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NAS100Success in forex trading requires a disciplined combination of education, strategy, and risk management. First, thoroughly understand how currency markets work, including technical and fundamental analysis, and stay updated on global economic events. Develop a clear trading plan with defined entry and exit points, and stick to it consistently to avoid emotional decisions. Use proper risk management, never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade, and always set stop-loss orders to limit losses. Practice patience, as consistent profits come over time rather than quick wins, and continuously review and refine your strategies based on performance and market changes.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by HavalMamar
IF THEN SCENARIO BASED OFF 13 OCTOBER ANALYSIS14 OCTOBER 2025: US100 NEUTRAL STANCE AT THIS POINT: Will observe price action to maximize returns across the London and New York trading Sessions. DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
5
NASDAQ NAS100 Trade Plan: VWAP & Volume Profile StrategyI’m currently watching the NASDAQ #100 (#NDX) 📊. After a strong correction due to geopolitical turmoil 🌍, the market rebounded just as aggressively. Right now, price is trading above VWAP 📈. If it stays above VWAP, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity. In the video, we zoom into a 30-minute timeframe ⏱️, using VWAP and Volume Profile to plan the trade. If price respects these levels, we can take a long. If it falls below the support level ❌, we abandon this idea. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
H4 INTRA-DAY IDEAIntra-Day Buy Model Idea DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
1
NASDAQ Faces Downside Risk Amid Tariff and Shutdown UncertaintyUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook Aligned with Fundamentals The Nasdaq 100 fell sharply on Friday, losing nearly 1,200 points within six hours as it retreated from its all-time high. The drop came amid renewed U.S.–China tariff tensions and growing uncertainty from the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed key economic data releases and weighed on sentiment ahead of third-quarter earnings season. Technically, the index is showing clear bearish pressure, and sellers will likely maintain control while the price remains below 23,930. A short-term corrective rebound toward 24,160 – 24,350 is possible before renewed downside momentum. If the price closes a 1H or 4H candle below 23,930, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend, opening the way toward 23,700 → 23,500 → 23,350. Conversely, as long as the index trades above 23,930, limited corrections may occur, but overall bias remains weak under current macro headwinds. Pivot Line: 23,930 Support Levels: 23,700 / 23,500 / 23,350 Resistance Levels: 24,160 / 24,340 / 24,480 Summary: Fundamental headwinds — from tariff threats to the shutdown’s data vacuum — are fueling pressure on tech stocks. Technically, bias stays bearish below 23,930, with a potential correction toward 24,350 before continuation to the downside.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
THE ULTIMATE CHESS MATCH...THE FINANCIAL MARKETSHey hey everybody JosePips here!!! Just wanted to drop a fire video about how we as retail traders should be approaching these markets, what they truly represent, & how we are witnessing the ultimate chess match take place...so let's dive in to what I go through in this video 1. The mindset behind the markets: People & Money 2. What the markets represent: the ultimate chess match 3. The chess match between buyers & sellers 4. The RETAIL ADVANTAGE: 3rd party witnesses 5. The business of the markets 6. How WE as RETAIL participants can UTILIZE this chess match to create our trading/business decisions with PROBABILITY OK guys! I dropped some heat in this video! Hope you all enjoy & REMEMBER...EMOTIONAL trading is not trading..it's just hope :) Cheers!!
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by JosePips
US govt Shutdown Impact on GOLD/BTC/SPX/NDX Overview📊 Scenario analysis Assumed probabilities: 10-day (35%) / 20-day (40%) / 30-day (25%). These skew toward 20–30d expectation while allowing for a compromise CR late next week. 🗓️ 1) 10-day shutdown (quick CR by ~Oct 10) • 🔑 Catalysts: market wobble + travel/FAA headlines + IPO freeze optics force a deal; leadership meeting produces a clean CR. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -3% to -5% drawdown from pre-shutdown highs, then sharp relief. Mega-cap quality outperforms; small-caps lag on SBA loan pause. • 💻 Bitcoin: -3% to -8% (high beta to equities, liquidity cautious); quick snapback if the deal lands and SEC footprint stays light. • 🟡 Gold: +1% to +3%; fades a bit on resolution as real-rate anxiety reasserts. History shows shutdowns aren’t a reliable gold rocket on their own. 🗓️ 2) 20-day shutdown (through ~Oct 20) — “policy fog trade” • 🔑 Catalysts: prolonged policy riders; BEA/Census blackout delays GDP/retail sales; SEC skeletal staff extends IPO drought. Fed guidance leans on forecasts, not fresh data. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -5% to -8%. Factor rotation: low-vol/defensive > cyclicals; brokers/ECM-sensitive names soft; travel/airlines weak on FAA/TSA constraints. • 💻 Bitcoin: -8% to -15% or flat-to-up if “crypto vs. Washington” narrative picks up while enforcement is thin — mixed precedent. This is the most two-sided asset here. • 🟡 Gold: +3% to +6% as uncertainty premia build and central-bank-buying narrative stays intact. Stretching to $3,900–3,950 bullion target likely needs an added shock (ratings rhetoric, geopolitical flare). 🗓️ 3) 30-day shutdown (into late Oct) — “risk-off with rating overtones” • 🔑 Catalysts: political stalemate; louder warnings about governance; issuance continues but optics around fiscal sustainability bite. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -7% to -12%; HY spreads widen; VIX spikes; defensives/quality lead. • 💻 Bitcoin: -15% to -25% on de-risking and liquidity run-down unless regulatory paralysis creates a “wild west” window and ETF inflows offset — low probability but non-zero. • 🟡 Gold: +5% to +10%. A test of new cycle highs is plausible; hitting ~$3,900 quickly would likely require a ratings/FX scare, not just a shutdown. ________________________________________ 🧭 What’s different this time • 📉 Data blackout = policy uncertainty: Delays to GDP/retail sales/trade stats complicate Fed read-throughs — markets price fatter uncertainty premia. • 📜 Regulatory throttle: SEC/CFTC “skeletal staff” → IPO drought and slower filings (headwind to brokers/ECM), even as EDGAR stays up. • ✈️ Real-economy micro-pain points: FAA hiring/training halted → travel frictions; SBA lending paused → small-cap cash flow stress. • ⚠️ Ratings optics: After Moody’s downgrade, governance headlines cut deeper than in prior shutdowns. ________________________________________ 🤹 Contrarian angles 1. 🪙 “Bad data is no data” rally: If key prints are delayed, the market extrapolates a dovish Fed trajectory → curve bull-steepening and equities rally on rates, overpowering shutdown angst. 2. 💻 Crypto resilience: A lighter-touch SEC during a lapse can reduce headline risk; BTC has rallied during a shutdown before, though not consistently. 3. 🟡 Gold stall: If real yields back up on supply/duration worries rather than down on growth fear, gold can underperform despite the shutdown — history shows no clean positive beta. 4. 📈 Buy-the-resolution pop: Equities’ median post-shutdown performance is positive at 3–6 months — setting up a tactical sell the rumor / buy the cease-fire template. ________________________________________ 💡 Trades & risk management tactical, 2–6 weeks 📉 Equities (SPX/NDX) • 🛡️ Hedge now, monetize spikes: 4–6 week put spreads on SPX/NDX (≈25Δ/10Δ) sized for a -6–8% path; roll down if we breach the first support zone. Consider VIX 1–2M calls as convex tail protection. • 🔄 Pairs/tilts: Underweight ECM-sensitive brokers; overweight staples/health-care utilities; short airlines vs. travel alternatives until FAA constraints clear. 💻 Bitcoin • 🛡️ De-gear & collar: Reduce leverage; implement collars (sell 10–15Δ OTM calls to finance 20–25Δ puts). If we gap lower into -10% territory quickly, look to sell downside skew and pivot to short-dated call spreads into resolution. 🟡 Gold • 📈 Own upside, respect mean-reversion: Use GLD call spreads (1–2M) targeting +4–8% with limited theta. $3,900–$3,950 bullion target is a stretch on shutdown alone; size for base-case +3–6% unless a ratings/geopolitical catalyst emerges. 📉 Small-caps / credit • 🛑 IWM vs. QQQ underweight (SBA bottlenecks); keep HY credit hedged via CDX HY or HYG puts into Day 15+. ________________________________________ 🔍 Levels & signposts to watch • 🏛️ Policy tape: Any Senate movement on a “clean” CR; signs of healthcare rider compromise. • 📅 Data calendar: Official notices on jobs/CPI/GDP timing (BLS/BEA/Census). A confirmed delay → more policy fog premium. • ✈️ Micro stress: FAA/TSA updates; SEC operating status for registrations; SBA loan queue. • ⚠️ Ratings rhetoric: Any agency commentary tying shutdown length to governance risk. ________________________________________ 📝 Bottom line • 📉 Base path: A -5–8% equity drawdown with gold +3–6% and BTC -8–15% is the modal 2–4 week outcome if we run ~20 days. • ⚠️ Tail path: At 30 days, governance optics + data blackout can push SPX/NDX -7–12%, BTC -15–25%, gold +5–10%. • 🔄 Contrarian risk: A quick CR or a “no data → dovish” impulse squeezes shorts — be ready to pivot to a buy-the-resolution stance.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
31
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers Summary: Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in. Logic: CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment. But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth. With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025. Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations. Scenario Outlook: If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two. That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names. NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again. Trading View: Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally). Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode. Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰 📊 Asset Overview NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup 🔍 Technical Foundation Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up. Current Market Structure: We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead. 💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏 This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry: Entry Layers (Limit Orders): 🎯 Layer 1: 24,800 🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level) 🎯 Layer 3: 25,200 🎯 Layer 4: 25,400 Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively. Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes. 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss Zone: 24,600 ⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk! 🎯 Profit Target Primary Target: 26,000 Why this level? Strong historical resistance zone Overbought territory on multiple timeframes Potential bull trap formation area Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels ⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar: 📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows 📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum 📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction 📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting 📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative 📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves 📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks 📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors! ⚡ Key Technical Points ✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift ✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels ✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream) ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning ✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive ⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations. 🎭 The Thief's Final Words "In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎 This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us. 📢 Community Support ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The-Thief
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG: This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that): - Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery. DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
1