Wall Street Journal, the earlier launch of Nano Banana in August significantly accelerated user growth and retention, making this enhanced version a strategic release. While ChatGPT still leads in usage, Google’s rapid iteration suggests a strong push toward regaining market share across creative and enterprise AI applications.
Technical Analysis:
Alphabet shares have been bullish overall, recently breaking above a long-respected trendline to the upside. This breakout confirms ongoing upward momentum supported by improving AI fundamentals, rising cloud demand, and investor optimism around new product rollouts.
The stock did pull back on Friday following the Nano Banana Pro announcement, but the technical structure remains intact. The trendline breakout continues to act as a strong foundational level, and buyers may re-enter if price revisits that zone. A sustained hold above recent highs opens room toward the next major target region, while failure to reclaim momentum could trigger a short-term retest before continuation.
Overall, Google’s AI expansion supports the broader bullish bias, with fundamentals and technicals aligning for potential upside continuation.
GOOGL Short-Term Bullish | Watch Key Entry LevelsTicker: GOOGL
Date: 2025-11-17
Trend: BULLISH
Confidence: 64.5% – 69.8%
Volatility: 14.4% – 38.3%
Trade Signal #1
Direction: LONG
Entry: $286.07
Target: $287.63
Stop Loss: $281.78
Expected Move: +0.68%
Trade Signal #2
Direction: LONG
Entry: $284.14
Target: $287.47
Stop Loss: $279.88
Expected Move: +1.47%
Analysis Summary:
Katy AI shows bullish trend on both signals with moderate confidence.
Short-term 30-min targets show minor intraday pullbacks ($285.71 / $286.90) before continuation.
Volatility ranges from 14.4% – 38.3%, indicating potential for intraday swings.
Suggested risk management: maintain small position size, monitor stop-loss closely.
Key Notes:
Both signals indicate gradual upward momentum with modest upside.
Optimal for traders looking for short-term long exposure in alignment with AI trend.
Watch for intraday reversals; stop-loss levels provide key exit points.
Short Alphabet (GOOGL) near 290Head and shoulders is visible on H4 and on the Daily. I will look for a firm break and retest of the neckline to confirm a momentum shift.
An ABCD harmonic completed around 288, which marks a potential reversal zone based on measured move symmetry.
RSI shows a 40-point divergence on H1 and H4, from 82 down to 42. This indicates buyers are losing pressure while sellers gain control.
RSI is stretched across multiple intraday timeframes, consistent with mean reversion risk.
The primary Daily trend remains up. The H4 trend has flattened and started to roll, which supports a countertrend short setup.
Given the longer-term uptrend and elevated speculative sentiment, I will size conservatively and require price action confirmation.
Entry zone: around 290 at the ABCD completion area.
Stop loss: 305 to allow room for volatility without crowding the structure.
First target: 259, which aligns with prior demand and conservative mean reversion.
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 1 to 1.7.
Google at a Critical Decision Point
Short-Term Analysis (1–7 days):
• The stock has entered a neutral channel, currently oscillating between $276 and $288.
• A breakout above the channel’s upper boundary would indicate a continuation of the short-term uptrend.
• Short-term upside target: around $295
• Short-term stop-loss: below $275
Long-Term Analysis (weeks to months):
• The long-term trend remains bullish, with the 50-hour moving average providing support.
• If the neutral channel breaks upward, a strong continuation toward around $310 is possible.
• If it breaks downward, a decline toward $265 is likely.
Summary:
Google stock is in a key decision-making range. Close monitoring is required in the short term, as a breakout from the channel will determine the long-term direction.






















