NasSecond hits on shorts 🩳
She looking for $24,940…
$24,980 first up…
If can sustain high London will work towards it!!!
Trade ideas
Tech Correction Deepens: NASDAQ Flashes Bearish Signal as YieldsThe market today is exhibiting a bearish bias for the technology-heavy NASDAQ (COMP) driven by a confluence of macroeconomic and technical factors.
Macroeconomic Headwinds: "Higher-For-Longer" Rates
The primary bearish catalyst is the sustained upward trajectory in long-term Treasury yields. High yields pressure growth and technology stocks, which comprise the bulk of the NASDAQ. Higher borrowing costs diminish the value of future earnings (discounted cash flow) for companies that rely on debt for aggressive growth, leading to multiple compression across the tech sector. This underlying fear of sustained high interest rates is keeping institutional capital cautious.
Geopolitical Instability and Risk-Off Sentiment
Escalating geopolitical tensions have introduced significant market uncertainty. While a direct economic impact is hard to quantify immediately, such events typically trigger a "flight to safety," with investors pulling money out of riskier, high-growth assets (like tech stocks) and into traditional safe-haven assets, pressuring the NASDAQ.
Technical Breakdown
Trend and Structure
The index exhibits a clear intraday uptrend , characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
A prominent rising green trendline acts as strong dynamic support, connecting the recent significant low points. The price has respected this trendline repeatedly, indicating bullish momentum.
The overall pattern on the right side of the chart appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, a continuation pattern that often resolves to the upside, though a breakout confirmation is required.
Key Price Levels
Resistance: The most critical level is the horizontal red resistance line at approximately 25,160.0. The price is currently challenging this level and has touched it multiple times without a decisive breakout to new highs. A confirmed break above this level would signal a continuation of the rally.
Support:
Dynamic Support: The rising green trendline provides immediate support. A break below this line would be the first sign of a significant shift in intraday momentum.
Key Support Zone: A visible support area is marked by a horizontal green line at approximately 24,790.0, which served as a previous reaction level before the final push higher.
Indicators (Moving Averages)
The chart shows several Moving Averages (MAs), which generally support the current bullish trend, as the price remains above all displayed MAs:
The price is trading well above the short-term MAs (solid light green and light blue lines), suggesting strong current bullish momentum.
The MAs themselves are generally sloping upwards and are in a bullish order (shorter-term MAs above longer-term MAs), which reinforces the current strength. A close below these moving averages, particularly the longer-term dashed ones, would indicate a decline in buying pressure.
Momentum Observation
The price action near the high suggests a slight loss of upside momentum, evidenced by the multiple attempts to break the 25,140.0 resistance without success. This could be interpreted as:
Consolidation before a potential breakout above the resistance.
A possible formation of a double top or exhaustion if the price fails to break resistance and subsequently breaks the rising trendline.
Nas100 money4/1 h range on the left. We had a push down to sweep buyers and a new leg to the upside that broke highs and created the range. Waited for price to retrace sub 702 fib to sweep liquidity, mitigate the last time sellers were in control (last down candle). Once we see that we can then expect that price can continue in its desired direction. 15 min tf gave us clear break to that direction taking profit at the creation of sellers (top of higher tf range). Clean cut same thing over and over. I hope someone can learn from the simplicity of this idea.
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ
After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move.
Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias):
Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows.
Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test:
A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95.
Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal:
Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges.
🎯 Overall Bias:
Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway.
Follow and like for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:✴️ Overall Trend: Bullish
The NASDAQ index showed strong performance yesterday, reaching 25,190, marking a new all-time high.
A price correction toward the Fibonacci golden zone at 25,000 is expected. If this level is broken, the price may move down to the liquidity zone near 24,820.
📌 Best Buy Zones: Watch for a rebound from 25,000 or 24,820
📍 Best Sell Zone: Upon breaking 25,100
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Nas100 sellsNasdaq is going to sell in the near term, because the price is making continuous lower lowers and it is going to take a very liquidity above and then continue the sell
NasdaqLit it that whole hour from the last post…..
Yum 🤤
Rolling stops, nothings going in the bin this time lol…
💵 💣
Lasssgooo!!!!
NAS shortsNasdaq attempts…
She looking for $25,012.
I’m allow $25,250 here, tag it all up….
Surely!!!
We take L here in leave her alone for a bit lmaooo
LFG light it up 🔥
Allow the next hour…
SILVER BULLET-CENTRAL STANDARD TIMESunday Open around 24,813 level..Market traded back into Sunday's open on 10/7/25 created a Silver bullet @ 1PM CST(2pm NYC)..began to trade to the upside 10/8/25..1:4-1:5 RR
NSDQ100 awaits FOMC minutes and Fed commentaryMarkets saw a cautious tone yesterday, with risk sentiment softening amid political uncertainty in France and ongoing concerns about a US government shutdown. The S&P 500 fell -0.38% from Monday’s record high, while Treasury yields eased, reflecting a mild flight to safety.
Safe-haven demand surged, with spot gold breaking above $4,000/oz for the first time ever, extending a rally of more than 50% this year. Silver is also nearing record highs. The moves highlight growing investor anxiety over the macro backdrop, despite resilience in equities overall.
In tech news, AI-related headlines continued to dominate sentiment. Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly expanding its funding round to $20 billion, with backing from Nvidia, reinforcing market enthusiasm around the AI theme. Meanwhile, Anthropic announced plans to open its first office in India, underscoring the sector’s global expansion.
For today, Nasdaq 100 traders will watch how the AI rally balances against broader risk aversion, with the FOMC minutes and Fed commentary later in the session likely to drive direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25090
Resistance Level 2: 25200
Resistance Level 3: 25300
Support Level 1: 24730
Support Level 2: 24590
Support Level 3: 24460
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NQ BULLISH MOVE?Watch as price takes out liquidity below london lows today. I am anticipating a rally during the Ny session to run for the remainder of the week
Rising Inflation Expectations Put the Fed’s Credibility to the T
Rising Inflation Expectations Put the Fed in a Tight Corner
The latest release of the U.S. Consumer Inflation Expectations came in hotter than anticipated, rising to 3.4% in September, compared with 3.2% previously and a 3.1% consensus. This seemingly small uptick carries significant weight. It suggests that American households increasingly believe inflation will stay elevated, posing a new challenge for the Federal Reserve, just weeks after its controversial decision to cut rates.
For a central bank whose credibility hinges on anchoring inflation expectations, this is a warning sign. Rising expectations imply that monetary policy may already be too loose relative to price pressures, leaving the Fed with little room to maneuver between supporting growth and restraining inflation.
What It Means for the Fed
The Fed’s recent hawkish cut, a 25-basis-point reduction paired with strong rhetoric on price stability, was designed to balance two mandates: sustaining a slowing labor market and restoring confidence in inflation control. But this new data complicates that message.
A move from 3.2% to 3.4% may seem modest, but it represents an unanchoring risk. Once inflation expectations drift upward, they tend to reinforce real inflation through wage negotiations, spending decisions, and business pricing. Historically, the Fed has treated such shifts as policy alarms, often responding with tighter stances or more cautious forward guidance.
If expectations continue to rise, markets may start questioning whether the Fed’s current stance is adequate. Instead of debating “how soon” the next cut will come, investors may pivot toward “whether the Fed can cut at all” in the near term.
Implications for U.S. Markets
The reaction in financial markets could be twofold:
Read full analysis on my website
darrismanresearch com
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️.
🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯.
📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
NAS updateNasdaq, $25,100 📍
She came through, I lit that shxt up!!! 💣
Dumped out all my trash entries at $24,820.
Still holding the 25,100s.
Plan here…. She should be rushing on $24.714.
Maybe even further. If she can leave $24,982 alone…. There’s a VERY high probability for the playback off the jump from $24,714, putting her on a ATH mission.
Let’s see!!!!
Nasdaq Nears ATH as Volume DivergesFenzoFx—Nasdaq is up by 0.20% today. The majority of the gains were in the London session. As we approach the NY session, the price is getting closer to the $25,080.0 all-time high.
However, the cumulative volume profile signals caution. The indicator is making lower lows, while the price is in an uptrend. Therefore, we expect the price to dip in today's NY morning session.
In this scenario, we expect the price to close the opening gap, which rests at $25,000.0. The next support in focus is the October 2 and October 3 close price, $24,924.0. Please note that these levels can provide a discount price to plan long strategies.
NAS 100 CORRECTIVE MOVE Analysis:
4H timeframe showing a clean Head and Shoulders formation, confirming momentum shift after the right shoulder rejection. Price has pushed back into the previous sell zone, showing signs of exhaustion at resistance. If bearish structure holds, expecting continuation to the downside as momentum aligns with higher-timeframe bias.
Summary:
• Structure: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
• Zone: Retesting previous sell zone / supply area
• Bias: SELL
• Confirmation: Rejection + bearish pressure building
ict rading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
ict in the mixrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 7 2025Price breaking PDH and making ATH so i am overall bullish. I want to see a pullback into 15m FVG before looking for more buys
www.tradingview.com
Wall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed sigWall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed signals
U.S. stocks were little changed Oct 7, easing after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, as traders looked to upcoming Federal Reserve remarks for policy cues. Gains have slowed amid stretched valuations and uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, now in its seventh day.
Markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut later this month, supported by signs of labor market softness, though the data blackout has limited visibility. Analysts say the absence of official reports leaves the Fed leaning dovish unless future labor data show improvement.
Investor focus is also shifting toward the upcoming earnings season, where forecasts and corporate commentary may play a larger role in shaping sentiment. Fed officials including Michelle Bowman, Raphael Bostic, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari are set to speak this week.
Stop Guessing Risk — Start Measuring It Like a QuantStop deciding risk based on emotion or setup. Do what quants do. Measure volatility and let it define your risk.
Most traders size positions emotionally:
• "This setup looks strong, I’ll double size."
• "I’m not sure, so I’ll go small."
→ Both are inconsistent and lead to unstable performance.
Professionals and systematic traders use a simple principle:
Risk is not a feeling, it’s a function of volatility.
⚙️ The concept
Markets breathe in volatility cycles. When volatility expands, risk should contract.
When volatility contracts, risk can expand.
Your position size should adapt automatically to those cycles.
This Idea demonstrates the logic behind the new 📊 Risk Recommender — (Heatmap) indicator, a tool that quantifies how much of your equity to risk at any time.
🧮 How it works
The indicator offers two complementary modes:
1️⃣ Per-Trade (ATR-based)
• Compares current volatility (ATR) to a long-term baseline.
• When market noise increases, it suggests smaller risk per trade.
• When conditions are quiet, it recommends scaling up—within your own floor and ceiling limits.
2️⃣ Annualized (Volatility Targeting)
• Computes realized and forecast volatility (EWMA-style).
• Adjusts your base risk so your overall exposure stays near a target annualized volatility (e.g., 20%).
• The same math used in institutional risk models and CTA frameworks.
🎨 Visual interpretation
The heatmap column acts as a “risk thermometer”:
• 🟥 Red = High volatility → scale down
• 🟩 Green = Low volatility → scale up
• Smoothed and bounded between your chosen floor and ceiling risk levels.
• The label shows current mode, recommended risk %, and volatility context.
💡 Why this matters
Risk should *never* depend on how confident you feel about a trade.
It should depend on how loud or quiet the market is.
Volatility is the market’s volume knob and this indicator helps you tune your exposure to the same frequency.
📈 Example use case
• NASDAQ volatility spikes → recommended risk drops from 3.0% → 1.2%
• SPX volatility compresses → risk rises gradually → 4.5%
You stay consistent while others overreact.
🚀 Automating it
My invite-only strategy applies this logic automatically to manage exposure in real time.
Combine it with the Risk Recommender indicator for full transparency and adaptive position sizing.
🎯 Summary
✅ Stop guessing risk size.
✅ Let volatility guide you.
✅ Keep risk constant, results consistent.
That’s how quants survive. That’s how traders evolve.
#RiskManagement #Volatility #ATR #PositionSizing #Quant #TradingStrategy #AlgorithmicTrading #SystematicTrading #Portfolio #EWMA #RiskControl
