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Nasdaq Short: Peak Confirmed; Bear Market ConfirmedIt is now clear that the bull market ended on 30th Oct and that we have already seen the first completed wave down for Nasdaq that unfolded in clear 5-wave structure. The sub-waves also showed clear 5-wave structure themselves. We are currently in a wave 2 retracement that is facing the first real support-turned-resistance. However, take note that wave 2 can technically go all the way up to the start of wave 1 without invalidating the idea. So look out for reversal signal or confirmation before you short.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by yuchaosng
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX) Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge. The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams. Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative. Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders. Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal: 1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names. 2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated. 3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism. 4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth. Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution. The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980. Key Technical Levels: • Immediate Support: 25,000 • Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980 • Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700 Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by SufiyanShabbirGangdani
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards our buy entry at 24,841, which is a swing low support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level. The stop loss is at 24,664, which is a swing low support level, while the take profit is at 25,102, which is a pullback resistance level. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
NDQ100 (15M) Bullish Analysis. (SMC)🧩 Market Context After a strong bearish move marked by a 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), the market started to show institutional accumulation. A Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BOS) confirm a shift to bullish momentum. The identified Order Block (OB) acts as a key mitigation point supported by a well-defined support zone. 💥 Entry Idea • Buy: 25,124 • Stop-Loss: 24,979 • Take-Profit: 25,530 • Risk/Reward: 1 : 2.6 After a Fake Out (bearish liquidity trap), price shows strong bullish reaction, indicating institutional intention to mitigate the OB and reach the Buy-Side Liquidity above. 📊 Technical Confirmations • The SMA starts to act as a dynamic support. • Rejection from the OB validates structure change. • The target (25,530) aligns with a distribution zone and liquidity pool, perfect for partial or full take-profit exits. 🧭 Conclusion Clean structure, strong institutional logic, and confluences in harmony. This setup illustrates the accumulation → mitigation → distribution sequence, where the market sweeps liquidity before expanding upward. A perfect example of professional market reading. 🚀 GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾🤓✌🏻
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by Fonseca87
Nasdaq’s Battle at the Golden Support!On the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) chart, the index has pulled back after a strong rally to around 26,000, now testing a critical support zone near 25,000–25,200. This area is technically significant because it aligns with three key factors: 1. The main ascending trendline (blue line) 2. The 50-day moving average 3. A previous horizontal support level In the short term, if the index holds above 25,000 and forms a bullish reversal candle, it could rebound toward the next resistance around 26,200–26,500. The stop loss for this bullish scenario would be a confirmed breakdown below 24,800. However, if the price drops below 24,800 and stays there, a deeper correction toward 23,800–24,000 becomes likely — which aligns with the lower boundary of the medium-term channel. From a long-term perspective, as long as the index trades above its 50-day moving average (currently around 20,300), the primary trend remains bullish, with potential upside targets between 27,000 and 28,000. In short, this current zone represents the dividing line between trend continuation and a medium-term correction for the Nasdaq 100.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by isahebdadi
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What I’m Watching Next📈 On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. 🟩 The buyers are showing strength, and I’ll be looking to capitalize on this momentum — but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. 🔁 However, patience is key. ⏳ I’ll only look to engage if today’s New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position. As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, we’ll simply abandon this setup and move on — staying disciplined is crucial. 🚫 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq 100 – A Quiet Accumulation Before the Next PushThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is showing early signs of a structural rebalancing after the recent correction. Price is currently hovering near 25,600, retracing modestly after a short-term rebound from the 25,280 demand zone — a level where Smart Money seems to have re-entered quietly. 💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – A Story of Displacement and Repricing The current chart reveals a clear Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a corrective pullback. After the previous sell-off, price found support at the 25,280 – 25,300 range — a discount zone aligning with both an order block and a trendline confluence. This zone likely served as institutional demand, where Smart Money began accumulating long positions before the upward displacement. The recent retracement, however, remains within a corrective structure, meaning we could still see one more liquidity sweep before the market decides its next major leg. 🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – The Footprints of Institutions Karina is currently tracking three zones that matter most to the structure: Demand Zone: 25,280 – 25,300: The base of institutional accumulation and current structural support. Supply Zones: 25,970 – 26,160: A major bearish order block where Smart Money previously distributed positions — likely the next liquidity target. The most probable scenario: a retest of the lower demand → a liquidity grab → bullish displacement toward 25,970 – 26,160 → reversal back to equilibrium. 🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Flow – The Path of Least Resistance Above the current range lies buy-side liquidity resting at 26,000+, while below, sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 25,280. This suggests that the next move could be an engineered push upward — designed to collect liquidity above 25,970 – 26,160 before potential continuation back into the demand zone. Such a move would mirror the classic SMC liquidity cycle: Accumulate → Displace → Manipulate → Distribute. 🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Patience Before Precision Karina’s bias for the day is moderately bullish, anticipating a short-term expansion toward the upper liquidity pool. However, she remains cautious — waiting for confirmation near the demand zone before entering long. Buy Idea: Entry: 25,280 – 25,300 Stop Loss: below 25,200 Target 1: 25,970 Target 2: 26,160 If the liquidity sweep at 26,160 completes, Karina expects a controlled retracement — a potential short setup back into equilibrium around 25,400. 🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Whispers, Smart Money Listens The chart right now feels calm, methodical — like the quiet before a decisive wave. Smart Money rarely rushes. It absorbs, manipulates, and moves when most traders stop paying attention. For Karina, this is one of those moments where patience becomes the most powerful strategy. The next move will not be random — it will be precise, intentional, and elegant, just like the rhythm of liquidity itself 🌙 This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice. How do you see the US100’s next move? Is Smart Money gearing up for another liquidity sweep above 26k? Let’s discuss below 💬
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Karina_ilina