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UK NBP Natural Gas Futures

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GWMV2025 trade ideas

NATGAS Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.026 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.056 My Stop Loss - 3.011 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Natural Gas – Ascending Triangle Breakout Watch!!Natural Gas Update (1H TF) Price consolidating near 276 resistance, forming an Ascending Triangle (276–280 flat resistance, 269–267 rising support). Price is now consolidating near the 276 zone, which is acting as a strong resistance. 📌 What This Means: • Market is in a tight range — buyers are holding higher levels, but resistance hasn’t broken yet. • Volume has been steady, suggesting accumulation for a possible breakout. 📈 Above 276–280 → Upside breakout 📉 Below 269–267 → Downside correction
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by Shalvisharma5
NATGAS My Opinion! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.016 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.915 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025.VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #NatGas (NYMEX:NG1!) 🔵 Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025. Alright, here’s the skinny on NatGas. Back on April 28, 2025, I was calling for a dip into the $2.74 zone—and guess what? We tagged it right on schedule. Now the game flips: I’m hunting long entries with the first serious target sitting at $10.00. Could we overshoot? Absolutely. If momentum really gets cooking, the Fibo 227% extension lines up at roughly $21.00. But let’s not get greedy yet—$10 stays the main milestone for the next big leg. Macro Drivers ➖ Exports: LNG shipments are the elephant in the room. Europe’s still thirsty, Asia’s paying up, and U.S. cargos are cashing in. ➖ Production: Flat. Shale guys aren’t rushing to flood the market unless we break above $3.20+. ➖ Geopolitics: Russia’s LNG rerouting and Middle East jitters keep a bid under global gas. ➖ Utilities & Consumers: Domestic demand is softer thanks to renewables transitions, but that’s a sideshow compared to export flows. Big Picture EIA pegs Henry Hub at $3.60 in 2025 and $4.30 in 2026, but frankly, that’s conservative. With demand from data centers, electrification, and global LNG growth, upside is more likely than not. Trade View ➡️ I’m treating $2.74 as the cycle low. Any dips near that level look like golden tickets for long positioning into 2026. First pit stop: $10.00. If bulls get rowdy, keep an eye on $21.00 as the stretch target. ➡️ Bottom line: NatGas just gave us the reset we were waiting for. From here, risk/reward favors the long side. Strap in—it’s gonna be a volatile ride, but that’s where the money gets made.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by SergioRichi
Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74. ➖ Weather Forecast and Reduced Demand On April 23, 2025, the U.S. National Weather Service forecasted milder-than-average weather across the U.S. for late spring and early summer 2025, particularly in key gas-consuming regions like the Northeast and Midwest. Warmer weather reduces the demand for heating, a primary driver of natural gas consumption. This led to a 2.5% decline in Henry Hub natural gas futures, settling at $3.05 per MMBtu on April 24, 2025. Source: Reuters ➖ High U.S. Natural Gas Inventories The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on April 17, 2025, that natural gas inventories increased by 75 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending April 11, 2025, significantly exceeding the five-year average build of 50 Bcf. Total U.S. inventories are now 20% above the five-year average, indicating an oversupply that pressures prices downward. Source: EIA, "Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report," April 17, 2025 ➖ Weak Global LNG Demand On April 22, 2025, Bloomberg reported a decline in demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia, particularly in China, due to an economic slowdown and a shift to cheaper coal alternatives. China’s LNG imports in Q1 2025 dropped 10% year-over-year, reducing export opportunities for U.S. gas producers and adding pressure on domestic prices. Source: Bloomberg, "China’s LNG Imports Fall as Coal Use Rises," April 22, 2025 Technical Analysis Natural gas futures (NYMEX) are currently around $3.15 per MMBtu as of April 28, 2025, following a recent decline from a peak of approximately $4.90 in 2025. Fibonacci retracement levels indicate correction targets at 38.2% ($2.74) and 50% ($2.43). Fundamental factors, such as oversupply and reduced demand, support a bearish scenario that could drive prices to these levels in the near term. Nearest Entry Point Target: • $2.74 Growth Potential: Long-term: • $10 Screenshot:
NYMEX:NG1!
by SergioRichi
Natural Gas Positional Giant Lap Awaited in Coming Days! MCX:NATURALGAS1! Natural Gas Futures have printed a strong bullish engulfing pattern on the weekly chart, emerging after a prolonged downtrend—a classic sign that momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. Pattern & Setup Analysis The appearance of a large green candle fully engulfing the previous week's red candle signals growing buying pressure and potential trend reversal. This move occurs at the end of a multi-week decline, making it a significant bullish reversal setup—especially when found after extended selling. Trading Setup Logic Traders watching this pattern often prepare for a trend change or a relief rally, with stops generally placed below the engulfing candle’s low to manage risk. Upside targets may be set at prior resistance levels or previous swing highs as the price seeks to retrace portions of the earlier decline. The highlighted box on the chart suggests a favorable risk–reward scenario: risk is limited by the recent lows, while potential reward stretches towards the next major resistance zone. Strategy Consideration Conservative participants may await further confirmation via higher weekly closes or a retest of the breakout zone before entering new long positions. Aggressive traders could already be positioning long, betting on follow-through strength after a decisive reversal candle. Best Entry will be near to the stoploss, and it could come for retest on coming Tuesday, else day basis closing above 264.8 will also be an entry trigger considering the scenario. Overall, the setup reflects a shift from heavy selling to growing buyer conviction—making the coming weeks critical for confirmation and follow-through on this bullish reversal signal
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by ChartPathik
NG1!: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.022 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.981.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
NATURAL GAS rebounding on a 1.5-year Support! Bullish.Natural Gas (NG1!) is having a strong green 1W candle, coming off a 2-month decline. It is highly likely that this correction has come to an end as the price hit this hit (and thus rebounding on) the Higher Lows trend-line that started all the way back since the February 20 2024 market bottom. Technically the whole pattern from that day until now looks similar to the June 22 2020 - March 15 2021 sequence, which initiated a stronger 3rd Bullish Leg all the way to the Symmetrical Resistance Zone. A potential 1W Golden Cross would confirm this upward break-out, just like it did on June 14 2021. If that takes place, our long-term Target would be 6.400 (Symmetrical Resistance Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
a return to solid major sellers presents a =SELLers world1->5 : creates a series of lower highs and lower lows , number 2 becomes a solid major market low when number 3 closes under number 1 , number 4 becomes a solid minor low( as its part of the minor downflow ), when number 5 closes under number 3 5->6 : returns to number solid major high number 2, intrabar bearish reaction what do I think will happen ? * depending on the bar , being inside or lower low than the next would then classify it as a micro bearish structure or not, will have to wait for that * bearish on rsi,mfi and accum/dist * overbought on rsi and mfi * on the daily we are in a downtrend, pulling back currently to some resistance
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by jacesabr_real
Natural Gas (NG) - Technical Analysis Report - 20250908Analysis Date: September 8, 2025 Current Price: $3.125 Market Session: Post-Market Analysis --- Executive Summary Natural Gas presents the highest conviction opportunity in the current market environment, with exceptional alignment between institutional positioning and technical momentum. The quarterly volume profile reveals massive institutional accumulation at current levels, while execution chart signals confirm a validated reversal pattern. This represents a classic institutional intelligence-based setup with superior risk/reward characteristics. --- Quarterly Volume Profile Analysis Institutional Positioning Intelligence The quarterly volume profile (Q3 2025) displays the most compelling institutional accumulation pattern across all analyzed markets: Primary Institutional Accumulation Zone: $2.90-$3.15 Extraordinary blue volume concentration representing massive institutional positioning Current price ($3.125) sits in the optimal zone within this accumulation area Volume density indicates sustained institutional commitment over extended period Width and intensity of blue volume suggests major strategic positioning campaign Volume Profile Architecture: Core Accumulation: $3.00-$3.10 (heaviest institutional activity) Extended Support: $2.90-$3.00 (secondary institutional positioning) Breakout Level: $3.15-$3.20 (upper boundary of accumulation zone) Void Zone: Below $2.85 (minimal institutional interest, evacuation territory) Resistance Structure Analysis: $3.25-$3.40: First institutional resistance with mixed volume $3.60-$3.80: Moderate yellow volume indicating previous distribution $4.00+: Historical distribution zones from earlier 2025 highs Price Structure Context Historical Pattern Recognition: The current Natural Gas setup mirrors successful commodity reversal patterns, particularly the proven crude oil institutional accumulation model. The exceptional width and intensity of institutional volume at current levels suggests this represents a major strategic allocation by smart money participants. Critical Structure Validation: Institutional Floor: $2.90 represents absolute lower boundary of smart money positioning Volume Point of Control: $3.05 shows peak institutional activity within accumulation zone Conviction Level: Volume density indicates highest institutional commitment in analyzed market set Risk Definition: Clear institutional boundaries provide precise risk management parameters Seasonal and Fundamental Context Seasonal Dynamics Supporting Institutional Positioning: September-October: Transition into heating season demand Storage injection season ending: Supply/demand dynamics shifting Winter weather preparation: Industrial and residential demand increases Power generation demand: Continued baseload electricity requirements --- Execution Chart Technical Analysis Current Technical Configuration - BULLISH ALIGNMENT DEMA Analysis - CONFIRMED BULLISH SIGNAL: Black Line (Fast DEMA 12): Currently at $3.14 Orange Line (Slow DEMA 20): Currently at $3.10 Configuration: Strong bullish crossover confirmed and expanding Trend Bias: Technical momentum strongly bullish, aligned with institutional positioning DMI/ADX Assessment - STRONG TRENDING CONDITIONS: ADX Level: 44+ indicating powerful directional movement +DI vs -DI: +DI clearly dominant over -DI Momentum Direction: Confirming sustained bullish bias Trend Strength: Exceptional ADX reading suggests institutional conviction Stochastic Analysis - MOMENTUM CONFIRMATION: Tactical Stochastic (5,3,3): Bullish configuration with room for extension Strategic Stochastic (50,3,3): Confirming longer-term bullish momentum Divergence Analysis: No negative divergences, clean momentum structure Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Technical Levels: Current Support: $3.075 (DEMA 20 orange line) Key Support: $3.00 (institutional accumulation core) Major Support: $2.95 (institutional floor approach) Immediate Resistance: $3.20 (accumulation zone breakout) Key Resistance: $3.30 (first institutional resistance) Major Resistance: $3.50 (significant distribution zone) --- Trading Scenarios and Setup Criteria Scenario 1: Continuation Long Setup (PRIMARY) Optimal Conditions for Long Entry: DEMA bullish maintenance: Black line remaining above orange line DMI confirmation: +DI sustaining dominance over -DI ADX persistence: Maintaining strong trending conditions above 40 Volume respect: Price holding above $3.00 institutional core Momentum alignment: All timeframes confirming bullish bias Entry Protocol: Primary Entry: Current levels $3.10-$3.15 (within institutional accumulation) Secondary Entry: $3.00-$3.05 on any pullback to core accumulation Position Sizing: Full 2% account risk given exceptional setup quality Stop Loss: Below $2.90 (institutional floor violation) Profit Targets: Target 1: $3.35 (first institutional resistance) - Take 40% profits Target 2: $3.60 (major resistance zone) - Take 30% profits Target 3: $3.80-$4.00 (distribution zone approach) - Trail remaining 30% Scenario 2: Pullback Accumulation Setup (SECONDARY) Conditions for Pullback Entry: Price retracement to $3.00-$3.05 core accumulation zone DEMA holding bullish configuration during pullback Stochastic oversold providing tactical entry signal Volume profile respect at institutional support levels Pullback Setup Parameters: Entry Range: $3.00-$3.05 (core institutional accumulation) Stop Loss: Below $2.90 (institutional positioning violation) Targets: Same as primary scenario with enhanced risk/reward Position Sizing: Maximum allocation given superior entry point Scenario 3: Breakout Acceleration Setup (AGGRESSIVE) Breakout Trading Framework: Breakout Level: Above $3.20 (accumulation zone upper boundary) Volume Confirmation: Increased volume supporting breakout move Technical Validation: DEMA gap expansion confirming momentum Momentum Persistence: ADX remaining above 40 with +DI dominance Breakout Parameters: Entry: $3.22-$3.25 on confirmed breakout Stop: Below $3.10 (failed breakout) Accelerated Targets: $3.50, $3.75, $4.00+ Position Management: Trail stops using institutional levels --- Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Guidelines Aggressive Approach (Recommended for NG): Maximum Risk: 2.5% of account (increased allocation due to exceptional setup quality) Contract Calculation: Account Size × 0.025 ÷ (Stop Distance × $10) Example: $100,000 account with $0.25 stop = 1,000 contracts maximum Rationale: Highest conviction setup justifies maximum allocation Stop Loss Hierarchy Tactical Stop: $3.05 (execution chart support) Strategic Stop: $2.95 (institutional accumulation boundary) Emergency Stop: $2.85 (institutional floor violation) Profit Management Framework Systematic Profit Taking: First Target (40%): Lock in profits at institutional resistance Second Target (30%): Capture extended move through distribution zones Final Position (30%): Trail for potential acceleration beyond $4.00 Trail Stop Method: Use $0.05 structure chart levels once in profit --- Market Context and External Factors Fundamental Catalysts Supporting Bullish Thesis Supply/Demand Dynamics: Storage levels approaching seasonal norms Production discipline from major operators Export capacity utilization supporting demand Power generation baseload requirements Seasonal Factors: Heating season demand preparation (September-October) Industrial consumption patterns shifting higher Weather derivatives market positioning for winter volatility LNG export commitments providing demand floor Technical Market Structure Commitment of Traders Alignment: Commercial hedgers reducing short positions Large speculators building long exposure Small traders exhibiting contrarian pessimism (bullish indicator) Open interest expansion confirming institutional participation --- Monitoring Checklist and Alert Levels Daily Monitoring Requirements DEMA Configuration: Maintain bullish black above orange relationship Institutional Respect: Confirm price behavior above $3.00 core zone Volume Analysis: Monitor for any changes in accumulation patterns External Events: EIA storage reports, weather forecasts, export data Correlation Tracking: Monitor relationship with heating oil and power prices Critical Alert Levels Bullish Escalation Alerts: Break above $3.20 with volume expansion DEMA gap expansion indicating acceleration +DI moving above 40 with ADX persistence above 50 Weather forecasts showing early cold patterns Risk Management Alerts: DEMA bearish crossover (black below orange) Break below $3.00 institutional core support ADX declining below 30 indicating momentum loss Negative storage surprise significantly above expectations --- Strategic Outlook and Conviction Assessment Risk/Reward Analysis Exceptional Setup Characteristics: Risk: $0.25 to institutional floor ($2.90) Reward: $0.50+ to first major resistance ($3.60+) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2:1 minimum, potential 3:1+ Probability Assessment: High (75%+) based on institutional alignment Portfolio Allocation Recommendation Maximum Conviction Positioning Natural Gas represents the highest quality setup in the current market environment. The exceptional alignment between institutional accumulation and technical momentum, combined with supportive seasonal factors, justifies maximum allocation within risk management parameters. This setup exemplifies institutional intelligence-based trading at its finest - clear smart money positioning validated by technical execution signals. Allocation Framework: Primary Portfolio Weight: 35-40% (maximum conviction) Entry Method: Scaled entry over 2-3 trading sessions Hold Period: Expect 2-6 week position duration Exit Strategy: Systematic profit-taking at institutional resistance levels --- Conclusion and Strategic Assessment Natural Gas presents a textbook example of institutional intelligence confirmed by technical momentum. The massive quarterly accumulation zone, combined with validated execution chart signals, creates optimal conditions for systematic position building. Current positioning within the institutional sweet spot offers exceptional risk/reward characteristics with clearly defined parameters for both profit-taking and risk management. Implementation Priority: Immediate action recommended - this setup quality rarely presents itself with such clear institutional validation and technical confirmation. Next Review: Daily monitoring of DEMA configuration and institutional level respect Position Management: Systematic profit-taking protocol with trailing stops at institutional levels --- Important Disclaimer Risk Warning and Educational Purpose Statement This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. All trading and investment decisions are solely the responsibility of the individual trader or investor. Key Risk Considerations: Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors Past performance does not guarantee future results Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating any analysis Leverage can amplify both profits and losses significantly Individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance vary greatly Professional Guidance: Before making any trading decisions, consult with qualified financial advisors, conduct your own research, and ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Methodology Limitations: Volume profile analysis and technical indicators are tools for market assessment but are not infallible predictors of future price movement. Market dynamics include numerous variables that cannot be fully captured in any single analytical framework. The views and analysis presented represent one interpretation of market data and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis and individual judgment.
NYMEX:NG1!
by mxb1961