TL01 trade ideas
TSLA 24 JULY 2025I have marked 2 levels in green boxes. Price is inside this box pre market and TSLA is down -8.5% from the highs of $338 post market till $310 & -7.5% down from yesterday's close
A better level is the lower demand zone but its not the best. Price has not hit any major resistance.
My job is to read the data & trade. I am still bullish & 10% up down move is normal for Tesla &
This could be a "BEAR TRAP".
EV Stocks Are Back on Track: Who’s Got the Juice in 2025?This year is big for the EV sector so we figured let’s do a piece on it and bring you up to speed on who’s making moves and getting traction — both in the charts and on the road.
What we’ve got here is a lean, mean lineup of real contenders. Let’s go for a ride.
🚗 Tesla: Still King of the Road (for Now)
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA isn’t just an EV company. It’s a tech firm, an AI shop, a robotaxi rollout machine, and an Elon-flavored media event every quarter. Even so, when it comes to margins, global volume, and name recognition, Tesla is still the benchmark everyone else is chasing.
In 2025, Tesla’s bounceback is fueled not just by EV hype but by its push into autonomous driving and different plays into the AI space.
The stock is down about 13% year-to-date. But investors love a narrative turnaround. Apparently, the earnings update didn't help the situation as shares slipped roughly 5%. Well, there's always another quarter — make sure to keep an eye on the Earnings Calendar .
🐉 BYD: The Dragon in the Fast Lane
BYD 1211 is calmly racking up sales, expanding across continents, and stealing global market share without breaking a sweat. The Chinese behemoth is outselling Tesla globally and doing it with less drama and more charge… literally .
Vertical integration is BYD’s secret weapon — they make their own batteries, chips, and even semiconductors. The West might not be in love with BYD’s designs, but fleet operators and emerging-market governments are. And that’s where the real growth is.
⛰️ Rivian: Built for Trails, Not Earnings (Yet)
Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN still feels like the Patagonia of EV makers — rugged, outdoorsy, aspirational. Its R1T pickup truck has cult status, but the company had to tone down its ambitions and revised its guidance for 2025 deliveries to between 40,000 and 46,000. Early 2025 projections floated around 50,000 .
The good news? Rivian is improving on cost control, production pace, and market fit. The bad news? It’s still burning cash faster than it builds trucks. But for investors betting on a post-rate-cut growth stock rally, Rivian may be the comeback kid to watch. It just needs a few solid quarters.
🛋️ Lucid: Luxury Dreams, Reality Checks
Lucid NASDAQ:LCID , the one that’ll either go under or make it big. The luxury carmaker, worth about $8 billion, came into the EV game promising to out-Tesla Tesla — with longer range, more appeal, and a price tag to match.
But here’s the rub: rich people aren’t lining up for boutique sedans, especially when Mercedes and BMW now offer their own electric gliders with badge power and a dealer network.
Lucid’s challenge in 2025 is existential. The cars are sleek, the tech is strong, but the cash runway is shrinking and demand isn’t scaling like the pitch deck promised.
Unless it nails a strategic partnership (Saudi backing only goes so far), Lucid could end up as a cautionary tale — a beautifully engineered one, but a cautionary tale nonetheless. Thankfully, Uber NYSE:UBER showed up to the rescue ?
💪 NIO : Battling to Stay in the Race
Remember when NIO NYSE:NIO was dubbed the “Tesla of China”? Fast forward, and it’s still swinging — but now the narrative is more about survival than supremacy. NIO's battery-swap stations remain a unique selling point, but delivery volumes and profitability are still trailing.
The company’s leaning into smart-tech partnerships and next-gen vehicle platforms. The stock, meanwhile, needs more than just optimism to get moving again — it’s virtually flat on the year.
✈️ XPeng: Flying Cars, Literally
XPeng’s NYSE:XPEV claim to fame used to be its semi-autonomous driving suite. Now? It's working on literal flying vehicles with its Land Aircraft Carrier. Innovation isn’t the problem — it's execution and scale.
XPeng is beloved by futurists and punished by spreadsheets. It’s still getting government love, but without a clear margin path, the stock might stay grounded.
🏁 Li Auto: The Surprise Front-Runner
Li Auto NASDAQ:LI doesn’t get the headlines, but it’s quietly killing it with its range-extended EVs — hybrids that let you plug in or gas up. A smart move in a country still building out its charging infrastructure.
Li is delivering big numbers, posting improving margins, and seems laser-focused on practicality over hype. Of all the Chinese EV stocks, this one might be the most mature.
🧠 Nvidia: The Brains of the Operation
Okay, not an EV stock per se, but Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA deserves a spot on any EV watchlist. Its AI chips are running the show inside Tesla’s Full Self-Driving computers, powering sensor fusion in dozens of autonomous pilot programs, and quietly taking over the brains of modern mobility.
As self-driving becomes less sci-fi and more of a supply-chain item, Nvidia's value-add grows with every mile driven by data-hungry EVs.
🔋 ChargePoint & EVgo: Picks and Shovels
If you can’t sell the cars, sell the cables.
EV charging companies were once seen as the “safe bet” on electrification. Now they’re just seen as massively underperforming.
ChargePoint BOATS:CHPT : Still the leader in US charging stations but struggling with profitability and adoption pacing. Stock’s down bad from its peak in 2021 (like, 98% bad).
EVgo NASDAQ:EVGO : Focused on fast-charging and partnerships (hello, GM), but scale and margin pressures remain.
Both stocks are beaten down hard. But with billions in infrastructure funding still flowing, who knows, maybe there’s potential for a second act.
👉 Off to you : are you plugged into any of these EV plays? Share your EV investment picks in the comments!
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Following Earnings ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Following Earnings Report
Yesterday, after the close of the main trading session on the stock market, Tesla released its quarterly earnings report. While both earnings per share (EPS) and gross profit slightly exceeded analysts’ expectations, the results reflected a negative trend driven by declining sales. This decline is being influenced by intensifying competition from Chinese EV manufacturers as well as Elon Musk’s political activity.
According to Elon Musk:
→ The company is facing “a few tough quarters” due to the withdrawal of electric vehicle incentives in the US;
→ The more affordable Tesla model (mass production expected in the second half of 2025) will resemble the Model Y;
→ By the end of next year, Tesla's financials should become "highly compelling".
Tesla’s share price (TSLA) fell by approximately 4.5% in after-hours trading, clearly reflecting the market’s reaction to the report. Today, the stock is likely to open around the $317 level, down from over $330 just the day before.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
In our analysis of TSLA charts dated 2 July and 8 July, we outlined a scenario in which the stock price could form a broad contracting triangle, with its axis around the $317 level.
The new candlesticks that have appeared on the chart since then have reinforced the relevance of this triangle, as the price rebounded from the lower boundary (as indicated by the arrow) and headed towards the upper boundary. However, yesterday’s earnings report disrupted this upward move.
Thus, while the broader stock market is trending higher (with the S&P 500 reaching a historic high yesterday), TSLA may remain "stuck" in a consolidation phase, fluctuating around the $317 level—at least until new fundamental drivers shift market sentiment.
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$TSLA: Multi-Scale DensityResearch Notes
Identified structural compressions happening within two periods:
This set has provided a perfect opportunity to study exponential fibs with growth rate starting from phi^1/4 applied to area of expression of squeeze.
Geometrically, gives a better sense of a continuity than regular fibs.
TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias)
🚨 TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias) 🚨
Earnings Date: July 23, 2025 (AMC)
🧠 Confidence: 75% Bearish | 🎯 Target Move: -10%
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🔍 Key Takeaways:
• 📉 TTM Revenue Growth: -9.2% → EV demand weakness
• 🧾 Margins Under Pressure: Gross 17.7%, Operating 2.5%, Net 6.4%
• ❌ EPS Beat Rate: Only 25% in last 8 quarters
• 🐻 Options Flow: High put volume at $330 strike
• 🧊 Low Volume Drift: Trading above 20/50MA but losing steam
• 📉 Sector Macro: EV competition + cyclical headwinds
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🧨 Earnings Trade Setup:
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 300,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"entry_price": 2.02,
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 6.06,
"stop_loss": 1.01,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"expected_move": 7.1,
"iv_rank": 0.75
}
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🛠️ Trade Details:
Parameter Value
🎯 Strike Price $300 PUT
💰 Premium Paid $2.02
📅 Expiry Date 2025-07-25
🛑 Stop Loss $1.01
🚀 Profit Target $6.06
📏 Size 1 Contract
⏱ Entry Timing Pre-Earnings
📊 IV Rank 75%
🕒 Signal Time 7/23 @ 14:14 EDT
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📈 Strategy Notes:
• 🧯 IV Crush Risk: Exit within 2 hours post-earnings
• 🎲 Risk/Reward: 1:3 setup | Max Loss: $202 | Max Gain: $606+
• 🧭 Volume Weakness & put/call skew signal downside
• 🧩 Macro + Tech + Flow Alignment = Tactical bearish play
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🧠 “Not all dips are worth buying — this might be one to short.”
📢 Drop your thoughts — would you take the trade or fade it?
TSLA WEEKLY CALL SETUP — 07/23/2025
🚀 TSLA WEEKLY CALL SETUP — 07/23/2025
📈 AI Consensus Signals 🔥 Bullish Move Incoming
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🔍 SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
5 AI Models (Grok, Gemini, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek) =
✅ MODERATE BULLISH BIAS
➡️ Why?
• ✅ RSI Momentum (Daily + Weekly = UP)
• ✅ Bullish VIX sentiment
• ⚠️ Weak volume + neutral options flow
• 🧠 No model signals bearish direction
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🎯 TRADE IDEA — CALL OPTION PLAY
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 380,
"entry_price": 0.88,
"profit_target": 1.76,
"stop_loss": 0.44,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"confidence": 65%,
"entry_timing": "Open",
"size": 1 contract
}
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📊 TRADE PLAN
🔹 🔸
🎯 Strike 380 CALL
💵 Entry Price 0.88
🎯 Target 1.76 (2× gain)
🛑 Stop Loss 0.44
📅 Expiry July 25, 2025
📈 Confidence 65%
⏰ Entry Market Open
⚠️ Risk High gamma / low time (2DTE)
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📉 MODEL CONSENSUS
🧠 Grok – Bullish RSI, cautious due to volume
🧠 Gemini – Momentum confirmed, weekly strength
🧠 Claude – RSI + VIX = green light
🧠 Meta – 3 bullish signals, minor risk caution
🧠 DeepSeek – RSI + volatility favorable, careful on size
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💬 Drop a 🟢 if you’re in
📈 Drop a ⚡ if you’re watching this flip
🚀 TSLA 380C looks primed if we break resistance near $376
#TSLA #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #WeeklySetup #AIPowered #MomentumTrade #TeslaTrade #GammaRisk #ZeroDTEReady
TSLA VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias (TEST)🧠 VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias
🎯 Goal:
Capitalize on downside or neutral reaction to earnings with defined risk and IV crush protection.
🔻 Primary Trade: Bear Put Spread
Strategy: Buy Put at ATM, Sell Put at lower strike
Expiration: July 25, 2025
Structure:
Buy 330 Put
Sell 315 Put
Max Risk: Premium paid (e.g., $5–6 per spread)
Max Profit: ~$15 if TSLA closes ≤ 315
Breakeven: ~$325
📈 Why This Works:
Aligns with DSS projection ($317.74 30-day)
Short expiry captures earnings move + IV crush
Profits if stock stays below ~325 post-earnings
🟨 Alternative Trade: Neutral-to-Bearish Iron Condor
If expecting rangebound post-earnings:
Sell 340 Call / Buy 345 Call
Sell 315 Put / Buy 310 Put
Credit: ~$3.50–4.00
Max Risk: ~$1.50–2.00
Profit Zone: 315–340
Best if TSLA volatility collapses and price stays in a channel.
🧨 High-Risk, High-Reward: Put Ratio Backspread
Buy 2x 320 Puts
Sell 1x 330 Put
Cost: Small debit or credit
Profit: If TSLA tanks → big delta gain
Risk: Small near expiry if TSLA closes near 320–330
Use this only if expecting a big bearish surprise.
🔧 Risk Management:
Position size = max 1–2% of account
Avoid holding spreads past Jul 25 if IV collapses
Use alerts around 330 / 325 / 317.5 for exits
🧠 DSS-Backed Tagline:
"With DSS projecting a controlled pullback and flow confirming overhead hedging, we favor bearish verticals and vol crush plays going into earnings."
TSLA squeezes into resistance ahead of earnings Tesla is set to report Q2 earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday, covering the quarter ending June 2025.
The stock has been highly volatile this year, amid concerns about tariffs, Elon Musk’s politics (and nazi salutes), and his public clashes with President Donald Trump.
Tesla bulls Wedbush think, “We are at a 'positive crossroads' in the Tesla story,” suggesting that investors will look past the current numbers and focus on Tesla’s long-term AI potential.
Technically, Tesla is now testing a major descending trendline that’s capped every rally since December. The current price action resembles an ascending triangle pattern — a bullish structure — with resistance around $356 and a series of higher lows from May through July. This tightening formation suggests building pressure ahead of the earnings release.
$TSLA Weekly Call Play – 07/22/25
🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Call Play – 07/22/25
RSI Bullish 📈 | Options Flow Strong 🔁 | Volume Weak 💤 | 3DTE Tactical Entry
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📊 Market Snapshot
• Price: ~$332–335 (spot near strike)
• Call/Put Ratio: 🔁 1.24 – Bullish Flow
• Daily RSI: ✅ 57.6 – Rising momentum
• Weekly RSI: ⚠️ 54.8 – Neutral / flattening
• Volume: ❌ Weak – Institutional absence
• Gamma Risk: ⚠️ Moderate (DTE = 3)
• VIX: ✅ Favorable
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🧠 Trade Setup
{
"Instrument": "TSLA",
"Direction": "CALL",
"Strike": 335.00,
"Entry": 9.90,
"Profit Target": 15.00,
"Stop Loss": 6.00,
"Expiry": "2025-07-25",
"Confidence": 0.65,
"Size": 1,
"Entry Timing": "Open"
}
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🔬 Sentiment Breakdown
Indicator Signal
📈 Daily RSI ✅ Bullish – confirms entry
📉 Weekly RSI ⚠️ Flat – no long-term edge
🔊 Volume ❌ Weak – no institutional bid
🔁 Options Flow ✅ Bullish (C/P = 1.24)
💨 VIX ✅ Favorable for upside trades
⏳ Gamma Decay ⚠️ High risk (3DTE)
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📍 Chart Focus
• Support Zone: $328–$330
• Breakout Watch: $335+
• Target Zone: $340–$345
• ⚠️ Risk Watch: Volume divergence + gamma decay on low move
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📢 Viral Caption / Hook (for TradingView, X, Discord):
“ NASDAQ:TSLA bulls flash 335C with confidence, but volume’s asleep. RSI’s in, gamma’s ticking. 3DTE lotto with caution tape.” 💥📉
💵 Entry: $9.90 | 🎯 Target: $15.00+ | 📉 Stop: $6.00 | ⚖️ Confidence: 65%
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⚠️ Who This Trade Is For:
• 🔁 Options traders chasing short-term call flows
• 📈 Momentum scalpers riding RSI pop
• 🧠 Disciplined risk managers eyeing 3DTE setups
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💬 Want a safer bull call spread (e.g., 330/340) or risk-defined iron fly for theta control?
Just ask — I’ll build and optimize it for you.
TESLA and the Elliott Wave Theory.This Chart shows a large Flat correction with Wave A and B(Black) completed. Wave B(Black) expressed itself in 3 waves namely A,B,C and are shown in Red. After B(Black) completed, a Wave C(Black) began so as to round off the Flat correction. A Wave 1(Green) formed, followed by a Zigzag correction and this meant a Flat for Wave 4(Green) was expected. After the Zigzag at Wave 2(Green), our Wave 3(Green) expressed itself in 5 Waves and are shown in Black. Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag correction and Wave 4(Black) as expected, was a Flat. Wave 4(Black) completed recently meaning we are headed for a Wave 5(Black) which is also our Wave 3(Green). A confirmation at its current price location would trigger a sell.
Please note that Wave 5's(Black) location on the chart is purely for demonstration and price could move beyond or around this point.
@fantasyste
tsla heading higherWith the expansion of robo taxi we will be heading higher soon, don't miss this move. If we pull back a little at earnings that's ok. I don't believe it will go any lower then 315. It should be upside from here. Tsla is not just a car company, its AI, energy, autonomous driving. Its a engineering company that changing the way the world does everything. It will be one of the top stocks for a long time. Easily going to 1000 by next year. That my prediction.
Tesla Trade Breakdown: The Power of Structure, Liquidity & ...🔍 Why This Trade Was Taken
🔹 Channel Structure + Liquidity Trap
Price rejected from a long-standing higher time frame resistance channel, making a false breakout above $500 — a classic sign of exhaustion. What followed was a sharp retracement into the lower bounds of the macro channel, aligning with my Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone).
🔹 Buy Zone Confidence: April 25
I mapped the April 25th liquidity grab as a high-probability reversal date, especially with price landing in a confluence of:
Demand Zone
Trendline Support (from April 23 & April 24 anchor points)
Volume spike + reclaim of structure
🔹 Risk/Reward Favored Asymmetry
With a clear invalidation below $208 and targets at prior supply around $330+, the R:R on this trade was ideal (over 3:1 potential).
Lessons Reinforced
🎯 Structure Always Tells a Story: The macro channel held strong — even after a failed breakout attempt.
💧 Liquidity Zones Matter: Price gravitated toward where stops live — and then reversed sharply.
🧘♂️ Patience Beats Precision: The best trades don’t chase. They wait. This was one of them.
💬 Your Turn
How did you play TSLA this year? Were you watching the same channel? Drop your insights or charts below — let’s compare notes 👇
#TSLA #Tesla #SwingTrade #PriceAction #LiquidityZone #FailedBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #TradeRecap #ChannelSupport #SmartMoney
Descending triangle pattern - Major correction possibleAll the recent news regarding Tesla has severely impacted stock confidence. While Tesla's development pipeline appears strong in the short and long term, Elon Musk's politically divisive antics have been difficult to ignore. The EU and the UK, in particular, have been very critical of the CEO and his behavior, causing tensions and reluctance to support Tesla products.
I am confident that this negativity will eventually pass now that Elon has refocused on Tesla and is addressing the fallout; however, it will take some time. Earnings are expected to be affected this quarter and likely next quarter as well. The new Y-model has reportedly not made the significant impact that was anticipated based on media articles/reviews. Although it is a healthy update.
Investing in this stock is a gamble on Tesla's long-term potential, especially regarding both the automated robot taxi aspect and AI development. Personally, I remain very bullish on Tesla's long-term prospects. However, the charts currently tell a concerning story. First, daily trading volume is declining, and there is the formation of a potentially significant descending triangle pattern on the daily chart, which is worrisome. If this pattern breaks to the downside, we could see prices drop into the $136 range or even lower, possibly even to 98 USD.
I plan to set a limit order in the coming weeks within this range, depending on how Apple and other Magnificent Seven stocks perform, as I expect capital to flow from Tesla to those stocks. After all, Tesla has been a profitable stock for a long time, and many holders are currently in profit.
In the short term, I expect Tesla to retest the range of 219 USD and then remain below 295 USD, potentially dropping lower as the pattern completes before re-testing 219, unless a new positive announcement is made. Trade safely..
TSLA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025
🚀 TSLA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025 🚀
🔔 Bullish Play, But Handle With Caution 🔔
Models split, but momentum wins (for now)…
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📈 Trade Setup
🟢 Call Option – Strike: $332.50
📆 Expiry: July 25, 2025 (Weekly)
💰 Entry: $11.05
🎯 Target: $22.11 (100% Gain)
🛑 Stop: $5.53 (50% Loss)
🕰️ Entry Time: Monday Open
📊 Confidence: 65% (Moderate)
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🧠 Why This Trade?
✅ RSI trending bullish on both daily + weekly
⚠️ Weak volume & bearish options flow (C/P ratio > 1)
📉 Institutions may be hedging into earnings
🌪️ Earnings risk looms – volatility expected
📉 Some models say no trade – we say: controlled risk, tight leash
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🧨 Strategy:
🔹 Single-leg naked call only
🔹 Avoid spreads due to IV & potential gap risk
🔹 Scale out if gain >30% early-week
🔹 CUT FAST if volume + price diverge
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🔥 Quick Verdict:
Momentum > fear, but don’t ignore the smoke.
TSLA 332.5C — Risk 1 to Make 2+
Ready? Let’s ride the wave 📊⚡
#TSLA #OptionsTrading #CallOption #TradingSetup #WeeklyTrade #EarningsSeason #MomentumPlay #TradingViewIdeas #SwingTrade #SmartMoneyMoves