Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰
📊 Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
🔍 Technical Foundation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
🎯 Layer 1: 24,800
🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
🎯 Layer 3: 25,200
🎯 Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
⚡ Key Technical Points
✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
🎭 The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
📢 Community Support
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
Trade ideas
NSDQ100 ahead of US CPI Geopolitics dominated sentiment over the past 24 hours, setting the tone for today’s NASDAQ 100 session.
Market backdrop:
Fresh US sanctions on Russian oil sparked a surge in energy prices, with Brent crude posting its largest two-day gain since 2022. The move drove a sell-off in global bonds, as 10yr US Treasury yields rose +5.1bps, their biggest daily increase in over a month, ahead of the long-delayed September CPI report.
Despite the rise in yields, equities held firm, buoyed by improved risk appetite. The NASDAQ 100 gained +0.58%, supported by renewed optimism in the tech sector and positive sentiment following the White House confirmation of a Trump–Xi meeting next week, which helped temper trade war concerns.
Drivers for today:
US CPI (September) – the first major data point since the government shutdown. A softer print could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut next week, while a stronger reading risks unsettling both bonds and high-valuation tech names.
Geopolitical dynamics – Markets remain sensitive to any new developments in the US–China trade narrative and Russia sanctions, which continue to drive energy and inflation expectations.
Tech sentiment – Optimism in large-cap tech remains supportive, though rising yields could limit upside momentum.
Commodities:
Gold is on track to end its nine-week rally, down over 3% this week as investors rotate out of safe havens amid hopes of easing geopolitical tensions.
Outlook:
The NASDAQ 100 enters the session on firmer footing, with risk appetite improving thanks to trade optimism. However, volatility is likely around the CPI release, which will be the key determinant for near-term Fed policy and tech sector performance.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25350
Resistance Level 2: 25466
Resistance Level 3: 25600
Support Level 1: 24917
Support Level 2: 24700
Support Level 3: 24400
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish.
On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area.
From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside.
📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
22 OCT 2025: MARKET RECAP WITHIN DAILY PROFILEObserve how price delivered according to 20 OCT WEEKLY OUTLOOK
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Nas100 caught in the crossfire – US–China trade fears returnToday's sentiment
After Tuesday’s pullback, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious defensiveness. Yesterday’s decline was driven by renewed fears of US–China trade tensions after reports suggested Washington may impose new export restrictions on software-related products, sparking concern over supply-chain disruptions and rekindling risk aversion across global markets.
Today, sentiment remains fragile. Investors are still broadly optimistic about tech and AI-driven growth, but the willingness to chase the market higher has faded with the index sitting near record highs. The lack of new macro data due to the ongoing US government shutdown adds to uncertainty, leaving traders highly reactive to headlines.
Overall, the Nas100’s tone is structurally bullish but tactically cautious, the broader uptrend remains intact, yet momentum is vulnerable to any fresh trade-war headlines or disappointing corporate results.
4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This is the current all-time high region and the market’s strongest resistance. Price has tested this area several times but failed to sustain a breakout, indicating that sellers remain active and liquidity is being absorbed here. Until buyers manage to close decisively above this zone with strong volume, it remains a heavy supply level likely to trigger short-term rejections or liquidity grabs.
Zone 2: Intraday Supply / Seller Reaction Zone
This zone represents the area where sellers stepped in yesterday, driving the market lower from its upper range. It acts as a short-term resistance and could serve as a retest level if the price attempts another push higher. If buyers reclaim this zone with momentum, it would open the door for another test of the all-time high (Zone 1). However, repeated failures here could confirm seller strength and reinforce the current consolidation phase.
Zone 3: Asia Session Low
This area was defended during the Asian session and marks a near-term demand pocket. The strong rebound from this level shows that buyers are still willing to step in aggressively on dips. Holding above Zone 3 keeps the short-term structure bullish. If it breaks, however, the next area of interest lies at Zone 4.
Zone 4: Yesterday’s Low
This zone represents the lower boundary of the current structure — yesterday’s low and the last significant area of demand before a deeper retracement. It’s a strong liquidity zone where buyers previously absorbed selling pressure. A break below would signal a shift in sentiment and could trigger a move toward 24,500 or lower.
#NDQ - Short-term Range $26,216 - $23,709 | 1000 Points Move?Date: 22-10-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: $24,963.00
Pivot Point: $24,963.07 Support: $24,660.03 Resistance: $25,267.90
Upside Levels:
L1: $25,473.73 L2: $25,679.55 L3: $25,948.23 L4: $26,216.91
Downside Levels:
L1: $24,453.31 L2: $24,246.59 L3: $23,977.91 L4: $23,709.23
#TradingView #Nifty #BankNifty #DJI #NDQ #SENSEX #DAX #USOIL #GOLD #SILVER
NSDQ100 Focus today on key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP)Tech stocks held steady yesterday, with the Nasdaq 100 little changed, as broader markets consolidated near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.003%) and STOXX 600 (+0.21%) both hovered just below their recent peaks, while the 10yr US Treasury yield slipped to a one-year low of 3.96%, supporting equity valuations.
The session’s standout move came from commodities, where gold (-5.3%) and silver (-7.1%) suffered their sharpest single-day declines in years, despite lower yields that would normally support precious metals. The drop appeared to be a technical correction after gold’s exceptional rally this year (+57% YTD).
On the macro front, sentiment was mixed. The US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, now the second longest in history, with few signs of resolution as President Trump urged Senate Republicans to hold firm. Meanwhile, Trump’s comments on trade offered some optimism — he suggested talks with China’s Xi Jinping could produce a “good deal,” though a meeting remains unconfirmed.
In corporate news, Anthropic and Google are reportedly discussing a multi-billion-dollar cloud computing deal, underscoring ongoing AI infrastructure investment — a potential positive for large-cap tech sentiment. Conversely, Apple faced minor headwinds amid reports that its foldable iPad project has hit development delays.
Overall:
The Nasdaq 100 remained stable as investors balanced easing yields, positive AI-sector momentum, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. Focus today will turn to key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP) and macro data for directional cues.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25200
Resistance Level 2: 25350
Resistance Level 3: 25466
Support Level 1: 24700
Support Level 2: 24400
Support Level 3: 24250
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED
Study through the consolidation!
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
20 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPSTUDY!!
WELCOME TO MY ONLINE JOURNAL
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index recently tested its all-time high and is now showing signs of a potential corrective pullback after a strong bullish run.
📉 Expected scenario:
The price may retrace toward the 24,900 demand zone, which serves as an important support area.
If the index bounces from this level, it could resume its upward movement to form a new high.
However, if the price breaks below 24,900 and holds, a deeper move toward 24,600 is likely.
📈 Best buy zone: On a confirmed rebound from 24,900
📍 Best sell zone: On a confirmed rebound from 25,100, or Below 24,900 after confirmation
US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.






















