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ORO1! trade ideas

Gold Futures — Extended After Bullish Surge, Watching 4 PullbackYesterday’s move pushed gold aggressively higher with almost no retrace, leaving a string of unfilled imbalances below. Price is now pressing into 3780 levels, just shy of the psychological 3800 handle. Key Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If Asia/London hold above 3767, a squeeze into 3800–3810 is possible before any meaningful pullback. Retracement Setup: A break under 3767 could trigger a retrace into 3743 → 3719 zone, aligning with prior resistance turned support. Bigger Picture: Major 4H FVG remains untested below (around 3650–3660), which could act as a downside magnet later in the week. Patience is key after such a vertical move — waiting to see if Tuesday gives us either continuation or that first retrace.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Silver To The Mooooon!!Several factors have come together to make silver especially attractive. Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts / Lower Real Yields Markets are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding non‐yielding assets like silver. Real yields (yields adjusted for inflation) have been weak or falling, making silver more appealing. Weak U.S. Dollar When the USD weakens, commodities priced in dollars become cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand. Safe-Haven / Inflation Hedge Demand Geopolitical risks, economic uncertainty, and fears of inflation make precious metals attractive. Silver benefits both as an industrial metal and a hedge to some degree. The gold-to-silver ratio is unusually high, which many see as signalling that silver is “cheap” relative to gold, suggesting more upside potential.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Gold Futures – Hedge Within a Larger Bullish Wave (Weekly)🟡 Gold Futures – Hedge Within a Larger Bullish Wave (Weekly) Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, gold has extended aggressively into the 2.618 Fib extension (~3,778), a level that historically marks exhaustion points in strong trends. Volume profile also shows a lack of heavy participation above, meaning this is an overextended zone that can invite corrections. That said, the structural trend remains firmly bullish. Gold has been in a secular uptrend, and each consolidation/throwback over the past decade has set up for higher highs. From a macro perspective, dips remain buying opportunities — but risk management matters when price stretches this far, this fast. 🔍 Long-Term Context Gold has already cleared the 1.618 extension (~2,734) and ran nearly straight into the 2.618 (~3,778) without meaningful retrace. Volume profile shows thin participation between ~3,200 and 3,600 — fast moves can cut both ways here. Stronger long-term support sits around 3,390 (high-volume node) and further down at ~2,730 and ~2,090 (Fib levels + prior consolidation zones). ⚖️ Strategy Update Long-term bias: Bullish. Macro backdrop (Fed easing cycle, fiscal imbalances, central bank buying) favors higher gold over time. Short-term hedge: Valid. With price testing a 2.618 Fib extension, we expect corrective pullbacks before continuation. A hedge here reduces risk of giving back profits without abandoning the larger uptrend. Plan: Maintain hedge positioning near 3,758–3,771 (as outlined in the short-term plan). If pullback develops, scale out at key supports (3,701 → 3,587 → 3,510). If price breaks and sustains above 3,790, hedge is invalid and we reset for long continuation. 📊 Perspective: The weekly chart confirms why a hedge here makes sense — gold has run into a historically significant Fib extension with thin volume structure above. This doesn’t negate the long-term bull trend, but it increases the probability of a corrective throwback. Protecting gains with a short hedge while respecting the bullish macro bias keeps us balanced.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Futures Hedge Update🟡 Gold Futures Hedge Update Our previous short setup reached the first take profit, confirming that hedging into overextension made sense. Long-term bias on gold remains bullish, but short-term conditions still look stretched, and we’re preparing for another protective hedge. This is not a bearish reversal call — the goal is to lock in gains and protect profits as gold presses into heavy resistance. 📍 Trade Setup (Short Hedge) Entry (Short): 3,750 (Fib 1.618 extension + HVN resistance) Stop Loss (SL): 3,780 (above channel top + HVN cluster) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,700 – 3,685 (volume node / mid-channel support) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,587 (next HVN + structural support) Take Profit 3 (Stretch): 3,510 – 3,500 (Fib retrace + channel low) ⚖️ Rationale Gold has been overextended on the short-term chart, pressing into Fib and channel resistance with signs of stalling. Volume profile highlights key support/resistance nodes that align with Fib levels. Taking partial profits on the way down while keeping risk tight ensures the hedge protects without overcommitting against the dominant bullish trend. 📊 Plan: Scale into shorts near resistance with defined risk, peel off at TP1 and TP2, leave a runner for deeper correction potential. If gold breaks and holds above 3,790, hedge is invalidated and focus shifts back to long setups.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Futures — New Week Opens Strong After Friday RallyGold closed last week bullish after sweeping liquidity below the weekly low and snapping higher into resistance. As we open into Asian session Monday, price is testing the daily high (3719). Key Scenarios This Week: Bullish: If buyers hold above 3719, continuation toward 3743 (weekly fair value gap high) and potentially 3767 (ATH marker) could play out. Bearish: A failure to hold above 3719 opens the door for retracement back toward 3700 → 3685 zone (last week’s supply area). Opening conditions look bullish, but patience is key. Waiting to see if Asia sets the tone for continuation or if NY later in the week pulls it back.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
2
GC - GOLD 9/19Monthly timeframe Pink Weekly = Grey Daily = Red 4hr = Orange 1hr = Yellow 15min = Blue 5min = Green 4 candles, 6 Levels, & MarketMeta A Range = 2 or more candles in the same direction, either Accumulation ranges, Distribution ranges or Single candles which are ranges on lower timeframes. the 4 candles are: 2 from the Distribution Range - BackSide (BS) which is the first distribution candle in the range. It has an expectation to have a strong influence on price when price is above it. If price is below the BS level, price enters the distribution range and the BackSide level acts as resistance to keep price down in a distribution trend. The FrontSide candle (FS) is the last distribution candle is the range. the bottom side wick is the swingLow level and distribution range boundary. A FrontSide candle has an expectation to create an accumulation trend and keep price above the swingLow. The other 2 candles are in the accumulation range and the exact opposite of the BS & FS level so they are labeled Inverse BackSide (Inv.BS) & Inverse FrontSide (Inv.FS)
COMEX:GC1!
by StudyGuideTA
Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660). Key Scenarios: Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance. Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high). Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by DWoodz
Gold setup indicates a fall ahead – Stay alert, traders!This is the 15-minute chart of GOLD1! Gold is moving in a well-defined parallel channel and currently respecting the LOP resistance zone at 109750–109850. The channel’s lower boundary near 108650 may act as short-term support. If Gold breaks down below this support, the projected downside target is near 107750. In case of range-bound movement, the ideal sell zone remains at the LOP (109750–109850). If this resistance level sustains, Gold may fall and test the lower targets. Additionally, a Head & Shoulders pattern has formed within the channel, with its downside target aligning with the channel projection. Thank you.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by FiveCircles
Anticipation of GC / Gold over the next couple of weeks.For those who might have interest in a Elliott reading on gold: In this post, everytime I write gold, I mean GC. This is just for info, since GC and gold doesn't have same prices, but the movement is very much the same. If you follow along on a gold spot or similar, just translate the levels to there. The picture is very messy for those who doesn't know what the lines and numbers are for, but please follow along. I have a strong believe that with current PA the 3rd (white iii) wave is over, and now we will look for price to search for the bottom of the blue channel. The blue channel is an acceleration channel, which is used to see if 4th (white iv) wave is under way. When the 4th (white iv) has developed some more, we are able to put another channel on, called the deceleration channel. This we will use to spot the end of the 4th (white iv). Until now, it seems gold is respect the white 161 fib level, which is a very typical 3rd wave level to end. The reason I started this post, was to tell you about my thoughts on when the 4th (white iv) is going to end, or at least how long it's going to be. A typical scenario is that wave 4 is longer in duration than wave 2. For ease of spotting, I have put up these purple boxes, so now we do not anticipate gold to end the correction, before it has exited the purple box to the right. The depth of wave 4 (white iv): I believe we are going to see prices in the level between 3600 and 3550 (the green box). Reasons for the levels of the green box: when prices wave 2 (white ii) goes beyound the 61.8 fib level (in this case below), we tend to see a retracement between 38% and 50% in the 4th (white iv). And this is the area the green box indicates. Timewise it is places outside of the previously mentioned purple box. 4th wave also tends to respect the base channel . Either the upper line or the middle line. The lower line of the blue channel and the middle of the grey channel ( base channel ), the green box, outside of the purple box is all seeming to fall in the same place. So I like all the confluences falling together here, so that's why I feel pretty certain that, that is where the white iv wave is likely to end. Timewise it'll be about 1st of october. The white v wave i have also done a forecast on that fits if wave white iv retrace to the green box. Normally the 5th wave is going to end in the area between 38% and 61% of the wave 1 and 3. This level is indicated with the blue fib. Usually wave 5 is equal to wave 3. But can be extended if wave three isn't. Have indicated the 100% fib of white i wave with the cyan fib. This 100% level falls between the blue fib, right around the yellow line I have talked a lot about before in previous post. So I also have a lot of confluences for price to go here in the white v wave. If the white v is extended it could go to the blue 100% level, which also is confluenced with that cyan upgoing line. This is a pitchfork drawn from previous waves. let's see where gold will take us.
COMEX:GC1!
by TheDane
Gold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a ThrowbackGold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a Throwback 🎯 Gold ripped higher into the FOMC, but the 25 bp cut was fully priced in. Post-decision, we saw the classic whipsaw — down → up → slow fade into the close. With the dollar and real yields catching a bid, the metal looks due for digestion before the next leg. Technicals (4h) Overextended run: Vertical leg higher with no real basing. Supply zone: Sellers showed up around 3.71–3.75k. Volume magnet: Confluence of the broken trendline + HVN sits down at ~3.41k. Thin profile: Gap between 3.52 → 3.41k leaves room for a fast move lower if momentum flips. Trade Idea Short bias: Fading the 3.71–3.74k zone or on breakdown acceptance below 3.69k. Stop: Above 3.76k (invalidation). Target: 3.41k (major HVN + retest zone). Macro Context The Fed’s move matches expectations. With positioning stretched and “buy the rumor / sell the news” in play, near-term risk is for a pullback. Medium term, the trend stays bullish if easing continues and real yields drift lower. Not financial advice — just sharing the setup I’m watching. #Gold #GC1 #Futures #ShortSetup #VolumeProfile #FOMC
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Fed Cuts Rates — Gold Reacts, Watching for Follow-Through or ReThe Fed has just delivered a 25 bps rate cut, and there’s a mixed tone in the after-move: inflation still high, jobs softening, and the dot-plot shows more cuts are expected — but with divided opinions. On the chart, Gold spilled out of consolidation post-Fed, touched key support, and is now pressing back toward a 4H FVG (supply zone). Scenarios: Upside: If price pushes up toward the 4H FVG, gets rejected cleanly → potential short entry. Downside: If that rejection holds, or support breaks, expect slide toward high timeframe FVG region in 3600s. Trade with eyes open — volatility likely stays high. Support & resistance zones are critical here.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
Long trade Pair/Asset: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures) Trade Type: Buyside trade (Trade Idea) Date: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025 Session: 6:00 AM Trade Details Entry: 3841.3 Profit Level (TP): 3914.2 (+1.90%) Stop Level (SL): 3822.0 (-0.50%) Risk–Reward (RR): 3.78 Technical Narrative Market Context: Gold retraced sharply overnight, creating multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 5m chart. The strong rebound at ~3820 formed a structural low + BSLQ sweep, suggesting liquidity taken below support. A bullish recovery candle with high volume confirmed aggressive buyers stepping in. Entry Justification: Entry at 3841.3 coincided with the demand zone after the sweep. EMA/WMA realignment showed a momentum shift back to the upside. Volume spike supported bullish intent. Target Rationale: TP at 3914.2 chosen just below the prior swing high & inefficiency zone. Broader context: If USD shows weakness during the NY session, upside continuation is likely? DYX (1Hr TF) overview
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by davidjulien369
Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by InvestingMindset
Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels: Daily High (DH): 3899.5 Monthly High (MH): 3899.5 Daily Low (DL): 3820.4 Weekly High (WH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7 📊 Technical Outlook Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements. 🌍 Macro Watch All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike. A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts. 🎯 Trade Idea Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation. Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity. Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH). ✅ Summary Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key. ⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Mcx Gold Profit-taking takes placeA proper analysis and technical analysis(gold) The latest 4-hour chart of MCX Gold Futures (INR) reveals a strong uptrend supported by channel movement and clear Fibonacci retracement levels. The price has recently tested channel resistance around 116,625 INR and faced a minor pullback to 116,170 INR, suggesting short-term consolidation after a rally. ### Trend and Channel Analysis - The price is moving within a rising channel, indicating persistent bullish momentum . - The current price (116,170 INR) is slightly below recent highs, respecting the upper boundary of the channel, which signals overextension and potential for a corrective pullback . - As long as the price remains inside the channel, the upward trend is intact. ### Fibonacci Retracement Levels Key Fibonacci levels derived from the recent upmove: - 0.0%: 116,625 INR (Recent swing high; nearest resistance) - 23.60%: 113,656 INR (First near-term support; significant for shallow corrections) - 38.20%: 111,819 INR (Secondary support; may attract buyers on stronger dips) - 50.00%: 110,335 INR (Critical mid retracement; if broken, trend may weaken) - 61.80%: 108,850 INR (Key retracement; strong institutional level) - 78.60%: 106,737 INR (Major support if deep correction occurs) ### Support and Resistance - Immediate resistance is at 116,625 INR; breaking above could trigger strong bullish momentum . - Immediate support is at 113,656 INR; a drop below this could bring further downside to 111,819 INR . - Psychological support is at 110,000 INR, just below the 50% retracement, and another at 108,750 INR near 61.8% . ### Momentum and Outlook - The trend remains bullish unless the price closes below 113,656 INR . - Watch for a buying opportunity if the price retests the lower channel or key Fibonacci levels without breaking the channel downward. - If price sustains above 116,625 INR, next round of buying could push towards 118,000 INR. ### Summary Table | Level | Price (INR) | Significance | |-----------------|-------------|-------------------| | Channel High | 116,625 | Immediate Resistance | | 23.6% Fib | 113,656 | First Support | | 38.2% Fib | 111,819 | Deeper Support | | 50% Fib | 110,335 | Mid-Support | | 61.8% Fib | 108,850 | Strong Support | | 78.6% Fib | 106,737 | Deep Correction | Overall, the outlook is bullish above 113,656 INR, but a close below key retracement levels could invite deeper correction towards 110,335 or 108,850 INR . Aggressive traders can ride the trend with tight stops below key levels, while conservative traders may wait for price action confirmation at or near Fibonacci supports.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by ktra_commodities
1
Gold & Silver Push Higher as Markets Hunt for Safe HavensGold continues its climb, breaking through past resistance levels as investors flee into safety ahead of U.S. fiscal turmoil and rate ambiguity. Meanwhile, silver is turning heads — rallying hard on the back of both safe-haven demand and its dual role as an industrial metal. Together, they’re painting a picture: when anxiety and uncertainty rise, the metals step into the spotlight. Gold hit an all-time high of $3,833.37/oz, closing at $3,829.63, on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S. shutdown fears and rate cut expectations. It then extended gains, reaching $3,842.76/oz, putting it on track for its best month since August 2011 with an ~11.4% gain in September. Silver also surged: it climbed to a 14-year high near $46.85/oz as industrial demand and safe-haven flows bolstered interest. Earlier this year, silver broke $35/oz, a level not seen in over 13 years, driven by tight supply and robust demand in tech & green energy sectors.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Is Gold Heading Higher?At the beginning of last week, price saw a much needed pullback on the commodity. Earlier news in the week was the catalyst that gold needed to head down. Some thought we would head down further but gold seems to have traversed the entirety of its pullback, with price trading not too far away from its ATH. With the dollar still gaining strength from future rate cut uncertainty, is this just a test of the top before further moves down? Could be. But future rate cut uncertainty might not be enough to keep gold from making new highs. We do have a pretty news heavy week with NFP looming at the end of the week. Remember to always trade with caution.
COMEX:GCZ2025
by TheTradingRegimen
Gold MCX Nov. Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 29 Sep. MCX:GOLD2! Gold Futures are consolidating at 114,908, hovering just above the key zero line and prior resistance, after a robust recovery that has shifted the trend for the short term. Bullish Scenario (Long Logic) Long Entry (114,584): Initiate longs above 114,584 as the hourly structure confirms a strong reversal from the recent swing low, and price is respecting the ascending trendline. Additional positions can be scaled in near 114,432 if retracement holds above this support, aligning with higher lows in price structure and rising volume. Upside Targets: 115,685 (Target 1): Represents the first major resistance and expected profit-booking zone, corresponding to recent swing highs. 116,175 (Target 2): Upper mapped resistance, extension target for momentum continuation if bullish sentiment escalates. Stop Loss: Maintain stops below 114,280, or tighter at 114,156 (Long Exit), protecting against immediate breakdowns and false breakouts. Bearish Scenario (Short Logic) Short Entry (114,280): Shorts activate below 114,280, as this would break both horizontal and trendline supports, shifting bias back in favor of bears. Downside Targets: 114,097 (Target 1): Bounce area and possible reversal/support from previous sessions. 113,607 (Target 2): Deeper target, highlights aggressive selling and fall to lower end of range. Stop Loss: Shorts should be covered above 114,891 if breakdown fails and price recovers above zero line and consolidation resistance. Neutral/Trend Logic Zero Line (114,891): Acting as a pivotal point; hourly close above it favors continuation of uptrend, while failure to hold may result in quick reversion. Rising trendline support and strengthening volume confirm buyers are in control, unless price slips below 114,432. This structure supports disciplined setups for both breakout and reversal trades, with each scenario anchored by logical risk management and intraday targets. Follow Chart Pathik for more Bullion related updates.
MCX:GOLD2!
by ChartPathik
1