GOLD REVERSAL Hello! Been on a holiday and am back.
Here is a swing trade on GOLD after a good fall and retracement. Gold has made a hammer on the daily timeframe. One can look for a reversal from here.
Entry- 119000-118800
Target- 120500, 121000, 121700
STOP- The low of hammer candle.
Note- You may enter as close as the low of the hammer candle.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose
Jai Shree Ram.
Trade ideas
Gold Futures (MGCZ2025) — Weekly FVG Magnet & Potential ReversalPrice has been respecting Standard Deviation levels beautifully across the H4, Daily, and Weekly timeframes. The market recently rejected the H4 FVG and is now hovering mid-range, with a Weekly Fair Value Gap left open below.
This imbalance could attract price early in the week, creating a liquidity grab and possible weekly low before Gold flips bullish again.
Key Levels:
🟤 H4 FVG rejection zone: 4,040 – 4,080
🔵 Weekly FVG target: 3,880 – 3,900
⚫ Weekly High: 4,124
⚫ Weekly Low: 3,901
Narrative:
I’m expecting price to push into the Weekly FVG discount zone early in the week — potentially aligning with high-impact financial news — and then reverse bullish for a mid-week or end-of-week rally.
Watch For:
Price displacement or BOS near the Weekly FVG
Killzone reactions (London & NY)
Volume and order flow confirmation before entering
Bias: Short-term bearish → medium-term bullish
Invalidation: Sustained trade below 3,842 (Weekly Lows & -1σ zone breach)
Quiet in FX Options — But Gold Is Heating Up
Over the past 24 hours, major currency options saw little of interest.
In contrast, precious metals — especially Gold — are attracting serious attention.
Let’s break down the key developments:
🔹 Observation #1: A New Bullish (But Hedged) Portfolio Appears
(See risk profile on screenshot.)
A new SMART option portfolio has entered the market:
Bullish bias, but with a built-in hedge — which reduces its predictive value.
If price drops below $3,800, the portfolio starts generating profit for its owner (via the hedge).
Built on the February 2025 futures contract, under an option series expiring in December 2025.
📌 Yes, it sounds confusing — and it is.
Option series expire, but futures live on.
This creates what we call "expiry risk" — a topic for another deep-dive article.
🔹 Observation #2: Put Activity at 3900 (Dec Series)
There’s growing activity in puts at the 3900 strike — moderate bullish positioning or support.
The bullish structure is hedged — not a pure directional bet.
Bearish positioning remains active.
Price has not yet shown signs of moving toward the main long setup.
I’d recommend at least 2–7 days of observation before considering any reversal trades.
📌 And here's why:
It’s rare for price to move immediately toward the target of a large, long-dated portfolio.
More often, there’s a delay of several days — especially when expiry is still far out.
Watch the flow.
Trade only when the edge is clear.
May the data-driven approach be with you!
Massive move in GC this year, what now ?Gold has been on a tear this year to the top a combination of factors, massive buying by central banks and hedging against any potential turmoil i the markets, dips have been limited but we could be seeing a deeper correction before the resumption of the move higher and testing $5000
Gold Futures (MGCZ25) – Monthly Close SetupPrice has ranged all week between 4040 and 3930. With an H4 FVG still sitting above, we might see one last liquidity grab before the next directional move.
⚖️ Neutral bias for now — watching for clean displacement at range extremes.
📍 If price reclaims 4040 → possible push into the H4 FVG.
📍 If it rejects and drops below 4020 → lower FVG fills toward 3930 could be next.
#Gold #Futures #ICT #MarketStructure #NOFOMO
Short the Pop Near Intraday Highs — Gold Dec ’25Timeframe: 30m with 15m confluence
Symbol: COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Thesis
Price pushed into a confluence resistance area and printed rejection. I’m positioned short from ~ 3,980 , looking for a fade back toward mid/low-day supports unless we accept above the resistance shelf.
Confluence (15m + 30m)
Tag of the prior intraday high / supply shelf around 3,985–4,015 .
MA cluster overhead on the 30m near ~ 4,002 ; 15m shows momentum roll + rejection wicks after the push.
Lower-high structure maintained; guide line curling down with momentum dots flipping bearish after the probe.
Key Levels
Short/Supply Zone: 3,985–4,015
My Entry: ~3,980 (15m rejection confirmation)
Invalidation: 4,030 on a 30-min close (acceptance above = short thesis off)
Downside Targets: TP1 3,960 • TP2 3,930 • TP3 3,900
Trade Plan
Aggressive Adds (if re-test): Scale 3,985–4,015 on wick/rejection.
Stops: 4,032 (tighter, better R:R) or 4,038 (safer vs quick stop sweep above 4,030/4,035).
Management from my 3,980 entry:
TP1 3,960 → move stop to BE
TP2 3,930
TP3 3,900 → trail above successive lower highs
What I’m Watching
Rejection tells on 5–15m (upper wicks, bearish engulfing) under the MA cluster
Momentum divergence into 3,985–4,015
Mean-reversion fade into layered resistance with defined invalidation. I’ll take partials quickly and let a runner try for deeper levels. Not financial advice — manage your own risk. Written using ChatGPT
GC Futures – Are We Flipping Bearish Into Midweek?Tuesday closed below Monday’s low, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Currently, price is approaching a 1H FVG inside the prior Asian range, just below the Weekly Low (W-L) and Daily High (D-H) — a perfect liquidity pocket.
I’m watching for signs of rejection here to confirm a bearish continuation. If price holds above this area, we may see a short squeeze back into higher value.
Bias remains bearish, but confirmation is key.
What are you seeing here — are we setting up for continuation or a fakeout?
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #ICT #NoFOMO
GC (Gold Futures): Towards $3900?This is MGC chart.
Current Market Situation
The chart shows MGC trading around $4,000 with a bearish outlook projected through the end of the week.
What We're Seeing
Price Movement:
- Price is trapped in a descending channel (purple trendlines)
- Currently attempting to push up near the $4,000 resistance zone
- Overall trend still shows downward pressure
This Week's Forecast:
- Tuesday (today): Might bounce up first, attempting a rally toward upper channel resistance
- Wednesday-Friday: Expected to reverse sharply and decline due to high impact news.
- Target: Down to $3,900 by end of week
Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $4,008-$4,010 (current area)
- Support: $3,900 (primary target), $3,868 (secondary support)
- Upper purple trendline acts as dynamic resistance
Bottom Line
This setup anticipates a "bull trap" scenario - a brief rally that fails at resistance before resuming the downtrend. The trader expects gold to drop approximately $100+ over the next few days, staying within the descending channel pattern.
Risk Warning: If price breaks decisively above the upper purple trendline with strong volume, this bearish scenario would be invalidated and the trend could reverse bullish.
A Case Study: GOLD probable price ProjectionA Spectacular and exponential price movement was observed in GOLD for last 3 months.
A Mega BullRun is witnessed in the bullion market across the globe. Gold is considered as the best among multi asset classes. Especially in Indian subcontinent Gold is not only considered as precious metal which holds a greater value but also very auspicious .
Now lets dive deep into its price movement based on Demand Zone Concept.Accordingly how can we position ourselves to get most out of it.
Case1: Daily Demand Zone (DDZ)
If Price reaches Daily Demand Zone then there is high probability of accumulation is observed by market players. and if the price is considered as fair then it may move up. here we can see buying reaction.
Case 2: Weeekly Demand Zone (WDZ)
If price reaches Weekly Demand zone then some more accumulation occurs and then price moves up.
Now the question arises that if we see good buying at daily demand zone then why should price reach weekly demand zone. to understand this i explained briefly about different market players in the follwing link.
How perfectly market players defend their positions is clearly seen in this chart . Please go through it.
WDZ 1 & WDZ 2:
These are the zones where gold was accumulated.
Case 3: Monthly Demand Zone (MDZ)
If ever price reaches this zone it shall be a good level to invest .
Note : price movement may not be as swift as it was in last 3 months.
Long Gold, Read description is a must Yeah, I’ll be honest , this one’s a bit of a forced setup. It’s not really my usual day trading style, and it doesn’t fully align with my playbook, but I still see potential in Gold here. I’ve been tracking the consolidation after that last leg down, and we finally got a breakout to the upside.
My broader view hasn’t changed though , I’m expecting a deeper correction once price taps that black line. If we get a retrace into the yellow box, that’s where I’d start looking for a long setup. But if price skips the retrace and tags the black line straight away, I’m sitting on my hands , that zone is a key decision point, and patience will pay off there. Once we confirm that the price is heading down, then we ride that wave down, if it happens.
GC - til Nov 2025 (1hr chart)T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
yesterday
Trade closed manually
price followed the candle science and timeframes from the 5min green levels to the weekly grey level. Price has left behind some inverse frontside and inverse backside candles which look to be forming the bridge to flip the script if price manages to gain those levels and start accumulation. That liquidity will "unlock" and fuel price action.
GC Weekly Outlook | November 10–14, 2025Gold has been slowly breaking structure and surfing the 50ema. We creeped up inside the 1hr range last week and liquidated those highs. We could see price continue to the upside this week November 10-14. I am expecting the 1hr o continue to push higher, we can possibly get a deeper pullback until that impulse. I always make sure to follow the trend on the 1hr timeframe since I enter on the lower timeframes. The trend is your friend.
Gold futures to break back down the 4000?As we all know Gold has had an incredible rally this year,
Though, it's been consolidating for the last two weeks, and as far as the structure of the consolidation, some of the liquidity has been taken from the daily FVG on Oct the 30th, leaving a permanent high on the H4 chart with a nice bearish candle
Then it consolidated again for a bit, got an impulse to the downside, retraced with difficulty back to the H4 order block, to consolidate again last 2 days of last week. Finally , it printed what could be more of a permanent high on friday afternoon.
The combination of this, plus the last two day's candles looking bearish, starts to advocate for a bearish bias.
Therefore I'd like to see the price go and reach for the low of the range, after it's breaking the H4 structure
Of course this idea could be invalidated, if Gold was to break above the recent high and the Daily FVG, then we'd reasses the situation.
Still, I would be cautious for longs, Gold has been very extended for a very long time, needs to cool off a bit so we can go buy some coins again!
Cheers!






















