DAX, after tomorrow interest cuts we could open new long positiduring tomorrow we could see lots of volotility on the market and market manipulation,
-if the rates will be cutted than it should be a good long opportunity on DAX, and in generally on all the indices
-also US dollar dominance against other currencies, It's important to be very carefull that market will try to manipulate
Trade ideas
Buy the Dip, Ride the Wave โ DAX40 Targeting ~38000"DAX40 | FIBCOS
Wave 2 seems done and dusted โ
โ bulls getting ready to fire up Wave 3! ๐
As long as price holds above 23,250, the bullish structure stays strong ๐ช
Targets ahead around 36Kโ40K as momentum builds within the rising channel ๐
The German Index continues to show power and potential โ buy and enjoy the ride ๐ฉ๐ชโจ
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only, not financial advice.
DAX may be at the end of a Bullish Super Cycle.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a historic 16-year Channel Up every since the March 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. This pattern has showcased very distinct technical patterns within it, characterized by an extremely high degree of symmetry.
As you can see, we have classified them into four Phases and right now DAX appears to be trading on a Phase 3. That is the phase where following a Phase 2 correction to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (blue) of Phase 1, it enters a Bull Cycle, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it peaks on the 1.618 (blue) and 2.236 (black) Fibonacci extensions (of Phase 1 and 2 respectively).
According to this, the index seems to be right at the end of this 'Super Cycle' of Phases 1,2 and 3 and entering Phase 4 of the Channel Up, which (the only data set we have on this pattern) is a period of directionless and volatile trend, loosely supported by the 1M MA50 (red trend-line), which only managed to find support and rebound just before touching the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) during the March 2020 COVID crash. As a result, Phase 4 can be characterized as a true Bear Cycle, lasting 5 years before (April 2015 - March 2020).
The 1W RSI patterns of the two fractal phase groups are also identical and highly symmetrical and we are already on the 3rd Higher High, rejection and moving downwards. That is a Bearish Divergence and may explain DAX's mostly neutral price action since June 2025.
In any case, the index is possibly ending Phase 3 of this 'Super Cycle' and the next move according to the 2015 sequence is a correction to the 1M MA50. Long-term investors that don't get caught up in the daily volatility, avoid the noise and eventually enjoy the most steady returns on their investments, will most likely seek to wait patiently for this correction and buy low.
What would you be willing to do in that situation?
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
DAX: Positioning to move higherGerman DAX: Price currently inside a possible support zone within internal liquidity. I would like to see Friday (24th) push past 24.350 and a break of structure which would then see a reach for the external daily liquidity resting at 24.800.
I like:
- The current support level
- Recent sweep of liquidity
- Bullish divergence
I don't like:
- Current RSI level
- Fundamentals
GER40(DAX)-1H SHORT Setup/RiskyChartLiquidity Grab: The recent sweep above internal liquidity failed to continue higher, indicating buy-side exhaustion.
Bearish Rejection Zone: The marked gray area aligns with a previous imbalance and premium zone, ideal for short entries.
Target Zones:
1. First Target: 24,000 โ intraday demand zone.
1. Final Target: 23,920 โ previous weekly low / external liquidity pool.
Invalidation: A clean 1H candle close above 24,360 (LQ) would invalidate this bearish setup.
GER40 Review October 28 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price has reached the daily zone of interest and performed a liquidity sweep there, which triggered a bearish move and created conditions for its further continuation.
At the moment, we have a 1H short order flow. If the price confirms the last 1H break-to-sell (BtS), we can then consider opening a position aiming for a continuation toward the 4H low.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
Bearish Momentum Building on GER40 โ Continuation or Trap?๐ฆนโโ๏ธ GERMANY 40 (GER40) โ Smart Money Flow Blueprint ๐ฐ | Bearish Swing Setup
๐งญ Market Context
Hey Thief OGs & market heroes ๐งโโ๏ธ,
Welcome to another precision strike setup on the ๐ฉ๐ช GERMANY 40 Index (GER40).
The price action has triggered a Triangular Moving Average (382) breakdown โ
confirming a bearish money-flow shift below dynamic support.
Letโs decode the play ๐
๐ Trade Blueprint (Swing Trade Plan)
๐งฉ Structure: Bearish bias confirmed โ
โก Trigger: TMA-382 breakout below dynamic support
๐ฏ Strategy: Layered Sell Limit Entries (Thief-style entry stacking)
๐ธ Entry Layers:
๐งฑ 24 100โโขโ๐ 24 050โโขโ๐ฏ 24 000
(You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite)
๐ Stop-Loss: ๐ Thiefโs SL @ 24 250
๐ฏ Take-Profit Target: ๐ฐ 23 700 โ dynamic support + oversold trap zone
๐ก Thief Strategy Notes
โLayer it like a pro, exit like a ghost ๐ปโ
โข Multiple sell-limit layers help you catch volatility with precision โ๏ธ
โข TMA serves as a dynamic moving structure โ not a static line.
โข Breakdown of support = momentum shift confirmed ๐ป
โข Clear risk/reward logic โ structured SL & TP = disciplined flow ๐ฏ
โข Bearish bias remains intact while price holds under 24 100
๐ Correlation Radar & Related Pairs to Watch
Stay alert to cross-market clues ๐ง
๐ Correlation Asset Key Observation
๐บ๐ธ US30 (Dow Jones) Often mirrors GER40 momentum โ if Dow dips, GER40 tends to follow.
๐ฌ๐ง FTSE100 European equity sentiment confirmation โ weakness = bearish confidence boost.
๐ถ EUR/USD Strong Euro = export pressure โ GER40 downside bias continuation.
๐ง Why This Setup Makes Sense
โข TMA 382 breakout = momentum confirmation ๐
โข Dynamic support break = structure shift ๐
โข Layered entries = better average fill ๐
โข SL = clear risk โข TP = logical oversold zone ๐ฏ
โข Cross-asset watchlist keeps you aligned with global money flow ๐
โ ๏ธ Risk & Personal Choice
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) โ
Iโm not recommending you copy my stop-loss or take-profit.
Theyโre purely my levels for analysis reference only.
Trade responsibly. You make the call, you take the bag or the gold ๐ผโจ
๐งพ Quick Recap
๐ฆนโโ๏ธ Strategy: Multi-Sell-Limit Layering
๐ Bias: Bearish below 24 100
๐ฃ Entries: 24 100 โข 24 050 โข 24 000
๐ Stop: 24 250
๐ฏ Target: 23 700
๐งญ Setup Type: TMA Breakout + Dynamic Support Breakdown
๐ Correlation Focus: US30 โข FTSE100 โข EUR/USD
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#GER40 #Germany40 #DAX #Indices #BearishSetup #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #MarketFlow #TMA #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartSetup #RiskManagement
BUllish bounce off major support?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 24,093.96
1st Support: 23,765.54
1st Resistance: 24,675.83
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX sideways consolidation ahead of ECB rate decision. The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 โ initial resistance
24580 โ psychological and structural level
24770 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 โ minor support
23770 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 at a Crossroads: Parabolic Breakout or Exhaustion Top? ๐ฉ๐ช GER40 DAX INDEX | Premium Technical Analysis & Trading Blueprint | 23,967.9 ๐ฉ๐ช
๐ INSTITUTIONAL MULTI-TIMEFRAME MASTERCLASS | NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025 FORECAST ๐
Current Level: 23,967.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025, 00:54 UTC+4
Hey, TradingView fam! ๐ The German powerhouse, GER40, has put on a spectacular show, closing the week at a mighty 23,967.9 . After such a vertical ascent, traders are rightfully asking: Is this the start of a new parabolic phase, or are we witnessing a massive exhaustion top in the making? The upcoming week, from November 3rd to 7th, is poised to give us the answer.
Let's dissect the charts across multiple timeframes, combining timeless theories with key indicators to map out the strategic path forward for both intraday and swing traders. ๐งญ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฏ STRATEGIC MARKET INTELLIGENCE OVERVIEW
The German DAX Index commands attention at 23,967.9 , positioning at a pivotal technical crossroads that will define European equity direction through Q4 2025. Our sophisticated multi-dimensional analysis reveals cautious optimism with breakout potential as the index tests critical resistance near the psychological 24,000 barrier. This week's confluence of ECB policy implications, US election spillover, and technical setups creates exceptional risk-reward opportunities for prepared traders.
Institutional Support Architecture: ๐ก๏ธ
Immediate Foundation: 23,900 - 23,920 (Algo bid zone)
Secondary Cushion: 23,850 - 23,870 (Volume-weighted support)
Critical Platform: 23,750 - 23,780 (Weekly pivot cluster)
Major Fortress: 23,650 - 23,680 (Psychological & structural)
Resistance Target Matrix: ๐ฏ
First Hurdle: 24,000 - 24,020 (Psychological barrier)
Secondary Wall: 24,100 - 24,120 (Pattern objective)
Breakout Zone: 24,200 - 24,250 (Extension target)
Major Milestone: 24,350 - 24,400 (Monthly target)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - MACRO STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave Supercycle Mapping: ๐
Currently navigating Wave 4 consolidation within larger Wave (5) of the supercycle advance. The shallow retracement (38.2% Fibonacci) suggests underlying strength with Wave 5 targeting 24,500-24,800 . Alternative count places us in Wave B of corrective ABC - monitor 23,650 for bearish confirmation.
Primary Scenario: Wave 4 complete, Wave 5 underway to 24,500+
Alternative: Wave B top forming, Wave C decline to 23,200
Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 23,500
Time Projection: Completion by mid-November
Wyckoff Distribution/Re-Accumulation: ๐
Critical Juncture - Phase B/C Transition
- Preliminary Supply (PSY): 24,100 tested
- Buying Climax (BC): 24,150 rejection
- Automatic Reaction (AR): 23,750 held
- Secondary Test (ST): Current 23,967
- Upthrust pending: Above 24,000
Ichimoku Cloud European Perspective: โ๏ธ
Tenkan-sen: 23,885 (9-period support)
Kijun-sen: 23,820 (26-period base)
Senkou Span A: 23,950 (cloud resistance)
Senkou Span B: 23,780 (cloud support)
Chikou Span: Neutral (at price level)
Cloud Status: Thin, potential twist ahead
Advanced Harmonic Configuration: ๐ฆ
Emerging Bullish Shark pattern with precision measurements:
- 0 Point: 23,450 (October low)
- X Point: 24,150 (October high)
- A Point: 23,650 (retracement low)
- B Point: 23,967 (current - 0.618 XA)
- C Target: 23,750 (1.13 AB extension)
- D Completion: 24,350 (0.886 XC)
Gann Master Analysis: ๐
Price respecting 3x1 Gann angle from September base. Critical Gann levels:
- Current angle support: 23,920
- 45-degree resistance: 24,050
- Square of 9 target: 24,144
- Time cycle: November 6 (+/- 1 day)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADING COMMAND
Japanese Candlestick Intelligence: ๐ฏ๏ธ
Yesterday's Hanging Man at resistance warns of potential reversal. Critical observation for today:
- Close above 24,000 = Bullish Engulfing invalidates reversal
- Close below 23,900 = Bearish Confirmation
- Doji formation = Continued indecision
Master Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle approaching apex:
- Horizontal resistance: 24,000-24,020
- Rising support: Currently at 23,880
- Breakout target: 24,320 (320-point measured move)
- Volume requirement: 30% above 20-day average
- False breakout risk: High due to round number
Bollinger Bands Configuration: ๐
Upper Band: 24,015 (kissing price)
Middle Band (20-SMA): 23,870 (dynamic support)
Lower Band: 23,725 (oversold boundary)
Band Width: Contracting (squeeze alert)
%B Reading: 0.89 (upper band test)
RSI Momentum Analysis:
Daily RSI: 64 (approaching overbought)
Bearish divergence forming vs price highs
Support trend line: 55 level
Resistance: 70 level (6 points away)
Volume Profile Insights: ๐
- High Volume Node: 23,850-23,900
- Point of Control: 23,875
- Value Area High: 23,950
- Value Area Low: 23,800
- Low Volume Gap: 24,020-24,080 (breakout zone)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - TACTICAL FRAMEWORK
Dow Theory Application: โ
Primary Trend: Bullish (higher highs maintained)
Secondary Trend: Consolidation/Distribution question
Minor Trend: Testing resistance
Volume Pattern: Declining on rallies (caution)
Confirmation needed: Break above 24,020
DAX/STOXX correlation: Diverging (warning)
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 8: 23,945 (micro support)
EMA 21: 23,915 (short-term support)
EMA 50: 23,880 (medium support)
SMA 100: 23,825 (strong support)
SMA 200: 23,750 (major trend support)
Golden Cross: EMA 50 above SMA 100 โ
Chart Pattern Alert: ๐จ
Rising Wedge formation - bearish implications:
- Upper trendline: 23,980-24,000
- Lower trendline: 23,850-23,870
- Breakdown target: 23,700
- Invalidation: Close above 24,020
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ช 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRY MATRIX
Micro Pattern Development: ๐ฌ
Triple Top formation at 23,980:
- First top: 23,975 (Monday)
- Second top: 23,982 (Wednesday)
- Third top: 23,978 (Friday)
- Neckline support: 23,920
- Breakdown target: 23,860
VWAP Trading Framework:
Daily VWAP: 23,952
Weekly VWAP: 23,895
Monthly VWAP: 23,810
Upper Band 1: 23,985 (resistance)
Upper Band 2: 24,018 (strong resistance)
Lower Band 1: 23,919 (support)
Lower Band 2: 23,886 (strong support)
Support & Resistance Precision:
R4: 24,050 (Major resistance)
R3: 24,020 (Round number)
R2: 23,990 (Pattern resistance)
R1: 23,975 (Immediate ceiling)
PIVOT: 23,967.9 (Current)
S1: 23,950 (Micro support)
S2: 23,920 (Neckline)
S3: 23,890 (Strong support)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก 30-MINUTE SCALPING LABORATORY (30M)
Microstructure Dynamics: ๐ฏ
Range-bound channel :
- Upper boundary: 23,975-23,985
- Middle pivot: 23,950-23,955
- Lower boundary: 23,925-23,935
- Breakout pending: 70% probability upward
European Session Dynamics: ๐
Frankfurt Open (08:00 CET):
- Average range: 40-50 points
- Directional bias: First 30 minutes
London Overlap (09:00 GMT):
- Volatility spike: 60-80 points
- Best scalping window
US Premarket Impact (13:30 CET):
- Range expansion: 80-100 points
Scalping Execution Zones:
Buy Zones:
โข Zone A: 23,945-23,950 (VWAP test)
โข Zone B: 23,925-23,930 (Channel bottom)
โข Zone C: 23,900-23,905 (Strong bid)
Sell Zones:
โข Zone A: 23,975-23,980 (Triple top)
โข Zone B: 23,990-23,995 (Resistance cluster)
โข Zone C: 24,010-24,015 (Major resistance)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: โก
Bull Flag micro pattern:
- Pole: 23,920 to 23,970 (50 points)
- Flag: 23,955-23,965 consolidation
- Breakout trigger: 23,968
- Quick target: 24,000 (+32 points)
- Stop: 23,950 (-18 points)
5-Minute Algorithm Signals:
Long Conditions:
RSI(5) oversold (<25) + VWAP bounce = BUY
MACD bullish cross + Volume spike = BUY
EMA(8) > EMA(21) + Pullback = BUY
Short Conditions:
RSI(5) overbought (>75) + Resistance = SELL
MACD bearish cross + High volume = SELL
Failed breakout at 24,000 = SELL
Management:
TP: 15-20 points | SL: 10-12 points
Max hold: 10 minutes | Trail: 8 points
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐
WEEKLY STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK (NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: ๐
Gap-up potential to 24,000 test
Strategy: Sell resistance, buy 23,920 dips
Key levels: 23,920 support, 24,000 resistance
Expected range: 80 points
Tuesday, November 4: ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election volatility spillover to DAX
Strategy: Wide stops, reduced size
Potential range: 23,750-24,100 (350 points!)
Correlation with US futures critical
Wednesday, November 5: ๐ฅ
Post-election directional resolution
Strategy: Trade breakout with conviction
Bullish above 24,050 โ Target 24,200
Bearish below 23,850 โ Target 23,700
Thursday, November 6: ๐
ECB officials speaking + German data
Strategy: Fade initial moves
Expected consolidation: 23,900-24,000
Focus on European session
Friday, November 7: ๐ฏ
Weekly close crucial for next week's bias
Strategy: Position for weekly close
Above 24,000 = Bullish continuation
Below 23,900 = Bearish reversal
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ PROFESSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Intraday Risk Parameters: ๐ก๏ธ
Position size: 0.5-1% account risk
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2, target 1:3
Daily stop: -2% maximum loss
Consecutive losses: 3 max, then pause
Profit protection: Trail at 60% gain
Breakeven: Move stop at +15 points
Correlation monitor: Watch US futures
Swing Position Framework: ๐ผ
Core position: 40% at 23,900-23,920
Scale-in: 30% at 23,850, 30% at 23,800
Stop loss: Below 23,750 (all positions)
Target 1: 24,050 (25% exit)
Target 2: 24,150 (35% exit)
Target 3: 24,250 (25% exit)
Runner: 24,350+ (15% hold)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ด RISK SCENARIOS & CONTINGENCIES
Bearish Triggers: ๐ป
30-min close below 23,950 = Micro caution
Hourly close below 23,920 = Intraday bearish
4H close below 23,880 = Swing bearish
Daily close below 23,800 = Trend concern
Weekly close below 23,650 = Major reversal
European Risk Factors: ๐ฆข
โข ECB policy surprises (100+ point moves)
โข German economic data shocks
โข EU political developments
โข Energy crisis escalation
โข Banking sector concerns
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ ELITE CONFLUENCE TRADING ZONES
Optimal Buy Zone: โ
23,880-23,920
(Multi-timeframe support + Fibonacci 61.8% + VWAP + Moving averages)
Premium Sell Zone: โ
23,990-24,020
(Triple top + Round number + Bollinger Band + Wedge resistance)
Breakout Trigger: ๐
24,020-24,050
(Pattern completion + Resistance break + Volume confirmation)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ MASTER TRADER'S VERDICT
The DAX at 23,967.9 stands at a critical inflection point with the psychological 24,000 level acting as the decisive battleground. Technical indicators suggest cautious bullish bias but with increasing distribution signals. The week ahead demands disciplined execution and nimble position management.
Top 3 High-Probability Setups: ๐ฏ
Range Trade: Buy 23,900, Sell 23,980 (Multiple touches)
Breakout Long: Above 24,020 โ Target 24,150 (Clear skies)
Reversal Short: Triple top failure at 23,980 โ Target 23,850
Trading Wisdom: ๐ง
The DAX rewards patience at extremes. Trade the range until proven otherwise. Respect the 24,000 psychological level.
"The European markets dance to their own rhythm - master the tempo, profit from the moves!" ๐ถ
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๐ ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING
Range-bound action between 23,850-24,020 until catalyst emerges. US election spillover likely to provide directional resolution. Accumulate dips toward 23,900 for upside potential to 24,200+.
Trade European hours. Respect correlations. Profit consistently. ๐ฐ
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Risk Notice: Trading carries significant risk of loss. This analysis is educational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Is this the NEXT big leg up for DAX? It seems like there is stabilisation around in Europe with the markets.
While America is making a mess with its peace with many countries (including Canada).
We are seeing the EURO fly which means there is a safe haven among the CAC, DAX, IBEX and EURSTOXXX...
The charts are looking great for upside, and we might have some optimism around Europe in the next month.
Here are the technicals.
W Formation
Price>20 and 200
Target 25,113
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GER30 | Multi-Timeframe Bullish Expansion SetupThe Market Flow | October 27, 2025
Technical Overview
Weekly:
โข The weekly bullish trend remains intact, sustaining above prior structural pivots.
โข Structure continues its expansion phase, with higher lows forming consistent with the broader bullish bias.
Daily:
โข The daily trend has started its transitioned into bullish after reclaiming and closing above the previous breakdown level.
โข Wave structure confirms alignment with the weekly expansion path.
โข Bias continues long as momentum builds toward upper clean H4 structures.
H4:
โข H4 bullish trend confirmed, supported by a sequence of higher pivots.
โข Current structure originated from the H4 pivot zone, now acting as the foundation for the next expansion leg.
โข Fibonacci extensions show progressive resistance targets
H1:
โข Previous H1 countertrend was broken from the H4 pivot zone, confirming re-entry into the bullish structure.
โข New pivot formed and validated by crossing the previous H1 pivot, establishing continuation bias in favor of the higher timeframe trend.
Trade Structure & Levels
โข Bias: Long above 24,219.32 (H4 pivot zone)
โข Trigger = Break above 24,325.60 (highest clean H1 breakdown - "EXP")
โข Primary Invalidation = H4 pivot at 24,219.32
โข Secondary Invalidation = Daily pivot near 23,990.21
โข Path โ 24,450.60 โ 24,556.25 โ 24,625.80
โข Phase: Accumulation
Risk & Event Context
โข Index behavior may remain sensitive to European earnings season and macro data releases (inflation, ECB commentary).
โข Volatility spikes likely around key US macro events.
Conclusion
Multi-timeframe alignment confirms a resuming bullish expansion above the Expansion level. With both H4 and Daily trends synchronized above active pivots, the path remains upward toward 24,625.80 while 24,218.30 holds as the key structural invalidation.
DAX uptrend breakout continuation supported at 23970The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 โ initial resistance
24580 โ psychological and structural level
24770 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 โ minor support
23770 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 has re-entered its trading range after a failed bullish breakout. Price trades at 24,057, slightly below its VWAP of 24,206. RSI at 48.4 suggests subdued momentum. Support lies at 23,683, while resistance is 24,729.
UK 100 maintains a bullish trend but is undergoing a corrective phase. Price has pulled back to 9,394, below its VWAP of 9,403. The RSI at 51.4 indicates weak bullish momentum. Support is at 9,287, and resistance stands at 9,558.
Wall Street remains in a bullish trend but continues to correct lower, currently at 46,303, on top of its VWAP. RSI at 52.6 shows a neutral stance. Support lies at 45,630, and resistance is estimated at 46,911.
Brent Crude is turning bearish within its broader range. Price has fallen to 6,094, below the VWAP of 6,422. RSI at 30.9 indicates strongly bearish momentum. Support sits at 5,983, while resistance is at 6,860.
Gold extends its bullish run in a strong impulsive phase, trading at 4,259, significantly above the VWAP of 4,015 but down a bit from all time highs. The RSI at 75.5 signals less overbought conditions. Support is way down at 3,677, and resistance is at 4,353.
EUR/USD holds its trading range, now trading at 1.1666, right next to its VWAP. RSI at 49.0 signals neutral momentum. Support is at 1.1556, and resistance is at 1.1782.
GBP/USD stays in a bullish trend but is correcting sideways, trading at 1.3423, slightly above the VWAP of 1.3400. RSI at 49.8 shows consolidation. Support is at 1.3299, with resistance at 1.3514.
USD/JPY is in a pullback following its bullish range-breakout, currently at 150.67, just above its VWAP of 150.30. The RSI at 54.2 reflects moderate bullish momentum. Support lies at 146.60, and resistance is at 154.01.
The most audacious forecast DAX gapped up above the trendline on news on trade deals, but there is no follow through. Instead, price is coming down and re-testing the breakout trendline.
Price action is bearish, which indicates further downside, thus rendering the trendline support as useless. Will that be the case? No doubt, the overall market is bullish, especially the US markets. But will DAX be the clue that we see a profit taking/sell down for the coming days? And using a simple projection, 23000 will be a 'scary' yet healthy pullback, as good level to go long off.
German DAX 30 Rally Ahead? Strong Pullback Signals Momentum๐ DE30 (German DAX 30) โ Thief Traderโs Market Profit Playbook! ๐
๐ Bias: Bullish Play Confirmed
โ๏ธ Strategy Type: Layered Limit Order Entries (Thiefโs Signature Style)
๐ง Game Plan:
The German DAX 30 (DE30) shows strong bullish momentum after a clean moving average pullback โ confirming a short-term continuation setup on the 4H and daily charts.
Weโre loading our Thief-style layering entries to ride this momentum wave! ๐โโ๏ธ
Layered Entry Zone (Buy Limits):
๐ฐ 23,800 | 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,100
(Add more layers if youโre managing dynamic scaling โ this is the Thief style of playing smart, not hard!)
๐ Stop Loss (Protective Zone):
๐จ 23,700 (Thiefโs guard line!)
โ ๏ธ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is not a must-follow โ manage your risk wisely. This is an educational plan โ trade at your own discretion.
๐ฏ Take Profit Zone:
๐ฏ 24,500 โ realistic first exit zone.
๐ฅ 24,700 โ Electric Shock Resistance Wall โก๏ธ (strong resistance area + overbought + potential trap zone).
โ ๏ธ Note: Again, dear Thief OGs โ take your profits when youโre happy! Targets are reference points, not financial advice.
๐ Key Technical Highlights:
Strong MA Confluence: 20EMA and 50EMA crossover support the bullish bias.
Volume Uptick: Smart money rotation visible on hourly accumulation bars.
Momentum Recovery: RSI rebounding from mid-zone (40โ50), eyeing bullish breakout potential.
๐ Correlated Assets to Watch:
Stay sharp โ DAX often dances with global indices and major USD flows:
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) โ correlated risk sentiment, bullish tone confirmation.
FX:FRA40 (CAC 40) โ follows European equity momentum.
๐ต FX:EURUSD โ inverse correlation with DE30 strength during USD volatility.
Tracking these helps confirm whether the bull party ๐ continues or the market bouncer ๐ซ shows up early.
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
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