Dow Jones Bullish Strategy! Can the Market Break Higher?🚀 US30 Index Money-Making Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 📊
🧠 Trading Plan & Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
🚀 Approach: Bullish Hull Moving Average pullback plan — “bulls reloaded” for the next wave.
🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy): Multiple buy-limit layers → 45,200 • 45,300 • 45,400 • 45,500 (flexible to add more based on your own plan).
🛡️ Stop Loss: Reference point at 45,000. Adjust SL responsibly to match your personal risk tolerance & style.
💰 Target: Potential resistance zone (the “police barricade”) sits near 46,300. That’s where traders may consider taking profits.
📢 Note: This is an illustrative plan based on technicals — every trader should adapt TP/SL to their own strategy and risk appetite.
📊 US30 Market Report – September 4, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Trading near 45,000 points, up 0.05% today.
Strong monthly performance (+2.4%) and robust yearly gains (+17%).
Market showing resilience despite trade tensions.
😊 Retail Traders’ Sentiment
60% long vs 40% short → Tilted bullish.
Optimism driven by hopes for earnings growth & Fed rate cuts.
Caution remains due to tariff risks.
🏦 Institutional Traders’ Outlook
Cautiously bullish positioning.
Demand for equities continues, but with moderated exposure.
Buybacks + foreign inflows supporting price action.
🌡️ Overall Investor Mood
Neutral to positive tone.
Economic resilience balanced against policy uncertainty.
Healthy breadth across sectors, not just tech.
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Currently at 52 (Neutral).
Suggests balance — no extremes dominating.
Neutral setups often precede steady gains.
💹 Fundamental Score → 8/10
Strong corporate earnings (+12–13% growth projected next year).
Balance sheets remain solid.
AI & tech themes boosting key components.
Tariffs still a drag, but diversified exposure helps.
🌍 Macro Score → 7/10
US GDP growth cooling to 1.5%, but global rebound supports outlook.
Inflation ~2.9%; Fed rate cuts expected later.
Labor market stable, policy clarity could add upside.
🐂 Overall Market Outlook: Bullish Bias 📈
If support at 45,000 holds, potential move higher toward 46,000+.
Drivers: Strong earnings, Fed easing, broad rally.
Watch: Trade news headlines remain a key risk factor.
🔎 Why This Plan?
Hull MA pullback indicates momentum continuation.
Layered entries provide flexibility & better risk distribution.
Market sentiment + fundamentals align with bullish bias.
Resistance at 46,300 offers a clear take-profit zone.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
CAPITALCOM:US30
FOREXCOM:SPX500
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100
TVC:VIX
TVC:DXY
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#US30 #DowJones #Indices #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingPlan #HullMA #LayeringStrategy
US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical OutlookDow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical Outlook
Bias: Bearish while below 45,450.
Key Resistance: 45,350 – 45,450 (failure to break above keeps sellers in control).
Immediate Supports:
45,100
44,980 – 44,860
Major support at 44,700
📉 Primary Scenario:
If price remains capped below 45,450, a downward move towards 44,700 is likely after a minor corrective bounce.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A breakout and sustained close above 45,500 would invalidate the bearish view and open the door for a rally towards 45,800 – 46,000.
US30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades...!
Confluences And Key Reason:
1. Price creates bullish channel.
2. Market price break bullish channel toward downside.
3. Fresh supply + order flow still in pending.
4. If this supply is valid than we see price further move downside.
This is not a financial advice take it with your own risk. In this case confirmation is very important. If price give confirmation than we open our trades. Let's see how it will work.
US30 Pullback Toward 44,600 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 44,600 zone. Dow Jones (US30) is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 44,600 — a significant area where buyers may look to step in and continue the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains broadly supportive for equities, with risk appetite steady as investors weigh U.S. economic data and central bank policy outlook.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Dow Jones buy to 46000Fundamentals
- Fed rate cut this September and November, supporting equities growth. Lower interest rates means lower borrowing cost.
- Bond yields down due to government debt to high. Lower yields reduce the discount rate on future earnings, make stocks more attractive than bonds
- Tech giants Google and Apple lifting the indexes performance recently
Technical (Price Action)
- Support level at 44809.3 refined to 44748.9 30 min support
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET...
Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition.
1942 - 1947 5-year cycle
1982 - 1987 Cycle
2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression
Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error.
27th October is a major timeline to watch
Beyond that we have March 2026
TRADE PLAN:
We will close all buy entries in October
We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle.
Follow for more updates
US30 – 1H | Testing Rejection Block & LTF Confirmation
Dow Jones is reacting from a rejection block with lower-timeframe confirmation showing. Market structure shift suggests possible retrace setups.
**Bullish Scenario:**
* Hold above 44,950–45,000 zone (OB & FVG support)
* LTF confirmation aligns with rejection block
* Upside targets: 45,320 swing high → 45,520 strong high
**Bearish Scenario:**
* Lose 44,950 and break below 44,900 P1D Low
* Continuation toward 44,700 breaker block → 44,680 strong low
* Deep downside if OB rejection fails
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: 45,320 / 45,520 / 45,600
* Support: 44,950 / 44,900 / 44,700 / 44,680
💬 Will US30 hold rejection block for upside push, or break lower into the breaker block?
DOW JONES 4H BUY SIGNAL
DJI bouncing on the Channel Up bottom + oversold 4H RSI (first since Aug 04) ✅.
Every dip under the 4H MA50 has been the best entry — same setup now.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, trend stays bullish 📈.
🎯 Short-term target: 46,100 (+2.67%)
Kaizo precision. Sniper buy zone activated. 🥷🔥
DOW JONES Buy opportunity on oversold 4H RSI.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 High and yesterday hit its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and rebounded.
Every short-term break just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) of this pattern since August 11, has been the most optimal buy opportunity. Technically as long as the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) holds, the medium-term trend remains bullish.
Given also that the 4H RSI made an oversold rebound, first since August 04, we have a strong buy signal currently, which based on the previous Bullish Legs of the pattern, can rise by at least +2.67%. As a result, our short-term Target is 46100.
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US30 WILL BLEEDWe are entering a short (sell) trade on US30 because the market failed to create new highs and reversed from a strong resistance/supply zone with good breakout, Structure and momentum now favor the downside. Targets are set at 44,770 and 44,020, with a stop above 45,740 to manage risk.
Dow Jones Falls from Record HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones index has declined by just over 0.7%, with selling pressure remaining constant. This move has been tied to the rebound in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, which climbed to 4.27%, reducing the short-term appeal of equities. In addition, investors are awaiting the release of U.S. employment data at the end of the week, as the results could influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Despite the recent pullback, the short-term declines have not been strong enough to break the uptrend that has remained in place for the past several months. This technical structure continues to be the most relevant in the short term. Unless selling pressure consolidates over more sessions, the upward trend is likely to remain dominant in the coming days.
Technical Indicators
RSI: although the RSI remains above the 50 level, it has begun to show a downward slope in the short term, which could indicate a shift in market momentum. If the line continues to decline, selling pressure could become more relevant in the sessions ahead.
MACD: the MACD histogram continues to hover around the 0 line, indicating that the average strength of the moving averages remains in neutral territory. This highlights the lack of clear direction in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
45,746 points – Relevant Resistance: corresponds to the Dow Jones record highs. A sustained breakout above this level could pave the way for a continuation of the uptrend.
45,023 points – Near-Term Support: coincides with recent lows and may act as a barrier for potential short-term pullbacks.
43,098 points – Critical Support: aligns with the 100- and 200-period simple moving averages. A move down to this zone could confirm a break in the uptrend and give way to a dominant bearish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
SHORT ON DJ / US30 READINGInner trendline Break and Retest earlier today
Change the Bias on Long for US30 to a Short in our group
We start Selling at the Breakout On H2 timeframe
Entry Price .... 45,600.0
DJ / US30... 45,600.0
S/L ...45,750.00
T/P ...45,989.0
Also looking at a final touch to 44,500.0 LEVEL.
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