Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits🟠 Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits
Gold has had a strong breakout above the symmetrical triangle and has now pushed into an extended move near $3,700+. While the trend remains bullish on the higher timeframe, the current leg looks overextended, and I’m looking to hedge profits with a short setup.
🔑 Key Technicals
Pattern Breakout: Gold broke out of a long consolidation wedge and accelerated higher.
Resistance Zone: Price is testing the Fib 1.618 extension near $3,750, a potential exhaustion area.
Volume Profile: Strong demand zone sits between $3,300 – $3,360 where most volume is concentrated. A pullback could retest this area.
Risk-Reward: Setup gives ~1:3.4 RR with stop above recent highs and target into the HVN zone.
📉 Trade Idea – Protective Short
Entry: 3750
Stop Loss: 3800 (extension level).
Take Profit: $3580
⚖️ Strategy
This is not a reversal call – the larger trend is still bullish. The short setup is hedge/profit-protection only, aiming to capture a pullback after the parabolic leg.
I’ll be watching if buyers can defend $3,600 on the first dip; failure to hold could accelerate selling toward the high-volume zone.
📊 Bias
Short-term: Bearish (pullback expected)
Mid-term: Neutral to Bullish (trend intact above $3,300)
What do you think – do we see a healthy correction here, or is gold too strong to fade yet?
Gold Mini Futures
GOLDM1! trade ideas
Gold Consolidation – Watching 3650 Break for Weekly MoveGold has opened the week consolidating under last week’s highs. Price continues to respect a bearish FVG on the 1H/4H chart, with heavy distribution around the 3675–3680 zone.
For direction:
Break above 3687 (D-H) = liquidity grab above highs before any reversal.
Break below 3654 (D-L) = bearish continuation into last week’s low (3626) and potentially the 8HR FVG around 3520–3550 later this week.
Bias is cautious bearish going into Asian → London session. I’ll be patient for confirmation — the cleanest trigger is an hourly close below yesterday’s low.
Gold futures forcast Bullish continuation steps in?@GoldenZoneFX Follow me for more valuable content and insightful ideas.
"GC1 is in a compression phase following a bullish impulse. Decision zone lies between 3,585 and 3,716. A breakout with volume signals continuation; a rejection points to a return toward support levels. Clean structure—worth monitoring.
Risk is dynamic. Stay adaptive, stay protected.
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow.
Key levels on my chart:
Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH)
Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL)
If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680.
I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come.
Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
Gold Setting Up for Weekly Low Sweep – Watching 3650sGold has stalled out at the highs this week and is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong 2-week bullish run. Thursday’s close left us hovering just above key support in the 3650s.
For Friday, I’m watching for a break and close below yesterday’s low on the 1H chart. If we get that confirmation, I’ll be looking for continuation shorts targeting Monday’s low and potentially the 8HR FVG around 3600–3620 to close out the week.
If bulls defend this level again, then the range may extend — but the cleaner move is down into untested imbalances below.
This sets up Friday as a key day:
✅ Break yesterday’s low = downside liquidity run in play
❌ Hold support again = chop/range into next week
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures)
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Sun 29th June 2025
Session: 6.00 PM
TF: 1H
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,904.5
Profit Level: 4,134.5 (+18.47%)
Stop Level: 3,793.0 (–1.18%)
RR: 127.17
Wyckoff Narrative & Structure:
Phase A (Preliminary Support / Selling Climax): Market sold off into spring lows, where high volume absorption signalled potential accumulation.
Phase B (Building the Cause): An extended consolidation range is formed, marked by tests of support and resistance. Smart money accumulated positions while shaking out weak hands.
Phase C (Spring & Test): Price wicked below support to collect liquidity (spring event) before reclaiming the range. The test confirmed demand returning.
Phase D (Markup Initiation): Breakout above resistance with strong volume, creating a Sign of Strength (SOS) and retest zones acting as Last Points of Support (LPS).
Phase E (Trend Continuation): The current price action indicates a bullish continuation, in line with the long-term markup phase, which targets higher extensions (Fib 1.618 and above).
Feeling really good about this trade tbh.
I Should Have Noticed This Pattern (Episode 1)
Just today I zoomed out on my GS chart and noticed for the first time this almost perfect triangle pattern. How did I completely miss this?
-There are many times in my short trading career that I have come across things I should have noticed. Whether it's chart patterns, correlation, volume spikes, or indicators indicating; I kick myself for my neglect!
-Now the least I can do is point out those mistakes and share them with you as I see them, in the hopes that more get noticed in the future.
-This is an example of a symmetrical triangle which is considered the most common type of triangle pattern. Despite the name, the triangle does not have to be symmetrical and like all patterns is evaluated in the approximate. Some imagination is required. Most triangles are a representation of consolidation before continuation, but can sometimes represent a top or bottom before reversal. When price does break out of a triangle, volume should spike and this example clearly shows that. This example also shows a false breakout which would have been discovered when closing for the day back "inside" the pattern. Also like all patterns, the larger the time interval, the more important the pattern. Daily and longer are preferred.
-Again this is what I see after the fact and far too late. I would not enter this trade now. Please let me know if I missed something or if you were able to trade this in real time and there was details that I left out. Also, did anyone make money on noticing this pattern? Am I mistaken in any way?
Do you feel stuck in trading?there's a big percentage of traders being stuck in their journey for the lack of understanding how God wants to bless you in finding a strategy . all we have to do is apply for what he already showed us if not ask where to look and go out there and become that successful trader and be a blessing!!
MGCZ2025 WEEK 39 SEPT 21STLooking for MON, TUE, WED to be the low of the week, trading into or slightly below 3H BISI. Price should run energetically to break $3744.
Look for buying opportunities once price has broken below $3715. Note that price can run lower into the BOB (Bullish OB) before turning around.
IF- price closes below the 3H OB at $3706. Hold to see if price turn in the lower 3H SIBI instead. You could be wrong in your analysis and price may be trying to run lower.
NOTE we are entering MC-NM. This is typically a retracement which should be to the up side given market structure.
NOTE: you are looking to hold for a 20 point run based on the fib. The best BUYs will be formed below $3723
CALENDAR EVENT
MON
- 12PM - FOMC SPEAKER
TUES
- 9:45AM - PMI (HIGH)
- 12:35AM - POWELL SPEAKS (HIGH)
WED
- 10AM - NEW HOMES SALES
THUR
- 8:30AM - FINAL GDP (HIGH)
- 10AM - EXISTING HOME SALES
FRIDAY
- 8:30AM - CORE PCE INDEX (HIGH)
Final Note
- remember to keep track of midnight/8:30 opening prices. Always refer back to the 1H and 3H
to confirm what side of the market you should be on.
- Alway look to buy in a discount range and sell in a premium range.
Risk- Only risk 150- 200 per trade on initial entry. you can add lots once you confirm trade is good. Refer back to higher TF before adding lots.
Max two trades per session.
Liquidity Sell ModelTrade example from last week.
I wanted to show how the market cycles when it comes to liquidity. Usually price will create a decent high and low during the Asia session (Tokyo and Sydney). Once NY session opens, a sweep either above or below Asia session will occur before the true move occurs.
In this case, price swept above Asia session highs before dropping into SSL.
Gold Bears Trapped at POC - Bulls Load for $3,850 BreakoutThe Market Participant Battle:
Bears attempted to push Gold below the Value Area at point 2 but were decisively trapped and beaten by major institutional buyers. The rejection at the POC (Point of Control) with strong bullish divergences across multiple momentum indicators signals that bulls have regained control. Price is expected to return to test the $3,850 resistance after this bear trap consolidation, with institutional buyers defending the value area high at $3,720.
Confluences:
Confluence 1: Value Area Rejection & POC Defense
The chart shows a textbook rejection at the Value Area High (point 2), with price piercing below but immediately recovering above both the POC and VAH. This is a classic bear trap pattern where aggressive sellers were absorbed by institutional buyers. The anchored VWAP from point 1 shows the 1st standard deviation aligning perfectly with the VAH, creating a powerful confluence of support that trapped late bears and sparked the reversal.
Confluence 2: Quad Bullish Divergence
All four momentum indicators (OBV, RSI, MFI, CDV) made higher lows while price made a lower low at point 2. This is an extremely rare quad divergence setup that historically precedes powerful moves higher. The OBV shows accumulation never stopped, RSI held oversold bounces, MFI indicates money never left, and CDV confirms institutional buying throughout the dip.
Confluence 3: FOMC Rate Cut Catalyst
The Fed just cut rates by 25bps today (September 17) with Governor Miran dissenting for larger cuts. The dot plot suggests two more cuts coming in 2025. Gold historically performs strongly during rate cutting cycles, with average gains of 14% in the year following initial cuts when markets are near highs.
Web Research Findings:
- Technical Analysis: Gold holding above $3,670 with immediate resistance at $3,700-3,720, major resistance at $3,850
- Recent News/Earnings: Fed cut rates 25bps today, markets pricing 93% chance of continued cuts through year-end
- Analyst Sentiment: Goldman Sachs targets $3,700+ for 2025, World Gold Council sees 0-5% upside in H2
- Data Releases & Economic Calendar: CPI at 2.9% (above 2% target), unemployment rising, suggesting stagflationary environment
- Interest Rate Impact: Real rates turning negative as inflation exceeds rate cuts - historically bullish for gold
Layman's Summary:
The Fed just started cutting interest rates today while inflation is still high (2.9%), creating the perfect storm for gold. When the Fed cuts rates but inflation stays elevated, gold becomes the go-to asset because cash loses value. Big banks are already positioned for this - central banks bought record amounts of gold in 2025. The technical setup shows major buyers stepped in exactly where they should (at the value area), creating a bear trap that should spring gold higher toward $3,850.
Machine Derived Information:
- Image 1: Shows numbered reference points 1-4 with clear bear trap at point 2, target at $3,856 - Significance: Classic V-reversal at value area with institutional footprints - AGREES ✔
- Image 2: Displays quad divergence across OBV/RSI/MFI/CDV indicators - Significance: Extremely bullish momentum divergence rarely seen, confirms accumulation - AGREES ✔
Actionable Machine Summary:
The AI analysis confirms a textbook bear trap setup at a critical technical level (Value Area/POC) combined with an ultra-rare quad divergence across all momentum indicators. The timing with today's FOMC rate cut creates a fundamental catalyst to trigger the technical spring-load. Stop placement is clear below point 2 at $3,706, with initial target at VAH retest ($3,720) before continuation to $3,850+.
Conclusion:
Trade Prediction: SUCCESS
Confidence: High
This setup combines the perfect storm of technical and fundamental factors. Bears were trapped attempting to break value area support just as the Fed initiated its rate cutting cycle. The quad divergence is exceptionally rare and historically precedes 5-10% moves. With inflation still elevated at 2.9% and rates being cut, gold's traditional role as an inflation hedge is activated. Risk/Reward is excellent with tight stop below $3,706 and targets at $3,850+, offering 4:1 R/R.
Gold Range Took a bit of time but they did bring Gold prices back into the range. I cant say how the Gold market will react for the Fed but there is potential for Gold to range at these price for a bit based on 9 Sept expressing sellers present. I think gold will resume out of the range but possibly not until the end of the month.
#GoldRange
#goldtrading
Gold Ready To Fold?Gold (GC1!) — 1.414 Tag + Max Gartley PRZ: Is This the High?
I’m mapping a short off a full confluence cluster at the highs.
Why I’m short here (stacked signals)
3-Month 1.414 extension hit: price is sitting right at ~3,722 (1.414 on the 3M chart). That’s classic terminal PRZ behavior.
Daily “Max Gartley” complete: harmonic PRZ lands 3,710–3,735; price tagged/hovered there.
Volume/CVD divergence across TFs: daily, weekly, monthly show higher price on weaker buy volume / softer positive delta → exhaustion.
Weekly momentum divergence: MACD lower high vs price higher high; histogram rolling off = bearish momentum divergence.
Band/structure context: riding the upper Bollinger with long upper wicks into red channel resistance; rising-wedge/parallel rail touch.
Measured moves: last leg ≈ prior leg; AB=CD ≈ 1:1 completes ~3,720–3,735, inside the PRZ.
Round-number + prior shelf: 3,700 is a heavy pivot; failure to extend above 3,739–3,742 on strong delta = absorption at the top.
Extra confirmations I’m watching live
CVD/Delta: push above 3,735 without new CVD highs = add to short.
Spread/financing: widening bid–ask / negative basis into spikes = top-y behavior.
Heikin-Ashi: upper shadows / color flip on daily/weekly strengthen the reversal case.
Bottom line: This is a short right now into 3,716–3,736 with risk 3,751. The confluence—3M 1.414, daily Max Gartley, multi-TF volume divergence, weekly MACD div, and channel resistance—points to a swing lower toward 3,700 → 3,673 → 3,641, with room to 3,566/3,551 if momentum cracks.
Gold Range ConditionsSome what similar pattern to one in February that was started last week on 9 Sept with a bearish engulfing hourly, 4 hour, 8 hour, and 12 hour that set near term resistance. The range during Feb lasted 17 days with a total of -3.45 toward the end with a fake out to the downside, that eventually broke upward toward the end of the month.
New Highs For Gold Or Perfect Opportunity for Reversal Gold (GC1!) Is Poised to set New Highs, as We've seen Gold (GC1) reach its highest Point in history and shows no intentions of Slowing Down. Gold May Start off Strong with high liquidity This Monday, This could be the lowest we get to see gold Prices For a long time and late investor may want to get in before we take off. all I know is this will be a fierce battle as 'Bears' may use this opportunity to enter their positions the 'Bulls' will have to fight! if they really want it.
Gold (XAU/USD) Forex SignalGold (XAU/USD) has been showing strong bullish momentum recently, but the latest Zig Zag pattern and RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a potential correction in the short term. Let’s analyze and provide a clear forex trading signal.
Market Overview
| Pair | Gold (XAU/USD) |
| -------------- | ------------------------------- |
| Current Price | \$3,680.7 |
| Trend | Bullish with minor pullback |
| Key Indicators | Zig Zag (5,10), RSI (14, close) |
| Volatility | High |
| Market Session | US Session |
Technical Analysis
Zig Zag Indicator: The last leg shows a peak around **\$3,679.3** followed by a small correction, signaling possible short-term weakness.
RSI (14): Currently near the **55 level**, coming down from overbought territory (>70). This indicates the bullish rally may be slowing, and sellers could test the downside.
Support Levels: \$3,650 – \$3,620
Resistance Levels: \$3,720 – \$3,750
Gold Trading Signal (September 14, 2025)
| Signal Type | Sell (Short-term) |
| ------------- | --------------------- |
| Entry Zone | \$3,680 – \$3,690 |
| Stop Loss | \$3,720 |
| Take Profit 1 | \$3,650 |
| Take Profit 2 | \$3,620 |
Analysis: Since RSI has cooled off from overbought levels and Zig Zag shows a minor top formation, a short-term selling opportunity is expected. However, the long-term trend remains bullish, so aggressive traders may wait for dips to re-enter long positions.
Alternate Scenario
If gold breaks above \$3,720, the bearish setup becomes invalid, and bulls may drive the price toward \$3,750 – \$3,800.
FAQs on Gold Forex Signals
Q1: Is gold still a good buy in September 2025?
Yes, gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but short-term pullbacks are expected.
Q2: What is the best strategy for XAU/USD now?
Swing traders can short near resistance with tight SL, while long-term investors can buy on dips.
Q3: Which indicators are most useful for gold trading?
RSI, Zig Zag, Moving Averages, and Fibonacci retracements work well with gold volatility.
Conclusion
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating after a strong bullish move. Short-term traders can look for sell opportunities near \$3,680 with targets at \$3,650 – \$3,620, while long-term traders should stay bullish and buy dips.