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NASDAQ Can this 1D MA50 rebound be sustainable?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since May 12 and last week made a double rebound very close to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is technically the latest Higher Low of the pattern and as long as it holds, we should see the new Bullish Leg. The last two major ones rose by roughly +10% each. Given that the 1D RSI also made a Double Bottom on its Support, we remain bullish on Nasdaq, targeting 24800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
Why Markets Never Move in a Straight LineHello, Financial markets, by their very nature, do not move in a straight line. Prices fluctuate, trends develop, and corrections occur along the way. While it is tempting to expect that an upward rally will continue indefinitely, the reality is that markets require pauses and pullbacks to remain healthy. As shown in the chart above markets will always pull back (taking breathers as they move up). One of the primary reasons markets correct is profit-taking. Early investors, who entered positions at lower prices, often choose to lock in gains once prices rise to attractive levels. Their selling creates temporary downward pressure, leading to corrections. This cycle of entry, accumulation, and profit-taking is not a sign of weakness, but rather a natural rhythm of market activity. Corrections also serve a vital purpose: they prevent markets from overheating. Extended rallies without pauses often create unsustainable valuations, increasing the risk of a sharp reversal. By allowing prices to retrace, corrections provide opportunities for new investors to enter at fairer levels and for existing investors to add to their positions more strategically. History consistently shows that long-term market growth is built on a series of advances punctuated by corrections. Even in strong bull markets, prices rarely move in a linear fashion. Instead, they climb higher through a stair-step pattern—rising, correcting, consolidating, and then resuming their upward momentum. For investors, this means corrections should not always be viewed with fear. Instead, they can be seen as opportunities. As Warren Buffett often reminds us, the key is not to follow the crowd into overbought territory but to wait patiently for value. Recognizing that they cannot move in a straight line equips investors with patience and perspective—two of the most valuable traits in successful investing. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECFUEducation
by thesharkke
1
NAS100 - Where will the stock market ?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and has re-entered its ascending channel. If this channel is maintained, its upward path to the specified price target will be possible, but before that, the downward trend line must be broken in a valid way. If the channel is lost, the index's downward path will continue to around 23,000 points. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, delivered in a dovish tone, boosted bullish sentiment in financial markets and sparked a new wave of optimism among Wall Street investors and market participants. Following Powell’s speech, U.S. stock benchmarks surged sharply, with capital flows notably directed into the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies, which jumped 3.86%—its strongest gain since April 9. During his keynote at the Federal Reserve’s annual symposium, Powell implicitly suggested that an interest rate cut could come as soon as next month. At the same time, he warned of rising inflation risks and signs of slower economic growth, stressing that although risks are relatively balanced, the current environment may require an adjustment in monetary policy. He stated: “Given that monetary policy remains in a restrictive stance, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant a reassessment of our policy stance.” Naeem Aslam, chief investment strategist at Zaye Capital Markets, described Powell’s comments as a turning point for markets, saying: “Powell’s dovish tone came as a real surprise to many market participants who did not expect such an approach from the Fed Chair. His remarks were clearly interpreted as a dovish signal.” Following Powell’s comments, traders raised their expectations for a September rate cut. Barclays revised its forecast and now expects the Federal Reserve to deliver two 25-basis-point cuts this year—in September and December. Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings affirmed the U.S. sovereign credit rating at AA+ with a stable outlook, a decision made despite significant political uncertainty. According to Fitch, rising trade tariffs, government spending cuts, stricter border controls, and increased deportations have heightened policy uncertainty, weighing on household consumption and business investment. Fitch projects that the U.S. economy will remain in recession in 2026, growing only 1.5%, as elevated inflation and policy uncertainty continue to dampen consumer spending. However, the agency expects that faster rate cuts that year could boost domestic demand, helping growth rebound to 2.1% in 2027. This week, two key reports are in focus: the second estimate of Q2 GDP and July’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. The initial GDP estimate showed a 3% expansion, and consensus forecasts anticipate confirmation of this figure. In contrast, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a 2.3% growth rate, which, while lower, still points to economic resilience and suggests no urgent need for accelerated rate cuts—even as political pressure from the White House on Powell continues. Notably, GDPNow will be revised on Tuesday ahead of the official release. Inflation data, however, carry greater weight. The core PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, has closely tracked core CPI for the past decade. With July’s core CPI climbing from 2.9% to 3.1%, there is a risk that PCE will follow the same path. Such a scenario would signal persistent inflationary pressures and significantly reduce the likelihood of a second rate cut this year. If these data confirm stronger inflation, the U.S. dollar will likely strengthen further, while equities could come under additional pressure. A slower pace of monetary easing diminishes the present value of future cash flows for growth-oriented companies, explaining why Wall Street’s corrective phase may persist. On the corporate front, Nvidia’s CEO said that the ability to ship its H20 chip to China is highly valuable and poses no national security concerns. He added that the decision to supply a next-generation AI data center chip to China, which will succeed the H20, is not within Nvidia’s direct control. The company is set to report earnings on Wednesday and remains in discussions with the U.S. government, though no resolution has yet been reached. The CEO also mentioned that his brief visit to Taiwan would mainly involve a dinner with TSMC executives. He revealed TSMC’s new “Rubin” architecture, comprising six new chips, and announced that Nvidia will hold its GTC conference in Washington, D.C. for the first time. Separately, Meta has halted AI hiring after onboarding more than 50 specialists with lucrative compensation packages. The freeze affects both new hires and internal transfers, unless personally approved by Alexander Wang, head of AI. In recent months, Meta has reorganized its AI division into four separate teams to advance its “superintelligence” projects. Analysts have warned about rising costs and equity grants, framing the hiring pause as part of broader budget control and organizational restructuring efforts.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 – Strong Bullish Structure Points to 25,000 TargetThe NAS100 has been respecting a clear bullish market structure, forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows since June. After completing an uptrend continuation pattern, the index broke above the resistance area and is now consolidating near a weak high, signaling potential for further upside momentum. 🔹 Market Structure: Bottom 1 → BOS → Bottom 2 → BOS → Bottom 3 formed a solid base for continuation. A strong breakout confirmed the bullish bias. Demand zones have been respected multiple times, showing institutional buying pressure. 🔹 Key Technical Levels: Immediate Resistance: 23,800 – 23,900 Major Target Zone: 25,000 psychological level Support Levels: 23,200 (short-term), 22,800 demand zone, 21,600 major support 🔹 Bullish Outlook: If the price holds above 23,600 and buyers defend the resistance area, we could see a strong rally toward the 25,000 mark. The trend remains bullish unless the market closes below 22,800 demand zone, which would indicate weakness. Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Positive Targets: 25,000 short-to-medium term Risk Level: Moderate.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
8
NAS100 Rejection – Short Setup in PlayAnalysis: NAS100 rejected from trendline resistance and broke below the rising channel, confirming bearish momentum. The rejection zone aligns with previous supply, and price is now pushing lower. Resistance held at 23,450 – 23,500 Break below structure adds confluence to bearish bias Next support area sits around 23,200 – 23,150 Outlook: As long as price stays under the trendline, sellers have the upper hand. A clean close below 23,200 could open the way for deeper downside. 💬 Do you think NAS100 heads lower or finds support here?
IG:NASDAQShort
by Salvatore_x
NAS100 Buy Side Trade IdeaI have entered a buy position on NAS100 after a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline resistance. The price is holding above the Alligator moving averages, showing early bullish momentum. RSI is trading above the 60 level, indicating strengthening buying pressure. My entry is aligned with the breakout structure, with stop-loss placed below the recent support level and target positioned at the next resistance zone. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, anticipating a continuation of upward momentum.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by The_Trading_G3ek
NAS100: BUY OPPORTUNITY AT H4 ORDERBLOCKHello traders Here's my point of view about PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 TECHNICALLY: Price this week was very bullish until today FRIDAY. AS you can see price reached the psychological area of 23.000. Currently, price action seems to reject and print pin bars at the H4 ORDERBLOCK. This is a make-or-break area. As long as we stay ABOVE 23 000 we can consider to look for BUY entries but only if fundamentals, confluences & confirmations. Otherwise, the area will be completely invalidated I personally took a quick buy at the 23 080 AREA. FUNDAMENTALLY: All eyes on TRUMP speech today as well as Jackson Hole Symposium You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
FX:NAS100Long
by AIRFOREXONE_
NASDAQ Outlook – New York SessionFriday's news pushed the market strongly upward, shifting momentum from the bears to the bulls. This week, price action is setting up for continuation. On the chart, we can see a classic bull flag pattern forming. I expect price to dip into the fair value gap, retracing no more than 50%, before resuming its upward movement during the New York session. Bias: Bullish Plan: Look for long opportunities after a clean retrace and confirmation during NY Open.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Maroko86
2
NSDQ100 awaits Fed Powwell's tone at Jackson Hole Key Drivers Powell @ Jackson Hole (10am EST): July FOMC was hawkish on labour, but payroll revisions weaker since → tone today could soften. Market focus: whether Powell leans on labour weakness vs still-solid inflation & activity. Outcome = pivotal for Fed cut expectations and tech valuations. Macro/Policy Noise: Halts & policy risks: immigration and visa restrictions could tighten labour supply, indirectly feeding wage/inflation concerns. NIH funding cuts add fiscal uncertainty. Geopolitical chip tension: Nvidia halting H20 AI chip production under Beijing pressure raises supply-chain risk. Negative for semi names in the NASDAQ-100 (NVDA, AMD, AVGO). US stance on chipmakers: No forced equity stakes → removes one overhang, but policy risk still high. NASDAQ-100 Implications Powell dovish → likely risk-on, tech rally (rate-sensitive growth). Powell hawkish / inflation-first → risk-off, higher yields weigh on big tech multiples. Chip news: Nvidia headline is a near-term drag; could spill over to the semiconductor complex (SOX index). Net read: Short-term cautious bias into Powell due to Nvidia headline + policy noise. Direction after 10am EST depends on Fed tone—dovish shift = upside reversal, hawkish = further pressure on NASDAQ-100. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23480 Resistance Level 2: 23720 Resistance Level 3: 23950 Support Level 1: 23100 Support Level 2: 22985 Support Level 3: 22740 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
6
NAS100USD Analysis – POC Magnet, Demand Zone🔎 Context Price action on NAS100USD is currently trading within a clearly defined range between the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) . Volume Profile highlights a key Point of Control (POC) around 23150 – the price level where the highest amount of trading volume has accumulated in this range. In Smart Money terms, we also have a refined demand zone forming below, with the proximal line aligning closely above the POC. This overlap strengthens the case for the POC acting as a "magnet" and a potential support base. ⚡ Key Levels Value Area High (VAH) : ~23880 – range resistance. Value Area Low (VAL) : ~23010 – range support. POC : ~23150 – high-volume node, magnetic level. Proximal Line : Sitting just above POC, marking the edge of demand. Refined Demand Zone : 22950 – 23050 region. 🏗 Structural Insights A major structural failure occurred earlier near 23880, confirming supply above. Price swept liquidity below 23050 before aggressively reclaiming the range. Current trading sits just above POC and proximal, showing buyers defending. A break and acceptance above 23510 (mid-range) opens the path back to VAH at 23880. ✅ Trade Scenarios Bullish Case (Continuation to VAH) If price sustains above 23516 and holds above the proximal/POC cluster, we can expect a continuation toward VAH (23880). Targets: 23880 (VAH) → potential extension toward swing high. Bearish Case (POC Magnet + Demand Retest) Failure to hold above proximal/POC may drag price back into the POC magnet zone at 23150. If momentum weakens further, a retest of the refined demand zone (22950 – 23050) is likely. Below VAL (23010), imbalance could drive a deeper correction. 📌 Conclusion The confluence of POC (fair value) and proximal demand (structural support) makes 23150 a pivotal level. Holding above it favors a continuation toward 23880 VAH , while a rejection would likely see price revert back to demand. This setup showcases how Volume Profile levels (POC/VAH/VAL) can be combined with SMC concepts (demand zones & structural breaks) to create a high-probability framework. 💡 Trade safe, manage risk, and always wait for confirmations around these key levels before execution.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Apexfx_Alpha