Caught between a Volume Imbalance and 2 FVGsI’m looking at the bullish volume imbalance that is overlapping a bearish fair value gap. Price just made a bullish run leaving a bullish fvg behind. I think we drop out of this fvg and vi and head back down towards the bullish fvg around 4050.
I’m guessing we go back to around 4050 over the next couple days.
Trade ideas
GOLD: The Daily and Weekly +FVGs Hold The Key! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 17-21st.
Gold is still strong, but struggled to move higher last week. It is currently inside a bullish FVG, and this would be the key PD Array to watch. If the market shows respect to the +FVG, then expect higher prices. If it fails, and we see the market close below it on a daily close basis, buys should be avoided until the Weekly +FVG is reached.
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD: Look For Bullish Breakout From The +FVGIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 10-14th.
Gold has been consolidating in a +FVG since last week... and it is still holding! Wait for price to break the high of the consolidation and then look for long setups.
Be mindful that price may sweep the sell side LQ before it moves higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Holds $4000Gold has retraced lower from last week’s high, though it is holding above 4000 for now. Two bullish pinbars have also formed on the daily chart, hinting at a potential swing low. A break above yesterday’s high could see bulls target the 4200 handle, with a move through the 4250 high bringing the 4300 handle and monthly S1 into view.
However, keep in mind the weekly chart may be forming a Wave B within a broader ABC correction. I’ll also be watching for signs of a swing high on the daily chart and a potential resumption of the move lower from the record high. A 100% projection of Wave A from B implies a downside target near 3800.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
Looking for the Sweep leading into a bigger Play! Price bled lower through the entire Asian session after yesterday’s late breakdown, continuing the move away from the prior value area. We’re now trading inside a cluster of intraday inefficiencies with clean liquidity sitting below at 4013 and the psychological 4000 level.
My focus going into London and NY is patience.
Asia’s slow descent is typically a continuation phase, not the actual entry. I want to see:
A sweep of 4013 or 4000
A clear displacement reaction
A retrace back into a fresh M5–M15 FVG
Then structure confirming continuation or reversal
Until that happens, this remains a bearish environment with untested Weekly imbalance still below. If buyers don’t defend 4013 with force, the algo will likely reach for the 4000 liquidity pocket next.
Staying reactive, not predictive.
London will reveal whether this breakdown continues or sets the trap for a reversal.
**“Friday Play: Watching GC for a potential continuation lowerAfter the 4240 liquidity clear. Today’s open (4174.9) is my decision point.
Two scenarios I’m stalking:
1️⃣ Break & retest below 4174 → downside continuation into the H4 bullish FVG (4060–4090).
2️⃣ Sweep above 4200–4215 → rejection → short from premium pricing.
Friday loves completing unfinished business — but only if orderflow confirms. Patience first.”**
Gold Week Opens Inside Daily FVG — Will We Drop Into the Weekly New week, and Gold opened inside last week’s Daily FVG, which was fully rebalanced.
No confirmation yet that this zone will act as support. The larger unmitigated Weekly FVG below may still be the draw on liquidity before any bullish move develops.
Plan for tonight:
Let Asia define the range
Watch for a sweep during London
Bearish continuation is favored if we break today’s open level (4174.9)
Bullish only if Asia low → sweep → displacement → retrace
Levels marked.
Patience. Let the algo show its hand.
#Futures #GC #Gold #FVG #ICT #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
The Calm Before the Expansion — Gold Pre-Setup MapGold rejecting the Asian Range low and showing early signs of reversal. Missed the London setup after oversleeping, but tonight I’m watching for a retrace back into the H1 FVG + lower HVN. That pocket sits just under 50% of yesterday’s Asian range and lines up with weekly volume sitting just outside of value. If price pulls back into that zone and shows displacement, I’m looking for continuation to the upside and potential expansion toward the H4 FVG above. Premature breakouts tonight may be traps.
Gold Testing H4 Supply – Eyes on Retrace SetupAfter a clean bullish expansion last week, Gold is now testing a 4H bearish FVG around 4,200–4,240. Price is currently holding below the day’s open (4,203), suggesting potential short-term weakness.
If we stay below 4,203, I’ll look for a corrective move toward the 4H bullish FVG just below the previous day’s low (around 4,060–4,090).
Above 4,220, the bullish continuation remains valid.
Currently in observation mode — waiting for intraday confirmation before engaging any short bias.
XAUUSD UPDATE : BREACH 4149.78hi again
Market Analysis
From the previous chart, the price successfully broke above 4149.78. At the current level, the next resistance is identified at 4279.23, while key support is around 4124.81.
Trade Plan
Sell Setup:
Look for rejection at 4279.23 combined with bearish price action confirmation at that resistance level.
Buy Setup:
Look for rejection at 4124.81 combined with bullish price action confirmation at that support level
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry — Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!)
Date: 12th Oct 25
Time: 12:00 PM
Session: LDN → NY AM
Direction: Buyside Trade
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3978.8
TP: 4290 (+8.06%)
SL: 3924.9 (–1.31%)
RR: 6.15
📌 Technical Narrative
Price formed a macro liquidity sweep, followed by CHOCH and BOS confirming a bullish reversal. A clean inducement below the 4050 zone fueled displacement upward through multiple FVGs, each of which held as re-entry zones. The trade was taken from a discount retracement aligned with the 0.382 and 0.61 fib levels, supported by stacked FVGs and KAMA MA trend alignment.
🔹Model: FVG → Inducement → BOS → Re-entry
Liquidity swept - Price immediately shifted into displacement
Accumulation & Inducement Zone - Between Oct 28 → Nov 5, price carved:
Slow accumulation structure
Multiple small FVGs (stacked)
A clean inducement low at 4050-zone
Equal lows resting near 4084 PD-array
Displacement Leg (Current Move Up) Price breaks:
BOS @ 4148.7 and holds above: 0.382 retracement @ 4140
0.618 retracement @ 4229.
Multiple micro FVGs (confirmed by fills)
📌Market Sentiment Narrative
Gold currently trades in an environment of: Fed dovish shift, Geopolitical uncertainty
Commodity demand rotational flows, Liquidity flight from risk-on assets. This supports a buyside continuation toward HTF premium zones.
Gold Confirmed Bullish BiasFenzoFx—Gold is bullish again, confirmed by engulfing above the $4,175.00 resistance. As of this writing, XAU/USD trades inside the bearish fair value gap, testing the $4,230.00 resistance.
Last day, Gold did not dip below $4,103.00 (the bullish FVG) for liquidity. This indicates a strong bullish market. However, going long at the current price is risky because the price has surged already. The ideal level for joining the bull market would be around $4,146.00, which is in conjunction with daily highs and the October 23 and 24 close. This area should provide decent support for Gold.
In the bullish scenario, we expect Gold to form a double top at all-time highs by targeting $4,398.00.
How a Single Put Spread Predicted Gold’s BreakdownSo, gold has broken below the previous bearish zone — meaning we now have a bearish sentiment in play (at least according to my classification).
Now, regarding options flow:
On the chart, I’ve highlighted those lucky (or rather, well-informed) players who entered with a Put Spread — just before the correction started.
Perfect timing.
Their ideal target?
$3,950 — to be reached within 8 days, right around expiry.
Or at least close enough for maximum profit.
p.s. Just to be clear:
We are not teaching options trading as such — even though much of my methodology is built on options market data.
What we are doing is showing you how to read the option sentiment and use that insight to trade more effectively on the markets you already know — like spot Forex.
It’s about understanding why price moves — before it does.
We believe that trading without using options sentiment analysis is similar to fishing with a fishing rod🤦🏻♂️ on the shore while your neighbor has arrived at the river with a sonar on a boat.
We are on that boat, and we want to help you make better trading decision.💰
GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish, primarily driven by central bank accumulation. Since 2023, global central banks led by China have been purchasing gold aggressively, creating a durable demand base. With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, I think risk assets like GOLD could outperform as the USD (DXY) weakens. This macro setup continues to support a long term bullish narrative.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has been retracing since October 20, which I think was a healthy correction following a strong expansion. As mentioned in my previous GOLD outlook, price appeared to be retesting the Weekly Value Gap and accumulating within that zone. In my opinion, this accumulation phase seems to have ended, and the market looks ready to continue higher.
📌 Game Plan - Prediction
Price has broken out of the accumulation zone and started expanding upward. I plan to enter after a retest near the key zone around $4060. It may dip toward $4027, which I consider a discount zone. I intend to scale in between $4060 and $3950, with invalidation if the daily candle closes below $3900.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Breakout Confirmed – Watching for 4H FVG RebalanceAfter a full week of sideways chop, Gold finally broke structure on Monday with a strong bullish impulse. The breakout clears the 7-day range and confirms higher-timeframe bullish intent.
I’m now watching the 4H FVG sitting just below the previous day’s low — that’s where I’d like to see price rebalance before continuing the next leg higher.
If price respects that zone and holds structure, it could mark the start of a sustained bullish push for the week.
Bias stays bullish unless price breaks back below the H4 FVG or fails to hold the weekly open.






















