Gold’s Tight Range = Big Opportunity! Watch These Key Levels.COMEX:GC1! COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures) | Market Analysis & 2025 Outlook
After hundreds of requests since my last ideas, I’ve decided to share another detailed breakdown — this time for Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! . Let’s dive in.
COMEX: COMEX:GC1! Breakdown
Fundamental Analysis → NEUTRAL to BULLISH
Gold remains range-bound as markets await clearer direction from global inflation data and U.S. rate expectations. Safe-haven demand continues to support the metal, but a strong dollar has kept price capped.
Technical Analysis → RANGING (Neutral Bias)
Currently consolidating within a 4H range since October 25th, with price bouncing between resistance near 4045 and support around 3940.
A close below 3940 opens the door for lows near 3823.
A close above 4045 could trigger a move toward the fair value gap around 4235.
If price sustains above 4235, the next major target would be a breakout beyond the all-time high at 4398.
This sideways structure suggests accumulation before a decisive move — traders should stay patient for a confirmed breakout before committing heavy capital.
Sentimental Analysis → Market in Waiting Mode
Gold traders are showing hesitation — institutions and retail alike are waiting for key macro catalysts. The current equilibrium reflects indecision rather than reversal.
My Suggestion:
While the bias remains neutral, a smart strategy is to wait for confirmation from the range extremes.
Trade Plan:
BUY Setup: If we see a strong 4H or daily close above 4045, aim for 4235, then 4398.
SELL Setup: If price closes below 3940, look for continuation to 3823 before considering long re-entries.
Use proper risk management — risk small until direction confirms.
Conclusion
Gold’s current range offers both opportunity and caution. Be patient and let the breakout guide your next move. Remember — the market rewards discipline more than prediction.
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See you soon on the next trade idea! ✨📊
Trade ideas
Trade idea for monday1. Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and 30-min candle close above 4,020–4,030.
Retest Entry: Enter on retest of 4,010–4,020 zone.
Targets:
TP1: 4,060 (first resistance)
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,160
Stop-Loss: Below 3,980 (below breakout candle or wedge support)
R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on target.
2. Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play)
Entry: If price rejects 4,020–4,030 and closes below 3,995.
Targets:
TP1: 3,960
TP2: 3,945 demand zone
Stop-Loss: Above 4,030
R:R: ~1:2 potential
GOLD FUTURERS: Critical levels for tradingMCX GOLD : Trading sideways with minor dips. Bias :Positive
Positional Buy :Once it starts giving a close above 1,21,000 for a fresh rally towards 1,22,000+
Positional sell :Once it gives a close below 1,20,000 for 1,17,000/1,10,000 levels
Major Support :1,20,000/1,17,000/1,10,000
Major Resistance :1,21000-1,21,100(For educational purpose only)
GOLD falling in a parallel channel formation Gold price has been falling since yesterday as expectations of December rate cut fades away. It is forming a parallel falling channel pattern and has recently bounced from the lower zone.
Keep an eye on it as volatility is expected to stay and there will be ample opportunities to capture movements. Follow me for live updates.
XAUXAUStraight from perplexity - Potential for a Return to $4,200
Gold prices have fluctuated but repeatedly tested the $4,200 level, and the consensus among many experts is that, despite recent corrections, gold could readily revisit or sustain levels near $4,200, depending on global economic events, monetary policy (especially Fed rate decisions), inflation, and geopolitical uncertainties.
Gold MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 5th Nov., 25MCX:GOLD1!
MCX Gold Futures — Chart Pathik Insights | 5-Nov-25
Gold futures are under selling pressure, trading stall at 119,749 right at the zero line after a sharp leg down and minor bounce attempts. Price remains weak as sellers control action just beneath the 120,000 psychological mark, pointing to possible further downside unless reclaimed by bulls.
Bearish Structure:
Short setups dominate below 119,918, with every failed retest of the add-long (120,155) keeping momentum with sellers.
Downside Levels:
118,555: First logical target for bears; cover some, trail the rest.
117,787: Aggressive extension if broad liquidation triggers.
Risk Management: Shorts should be managed above the add-long or zero line to minimize risk if a reversal takes hold.
Bullish Structure:
Longs to be considered only above 120,392, needing quick acceptance back in the prior higher band and strong closes above resistance.
Upside Levels:
121,039: Initial resistance for partial or full booking.
121,807: Extension if sentiment flips with volume.
Risk Management: Use the short-entry/zero-line as stops for any fresh longs caught in whipsaws.
Neutral/Inflection:
The 119,797–119,749 band marks the direct battle for the session — choppy price is likely until a firm imbalance emerges. Be patient for confirmation before executing size.
Use these mapped zones for optimal structure, adaptive entries, and aggressive defense.
If these levels clarify your daily plan, boost, comment, and share—your support boosts the learning loop.
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GC week 45threw this together real quick.
T.A explained -
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Gold futuresOver the past four weeks, gold futures have pulled back and fallen below the $4000 level. Formally, the trend remains bullish; however, from a historical perspective, it has already lasted nearly 1000 days, which leaves little room for further growth. In the event of a downward correction, gold could target the support level in the $3200-3300 range.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 4400
Support level: 3200-3300
GC Higher or Lower?Looking at GC on the 4 hour TF, we see it consolidating in a small rising wedge. If price wants to continue higher, I will be looking for price to drop back down to the $3980s level and then move higher breaking out of the wedge. If price wants to continue lower, I will be looking for price to make its way up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level marked on the chart, around $4090s, before breaking back down and creating another leg down in its recent downtrend.
What are your thoughts on GC?
MCX-GOLD 1HR SWING🟡 1. Chart Title
“MCX-GOLD 1HR CHART” — This means the analysis is based on each candle representing 1 hour of price action.
⸻
⚙ 2. Structure Breakdown
• Complex Correction (W–X–Y–X–Z):
This shows that gold has been in a corrective phase, not an impulsive move.
The correction is labeled as a WXYXZ structure — a complex sideways/downward correction with multiple swings.
• Expandable Wedge:
The pattern shows an expanding shape, meaning each swing is getting slightly larger.
This is a sign of high volatility and often forms before a major breakout.
⸻
⚫ 3. Key Zones
• Supply Zone (around ₹124,000–₹124,600):
This is where sellers are expected to enter the market, possibly pushing the price down again.
• Invalidation Point (₹124,600):
If the price goes above ₹124,600, this current bearish correction view is invalidated, and a bullish breakout could start.
• Harmonic PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone):
Located around ₹116,800 – ₹113,400, marked at the bottom of the chart.
This is a buy zone (demand area) based on harmonic projection — expecting the price to reverse upward from this region.
⸻
🔁 4. Elliott Wave Labels
• Current correction labeled as Wave (4) —
After completion, a strong Wave (5) impulse upward is expected.
• Sub-waves (a–b–c) are drawn within the correction to show smaller internal movements.
⸻
📉 5. Expected Move
The chart shows two possible paths:
1. Short-term bearish move —
Price may fall from the supply zone (~₹122,000–₹124,000) to the harmonic PRZ around ₹117,000.
2. Then bullish reversal —
From the PRZ, the chart expects a strong upside rally, possibly toward ₹126,000+.
Gold Today's gold chart has 11 drawings from the monthly timeframe in pink to the 15min timeframe in blue.
top down analysis favors the higher timeframe levels for strength but the best entries are found on the lower timeframes fractals confirming the larger timeframe direction.
Gold has broken an accumulation trend and is now looking for the liquidity from above to test the support at lower levels. We'll look back later and see which levels were taken and where liquidity was hiding,
price just tested a 4hr trend so price is in between the 1hr timeframe support ladder and daily resistance. If price can hold the 1hr timeframe, it has a chance to regain the daily trend or at least back test it.
Gold: Bearish Divergence Signals Weak MomentumFenzoFx—Gold tapped into the $4,050.00 buy-side liquidity yesterday, currently trading below this level. The cumulative volume delta demonstrates a lack of buying interest in gold, formed a bearish divergence with the price chart.
From a technical perspective, if Gold remains below $4,050.00, the price will likely decline toward the equal lows at $3,925.00.
GOLD might be resuming it's bullish trend soon!Price is breaking the trendline, made higher low and
now is making a higher high. IF confirmed this brekout.
And the faster moving averages crossover above the 55 EMA,
it will be configured a good entry point for Gold.
Now, with the price and faster moving averages 25 EMA
and 55 EMA between the 200 EMA and SMA moving averages, it's still in a non
decision zone for me.
After crossover, trend confirms, after higher high (with body), trend
confirms. If it goes above 4,171 and 4.394 with a good volume and
strenth, it might be a crystal clear indication of a new trend that can
go up to 5K pretty quick.
COMEX Gold Futures : Technical View
Gold futures are forming a falling wedge pattern, currently trading at ₹3,995. A break below ₹3,930 could indicate a short-term correction, while failing to sustain above ₹4,050 might lead to continued downward pressure.
Key Levels:
- Current Price: ₹3,995
- Support: ₹3,930
- Resistance: ₹4,050
- Potential Outcome: Break below ₹3,930 may lead to further decline, while sustaining above ₹4,050 could indicate a bullish reversal
Technical Analysis:
The falling wedge pattern suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. If gold futures break below ₹3,930, it may signal a short-term correction. Conversely, sustaining above ₹4,050 could indicate a bullish reversal.
Bearish Gap Caps XAU/USD UpsideFenzoFx—Gold traded lower after it crossed above the descending trendline, capped at the $4,050.00 bearish gap. Currently, Gold is testing the trendline as support, with support at $3,925.00. The recent breakout has confirmation from cumulative volume delta, and the delta also made a new higher low and lower high.
The immediate support rests at $3,925.00. Yesterday, the price swept the sell-side liquidity by a few ticks below this level. This means the price should not return below this level in the current session if the market is bullish today.
From a technical perspective, if $3,925.00 support holds, XAU/USD will likely rise to take the buy-side liquidity at $4,050.00. Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if the price closes below the immediate support. This setup has a 1 to 4 risk-to-reward.
gold to go another leg or two lower? 3800 or 3650gold achieves measured move just outside of timed zone from head and shoulders setup, retests bottom of initial shoulder, and returns to measured down move looking to break 3900 support down to 3800.
if downward momentum continues look for 3650 as solid support from an old upward trend line and parallel channel.
Gold Near 4k: Mean-Reversion Short — Watch 3,985–4,015Timeframe: 15m • 30m • 1h
Symbol: COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Current Read (MTF)
15m (lead): Drives turns. Watching for rejection wicks into 3,985–4,015 ; momentum rolling under guides.
30m (confirm): Capped by MA cluster ~ 4,002 ; sellers defending sub-4k. A 30m close above 4,030 changes the script.
1h (context): Lower-highs intact until 4k+ is reclaimed with closes.
Plans From Here
Fade a pop (preferred): Re-sell 3,985–4,015 on wick/rejection.
Stops: 4,032 (tight, better R:R) or 4,038 (safer vs quick sweep above 4,030/4,035).
Breakdown → retest: Lose/close below 3,960 , sell the underside retest (≈3,960–3,965) toward 3,930 , then 3,900 .
Flip long if invalidated: 30m acceptance > 4,030 opens 4,078 → 4,152; look for pullback buys into 4,015/4,030.
Levels I’m Trading
Supply/short zone: 3,985–4,015
Invalidation for shorts: 4,030 (30m close)
Downside magnets: TP1 3,960 • TP2 3,930 • TP3 3,900
Indicator Cheatsheet
15m & 30m lead the higher TFs. I act on 15m, confirm with 30m.
Bottom panel colors: Red = sell pressure , Green = buy pressure , Yellow = potential reversal .
Buy/Sell signals: Highest weight when they line up with the 3,985–4,015 zone or the 3,960 breakdown/retest.
Plan: let 15m/30m lead. Fade into 3,985–4,015 unless we accept above 4,030; otherwise trade breakdown–retests toward 3,930/3,900. Not financial advice — manage your own risk.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Gold Sitting on the Edge – Liquidity Sweep Before the Bounce?Monday didn’t give much movement, and price is now hovering around last week’s low.
I’m expecting a liquidity sweep of the current levels — likely taking out the Daily Low before moving to fill the full Weekly FVG below.
Short-term bias is bearish for the Asian session, but I’ll be watching closely for a shift once that FVG is filled.
If absorption shows up after the sweep, I’ll flip long for the bigger move higher into midweek.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #LiquiditySweep #NOFOMO
Buy Entry Model Key Points Summary
Market is still in a downtrend, but a pullback is in progress.
Lower supply zone around 4,050 is currently holding resistance.
Strong demand zone around 3,975 is your main downside target.
Trade setup shows a short position respecting supply-demand structure.
Confirmation of continued bearishness would come from a break below 3,990.
A break above 4,075 would invalidate the short and suggest potential shift in momentum.






















