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NVDA trade ideas

The NVDA Trade: The Tactical Case for an NVDA RetracementNVIDIA's price has been confined within a well-defined ascending channel, with its upward trajectory governed by a diagonal support trendline and its upside limited by a confluence of resistance. The stock's recent attempts to advance have been definitively rejected by this overhead resistance zone, signaling a lack of sufficient buying pressure at current price levels. The Trading Hypothesis The primary thesis is that the price will re-engage with and test the strength of the lower diagonal support trendline one final time. The failure to decisively break the dual overhead resistance marks a key moment, suggesting that a retracement is necessary to reset market conditions and establish a more stable foundation for a future rally. This projected move involves a retracement back to the lower boundary of the existing channel. The price action here will be critical. Should this diagonal support fail to hold—a high-probability scenario given the recent rejections at resistance—it would trigger a breakdown of the prevailing uptrend. This breakdown would likely initiate a more substantial corrective wave, driving the price toward the next major horizontal support level. This lower support line, identified on the chart, represents a key demand zone where new long-term buyers may step in, providing the necessary liquidity to halt the decline and potentially form a new base. Entry Point: The Red Arrow The red arrow on the chart signifies the optimal entry point for initiating a short position. Exit Point: The Green Arrow The green arrow marks the strategic exit point for the short position. This level is defined by the next major horizontal support line
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
NVDA ShortThe broader market structure on NVDA remains bearish, with price putting in lower highs since failing to hold above $180.27. The recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around $164.08 marked a significant shift to bullish momentum, but the market failed to create a clean higher high above $180, leaving the larger bearish structure intact. This failure to break structure to the upside suggests we may be seeing distribution forming at the current levels. Supply is sitting just above current price in the $178–179 range, where price previously rejected sharply and formed a consolidation top. This is a strong supply zone since sellers stepped in aggressively the last time price was here. Below, there is a well-defined demand zone between $167–164, where buyers stepped in with strength and caused a sharp rally. However, the rally lost steam as it approached supply, which indicates that demand may not be strong enough to absorb another large selloff. Price action in the marked region is consolidating just below supply, showing choppy, sideways behavior. This is often a sign of absorption before a potential breakdown. If price rejects this supply zone and breaks below intraday support, we could see a move down toward $168, and possibly deeper into the lower demand zone. The current trade bias is bearish, with an expectation of continuation to the downside after supply rejection. A sustained move and close above $180.50 would invalidate this view and signal potential continuation higher. Momentum is favoring sellers, as price has struggled to break above resistance despite multiple attempts, and wicks on the top side indicate rejection.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ProSignalai
AI GAIN Act: A Shot in the Foot for the Chip Industry?By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The debate over Western leadership in artificial intelligence once again centers on Washington. The new AI GAIN Act, integrated as part of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), establishes that any chip with performance above 4,800 TOPS will require an export license. The measure also stipulates that semiconductor manufacturers must prioritize deliveries to U.S. companies before exporting advanced chips abroad. Framed as a strategy to reinforce national security and curb China, the legislation has sparked alarm across the industry. In short: if U.S. companies are waiting for chips, China and other countries move to the back of the line. Nvidia raises the alarm Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA.O), the undisputed leader in GPUs for AI, has warned that the law would stifle global competitiveness and slow innovation in artificial intelligence. According to the company, there is currently no domestic supply shortage that justifies restricting access for foreign clients. The criticism recalls the controversial AI Diffusion Rule, pushed by the Biden administration in early 2025 and eventually revoked before coming into force. At the time, restrictions also aimed to control the export of chips and AI models but were discarded for being excessively rigid. Impact on the semiconductor sector The reach of the AI GAIN Act goes beyond Nvidia: • AMD, with its growing exposure to AI accelerators, faces similar risks in its international operations. • Intel, with a stronger domestic presence, may be less affected, as its profile aligns with the strategic goal of boosting local production. • Broadcom and Qualcomm, highly dependent on global client networks, would face tighter constraints on commercial flexibility. The most likely outcome is a double-edged sword: ensuring the U.S. always has priority in the supply chain, but at the cost of undermining the global business model that sustains sector margins. In short: the risk is that the cure ends up being worse than the disease, slowing global competition. Technical analysis of Nvidia Nvidia’s stock remains close to record highs after holding above USD 164 yesterday and closing at USD 168.31. Price action shows the loss of the 50-day moving average and movement toward the 100-day. A clear trend reversal has not yet materialized, even though the RSI is in oversold territory at 39.44, while the MACD is shifting into negative territory, crossing into the lower part of the histogram. Another relevant factor is a price bell that has moved strongly between USD 152.89 and USD 126.84, with its Point of Control (POC) around USD 138.17, slightly below the accumulation zone that fueled the rally to all-time highs. The ActivTrades US Market Pulse currently signals Extreme Risk-On conditions in U.S. markets, highlighting a phase of exuberance on Wall Street where macro or geopolitical risks seem ignored. This new law could act as a catalyst for sector pullbacks. If the current support at USD 164.58 and the next level at USD 152.89 fail, a return to the POC would be likely. On the other hand, if prices hold and consolidate, a new rally toward highs is possible. Such regulatory moves can trigger trend shifts, but if the market absorbs them, upside momentum could resume. From a wave structure perspective, bullish waves remain intact, suggesting this may be only a temporary pause. • Resistances: All-time high at USD 184.48 • Supports: 164.58, 152.89, and POC at 138.17 • Indicators: RSI at 39.44, signaling oversold and potential consolidation • MACD: Negative territory • Moving averages (50/100/200): No trend change yet, though the 50-day is approaching the 100-day • ActivTrades US Market Pulse: Extreme Risk-On Conclusion: Trump vs. AI The Trump administration’s protectionist measures aim to secure national access to silicon and reduce dependence on foreign suppliers, in order to safeguard U.S. leadership in AI. However, Nvidia’s warnings—echoed by the broader sector—underscore fears that overregulation could erode the international competitiveness of American tech giants, especially against China and other emerging innovation hubs. In this race for AI dominance, building walls may end up slowing down your own runners. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ActivTrades
What Is Beta in Stocks and How May It BeUsed?What Does Beta Mean in Stocks, and How May It Be Used in Risk Management? Beta is a key measure of how a stock moves relative to the market, helping traders assess risk exposure and price volatility. Understanding this indicator can help traders analyse potential price swings and portfolio stability. This article explores how beta works, its implications, and how it may be used in risk analysis. What Is Beta in Stocks and How Does It Affect Risk? Beta is a statistical measure that quantifies how a stock’s price fluctuates relative to the broader market. It helps traders analyse systematic risk—the kind that affects most stocks at the same time, such as economic downturns or interest rate changes. The number itself comes from regression analysis, which compares a stock’s potential returns to a benchmark index like the FTSE 100 or S&P 500. A beta of 1.0 indicates that a share generally tracks the movements of its benchmark index. If the index gains 5%, a stock with a value of 1.0 is likely to rise by about the same amount. A beta above 1 signals greater volatility—company shares with a beta of 1.8 may rise 9% when the market gains 5%, but they also tend to fall more sharply during downturns. A value below 1 suggests lower volatility, with the asset moving less than the broader index. Interpreting Beta Values Now, we will examine beta values in detail. High Beta Stocks (>1.0) These stocks react strongly to market changes. High beta is common in technology, consumer discretionary, and financials, where investor sentiment drives price movements. While they offer the potential for higher returns, they also come with increased price swings. Low Beta Stocks (<1.0 but >0) Lower beta stocks experience smaller movements compared to an index. A value of 0.6, for example, suggests it might rise 3% if the market gains 5%. Sectors like utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples often have these types of stocks, as demand for their products tends to remain stable, except in situations such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Negative Beta Stocks (<0) Some assets, such as gold mining company shares, have negative beta values, meaning they move in the opposite direction of the broader market. These assets can act as a hedge when markets decline, though a negative value is relatively rare. While the beta of a stock provides insights into its volatility, it doesn’t account for company-specific risks or broader economic shifts. Investors often combine this form of analysis with fundamental and technical factors to build a more complete view of exposure. How Traders Use Beta in Measuring Risk Rather than examining price movements in isolation, traders use beta to evaluate how a stock reacts to broader trends. This helps them decide whether it aligns with their risk tolerance and market outlook. Analysing Systematic Risk Since beta measures sensitivity to the market, it’s useful for assessing systematic risk—the kind of risk that can’t be eliminated through diversification. A stock with a high beta will likely experience sharp swings during broader turbulence, making it appealing for those looking to capitalise on potential momentum but at the cost of greater volatility. In contrast, low-beta shares may hold up better in downturns but won’t rally as aggressively in bull markets. Beta in Portfolio Construction Investors often consider this metric when balancing a portfolio’s overall risk level. A portfolio heavily weighted in high-beta company shares can be more volatile, while one with low-beta stocks may offer less volatile potential returns. Some investors focus on diversified beta investing, combining high- and low-beta assets to adjust their exposure depending on overall conditions. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Beta is also a key component of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which estimates a stock’s expected return based on its risk level. CAPM considers the relationship between beta and market returns, helping to compare potential opportunities. If the asset is more volatile than an index but offers lower-than-expected rewards, it may not justify the added volatility. The Limitations of Beta Beta is a useful tool for assessing how a stock moves relative to an index, but it has shortcomings. Since it’s based on historical price data, it doesn’t always reflect how the asset will behave in the future. It’s important to be aware of its limitations when using it for risk assessment. 1. It Changes Over Time Beta in a stock is not a fixed number. Company risk profiles can shift due to short-term developments, industry changes, or economic cycles, and impact a stock’s beta, meaning a stock with a value of 1.5 today might move closer to 1.0 over time as conditions evolve. 2. It Doesn’t Account for Company-Specific Risk Beta measures systematic risk, meaning it doesn’t factor in aspects specific to a company, such as management changes, earnings surprises, or regulatory issues. Two stocks can have the same beta but react very differently to news. 3. High Beta Doesn’t Always Mean Greater Potential Returns A stock with a beta of 2.0 might move twice as much as the market, but that doesn’t mean it will generate higher potential returns. If the asset consistently underperforms, its added volatility becomes a liability rather than an advantage. 4. Different Market Conditions Affect Reliability Beta tends to be more stable in normal market conditions but can break down during extreme events, such as financial crises or sudden liquidity shocks. In times of panic, correlations between assets often increase, making the metric less useful for risk analysis. Practical Examples of Beta in Action Looking at beta in real-world scenarios helps illustrate how different stocks react. Two well-known examples are NVIDIA (NVDA) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), which have very different values. NVIDIA (NVDA) – 1.76 According to Yahoo Finance, NVIDIA has a 5-year monthly beta of 1.76. This means its price is about 76% more volatile than the S&P 500. If the index gains 10%, NVIDIA’s stock could rise around 17.6%. However, in a downturn, it could fall by a similar magnitude. The tech sector is highly sensitive to market sentiment, innovation cycles, and economic conditions, making high-beta assets like NVIDIA riskier but also capable of higher potential returns. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – 0.46 Johnson & Johnson has a 5-year monthly beta of 0.46 (source: Yahoo Finance), meaning it moves about 54% less than the market. If the index rises or falls 10%, JNJ stock might move by 4.6%. The lower value reflects the so-called stability of the healthcare industry, where consistent demand for products like medical devices and pharmaceuticals tends to lead to more resilient stock performance. Key Takeaways Those willing to take on more risk for higher potential returns often favour high-beta stocks like NVIDIA, while those seeking less volatility may prefer low-beta companies such as Johnson & Johnson. However, the measure ignores company-specific risks or specific short-term outperformance factors (e.g. positive earnings or product releases), and it is typically calculated over a long timeframe—5 years in this instance. The Bottom Line Understanding the beta definition and how it applies may help traders and investors assess a stock’s volatility. Whether they are focused on high-beta growth stocks or lower-volatility options, this metric may help traders refine their strategy. However, while it may provide useful insights, it should be used alongside other analysis methods for a well-rounded approach. FAQ What Does Beta Mean in Stocks? The beta in stocks meaning refers to a measure of how much a stock moves relative to the broader market. A beta of 1.0 means it generally follows market movements, while a beta above or below 1 indicates higher or lower volatility, respectively. What Are High Beta Stocks? High-beta stocks have a beta greater than 1, meaning they tend to move more than the overall market. These assets often belong to technology, consumer discretionary, and financials, where price swings are more pronounced. What Does a Portfolio Beta Measure? Portfolio beta calculates the overall volatility of a portfolio relative to an index. It’s determined by weighting each stock’s beta based on its proportion in the portfolio. A portfolio with a value above 1 is more volatile than the market, while one below 1 is less volatile. What Does a Stock With a Beta of 1.5 Indicate? A stock with a beta of 1.5 is 50% more volatile than the market. If the index rises 5%, shares might increase by 7.5%, but it could also fall more sharply in downturns. What Is β? The symbol β is a Greek letter signifying beta. The beta meaning in finance refers to a stock’s expected performance relative to an index. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
1
NVDA 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16NVDA Coiling Under the 180 Gamma Wall — Break or Fade Day? 🚦 Market Structure (1H) * Price rebounded from 172.5 and is compressing under a descending trendline drawn from ~180s. * Momentum is turning up (MACD curling), but Stoch RSI is hot, so first touches into resistance can reject. * Intraday balance likely between 172.5 ↔ 180 unless we get a clean break. Key Levels Resistance: 177.3–177.8 (intraday ceiling), 178.6, 180 (major wall), 182.5 (next wall), 185.
Support: 175.0, 172.5 (big pivot), 170.0, 167.5 (put wall), 165, 160. GEX Read (Sep 16 session) * Highest positive NETGEX / Call resistance: 180 (primary gamma wall). * Additional call wall: 182.5. * Put walls: 167.5 and 165. * HVL / magnet: around 172.5. * IVR ~3–4, IVx ~39 → options relatively cheap vs own history (careful with overtrading, but debit spreads price well). * Participation skew light on calls (~25–26%): flow is neutral to slightly cautious. Implication: Dealers likely keep NVDA pinned 172.5–180 unless flow shifts. * Above 180: hedging can push to 182–182.5 → 185. * Below 172.5: opens 170 → 167.5 (put wall magnet). Trade Setups (use one, not all) 1) Bullish Breakout * Trigger: 1H/15m close > 177.8 and hold above trendline; momentum stays positive. * Entry: 178.0–178.2 on hold/retest. * Targets: 179.8 → 180; runners 182–182.5. * Invalidation/Stop: below 176.8 (back inside range). * Options (conservative): 180/182.5 call debit spread (same-week). Take partial near 180; leave a runner only if 180 converts to support. 2) Fade the Wall * Trigger: Spike into 179.8–180.2 and stall (lower TF rejection / bearish wick). * Entry: scale in on the rejection. * Targets: 177.5 → 175.5. * Invalidation/Stop: above 181.2. * Options: 180P or 177.5/175 put debit spread (same-week). Quick take-profits into 177–175. 3) Breakdown From Pivot * Trigger: Clean 1H break < 172.5 with a retest that fails. * Entry: 172.2–172.4 on failed retest. * Targets: 170.5 → 167.8 (≈ put wall 167.5). * Invalidation/Stop: back above 173.3. * Options: 172.5/170 put debit spread, leave a runner toward 167.5 only if momentum accelerates. Scalper’s Notes * First test of 177.8–178.6 likely reacts. If buyers absorb, flip to breakout bias. * If we gap near 175–176, watch for a quick liquidity sweep toward 172.5 → bounce back into range. * VWAP/EMA retests that hold above 177.8 favor a push to 180; fails below 175 lean back to 172.5. Swing Context (1–3 days) * Still a lower-highs channel until 180/182.5 is reclaimed. * Reclaim and hold ≥180 turns the path toward 185 this week. * Lose 172.5 on a daily close and the door reopens to 170 → 167.5. Risk & Management * Keep risk tight at the edges; don’t chase inside the 175–177 chop. * For spreads, size so a full debit loss is acceptable; scale out at first target. * If IV expands into the move, take profits faster on long options. This analysis is for education only, not financial advice. Manage risk and trade your plan.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA: A Stoic Approach to a Losing Trade (The Second Breath)As we just discussed, a loss is not a failure; it's information. This trade on NVDA is a perfect, real-time application of that Stoic and Douglas-inspired philosophy. The first attempt was stopped out for a small "paper cut" loss. The Stoics teach us to focus only on what we can control. We couldn't control the price hitting our first stop, but we can absolutely control our reaction. Our reaction is not one of frustration, but of calm acceptance. We take the information the market gave us, remain balanced, and execute the next step of our plan. The New Trade Plan This second attempt is an action taken with more wisdom and an even better potential reward. Style: Long / Re-Entry Entry: Limit Order at $167.75 Stop Loss: A tight, strategically placed stop at $162.25 (3.28% risk) Target: $192.50 Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1 : 4.5 The #limitlessTrader's Mindset The first trade was simply an exhale. This second trade is the next breath, taken with more clarity and from a place of balance. This is the process. Just shine. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheTradingDoct0r
NVDA Support and Resistance Lines Valid from July 1 to 31st 2025Overview: These purple lines act as Support and resistance lines when the price moves into these lines from the bottom or the top direction. Based on the direction of the price movement, one can take long or short entries. Trading Timeframes I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Anyone can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements. I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by OnePunchMan91
Checking for support near 171.26 Hello, traders! Follow me to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (NVDA 1M chart) The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy. - Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23. Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue. The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold. The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88). Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range. If the price fails to rise, 1st: 152.89 2nd: 121.80-138.23 We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above. - (1D chart) The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70. Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position. The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart. Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26. If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan. ------------------------------------------------ If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about. The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs. Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators. To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart. The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective. In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility. Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues. Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto
1
NVDA $182 Weekly CALL Setup – Cheap Premium, Big Upside? # 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03) ### 📊 Multi-Model Recap * **Daily RSI**: 📉 34.3 (weak) * **Weekly RSI**: 🔻 73.2 (falling) * **Volume**: +1.3x → institutional distribution signs * **Options Flow**: 🔥 C/P = 1.96 (bullish skew) * **Gamma/Theta**: ⚡ High risk (2 DTE) 👉 Models Split: * 🐻 Bearish: Claude, Gemini → favor \$165 PUT * 🐂 Bullish: Llama, Grok → favor \$175 CALL * 😶 Neutral/No Trade: Claude (low confidence) --- ### 🧭 Consensus Read * Price & volume = bearish ⚠️ * Options flow & VIX = bullish 📈 * Net: **Mixed bias → tactical bullish bounce possible** --- ### ✅ Trade Setup (Viral Play) ```json { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "CALL", "strike": 175, "expiry": "2025-09-05", "entry_price": 0.68, "profit_target": 1.36, "stop_loss": 0.34, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.65, "entry_timing": "market open" } ``` --- ### 🎯 Trade Details * 📌 **Strike**: \$182 CALL * 💵 **Entry**: 0.68 (ask, open) * 🎯 **Target**: 1.36 (+100%) * 🛑 **Stop**: 0.34 (-50%) * 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE) * 📈 **Confidence**: 65% * ⏰ **Hold Policy**: Close by Thu EOD (don’t ride Friday gamma bomb) --- ⚠️ **Risks**: * 2 DTE = 🔥 high gamma / fast theta decay * Divergent signals → whipsaws possible * Tight stop discipline required 🚨
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by quantsignals
Nvidia at a Crossroads – Support or Steeper Decline?Nvidia shares have fallen by about 6% since the company reported results on 27 August. The stock has now reached an important inflection point, trading in a range between $165 and $170, which is a major area of technical support. If this support is broken, it could see the shares slip towards $150 — a further decline of around 12% from their price of roughly $171 on 2 September. The zone between $165 and $170 has acted as a support region on a few occasions since the gap higher on 15 July. That gap, however, was filled on 22 July, and it is possible that support at $165 has now been exhausted. This would mean that a retest of $165 could lead to the shares falling to their next support level, which is at the previous highs of $150. We have also seen a change in trend for Nvidia, with the stock now trading below a trend line that has been in place since early May. It is also trading below its 20-day moving average, which has started to turn lower. The relative strength index (RSI) confirms this change in trend, as it has also been trending lower. The RSI formed a bearish divergence in late July after climbing above 70, a point at which the RSI began making lower highs while the share price continued to make higher highs. If the stock is able to maintain support between $165 and $170, climb back above the 20-day moving average, and, more importantly, break the downtrend in the RSI, then it is possible that Nvidia could withstand this move lower and contain its losses, with an attempt to make another push towards all-time highs. Outside of that, the road ahead for Nvidia looks challenging. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by cmcmarkets
NVDA is going down for a while ...NVDA is continuing downward. I have the target as being around middle of October or later. I used the Heikin Ashi candles: 1: They show more of a directional movement. 2: They tend to filter out the market noise, so you can see the direction better. 3: it reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4: And it also gives a smoother appearance making it easier to see the trends and reversals. My stops are: 1) the high of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick, 2) 2 green Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount per contract. If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 red daily Heikin Ashi candlesticks before entering which it has shown as of today. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. If you look at the weekly indicators, they are bearish already which shows a longer term directional movement. Trade at your own risk, make sure you have stops in place and only use 10% of your trading account, so that if you are wrong, you will not blow up your account. Happy trading!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Princessgirl
$NVDA The Vanguard Coils-Gathers Fuel for its Next AscentTraders, when the General pauses, we look to the Vanguard for clues. NASDAQ:NVDA has been a quintessential market leader, a rocket ship charting a course through clear skies. Its current price action is a critical piece of the puzzle for where the entire market may be headed next. The Technical Landscape The strength in this chart is undeniable. It is the definition of a stock in a powerful uptrend. Relative Strength: NASDAQ:NVDA has consistently outperformed the broader market, making it a key barometer of risk appetite. Current Pattern: The rocket ship is refueling. Price is consolidating in an exceptionally tight and orderly pattern right below the $182 resistance level. Critically, volume has been declining during this coil—a classic sign that sellers are scarce and the next move is likely to be upward. Key Support: The launchpad for this consolidation is the support level around $170 . This area must hold for the immediate bullish structure to remain intact. The Philosophy Strength begets strength. In the market, this is a fundamental truth. To bet against an asset displaying such clear and persistent power is a low-probability endeavor. The current coil is not a topping pattern; it's a continuation pattern in waiting. It's the moment of calm before the engines reignite. While the broader market takes a breath, leaders like NASDAQ:NVDA often complete their rest cycle first. How this pattern resolves will provide a powerful clue about the market's true intentions. We do not predict; we observe and align ourselves with demonstrated power. An Illustrative Setup The trade thesis is born from this powerful consolidation: The Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $182 on increased volume is the signal that the refueling is complete and the next leg of the ascent has begun. The Warning Signal: A failure to hold the $170 support would indicate a temporary mechanical issue, suggesting a deeper pullback is required before the journey can continue. Watch the leader. It will often show the way. Remember to just shine! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheTradingDoct0r
1
NVDA eyes on $183.72 again: Golden Genesis Fib about to Break? NVDA looks ready for a break out to new highs. Beating against the Golden Genesis at $183.72 Looking for a Break-n-Run, maybe no retest even. $195.01 is first target and should be quick. $201.51 is next target maybe after a dip. $177.82 is high support for bulls to hold. . Previous analysis that gave EXACT Shorts from this Fib: Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. ========================================================= .
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EuroMotif
NVIDIA to $900? That’s what an AI debate tool just told meSo I stumbled on this AI tool named "AI Debate" that analyzes stocks. At first, I tried Apple and Microsoft — the results were solid, very thorough, but nothing shocking. Then I plugged in NVIDIA. And the “AI experts” came back saying that at current levels, there’s still a 4–5x upside. From around $180 to a target above $900. My jaw dropped. Honestly, it feels unbelievable. But here’s the thing: I kinda trust this more than random human “gurus” with agendas. At least the AI is pulling fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and laying it out objectively — no one is pumping their own bags. Can I try buying some NVDA？ Or can you break down where the AI analysis might be flawed? Below is the evidence: Analysis log： AI Warren Buffett: NVIDIA is a remarkable company with outstanding profitability and growth—its return on equity is over 115%, net margins exceed 50%, and revenue is growing at a blistering pace. The business is financially sound, with a strong balance sheet and ample free cash flow. If you look at the numbers alone, it’s easy to see why so many investors are excited. However, as I’ve often said, 'Price is what you pay, value is what you get.' At a P/E of 58 and a price-to-book over 50, you’re paying a very steep price for future growth. This is a classic case where the business is excellent, but the stock may be ahead of itself. If growth slows even a little, the stock could face a sharp correction. I generally avoid technology companies outside my circle of competence, but NVIDIA’s dominance in AI chips gives it a real, though possibly temporary, moat. For investors with a high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon, it may be worth a small position, but I would insist on a significant margin of safety. My target price is based on a discounted cash flow approach, assuming continued strong growth but building in a 25% margin of safety. The 12-month target price range is $650 (conservative) to $800 (reasonable), with $900 as an optimistic scenario if growth persists. At current prices, caution is warranted—sometimes the best thing to do is wait for a better pitch. AI Peter Lynch: When you look at NVIDIA, you’re staring at a company that’s firing on all cylinders—profitability, growth, and financial health are all top-notch. I mean, a 115% ROE and net margins over 50%? That’s the kind of stuff you dream about as an investor. Revenue is up nearly 70% year-over-year, and earnings are still growing at a healthy clip. The balance sheet is rock solid, with a current ratio of 3.46 and manageable debt. If you’re looking for a company with a great story, just look around: AI, gaming, data centers—NVIDIA’s chips are everywhere, and if my kids are talking about it, you know it’s mainstream. But here’s the rub: the valuation is sky-high. A P/E of 58, P/B over 50, and P/S close to 30? That’s a lot of future growth baked into the price. The PEG ratio is well above 1, so you’re not getting a bargain here. This isn’t the kind of stock you buy for a quick double; you’re betting on NVIDIA becoming even more dominant in the years ahead. The technicals are still bullish, but momentum is cooling off, and the social buzz is pretty quiet—maybe folks are waiting to see if the next earnings report justifies the price. So, is this a ten-bagger from here? Probably not, given the current valuation. But if you’re a growth investor with a strong stomach for volatility, NVIDIA’s fundamentals make it a compelling long-term hold. Just don’t expect a smooth ride, and be ready for some bumps if the market decides the price is too rich. Target Price Logic: With a forward EPS estimate of around $20 and a more reasonable growth-adjusted P/E of 40 (still a premium, but justified by leadership in AI and data centers), the 12-month target price comes to about $800. That’s factoring in continued strong growth, but not assuming another explosive year like the last one. If growth slows or the market re-rates tech stocks, downside risk is real. AI Cathie Wood: NVIDIA is the quintessential example of a company at the forefront of disruptive innovation, driving the AI revolution and transforming industries from data centers to autonomous vehicles. Its GPU and AI accelerator technologies are not only powering exponential growth in cloud computing and generative AI, but also expanding the total addressable market (TAM) into trillion-dollar territory as enterprises and governments race to adopt AI infrastructure. The company's fundamentals are outstanding: ROE at 115.5%, net margin at 51.7%, and revenue growth of 69.2% YoY signal a rare combination of profitability and hypergrowth. NVIDIA's R&D intensity and relentless innovation pipeline have created a technological moat that is widening as AI adoption accelerates globally. Over a 5-10 year horizon, we see NVIDIA capturing a disproportionate share of the expanding AI and accelerated computing markets, with potential for TAM expansion as new applications emerge. However, the current valuation is extremely rich (P/E 58, P/S 29.5), reflecting high expectations and introducing volatility risk if growth decelerates. While short-term technicals and muted sentiment suggest caution, the long-term exponential growth trajectory remains intact. Our 12-month target price is derived from a forward EV/Revenue multiple of 30x on projected FY2026 revenues, reflecting continued AI adoption and market leadership, but we emphasize the need for risk management given the premium pricing.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by y2kmz
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