[Short] Dow 30 (September 21, 2025)Entry: 46256.15
SL: 46288.65
TP: 46191.15
Trying another strategy what I found.
Backtest was done.
Live trade is on.
US30 trade ideas
This may turn down soonThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service
US30We looking for bullish momentum as we still inside the uptrend which results in bullish opportunities as long we are still inside the bullish trend| 1H Timeframe
uptrend It is expected that the resistance area will be broken and the continuation of the upward trend will be formed and will continue until the specified Fibonacci levels.
If the support area is broken, a continuation of the downtrend is possible.
Key Levels & Trend Confirmation – US30US30 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, US30 is holding above the breakout zone (46,177 – 46,214), showing early signs of continuation.
Key levels:
46,214 → first support on the low time frame. Holding this level keeps bullish momentum intact.
46,177 → important confirmation level for the main uptrend. If US30 closes below this, it could trigger a deeper pullback.
As long as price holds above these zones, US30 remains in a bullish structure with potential to push higher.
Downside risk: A breakdown below 46,177 would invalidate the current momentum and open space for correction toward 45,796 support.
Major cycle level: 41,097 remains the cycle start and must-hold support in the bigger picture. Losing this level would shift the cycle to red.
📌 Summary
Above 46,214 – 46,177 → bullish continuation remains in play.
Break below 46,177 → correction risk, watch 45,796 as next support.
Cycle start at 41,097 → key long-term level to keep the broader bullish cycle alive.
US30 4H📊 Dow Jones (4H) Analysis
The Dow just broke through the 45,700 resistance and is now pulling back to retest that same level as support.
✅ Key points:
The 45,700 zone, which acted as resistance before, could flip into strong support now.
Fibonacci retracements (0.5 & 0.618) line up right in this area, adding more confluence.
The ascending trendline and moving average are also sitting below price, keeping the bullish structure intact.
🎯 Targets:
Short-term: 46,200 – 46,400
Medium-term (measured move from the ascending triangle): 47,000 – 47,200
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price loses the 45,500 – 45,600 zone, we could see a deeper correction back to 45,000 – 45,200.
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📌 Summary:
As long as the pullback into 45,700 holds, the bullish scenario stays in play and higher targets remain on the table.
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🔥 What do you think? Is this just a clean retest before a push to 47,200, or will the Dow drop back below support?
US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast📊 US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast 🔮
Closing Price: 46,279.7 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔥 Technical Outlook (Intraday + Swing)
⏱ Intraday Analysis (5m – 4H)
✅ Buy Zone: 46,050 – 46,150 🎯
🚀 Upside Targets: 46,420 → 46,580 → 46,750 🏆
❌ Sell Zone: 46,600 – 46,700 📉
📉 Downside Targets: 46,380 → 46,200 → 45,950 ⚠️
🔔 Watch for MA Golden Cross & VWAP bounce intraday.
📆 Swing Trading Analysis (Daily – Weekly)
🛡 Major Support: 45,800 – 45,500 🪙
📈 Swing Buy Entry: 45,600 – 45,800
🎯 Swing Bullish Targets: 46,950 → 47,320 → 47,900 🌟
📉 Swing Sell Entry: Below 45,480 ❗
🎯 Swing Bearish Targets: 45,200 → 44,780 → 44,350 🕳
📚 Methodology Applied
📌 Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders ⚠️, potential Bull Trap 🚨.
📌 Harmonics & Fib Levels: 0.618 pullback aligns near 45,950.
📌 Elliott Wave Count: Wave 3 extension may still be active 🔄.
📌 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo = bullish bias ☁️✅.
📌 Wyckoff: Distribution signals visible at 46,700 zone 🏦.
📌 RSI: 63 intraday → nearing overbought, but not extreme.
📌 Bollinger Bands: Upper band hit near 46,750 = resistance 🎯.
📌 VWAP: Anchored VWAP support ~46,100 = key intraday pivot.
⚖️ Market Context
📰 US Fed stance & inflation numbers remain catalysts.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions add volatility risk.
💵 Dollar Index strength can cap upside.
🎯 Trading Plan Summary
📊 Intraday Bias: Range-bound → Scalps between 46,100 – 46,700.
🚀 Swing Bias: Bullish above 45,800, bearish below 45,500.
🔑 Risk Mgmt: Always apply SL 80–120 pts (intraday) & 200–300 pts (swing).
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes 📚. Trade with discipline, risk management, and DYOR 🔍.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
XAUUSD long idea for 4hr playout looking at this setup to playout as we seem to be in CSD range and are coming from the lower bands of the CSD. Next two sessions should play out with something like this.
US30 (Dow Jones) Update
US30 (Dow Jones) Update
✅ Reversal entry played out perfectly from support around 45,750.
🎯 Target zone at 46,433 reached with precision.
📌 Clean bullish move respecting market structure – trade delivered perfect results.
📊 Professional Technical Style
US30 respected the reversal zone around 45,750 and pushed higher in line with expectations. Price action confirmed the bullish structure, leading to a strong rally into the 46,433 resistance area, successfully hitting target. A textbook reversal setup that delivered clean results.
Dow Jones is back in playThe rotation from tech stocks back to the industrial sector is the main trend in late September: Dow Jones gets back in play. The price consolidates in the ascending wedge, and ready to break it to the upside as shown on the chart, with a potential target area above $48000.
The alternative scenario would be a false breakout with a continuation of a consolidation and another attempt to break it closer to PCE index publication on September 25th, 2025.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage yoru risk.
US30 LONG SETUP Price has successfully broken into a new level 46.. First test of new support was clean and now we looking for a second test as it continues with an up trend
US30_push_46 625US30_push_46 625
this was something we noticed
lets see of the push to the 50% Q4 level, .. also just above a key level of 46 500, what some might call a mid-points
what we have seen is that the TRUMP markets favours the light blue lines / 50% q4'rs
lets see; how this plays.
DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46415
Resistance Level 2: 46640
Resistance Level 3: 46860
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45600
Support Level 3: 45360
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Dow projections after yesterday's rate cutEverything is mentioned in chart.
This is my Elliott Wave breakdown of the Wave 5 cycle rally from my last year's projections.
Most probable scenario (Rates remain unchanged)Ever since my last year's downward correction projection on Dow, the market has been steadily going upward forming our wave 5.
For past couple weeks, I have been monitoring the Expanding Triangle forming in market ever since the major RSI drop in July downward swing, which was our wave C.
22 August was the day most people like me were expecting the drop in market which would have been our Wave E, but since the GDP news pumped the market turning an ABC zigzag into an Impulse with the 5th wave being the pump upon news release, the wave D was hence prolonged and we had to wait for another 5 wave structure to complete the wave D zig-zag as shown in the image below.
Now, we can see that even though wave D has traced more than 200% of wave B, it is still a valid Triangle. The ending diagonal further strengthens this scenario to play out.
Even though this scenario's success is dependent upon the news, which is impossible to predict. The price action so far we have seen along with the GDP and other news reports suggest that even though market is highly anticipating 25 basis points cut or even 50 basis points, the likelihood of Interest rates remaining unchanged is still very high because the US economy is still strong and does not necessarily require rate cuts yet.
After this wave E, we can enter our usual end of year pump.
US30 US30 is bullish.
Trading above last week’s open.
Momentum is pushing higher highs.
US30 is showing a bullish bias, trading comfortably above last week’s open. The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong upward momentum. Pullbacks to key levels, like the current week open, may offer good entry opportunities in line with the trend.
Dow Jones: Market Ready for a New Upward ImpulseMarket Overview:
The Dow Jones Index is holding above the key support zone of 45,100–45,200, forming a bullish structure. After a consolidation phase, the index is showing signs of an upside breakout.
Technical Signals:
Fibonacci levels point to potential growth toward 46,100, 46,350, and 46,700.
EMA 144 supports the bullish scenario, staying below the current price.
AO indicator is turning positive, confirming strengthening bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support: 45,100 – 45,200
Resistance: 46,100 – 46,700
Scenario:
The main scenario remains bullish — if the index consolidates above 45,600, we expect growth toward 46,100–46,700. The alternative scenario is a breakdown below 45,100, which could lead to a move toward 44,800.
US30 LONG/BUY Hello there
Looks like a high probability trade is forming on US30
1. Regular flat formation
2. MACD divergence 1HR TF forming
3. 3 WAVE corrective structure
4. 61.8 FIB retracement of impulsive move
Strategy: Entry at 61.8 FIB retracement entry
Entry: Current Market Price/ 45641 (little gap left)
Stop Loss: 45391
Take Profit: 46300
Trade with care
God Bless you
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello everyone who reads this,
The big question on everyone’s mind: Which way will the FOMC interest rate decision send stocks and gold?
Here’s my two cents and how I plan to approach it.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m seeing rising wedges on both the Dow Jones and the S&P500 across multiple timeframes. Rising wedges typically lean bearish.
Dow Jones: To play it safe, I’ll wait for a break + retest. If it breaks down, I’ll wait for the retest and then look to go short and vice a versa on the long side.
FOMC generally causes a lot of volatility and I don't want to get whipsawed around, hence I am taking a more conservative approach by trading the retest, which might only happen tomorrow.
S&P500: The hourly rising wedge has already broken to the downside. On the retest, I’ll be watching for short setups. If the retest holds, it would also confirm a double top, which adds further confluence.
If stocks break down on FOMC, expect BTC and alts to feel the pressure.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! It would be great to hear what your thoughts are about the interest rate decision and what trades you are looking at. Lets make money together!
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
dowjones must goes to 46047Based on the analysis, Dow Jones has the potential to continue its upward movement from the 45,868 range. The price level of 45,809 serves as a warning zone for this decision.
If this area holds, the target could reach the peak of 46,100. CMCMARKETS:US30
DOW JONES (US30): Your Plan to Trade FOMC Today
US30 keeps coiling on a recently broken daily key resistance
that turned into a support after a breakout.
To buy the market with confirmation after today's rate decision,
concentrate your attention on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its neckline and a 4H candle close above 46850
will provide a reliable signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to a current structure high then - 46087.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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US30 Consolidates Ahead of Fed – Key Range 46,000 to 45,680US30 – Technical Overview
The Dow Jones continues to consolidate between 46,000 and 45,680 as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s guidance on inflation, labor-market softness, and tariff risks—factors that could spark a breakout from the current range.
Technical Outlook
📉 Support test
Price remains inside a consolidation zone and is expected to retest 45,680 before attempting a rebound.
📈 Bullish continuation
A bounce from support could drive price back to 46,000, with a breakout above this level targeting 46,125.
A sustained move above 46,125 would open the path for a new ATH near 46,250 → 46,430, especially if the Fed signals a more dovish stance.
Key Levels
Pivot: 45,910
Resistance: 46,000 – 46,125 – 46,250
Support: 45,680 – 45,500
previous idea:
