why Us100 will Target 25800why Us100 will Target 25800
Order Flow Legs in 15 M Chart
Swing Low
CHOCH
FVG
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NAS100 Intraday Technical AnalysisNAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
Nasdaq 100 at 25,454 (2:05 PM UTC+4) — multi-chart confluences signal breakout setup.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact; Gann Square-of-9 vibration levels 25,520/25,320.
🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
1D: Broadening wedge; RSI 63 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 25,180; bullish engulfing pattern intact.
4H: Rising wedge 25,280-25,520; Elliott Wave (3) mid-extension; anchored VWAP from Oct 29 = 25,180 (buy anchor).
1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base at 25,360; BB expanding; VWAP reclaimed post-morning dip.
30M: Symmetrical triangle; hidden bull divergence (RSI higher lows); volume contracting pre-breakout.
15M: Bull flag over 25,340; Tenkan>Kijun bullish; stochastic RSI reset—ready for push.
5M: Falling wedge retest 25,420; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch bull trap on volume weakness.
🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP
Entry: 25,360-25,390 (VWAP + flag support) — wait for bullish 15M close above 25,380.
Stop Loss: 25,300 (below symmetrical triangle base).
Target 1: 25,480 (+26 pips).
Target 2: 25,540 (+86 pips).
Target 3: 25,620 (+166 pips — harmonic alt bat PRZ).
Confirmation: RSI >55, volume >20% of 20-day avg, VWAP slope upward.
⚡ MOMENTUM ADD-ON: Scale above 25,520 ONLY if RSI>65 & volume surge confirmed; trail stop to 25,460 once first target prints.
🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP
Entry: 25,600-25,640 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
Stop Loss: 25,700 (above rising wedge).
Targets: 25,500 → 25,420 → 25,320 (Gann support).
Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
🚨 BREAKOUT & BREAKDOWN ALERTS:
BULL: 1H close >25,540 confirms Wave (3) extension; target 25,720; move stop to BE+20.
BEAR: 1H close <25,300 with volume expansion opens 25,180 cloud base test; watch VWAP support.
📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) expanding; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope UP; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (bullish stack).
⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat completes 25,620; rising wedge failure <25,320 = Wyckoff UTAD signal; H&S only valid if neckline 25,260 breaks.
📈 TIMING & RISK: Gann 90° window 15:30 UTC; ATR(14)=90 pts; CPI whispers & Fed speakers elevate volatility. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock partials; avoid sub-average volume chases.
Educational purposes only. Align with your plan, manage risk, adapt to real-time action.
SHORT UNTIL LATE APRIL 2026OUR OBSERVATION
NASDAQ made three significant tops in its price action from 2009 to the present in a sequence of an expanding Phi.
February 2020 High = 9736.57 (This is the 1.0 growth level divided into a Log function)
(9736.57 / 10^4) = 0.973657 (Equivalent to 3/3 = 1.0)
November 2021 High = 16764.86
(16764.86 / 10^4) = 1.676486 ( This is the 5/3 Fibonacci sequence or a variation of 1.618)
Current High at 27th October 2025 = 26182.10
(26182.10 / 10^4) = 2.618210 (This level indicates the 8/3 growth sequence or 2.618 level)
TRADE PLAN
If we project a sequence of thirds, (1/3, 2/3, 3/3), then the three tops from 2009 made an expanding sequence along 3/3, 5/3, and 8/3 nodal points , at 9736.57, 16764.86 and 26182.10 levels respectively. Each node effected a correction, and by projection, we expect price to correct steadily until late April 2026. (1,2,3,5,8...) points form the price tops. The zone between 26182.1 and 26880.XX will be our confluence zone to expect a decline.
We projected the 27th October top as far back as April 2025, where we mentioned a broader cross assets decline. If we compare NASDAQ's price to SP-500 and DJIA, then we can create a larger sequence pattern. SP-500 top reached 6920.34 being 2/3 on the sequence while DJIA reached 48040.64, the 13/3 node. Several markets reaching tops at the same time cooks a sharp long decline. Therefore, we will keep short entries for all three markets until the tops break.
NOTE: We do not trade news effects, we only trade measurable facts the charts indicate. However, we look to the news for signals that add strength to our expectations.
Trade safe, good luck
Nasdaq’s Battle at the Golden Support!On the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) chart, the index has pulled back after a strong rally to around 26,000, now testing a critical support zone near 25,000–25,200. This area is technically significant because it aligns with three key factors:
1. The main ascending trendline (blue line)
2. The 50-day moving average
3. A previous horizontal support level
In the short term, if the index holds above 25,000 and forms a bullish reversal candle, it could rebound toward the next resistance around 26,200–26,500. The stop loss for this bullish scenario would be a confirmed breakdown below 24,800.
However, if the price drops below 24,800 and stays there, a deeper correction toward 23,800–24,000 becomes likely — which aligns with the lower boundary of the medium-term channel.
From a long-term perspective, as long as the index trades above its 50-day moving average (currently around 20,300), the primary trend remains bullish, with potential upside targets between 27,000 and 28,000.
In short, this current zone represents the dividing line between trend continuation and a medium-term correction for the Nasdaq 100.
Nasdaq Towards New All Time High, Buy-Stop TradeNasdaq bounced back upward after testing its support. Now going up, likely to make a new ATH.
We can take a 1:1 Buy trade here.
bullish or bearish continuation Idea for todaygoing down
Based on 1 hour trend reversal
Im only writing this because trading view wants more of a description
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What I’m Watching Next📈 On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. 🟩 The buyers are showing strength, and I’ll be looking to capitalize on this momentum — but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. 🔁
However, patience is key. ⏳ I’ll only look to engage if today’s New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position.
As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, we’ll simply abandon this setup and move on — staying disciplined is crucial. 🚫
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Nasdaq 100 – A Quiet Accumulation Before the Next PushThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is showing early signs of a structural rebalancing after the recent correction. Price is currently hovering near 25,600, retracing modestly after a short-term rebound from the 25,280 demand zone — a level where Smart Money seems to have re-entered quietly.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – A Story of Displacement and Repricing
The current chart reveals a clear Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a corrective pullback.
After the previous sell-off, price found support at the 25,280 – 25,300 range — a discount zone aligning with both an order block and a trendline confluence.
This zone likely served as institutional demand, where Smart Money began accumulating long positions before the upward displacement.
The recent retracement, however, remains within a corrective structure, meaning we could still see one more liquidity sweep before the market decides its next major leg.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – The Footprints of Institutions
Karina is currently tracking three zones that matter most to the structure:
Demand Zone:
25,280 – 25,300: The base of institutional accumulation and current structural support.
Supply Zones:
25,970 – 26,160: A major bearish order block where Smart Money previously distributed positions — likely the next liquidity target.
The most probable scenario: a retest of the lower demand → a liquidity grab → bullish displacement toward 25,970 – 26,160 → reversal back to equilibrium.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Flow – The Path of Least Resistance
Above the current range lies buy-side liquidity resting at 26,000+, while below, sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 25,280.
This suggests that the next move could be an engineered push upward — designed to collect liquidity above 25,970 – 26,160 before potential continuation back into the demand zone.
Such a move would mirror the classic SMC liquidity cycle:
Accumulate → Displace → Manipulate → Distribute.
🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Patience Before Precision
Karina’s bias for the day is moderately bullish, anticipating a short-term expansion toward the upper liquidity pool.
However, she remains cautious — waiting for confirmation near the demand zone before entering long.
Buy Idea:
Entry: 25,280 – 25,300
Stop Loss: below 25,200
Target 1: 25,970
Target 2: 26,160
If the liquidity sweep at 26,160 completes, Karina expects a controlled retracement — a potential short setup back into equilibrium around 25,400.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Whispers, Smart Money Listens
The chart right now feels calm, methodical — like the quiet before a decisive wave.
Smart Money rarely rushes. It absorbs, manipulates, and moves when most traders stop paying attention.
For Karina, this is one of those moments where patience becomes the most powerful strategy.
The next move will not be random — it will be precise, intentional, and elegant, just like the rhythm of liquidity itself 🌙
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
How do you see the US100’s next move? Is Smart Money gearing up for another liquidity sweep above 26k? Let’s discuss below 💬
US100 LONG FROM SUPPORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 25,115.7
Target Level: 26,392.3
Stop Loss: 24,257.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Nasdaq slides as volatility growsNasdaq was pushed down to the local support area, as the sentiment for the stock market has worsened due to a certain degree of deleveraging for stocks and investors moving to safety.
VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) has climbed above 20, which pushes the market’s volatility expectations higher and may trigger nervous reactions for tech stocks. The longest duration of downswings for Nasdaq is about 15-17 days, which allows us to project the downward move to a longer time period, with a further development of the bullish pullback, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
US100 Will target now 25800 Nasdaq is now targeting 25,800, where there are areas of liquidity and also negative order blocks
NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction.
Market Dynamics
The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations.
Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices.
Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%.
The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration.
Macro & Other Drivers
The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%.
Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week).
Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone.
Political Context
Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact.
Takeaway for Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally.
Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens.
Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market?Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market?
ICT OTE Theory defines the .62 retracement of a given range as the Optimum entry for the continuation of the bullish trend. Seeking Liquidity above the previous high.
We can compare this to the supply and demand theory using SMA 10 20 50. The moving averages indicate. Price currently sits below the value area between the 10 and 20 and has reacted off the 50.
Which put us in No mans land.
the 10 & 20 being above the 50 indicate the a bullish Bias.
If we are going bearish then we want to see the 10 & 20 below or crossing the 50 and price below the 50. This would be a strong setup and signal to go short. with price targets of 24224 & 22683.
HTF analysis : The M,W,D charts are still extremely bullish.
Current Sentiment: You tube videos and News reports are warning of a reversal and/or short term bearish move lower.
My Conclusion: WE are Bullish until proven differently. Next week will either support my conclusion or prove otherwise. So Stay flat and/or hedge your current positions to protect yourself the market response.
NAS100 Trade Set Up Nov 4 2025Price is bearish making LH/LL on the 1h and 15m, has already swept BSL/London highs and inverted 15m FVG so i will be looking for sells down to SSL/London lows
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise ConcernsNasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise Concerns
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index gained around 6% in October, supported by several key factors:
→ The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which helped ease tensions in trade relations between the world’s two largest economies.
→ A 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
→ Positive earnings from major tech companies, including a strong report from Alphabet (GOOGL).
However, the market’s behaviour in early November is cause for concern — on the morning of 4 November, the stock index fell to its lowest level in a week. Bearish sentiment is being fuelled by:
→ uncertainty over the timing of the end of the government shutdown;
→ a weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI report, which may reflect the impact of Trump’s tariffs on US industry.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 30 October, we:
→ confirmed the relevance of the upward channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary was showing signs of resistance;
→ drew a steeper trajectory consisting of three orange lines;
→ suggested a profit-taking scenario, in which bears would attempt to push the Nasdaq 100 index down towards the median line of the blue channel.
This scenario has since materialised, as:
→ the median line has repeatedly acted as support (highlighted in blue);
→ the breakout level of the orange lines at 26,120 has turned into a resistance zone.
At present, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading in the lower half of the channel, indicating that the bullish momentum from late October has faded. Bulls might find support near the gap area, reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100 Trade Set Up Nov 3 2025If price trades into PDH first i will wait for internal bearish structure to catch sells down to SSL/London Lows but if price comes to test 1h FVG first and respects it i will look for internal structure to catch buys to PDH
NASDAQ100 HIGH PROBABILITY SETUP SOON!!!🚨 NAS100 HIGH PROBABILITY SELL/BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For US100 Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
US100 Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
US100 looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 25826 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 25982
Recommended Stop Loss - 25749
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NAS BEARISH SETUP Price has broken the ascending channel after rejecting new highs clearly on D1 chart. A fall towards 24.500 is forecast. Early entries a valid now but price might test 25.718 first before it falls
USNAS100 / Fed Caution and Earnings Weigh on MomentumUSNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Futures Stall Near Highs as Fed Turns Cautious 🇺🇸
Wall Street futures held near record levels after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut, as traders weighed Powell’s cautious tone, Big Tech earnings, and a new U.S.–China trade deal.
🔽 Below 26,170: Bearish momentum toward 26,050 → 25,890 → 25,700.
🔼 Above 26,180: Trend turns bullish toward 26,500 → 26,850.
Pivot: 26,170
Support: 26,050 · 25,890 · 25,700
Resistance: 26,300 · 26,500 · 26,850
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,170, though strong tech earnings could trigger short-term upside volatility.
