BUY EVERY DIP, HOLD FOR THE NEXT 7-MONTH CYCLE UNTIL OCTOBERThere are the current turmoil by tariffs and perceived recession, yet, the cycles strongly support a further advance from the March lows until October 2025. The bottom in March 2020 formed the base for the 5 year bull cycle nested within the larger 13 year cycle.
PRICE
The 2020 crash low formed at 18213.65, the decline in 2022 formed a bottom at 28660.94. We would have a price range Low - Low of (+10447.29 pts)
(28660.94 - 18213.65) = 10447.29 units
By projection if the range between the first two bottoms is 10447.29 we would expect the third bottom connecting three expanding points to be at 1.618 of 10447.29 points from 28660.94
28660.94 + (10447.29 x 1.618) = 45564.66
This makes the current top at 45073.63 through 45564.66 level a major support whereas its also a minor resistance for some correction and we expect price to move through this level.
TIME
Time connecting the three points 23/03/2020 - 03/01/2022 - 10/10/2022 with March 2020 as starting point would give us a time count (0.0 - 651 days - 931 days).
We find that between the two bottoms the top in Jan 2022 came in at 651 days. By projection we expect the next bottom to be at least 209 weeks or 1463 days from 10/10/2022 with a top located at a Phi variation of 651.
We would project a time range 1064 - 1099 days for a top and a decline into the third bottom 1463 days from 10/10/2022 and 2394 days from 23/03/2020. Trade safe, good luck.
Trade ideas
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET...
Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition.
1942 - 1947 5-year cycle
1982 - 1987 Cycle
2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression
Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error.
27th October is a major timeline to watch
Beyond that we have March 2026
TRADE PLAN:
We will close all buy entries in October
We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle.
Follow for more updates
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #DJIA #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis
Dow Jones Bullish Strategy! Can the Market Break Higher?🚀 US30 Index Money-Making Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 📊
🧠 Trading Plan & Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
🚀 Approach: Bullish Hull Moving Average pullback plan — “bulls reloaded” for the next wave.
🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy): Multiple buy-limit layers → 45,200 • 45,300 • 45,400 • 45,500 (flexible to add more based on your own plan).
🛡️ Stop Loss: Reference point at 45,000. Adjust SL responsibly to match your personal risk tolerance & style.
💰 Target: Potential resistance zone (the “police barricade”) sits near 46,300. That’s where traders may consider taking profits.
📢 Note: This is an illustrative plan based on technicals — every trader should adapt TP/SL to their own strategy and risk appetite.
📊 US30 Market Report – September 4, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Trading near 45,000 points, up 0.05% today.
Strong monthly performance (+2.4%) and robust yearly gains (+17%).
Market showing resilience despite trade tensions.
😊 Retail Traders’ Sentiment
60% long vs 40% short → Tilted bullish.
Optimism driven by hopes for earnings growth & Fed rate cuts.
Caution remains due to tariff risks.
🏦 Institutional Traders’ Outlook
Cautiously bullish positioning.
Demand for equities continues, but with moderated exposure.
Buybacks + foreign inflows supporting price action.
🌡️ Overall Investor Mood
Neutral to positive tone.
Economic resilience balanced against policy uncertainty.
Healthy breadth across sectors, not just tech.
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Currently at 52 (Neutral).
Suggests balance — no extremes dominating.
Neutral setups often precede steady gains.
💹 Fundamental Score → 8/10
Strong corporate earnings (+12–13% growth projected next year).
Balance sheets remain solid.
AI & tech themes boosting key components.
Tariffs still a drag, but diversified exposure helps.
🌍 Macro Score → 7/10
US GDP growth cooling to 1.5%, but global rebound supports outlook.
Inflation ~2.9%; Fed rate cuts expected later.
Labor market stable, policy clarity could add upside.
🐂 Overall Market Outlook: Bullish Bias 📈
If support at 45,000 holds, potential move higher toward 46,000+.
Drivers: Strong earnings, Fed easing, broad rally.
Watch: Trade news headlines remain a key risk factor.
🔎 Why This Plan?
Hull MA pullback indicates momentum continuation.
Layered entries provide flexibility & better risk distribution.
Market sentiment + fundamentals align with bullish bias.
Resistance at 46,300 offers a clear take-profit zone.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
CAPITALCOM:US30
FOREXCOM:SPX500
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100
TVC:VIX
TVC:DXY
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingPlan #HullMA #LayeringStrategy
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Another BoS Confirmed
US30 updated the all-time high on Friday, breaking and closing
above a major daily horizontal resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more growth now.
Next resistance is 47100.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DOW JONES ANALYSIS💸 DOW JONES 💸
Chart: 1H
Overall Trend: Bullish
Current Market Structure: Short-Term Bearish
After the initial gap up & bullish push, price has been ranging in a tight consolidation zone with small candles — indicating indecision.
Scenario 1:
Bullish Continuation (Preferred if Demand Holds)
• Price retraces into the GAP UP demand zone (≈ 46,770–46,730).
• Bullish reaction here (strong wick / engulfing candle) could provide a buy setup targeting:
• First target: 46,910–46,960 (recent high)
• Final target: New ATH zone (47,051–47,088)
Scenario 2:
Deeper Pullback
• If price fails to hold the gap demand zone, expect a deeper retracement toward 46,600–46,560, which is the next structural support.
✅ Summary:
The bias remains bullish, but a short-term retracement to fill the gap demand zone is likely before a push toward new highs. A clean rejection or bullish engulfing in that zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
Dow Jones US30 Analysis: Bullish Trend, Trade Plan📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) remains in a strong bullish trend, showing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart 📈. However, when viewed on the daily timeframe, price now appears somewhat overextended ⚠️.
🔎 Dropping down to the lower timeframes and applying the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) indicator, it’s evident that price is trading well above VWAP, signaling a premium zone. The risk here is that traders may continue buying into strength without acknowledging that price could easily retrace back into VWAP.
💡 Remember — smart money buys at a discount, not at a premium. In bullish trends like this, patience is crucial.
📹 In the video, I outline my trade plan, which focuses on waiting for a healthy pullback and then looking for a bullish setup if the structure aligns in our favor. I’m not interested in chasing price when it’s this extended — instead, I prefer to wait for the retracement and enter at better value, reducing risk and improving trade quality 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
$DJI📊 Key Market Predictions This Week
1️⃣ NY Fed Inflation Data (Tuesday): Prices in NY are already climbing inflation is back in the market.
2️⃣ Fed Meeting Minutes (Wednesday): Expect signals that the Fed is trying to better manage the economy. With the government shutdown, money and policy are being rearranged.
3️⃣ Powell Speaks (Thursday): His tone could set the stage for how aggressive or cautious the Fed will be moving forward.
4️⃣ MI Consumer Data (Friday): Sentiment may look steady as “buy now, pay later” options continue to keep spending alive.
5️⃣ Jobs Report (Friday, if shutdown ends): We could see a pickup, reflecting that investments are still entering the market despite uncertainty.
US30 Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the US30 next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 46.762
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 46.525
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Watch the Dow Industrial TrendlinesNext week 10/06/25 to 10/10/25 could see the convergence of two long- term Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) trendlines.
The trendline connecting the DJI January 2022 and December 2024 peaks is near the current DJI level.
Sometime prior support trendlines can become resistance.
The trendline connecting the bottoms made in October 2023, August 2024, and January 2025 converges with the peaks trendline next week!
The area of DJI 47,200 to 47,400 could be important resitance.
Watch the DJI trendlines!
US30 1H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
US30: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of US30 right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Dow Jones Bulls Preparing Another Robbery — Are You In?🚨💰 US30/DJ30 Index CFD Market Heist Plan 🏦🎭
🕵️ Dear Thief OG’s, Ladies & Gentlemen of the robbery squad… the vault is wide open again! This time we’re sneaking into the Dow Jones (US30) for a Bullish Day/Swing Heist. 🔥
🎯 Robbery Blueprint
Asset: US30/DJ30 Index CFD (Day/Swing Trade)
Plan: Bullish 📈
Entry (Thief Style):
The thief never knocks once… we layer the doors! Multiple buy limit orders 🔐:
Layer 1 → 45,600.0
Layer 2 → 45,400.0
Layer 3 → 45,200.0
(You can expand the layers depending on your risk appetite 🕳️)
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑:
📍 Thief SL @ 44,600.0
(Adjust based on your own risk & startergy – remember, survival is key in every robbery 🏃💨)
Target (TP) 🎯:
🚓 Police barricade spotted @47,000.0! Our sweet escape is planned at 46,800.0 before sirens catch us. 💰
🏆 Thief Strategy
Multiple limit order entries (layering method / scaling in).
Enter at any price level if you’re fast, but layering is the OG Thief move.
Manage your SL & risk like a pro robber – no reckless moves, or you’ll end up behind market bars! 🚔
💡 Why This Heist? 💡
The US30/DJ30 is primed for a bullish run 📈, driven by real-time market signals:
Technical Analysis: Strong support levels holding firm, momentum indicators screaming bullish! 📊
Fundamental Outlook: Check global market data, COT reports, and sentiment analysis for confirmation. 🔗👉
Volatility Watch: Stay sharp for news releases that could spike volatility. 📰⚠️
⚠️ Thief’s Risk Management ⚠️
News Alert: Avoid new trades during major news drops to dodge wild price swings. 🚫
Position Management: Use trailing stops to lock in those sweet profits. 🔐
Risk Control: Adjust lot sizes and SL based on your layered entries and risk profile. 📉
🏆 Join the Heist! 🏆
💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to power up our Thief Trader crew! 🚀 Let’s make bank with ease using the Thief Trading Style! 💸😎 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, and let’s keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱👤
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction.
Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE
Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading)
Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows
Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction
Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500
Daily Chart Analysis
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact
Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active
Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150
4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe)
Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision
RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence)
Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum
1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus)
Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone
Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding
VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended
TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14):
Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish)
4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago)
1H: 54 (bearish divergence present)
Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages:
20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support)
200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support)
Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead
ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges
Volume Analysis
Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692
Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning)
Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor
HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS
Gann Analysis
Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488
Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550
Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot)
Harmonic Patterns
Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level)
Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150
Wyckoff Analysis
Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply)
Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off
Elliott Wave Count
Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800
Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK
Immediate Resistance Zones
46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological
47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level
47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot
47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target
Support Zones
46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone
46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot
46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand
45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point
TRAP SCENARIOS
Bull Trap Alert
Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal
Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike
Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone
Bear Trap Potential
Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery
Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume
Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+
INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025)
Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart
RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region
Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,680-46,720
Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk)
Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50%
Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30%
Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run
Optimal Entry Times:
9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility)
2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum)
Bearish Scenario (40% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M
RSI (15M) overbought above 70
Break below 46,780 (short-term support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk)
Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder
Optimal Entry Times:
10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails)
3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking)
SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon)
Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation
Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes)
Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop
Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation
Position Management:
Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available)
Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below)
Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40%
Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30%
Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Confidence Level: 65%
Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short
Activation Criteria:
Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average
RSI daily breaks below 50
Break of ascending trendline from September
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points)
Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder
Timeframe: 1-3 weeks
Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup)
WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11)
Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7):
Expected Range: 46,500-47,100
Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion
Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure)
Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9):
Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period
Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop
Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility
Friday (Oct 10):
Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning
Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850
Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES
Position Sizing
Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade
Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions
Key Risk Levels
Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100
Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300
Correlation Monitoring
Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong)
S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis
Dollar Index impact on risk appetite
MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS
Macroeconomic Considerations
Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential
Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance
Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China)
Sentiment Indicators
VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk
Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment
Institutional flows appear distributive near highs
Seasonal Patterns
October historically volatile (correction risk)
Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month
FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
For Intraday Traders:
Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries
Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation
Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits
For Swing Traders:
Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone
Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650)
Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region
Overall Market Outlook:
Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded.
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES
FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels
Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher
Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels)
Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
US30 - High Volume Control & Liquidity🚨My personal view:
➡️The Low Season/3rd Quarter is behind us.
➡️Liquidity is crucial for fresh acceleration in the High Season/Last quarter.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🎯 KEY PIVOT
📍 Zone Type: DEMAND
📊 Price Range: 46,200-46,400
📏 Distance: 569 points below current price with strong support history
📊 MAIN BIAS
🔵 Bias: BULLISH
📌 Context: Strong uptrend near all-time highs
💎 DIAMOND EDGE - Primary Setup
🎲 Direction: Long from current levels targeting 47,000-47,100
🔍 Confirmations:
✅Bullish momentum continuation above 46,700
✅Bullish momentum continuation above KEY PIVOT @ 46,200-46,400
✅Break above 47,000 with strong volume
⚠️ NOTE:
✅Price 231 points from resistance. Watch for rejection at 47,000-47,100.
🎯 Bullish Extension Targets - Discovery
T1: 47,200
T2: 47,500
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🔄 BIAS FLIP SETUP- BEARISH🔴
💡 46,100-46,400 critical support - break changes structure.
⚡ Triggers:
➡️Multiple Rejection @ 47,000-47,100 Confirming Resistance as Supply Zone.
➡️Then Clear and decisive break below 46,200
🎲 Direction: Short from 46,100
🔍 Confirmations:
🟧Bearish rejection wicks at 47,000-47,100
🟧Break and close below 46,200
🎯 Targets:
T1: 45,600 - 45,800 ➡️➡️LIQUIDITY
T2: 45,200-45,400
T3: 44,600-44,800
⚠️ SESSION RULES
❌Avoid chasing between levels.
✅Use your 50% markers as targets in-between key high-volume areas.
🕐 Trade only NYSE - US session (9:30am-4pm EST)
📰 Monitor Fed policy, economic data