Trade ideas
NAS100 โ Price Enters Uncharted TerritoryZone 1: New All-Time High
This zone marks where the US session closed yesterday, establishing a new all-time high. Price has never traded this high before, putting the market in uncharted territory. Momentum remains strong, but with no historical structure above, traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or potential profit-taking as price explores this fresh high ground. A clean break and hold above the zone would confirm continued bullish control, while early rejection could spark a minor pullback.
Zone 2: Asia Session Open
Price opened around this level during Mondayโs Asia session before accelerating sharply higher. The strong reaction from this area confirms it as an intraday demand zone and the first meaningful layer of support if price retraces. Should the market revisit this level today, traders will be watching closely for renewed buying pressure to defend the short-term uptrend.
Zone 3: Previous All-Time High
This zone marks last weekโs US session close and the previous all-time high before the breakout. It now serves as deeper structural support, the base of the current rally. As long as price holds above Zone 3, the broader bullish structure remains intact. A clean break below, however, could suggest fading momentum and open the door for a deeper correction toward the prior range.
Today's sentiment
The Nas100 continues to trade with a cautiously positive bias after last weekโs sharp rebound. Optimism is underpinned by improving risk sentiment, strong momentum in mega-cap tech, and renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative stance as inflation pressures ease. The partial US government shutdown, however, has delayed key macroeconomic releases, leaving markets โflying blindโ and amplifying the potential impact of every new headline.
Geopolitical developments also remain in focus: progress in USโChina trade dialogue has helped calm nerves, but investors are aware that tensions over technology exports and global supply chains could resurface quickly.
For traders, the setup favors tactical flexibility. Tech remains the marketโs driving force, but with valuations stretched and volatility likely to spike on sparse data or political noise, short-term positioning and disciplined risk management are essential. In short, sentiment is constructive, but fragile.
NAS100 โ Technical Analysis | Bulls Take ChargeNAS100 extended its bullish rally after breaking above 25,190.00 and 25,600.00, confirming strong buyer control. The index continues to print higher highs, with momentum favoring further upside as long as price remains above the breakout zone.
Support at: 25,600.00 ๐ฝ / 25,190.00 ๐ฝ / 25,000.00 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 25,900.00 ๐ผ / 26,000.00 ๐ผ
๐ Bias:
๐ผ Bullish: Sustained trading above 25,600.00 supports continuation toward 25,900.00 and possibly 26,000.00.
๐ฝ Bearish: A drop back below 25,190.00 could trigger a correction toward 25,000.00.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nasdaq Enjoys CPI, But How Much More?Nasdaq still trending up, enjoying the today's lower than expected CPI data. If it ride towards the upper line of the channel, it likely to get rejected. I don't see any reason for an upside breakout at the moment. Setup is for today and Monday, I will deactivate my order after Monday.
Risk/Reward: 2.28
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time High
As the chart shows, trading in the Nasdaq 100 opened with a bullish gap today, with the price rising above the 25,600 mark for the first time in history.
The upbeat sentiment is being driven by:
โ expectations of a potential interest rate cut, with the Federal Reserveโs decision due on Wednesday;
โ the upcoming meeting between Chinese and U.S. leaders, where the presidents may announce a new trade agreement;
โ anticipation of quarterly earnings reports from major tech firms โ Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META) are all set to release results this week.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
A closer look at the hourly Nasdaq 100 chart, within the context of this monthโs volatility, shows a steady recovery from the sharp drop on 10 October โ the day President Trump suggested imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods.
The contours of that sell-off can now be used to outline an ascending channel, which neatly captures the marketโs current price swings. Notably, today the index climbed into the upper half of that channel, overcoming resistance levels at:
โ the channelโs median line;
โ the 25,220 mark.
Since last Thursdayโs low, the price has advanced by more than 3.5% โ a strong rally โ forming a steep upward trajectory (highlighted in orange). In this context:
โ the next potential target lies at the upper boundary of the blue channel, which would mark a new record high near 26,000 for the Nasdaq 100;
โ however, with RSI signalling overbought conditions, a short-term correction towards 25,500 would be a healthy development.
Should this weekโs key events deliver the optimism investors are hoping for, the bulls may well succeed in reaching those ambitious targets.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nas100 opens the week with explosive strength4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1 (25,570 โ 25,586): Todayโs Low / Asia Session Open
This zone marks where price opened during the Asia session today after a sharp weekend gap to the upside. The fact that price held this area cleanly suggests that buyers immediately stepped in to defend the breakout, confirming it as a short-term demand zone. As long as price remains above Zone 1, intraday momentum stays firmly bullish, and any retest here could attract further buying interest.
Zone 2 (25,411 โ 25,427): Last Weekโs All-Time High
This zone represents last weekโs all-time high, now turned into support after the breakout. The strong impulse above this level indicates that what was once a major resistance has now flipped into a structural base for the new leg higher. If the market revisits Zone 2, it will serve as a key test of buyer strength and validation of the breakoutโs sustainability. Holding this zone will reinforce bullish market structure, while a clean break below could expose the unfilled gap beneath.
Market Gap โ What It Means
Between Fridayโs close and todayโs open, price created a large upside gap, reflecting aggressive post-market buying and strong bullish sentiment carried into the new week. Such gaps often occur when new information โ in this case, easing trade tensions and continued strength in tech earnings, triggers a rush of buy orders before the regular session begins.
However, gaps of this size also leave โthin liquidity zonesโ below, areas where price moved so fast that few transactions took place. These can act like magnets for future price action, as markets often โfill the gapโ later to establish balance. In other words, while the gap confirms bullish momentum, traders should remain aware that it could eventually retrace to retest lower liquidity levels before resuming higher.
Today's sentiment
The Nas100 ended last week on a strong note as optimism returned following constructive U.S.โChina trade talks in Malaysia. U.S. Treasury officials described the discussions as โproductive,โ easing fears of renewed escalation and boosting risk appetite. Strong earnings from major tech and semiconductor firms, including TSMC, further supported sentiment, reinforcing the view that AI and digital infrastructure remain bright spots amid global uncertainty.
Heading into the new week, the tone is cautiously optimistic: the market is supported by tech strength and improved trade relations, but with valuations near record highs and limited macro data due to the U.S. government shutdown, investors remain alert to any sudden shifts in tone or headlines.
US100 BULLISHbullish on all timeframes apart from 1min and 5min.
price has just broken through previous swing high.
ill be waiting for a correction and will be entering a long position with a 2:1 rrr.
but I will be looking to take partial profits and allowing trade to run if price action is still show bullish strength.
US 100 Upside Breakout โ Target in SightUS 100 has broken above key resistance at 25,074, confirming a bullish breakout. Price is now at 25,508, supported by VWAP and 5 EMA. Momentum favors buyers, with the 1st target near 27,000, expected to be reached in the upcoming week if trend strength continues. Ideal entry on pullbacks or bullish continuation candles. Place stop-loss below breakout zone at 24,800 to manage risk. Watch for volume confirmation and sustained price action. This setup offers a short-term opportunity for swing traders aiming to ride the breakout wave.
NAS100 Intraday & Swing Trade Setup๐ฏ NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Technical Analysis: Oct 27-31, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Setup
Closing Price: 25,373.7 | Date: Oct 25, 2025 12:54 AM UTC+4 | Timeframes: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ ELLIOTT WAVE & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS ๐
From the daily chart perspective, NAS100 shows completion of Wave 4 correction around 25,100-25,200 support zone. Current positioning at 25,373.7 suggests early Wave 5 development with bullish impulse structure emerging. The 4H timeframe confirms impulsive uptrend with higher highs and higher lowsโclassic Elliott Wave signature for institutional accumulation phase.
๐ก KEY INSIGHT: If 25,900-26,050 resistance breaks decisively on 4H close with volume confirmation, we target Wave 5 extension toward 26,400-26,800 range through mid-week.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ DOW THEORY & TREND CONFIRMATION โฌ๏ธ
Primary Trend: Bullish | Higher highs established above 25,600 on 1H charts
Secondary Trend: Consolidation above 25,300-25,350 support validates buyer control
Confirmation Signal: Volume surge on breakouts above 25,900 confirms institutional participation
The daily VWAP sits at 25,420, acting as dynamic support. Price trading above VWAP with 1D EMA(20) > EMA(50) > EMA(200) alignment signals strong bullish conviction for the coming week.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก INTRADAY SETUPS: 5M TO 1H TIMEFRAMES
5M & 15M: Utilize Ichimoku Cloud crosses for quick scalp entries. Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen crossover signals 3-5 minute momentum trades. Bollinger Bands (20,2) show tight squeezeโbreakout imminent. RSI <30 on 5M = panic-sell exhaustion reversal opportunity.
30M: This is the swing trader's sweet spot . Harmonic patternsโparticularly Butterfly and Bat patternsโshould be monitored around 25,200-25,100 support confluence. Gann angles from Oct 22 low project resistance at 25,888, 26,150.
1H: Primary intraday timeframe for entry/exit. Support: 25,300 (VWAP), 25,100. Resistance: 25,900 (breakout trigger), 26,050. RSI overbought above 70 = profit-taking zone. EMA(9) above EMA(21) = trend strength confirmation.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ช WYCKOFF METHOD & ACCUMULATION PHASE ๐
Current price action displays classic Wyckoff accumulation: Spring formation around 25,200 + subsequent recovery above neckline. Effort (volume) on upside breakouts now exceeds effort on downsideโtextbook Wyckoff buying climax setup. Watch for secondary test of 25,300โif holds above with lower volume, expect breakout run to 26,000+.
โ ๏ธ WARNING: Climax volume spike above 26,000 may indicate exhaustionโtake profits on target.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ท HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI LEVELS ๐
Gartley Pattern forming in 4H with D-point targeting 25,850-25,920 (78.6% Fib retracement). Potential risk/reward ratio of 1:3+ makes this ideal swing entry zone. Support cluster: 25,300-25,420 (multiple MA confluence + VWAP). Extended Fib target: 26,400 (161.8% extension from Oct 22 impulse base).
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ TRADING PLAN: MON-FRI (OCT 27-31) ๐๏ธ
INTRADAY SCALPERS (5M-30M): Target 25,750-25,850 breakout on Monday. Stop: 25,250. Take profit 1: 25,650 (+300 pips). Repeat breakout patterns on every higher low formation.
SWING TRADERS (4H-1D): Accumulate longs 25,300-25,420 on dips. Primary target: 26,150-26,250 (Wave 5 target). Secondary: 26,400-26,800. Stop loss: 24,900 (break below daily cloud). Risk/reward: 1:2.5 minimum.
โฐ OPTIMAL TIMING: US market open (13:30 UTC) provides best 5M-1H breakout volatility.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐จ REVERSAL & BREAKOUT SIGNALS ๐ฏ
Reversal Alert: If RSI divergence forms (lower high on price, lower high on RSI) at 26,000+ = sell-off imminent. Initial support: 25,650. Hard stop: 25,420.
Breakout Confirmation: Volume >200M shares on 4H close above 26,000 = institutional breakout, extend targets to 26,600+. Failure to hold 25,900 three times = bullish setup invalidation.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ VOLATILITY & BOLLINGER BAND SQUEEZE ๐
Current Bollinger Band width suggests compression before expansion . Watch 1H BB (20,2) for band walk breakout into 26,000+ on closing above upper band. ATR expansion above 250-300 points validates trending move. Consolidation below upper band = power accumulation before next leg up.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST โ
Daily loss limit: 2% portfolio | Use 1:2 minimum risk/reward ratio
Position sizing: Reduce entries above 26,200 (resistance cluster)
Breakout confirmation: Require 5-minute close above resistance + volume spike
Support holds: If 25,300 closes below on daily, trend invalidatesโexit swings
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ Technical Theory Applied: Elliott Wave (Wave 5 setup) | Wyckoff (Accumulation completion) | Dow Theory (Higher highs confirmation) | Harmonic Patterns (Gartley D-point) | Gann (Angular resistance) | Japanese Candlesticks (Bullish engulfing on 4H)
๐ ๏ธ Indicators Aligned: Bollinger Bands (squeeze breakout), RSI (bullish divergence), Volume (accumulation), VWAP (dynamic support), MAs (uptrend slopes), Ichimoku Cloud (bullish crossover).
๐ Bias: BULLISH with caution above 26,200
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey๐ง The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves ๐๐:
๐ฑ Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986โ2000)
The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom โ Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley ๐. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.
๐น Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000.
๐น Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension.
๐น Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption.
๐ช๏ธ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000โ2009)
The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008โ09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market.
๐ธ Smart Money: Distribution at the top โ manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) โ reaccumulation near the 2009 lows ๐ง ๐.
๐ธ Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy โ a decade of fear and instability ๐๏ธ.
๐ Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009โ2029)*
The most powerful leg โ Wave 3 โ is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses:
โ๏ธ Macro Wave 1 (2009โ2012)
Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves .
๐ Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength.
๐ Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal.
๐ฆ Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era ๐ป.
๐ Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009โ2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies.
๐ Macro Wave 2 (2012)
A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context โ a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows.
๐ง SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands.
๐ Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure โ no trend break.
๐ฅ Macro Wave 3 (2012โ2021)
This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves.
๐ฃ Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal.
๐ก Fundamentals:
Rise of cloud computing
Mobile-first economy
AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion
COVID-19 crash and rebound โ the fastest recovery in history
๐น Fibonacci: No deep retracements โ sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3.
๐ง Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash โ massive expansion post-March 2020 ๐.
๐งฑ Macro Wave 4 (2021โ2022)
A healthy correction that reset the structure โ completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity.
๐ป SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones.
๐ Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral.
๐ Macro Headwinds:
Interest rate hikes
Inflation fears
Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis)
๐งฌ Macro Wave 5 (2022โ2029) โ Now Unfolding*
This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress):
๐ธ Micro Wave 1 โ
Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior.
๐ง Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion.
๐ธ Micro Wave 2 โ
Pullback formed higher low โ acted as final reaccumulation.
๐ด Micro Wave 3 โ In Process (2025โ2026)
This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1โ2).
๐ Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks.
๐ง SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below โ institutions pushing price up.
๐ก Fundamentals:
AI hypergrowth
US tech dominance
AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization
Renewed bullish risk appetite ๐
๐ Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026โ2027)
A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure โ forming a flag or triangle.
๐ Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382โ0.5 of wave 3.
๐ง SMC: Inducement setup before final rally.
๐ Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase.
๐ต Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029)
The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1โ2.
๐ฏ Final Parabolic Blow-Off
๐ Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up
๐ Smart Money: Final distribution phase โ retail FOMO peaks
๐งจ Fundamentals: Mania phase โ โeverything AI/metaverse/tokenizedโ narrative, record valuations, IPO booms.
๐ฎ Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029)
Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected โ possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold.
๐ง Expect:
Systemic debt pressure
Currency shifts
Economic reset themes
Potential Fed policy overcorrection
Liquidity crunch
๐ง๏ธ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30โ36K.
๐ Final Thoughts
Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally โ but Wave 3 still has room to run ๐.
โ
Wave Count Aligned
โ
Fibonacci Extensions Respected
โ
SMC Structure Intact
โ
Macro-Fundamentals in Sync
๐ 2025โ2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K ๐.
"Trust the waves, not the noise." โ FIBCOS ๐
๐ Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
#FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NAS100 1H: Bulls vs Bears at the Line๐ NAS100 โ 1 Hour Analysis
Hello friends,
Hereโs my NAS100 analysis for you.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, I want to highlight a critical level.
๐ If NAS100 breaks above 25,038 and closes a candle there, the next move could point higher.
๐ If NAS100 fails to break 25,038, then a pullback toward 24,267 may come into play.
๐ Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
US100 STRONG BREKAOUT|LONG|
โ
US100 Price has successfully broken through the key resistance and all-time-high level, confirming bullish intent. As long as the breakout holds above structure, we anticipate continuation toward the next premium zone and liquidity resting at higher highs. Time Frame 3H.
LONG๐
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
Lower CPI Data โ But Donโt Be Fooled by โGoodโ Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year โ something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker โ short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone โ itโs the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesnโt need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds โ only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000โ17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000โ18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG:
This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that):
- Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery.
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NSDQ100 ahead of US CPI Geopolitics dominated sentiment over the past 24 hours, setting the tone for todayโs NASDAQ 100 session.
Market backdrop:
Fresh US sanctions on Russian oil sparked a surge in energy prices, with Brent crude posting its largest two-day gain since 2022. The move drove a sell-off in global bonds, as 10yr US Treasury yields rose +5.1bps, their biggest daily increase in over a month, ahead of the long-delayed September CPI report.
Despite the rise in yields, equities held firm, buoyed by improved risk appetite. The NASDAQ 100 gained +0.58%, supported by renewed optimism in the tech sector and positive sentiment following the White House confirmation of a TrumpโXi meeting next week, which helped temper trade war concerns.
Drivers for today:
US CPI (September) โ the first major data point since the government shutdown. A softer print could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut next week, while a stronger reading risks unsettling both bonds and high-valuation tech names.
Geopolitical dynamics โ Markets remain sensitive to any new developments in the USโChina trade narrative and Russia sanctions, which continue to drive energy and inflation expectations.
Tech sentiment โ Optimism in large-cap tech remains supportive, though rising yields could limit upside momentum.
Commodities:
Gold is on track to end its nine-week rally, down over 3% this week as investors rotate out of safe havens amid hopes of easing geopolitical tensions.
Outlook:
The NASDAQ 100 enters the session on firmer footing, with risk appetite improving thanks to trade optimism. However, volatility is likely around the CPI release, which will be the key determinant for near-term Fed policy and tech sector performance.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25350
Resistance Level 2: 25466
Resistance Level 3: 25600
Support Level 1: 24917
Support Level 2: 24700
Support Level 3: 24400
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USTECUSTEC price is in the resistance zone 25237-25264. If the price cannot break through the 25264 level, it is expected that the price will likely go down in the short term. Consider selling in the red zone.
๐ฅTrading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck ๐
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