Freeport Bouncing at the 50-day SMAFreeport McMoRan has steadily rallied since the March low. Now the copper miner may be ready to break out of its longest consolidation since the surge began.
One big feature on the chart is the high basing pattern above $30. It’s recently made higher lows and tried to climb up the right side of that basin.
Price has also held the rising 50-day simple moving average (SMA). It previously bounced along that line in September, January and March.
Next, FCX has broken a downward-sloping trendline along the February and March highs. Last week it bounced at that line, which could mean that old resistance has become new support.
Copper has been one of the biggest gainers since the pandemic as years of stagnant production growth collides with a global electric build out. The red metal has been a major green-energy asset. FCX is one of the most straightforward equities to play the trend.
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Trade ideas
a miner valued like a biotech trades at 87x, I mean, BHP trades at what ~14x. Trend is still to the upper right quadrant, been playing straddles as it zig zags in no man's land. Sold my calls before copper finally decided it wasn't the most valuable commodity in the world, have a couple puts still open, would like it to punch below it's pitchfork all things being equal post earnings it might regain it's upward momentum. But notice how it likes to sell off when the 10 year ramps up. Know why? - It trades at 87x!! wtf...
FCX on commodities/copper risingFCX is currently sitting above a support area so we wouldn't call this the absolutely best trade.
That said, maybe a 2% max trade risk on it hitting the Stop-loss while keeping in mind that other ideas are available and better.
However, if it does make a strong move off support, moving the TP higher and SL to breakeven will turn an ok trade into a great Reward/Risk trade.
This is also a good re-entry or a place to add to a buy and hold position for those of you that jumped on during the previous published idea.
$FCX PutNot a top priority play but potential is there. Looking at $FCX PUTs due the decreasing bullish volume and that it has rejected off this area before. Will be looking at how copper is doing in the morning before market opens. This will most likely be a day trade if I get in since earnings are this week.
Dr. Copper + Goldfingerlong commodities tho they're talking a breather. looking at FCX for another decent trade.
The setup: thinking this downward trend in FCX continues for a few more days then touches off the bottom of this inside pitchfork, so I'm eyeing a few at the money April 16 33.50 puts, watch to see how it behaves on the 32.91 support level, if it fails there, fork model is garbage, and I'll roll these puts out another week to collect more downside. If it bounces off the bottom of the fork channel & trends back up (which I think it'll do being that FCX routinely beat earnings as of late), I'll buy some cheap out of money monthly calls -preferably before end of session Friday. Likely selling these calls early following week when they strike in the money because the S&P runs the risk of bringing down a lot of sectors if it rolls over in the coming days/weeks. The one caveat that could prop up FCX is that if gold finally stages a rally, then the two commodities could fly in the face of an S&P re-rating. We'll see.
🐂 Freeport FCX inflation trade - Bullish flagHi mates NYSE:FCX is perfect setup for long in bullish flag
here is data for my trade:
------------------------Trade setup ---------------------------
Entry: 33.80
Stop Loss: 32.45
Profit target: 43.60
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FCX will reach $60 in 2021I am now 70% confident that FCX will reach $60 in 2021.
Technical Reasons:
1. recent relative strength in price action. Compared with most NASDAQ stocks, FCX has already recovered from the lows, as of today.
Fundamental Reasons:
2. Economic recovery, especially manufacture of e-car will need cooper, so high demand
3. With that much dollar floating everywhere, inflation is coming, so the price of raw materials will go up.
FCX on commodities/copper risingCopper rising and the dollar falling trend look ripe to continue
FCX is a good copper play on what is a decent support area
a move to the upside is proabable but we would prefer a small position size since :
1) the R of 1.29 isn't the best and
2)MACD doesn't look the best.
keep it on your watch list!after a 711% bullish rally in less than a year, I believe it is going to test its 50EMA, lower border of the channel and previous low at the same time!
if it breaks below all three at the same time! a new ear will start!
this might happen in the next 2 week, I will keep this on the watch list for daily candle closure below 32 for safe entry.
Perfect Diamond Long on $FCX into AprilGet on board this most excellent trade with copper and stock seasonality on your side! FCX has has a great run this year with copper from the bottom rising 400%. This is a great and possibly final leg to get into for awhile that is perfectly balanced inside Camarilla pivots, which I would consider myself an expert in using.
Copper 16YR seasonality nearing a bottom ahead of the FOMC
FCX is in agreement with a bottom near this area






















