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NAS100 trade ideas

US100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling InflationUS100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling Inflation From our last analysis, indices have continued to rise. The US100 already hit the first target and is now close to the second one. With the market expecting multiple Fed rate cuts this year, bullish momentum stays strong and shows no clear signs of reversal. This outlook is also backed by easing inflation data. Still, we should be cautious — since the move has already played out, it may be wise to secure profits before the FOMC meeting. The US100 could rise further once the outlook becomes clearer, but it may also take some time before reaching new highs. Next targets: 24,500 and 24,750. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
7
NAS100Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) Performance on September Options Expiration Days (2015–2024) Based on historical data for the Invesco QQQ ETF (which tracks the Nasdaq-100), below is the daily performance on the third Friday of September each year—the standard options expiration day. The result is "Rise" if the closing price increased from the previous trading day's close, or "Fall" if it decreased. Data is sourced from reliable financial records, including adjusted closing prices. - 2015: Fall (-0.45%) - 2016: Rise (+0.32%) - 2017: Rise (+0.62%) - 2018: Fall (-0.20%) - 2019: Rise (+0.11%) - 2020: Fall (-1.18%) - 2021: Fall (-1.25%) - 2022: Fall (-1.69%) - 2023: Fall (-1.13%) - 2024: Fall (-0.19%)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by HavalMamar
NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps🚀 NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps 🐻 *Analysis as of Sept 20, 2025 (12:50 AM UTC+4)* 📊 Overall Market Context: Price: 24,610. Geopolitical events remain a key volatility driver. Current price action suggests a cautious market seeking direction after recent moves. 🔍 Key Technical Indicators: • RSI (14): Neutral zone (~50). No strong overbought/oversold signal. • Bollinger Bands (20): Price near the middle band, indicating balanced volatility. • Moving Averages: Watching for a potential bearish crossover on the 4H chart. Key resistance at the 50-EMA. • VWAP: Current price trading around the session's VWAP; a break above signals intraday bullish bias. 🎯 Critical Support & Resistance: • Immediate Resistance: 24,800 -> 25,000 (Psychological) • Strong Resistance: 25,250 (Previous High) • Immediate Support: 24,500 -> 24,300 • Strong Support: 24,000 (Key Level) ⚠️ Pattern Watch: • Bull Trap Risk: A false breakout above 24,800 could lure buyers before a drop. • Bear Trap Risk: A sharp rejection from 24,300 could trap sellers before a rally. • No clear Harmonic or Elliott Wave pattern on lower timeframes; monitoring for setup. 📈 Intraday Trading (5M-1H Charts): • BUY (Long): Above 24,650, targeting 24,800. Stop Loss: 24,550. • SELL (Short): Below 24,500, targeting 24,300. Stop Loss: 24,650. *Confirmation: Use 5-min RSI divergence and volume spikes.* 📉 Swing Trading (4H-Daily Charts): • BUY Swing: On a bullish reversal candle at 24,300 support, target 25,000+. SL below 24,000. • SELL Swing: On a rejection at 24,800 resistance, target 24,000. SL above 25,100. *Wait for a 4H close above/below key levels for confirmation.* 🎲 Risk Management: Always use a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Protect your capital. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 📝 TRADING CHECKLIST Before entering any position: - ✅ Confirm volume supports move - ✅ Check RSI for divergences - ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment - ✅ Set stop loss before entry - ✅ Calculate position size - ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX - ✅ Check economic calendar - ✅ Assess market sentiment ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
Nasdaq 100 Eyes 24,550–25,050 if Fed Signals Dovish ToneUSNAS100 – Technical Overview The Nasdaq remains in focus as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week. Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s tone on inflation, labor-market weakness, and tariff risks. Earlier record highs across U.S. indexes were fueled by tech strength and optimism over U.S.–China trade talks, while gold’s surge to new highs underscores strong safe-haven demand. Technical Outlook 📉 Correction phase Price is expected to retest 24,240 → 24,115 before attempting another bullish leg. A sustained drop below 24,110 would expose deeper support at 23,870. 📈 Bullish continuation Holding above 24,240 – 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact. Once consolidation is complete, a renewed rally targets 24,550 → 24,800, with a potential extension to 25,050 if the Fed delivers a more dovish message. Key Levels Pivot: 24,380 Resistance: 24,550 – 24,800 – 25,050 Support: 24,240 – 24,115 – 23,870 📌 Market Context: A 25 bps Fed cut may offer moderate support for tech-heavy indices, while a more aggressive 50 bps cut could accelerate the next breakout toward fresh ATHs. Conversely, a hawkish tone from Powell could trigger a deeper correction before the next leg higher.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Recession “Announcements” vs. Reality — A Contrarian SignalMost traders anchor their sentiment to the official declarations of a recession. But here’s the catch: by the time policymakers and institutions announce “we are in a recession”, the contraction has almost always run its course. If you are waiting for an official announcement we are in a recession in order to get out, It will be too late. You will likely be selling to the smart money buying for the eventual rise. The game is rigged against the novice trader relying on generally available news. On the chart: The orange line marks the actual recession periods identified by economic data. The red background shading highlights when the recession was officially recognized and reported. Notice the lag: announcements consistently come after the worst is already behind us. Historically, these “recognition windows” line up closer with market bottoms than with tops. 👉 The key takeaway: When you hear that a recession has been declared, it’s often not a sell signal — it’s closer to a buy signal. By then, the market has already priced in the pain, and recovery is underway. This perspective flips conventional wisdom on its head: don’t fear the announcement — see it as confirmation that the worst is behind us. And do not wait for it to tell you we are going in to a recession, look at what the smart money is doing, what insiders are doing, what the banks are doing. Many thin that lower interest rates means a boost to business. But they are wrong. Banks will charge as much as they think the economy can sustain. If Interest rates are rising, they know that business will be doing better. Falling interest rates tells you the banks know they can not get away with charging more and the economy is tanking.
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradeTitan120
1
NSDQ100 volatility, triple-witching could exaggerate swings.Nasdaq 100 Trading Drivers Macro backdrop: US data came in strong: Jobless claims fell to 231k (vs. 240k exp; prior 264k). Continuing claims declined to 1.92m (vs. 1.95m exp). Philly Fed survey surged to 23.2 (vs. 1.7 exp), an 8-month high. This eased US slowdown fears and reinforced risk-on sentiment. Equities: Nasdaq +0.94% → new record high. Tech/semis led: Intel (+22.8%) strongest S&P performer after Nvidia’s $5bn investment and US gov’t stake news. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.6%. Momentum broadened → Russell 2000 +2.5%, first record high since 2021. Rates: Treasuries sold off on strong data → 10yr yield +1.7bps to 4.11%, 30yr +3.4bps. Higher yields a potential headwind if sustained. Event risk: Trump–Xi call (9 a.m. ET): key for TikTok’s US future & broader trade tone. Risk of mixed headlines given tensions (China soybeans skip, Gaza criticism, Taiwan aid freeze). BoJ surprise: announced unwind of $4.2bn/year ETF holdings → dampened global risk tone. US triple-witching: options/futures expiries today → elevated intraday volatility likely. Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaway Bullish momentum intact: record highs fueled by tech & semiconductor leadership. Short-term watchpoints: Trump–Xi headlines and BoJ shift may inject volatility; triple-witching could exaggerate swings. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NASDAQ | H1 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders, I’m watching the Cash100 for a potential double top that could set up a short opportunity. Price is currently making higher highs while RSI is making lower lows — a clear sign of weakening buying momentum, also known as negative RSI divergence. As further confluence, we have the FOMC tomorrow, and markets often prefer to de-risk ahead of such events. Also, there is a rising wedge on the S&P500 on the hourly chart and the chance that there is also a potential double top on the 30min timeframe. ✅ Conditions before entry: - 30min candle must close within the range and at the correct level - The closing candle must meet my required closure rate - Ideally, volume should be lower (though I’ll allow an exception given it will be the U.S open) - RSI should confirm with another divergence 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 2.9 Entry: 24,385.1 Stop Loss: 24,418.6 Take Profit 1 (50%): 24,290 Take Profit 2 (50%): 24,271 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Patterns like double tops are powerful, but they’re strongest when combined with momentum divergence. Always confirm multiple factors before entering. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Follow me for the next update and feel free to share your thoughts below — I’d love to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by GTradingMethod
USNAS100 Braces for Fed Decision – Key Pivot at 24,300USNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq is set for a highly volatile session as markets await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today. Traders widely expect a 25 bps cut, but a surprise 50 bps cut—though less likely—would signal stronger confidence in stable inflation and U.S. economic health, fueling a strong bullish rally. Even if the Fed delivers the expected 25 bps cut, the key market mover will be Chair Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot, which could reshape expectations for future easing. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish scenario While trading below 24,300, price shows potential for a pullback toward 24,115. A confirmed break below 24,115 would extend the bearish move toward 23,870 → 23,700. 📈 Bullish scenario Stabilization above 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact. A breakout above 24,300 would confirm bullish momentum, targeting 24,550 → 24,700 → 24,850. 📌 Market Context: 50 bps cut + dovish Powell → strong bullish breakout above 24,300 toward 24,550+. 25 bps cut + cautious guidance → moderate moves; price may remain range-bound or retest 24,115 before resuming higher. Hawkish tone → deeper correction toward 23,870 or lower.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi