DXY – The Road to 100 Looks ClearIn my previous analysis on DXY, I mentioned that as long as the 97.60 zone holds, there are strong chances for an upside move and a possible test of the 100 level.
Indeed, the index reversed perfectly from that support area and has now broken above the interim resistance around 98.60, trading close to 99 at the time of writing.
Over the last three sessions, DXY has also completed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, with the neckline breakout confirming the bullish structure.
From here, the path toward the 100 zone appears clear and technically justified.
I maintain a bullish bias for the U.S. Dollar Index, which naturally implies a bearish outlook for EURUSD and GBPUSD in the short term.
Trade ideas
DXY 4H – Possible Head & Shoulders Breakdown (My Bias)I’m watching DXY form a clean Head & Shoulders on the 4H chart. The neckline sits around 99.0 — if price breaks and retests, I expect a move toward 97.5 and possibly 96.0. My invalidation is above 100.2, near the right shoulder. Momentum seems to be fading, hinting at short-term weakness. I’ll wait for confirmation before acting.
⚠️ This isn’t a signal — just my personal bias and thought process on DXY.
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy!
📈 Setup Summary
Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash)
📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀
🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”:
💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage!
🔹 Sample Limit Layers:
• 97.800
• 98.000
• 98.200
(💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!)
🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone”
👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer!
💰 Target Zone (TP):
🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely
💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes!
⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅
🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning
✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure
✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈
✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually
✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs)
Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍
💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY
💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation
💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY
🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY
💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY
💡 Key Tip:
When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭
⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers
👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼
You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭
This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠
Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun
#DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
DXY Target Achieved | Smart Money Model #1 Playing Out PerfectlyHello Billionaires!!
In DXY D1 Projection we know the bullish projection on DXY played out exactly as expected.
Price swept the short-term sell-side liquidity (SSL), filled the IFVG, and then launched upward through the FVG, completing the Model #1 structure.
Currently, price is trading inside the BPR (Balanced Price Range), showing that the target zone has been successfully reached.
🧠 Smart Money Logic:
SSL sweep → Market Structure Shift
IFVG + FVG = Strong Reaccumulation
Price delivered to BPR (Premium Zone)
Model #1 completion confirms bullish delivery
Now I’ll be watching for potential reaction or retracement from this premium zone before the next move develops.
#DXY #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ICT #Forex #Liquidity #BPR #FVG #IFVG
DXY H4 CHARTWe are looking price making a rally targeting the marked supply area of the LTF price structure. It is important to note the many retail traders are coming into the market at this current price area which is late according our strategy.
this rally in price will have a huge impact to the drop of the GOLD which is long over due. We will monitor the price action for better entry given price drops targeting our LTF DEMNAD AREAS.
DXY 30 SEPTEMBER 2025 BEFOREAnticipating the potential for Bullish DXY :
1. Looking for support to form around the key levels within a key trading session , should support fail to form at the key levels price could drop below 91.199
2. Should we get rapid and aggressive movement away from the key level i will target the recent Swing high at 98.605 for profit taking
DXY 1H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
DXY – 2H Chart SetupThe Dollar Index is showing signs of strength after bouncing from the 97.20–97.30 demand zone and reclaiming short-term structure. Price is currently consolidating around 97.55, and holding above this support keeps the outlook bullish.
📈 Bullish Bias:
Above 97.50 support, price is likely to push higher.
Next upside targets are 97.80, then 98.20 – 98.40 key resistance zone.
Retests of the 97.50–97.40 area could provide buy opportunities before the next leg up.
DXY: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.135 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.012 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Will DXY Sustain The Pressure Amid Current Uncertainties?Fundamental approach:
- The US dollar retreated this week, pressured by expectations of continued Fed easing and signs of emerging economic weakness.
- The Fed's latest Beige Book revealed that economic activity remained flat, with increasing layoffs across districts, and middle- to lower-income households reducing their spending, reinforcing dovish expectations. Chair Powell's scheduled remarks and the ongoing government shutdown, which began on 1 Oct, have delayed critical data. The Sep NFP was not released, and the Sep CPI is rescheduled for Fri, 24 Oct, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the dollar's outlook.
- Meanwhile, the euro gained ground as European currencies strengthened against the greenback, with the dollar down around 10% YTD.
- The dollar may face continued downside pressure as markets await the Fed's October 28-29 meeting, where a 0.25% rate cut is widely anticipated. However, delayed economic data releases could inject volatility into near-term trading.
Technical approach:
- DXY is trading within the ascending channel and retesting the support at 98.60. The index is slightly above both EMAs, indicating the upward momentum persists.
- If DXY remains above the key support at 98.60, confluence with the ascending channel's lower bound, the index may rise to retest the psychological resistance at 100.00.
- On the contrary, breaking below the support and both EMAs may prompt the DXY to retest the following support at 97.15.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount ZoneDXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount Zone: bounce or breakdown?
Context (4H | Pre-London | 16 Oct)
Dollar Index is testing a 50% Fibonacci discount zone after an overnight -2 deviation.
Volume remains light, but buyers stepped in near the 98.2 region, defending short-term structure.
Big picture still leans bearish
Technical Map
• Structure: Consolidation within broader bearish context — 4H recovery attempts forming.
• Key Level: 98.2 acting as short-term decision point; deviation off 50% Fib zone.
• Momentum: −2 deviation within 4H range — early shift toward mean reversion.
• Volume: Heavy order flow support beneath 98.0; thin liquidity overhead until 98.6.
Structure overall remains bearish, but short-term momentum favors a corrective bid from the Fibonacci discount zone.
Fundamental Pulse
The Fed minutes gave us a small dip in yields, but the Dollar didn’t flinch — it’s still holding firm.
Sticky inflation keeps the Fed cautious, reinforcing that “higher-for-longer” tone.
Now all eyes turn to today’s CPI at 15:30 EET — the real test for rate expectations.
For now, rates steady, risk tone calm, traders waiting for direction.
Plan (If/Then)
If DXY pushes above 98.6, expect momentum toward the 99.0 zone.
Break below 98.05 reopens path toward 97.6–97.4 support band.
R:R potential ≈ 1 : 3 — solid setup if volatility expands post-CPI.
Stay patient and scale small before the CPI lands.
Mindset Pulse
Observation beats anticipation.
Let price confirm your story, not the other way around.
Stay aligned with structure; one mouse click can cost a narrative.