Get started
Strategy Inc - 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred StockStrategy Inc - 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred StockStrategy Inc - 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock

Strategy Inc - 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewFinancialsNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsBondsETFs

Trade ideas

STRATEGY Mirror crash with 2022 to $60 has started.Michael Saylor won't like this. But the chart is what it is and that's an objective dynamic. ** The 5-year Channel Up and Bear Cycle ** Strategy (MSTR) has been trading within almost a 5-year Channel Up since the February 2021 Top of its previous Cycle. Within this lines, it has had its latest top (Higher High) on the week of November 18 2024 and since then it has been on a structured strong decline. This decline has gotten even stronger once the price broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). So far, the 2025 correction is mirroring the 2021 one, which was the start of a 2-year (2021/21) Bear Cycle. ** The three Stages ** Based on that, we have valid reasons to expect that 2026 will also mirror the past Bear Cycle. What stands out on this analysis is that we have classified the whole Bear Cycle into three Stages. Based on that, we have now already entered Stage 2 as the price has broken below its 1W MA50 (and should stay as the Resistance for the remainder of the Cycle) and almost touched its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). When that happened in January 2022, the market rebounded towards the 1W MA50 where it was rejected and when it broke below the 1W MA200 as well, Stage 3 started. This Stage made the Bear Cycle bottom on the 1M MA250 (red trend-line) after a -90% decline in total. It was completed when the price broke above the 1W MA50 again, essentially confirming the start of the new Bull Cycle. ** Where is the bottom now? ** As a result, we may now see a short-term rebound, limited by the 1W MA50, which after it gets rejected and breaks below the 1W MA200, Stage 3 may start. If this Bear Cycle also crashes by -90%, we should then be expecting a bottom at $60 (at least), supported by the 1M MA250 again. Notice also the striking symmetry among the 1W RSI patterns of the two Cycle fractals. The 1W RSI has currently hit the 30.00 oversold barrier (similar to Jan 2022) and it was a second break and then a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence that confirmed the bottom of the Bear Cycle, essentially turning Strategy Inc. into a long-term buy opportunity again. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSTR
by TradingShot
8
MSTR when will it end? Soon...NASDAQ:MSTR Sentiment is low, the asset is hated and misunderstood by TradFi and retail. It’s a recipe for a bottom! Price hit the weekly 200EMA in wave 4. Not much more to add, there is room to fall to $101 High Volume Node, but a bottom should emerge soon. 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1000 based on pivots 📈 Weekly RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence from wave 2 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $84 Safe trading
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Maddox_Metrics
2
12/1/25 - $mstr - Into year end...12/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR Into year end... - 1.1x mnav - people FUD'ing over not understanding the company on the way up and abusing Kleenex on the way down while rage posting on X - it's a leveraged bitcoin model with access to issue high-yield dollars in a wrapped token (STRC) - so when bitcoin down, mstr down more, when bitcoin up, mstr up more - there's not really magic going on at this point now that the mnav is squarely in the "buy zone" - "yuh but V saylor is selling BTC to buy dollars" - correct. because he'll want to use dollars to fund these payments... to keep this STRC flywheel running smoothly, b/c that's the fiat nuke - so while honestly i still like eth more, and spot btc feels comfy - fade or FUD mstr at your own peril at this pt - you have a license to sell covered calls like a bank if u play this right... that's like 2-3% weekly yield (lmfao) - so yuh. merry christmas. buy a calculator and chill. don't listen to the ppl who have no idea how this is done. saylor is not SBF. c'mon. SBF didn't even own or champion btc. V
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by VROCKSTAR
2
MSTR Could Be Forced Out of MSCI — Here’s What That Means📌 Chart Overview This chart compares MicroStrategy (MSTR) vs Bitcoin (BTC) on a YTD returns basis. After several years of extreme outperformance, 2025 marks the first major divergence in years: BINANCE:BTCUSDT YTD: about –4% NASDAQ:MSTR YTD: about –41% From highs: MSTR trades ~–63% This is the widest decoupling in the last cycle, and it reflects a structural break in how the market prices MSTR. 1. MSTR = Leveraged Bitcoin With Higher Beta For years, MicroStrategy acted as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy: Higher beta than BTC Equity issuance used to buy more BTC mNAV premium amplified upside moves Investors treated it like an ETF with embedded leverage When BTC rallied, MSTR rallied even more. That dynamic is now reversing. 2. The mNAV Premium Has Collapsed Into Discount The second chart (mNAV Analysis) tells the real story: Historical mNAV premium: often 1.5x–3.5x Current levels: ~1.46x, falling toward 1.0x In recent weeks, intraday prints have even touched discount territory (<1.0x) This is critical: ➡️ MSTR only outperforms BTC when it trades at a premium to NAV. When that premium evaporates, the “leveraged BTC” thesis breaks. Today the market is pricing: Higher risk, Lower confidence, Reduced ability to issue accretive equity, And potential forced selling due to MSCI. The entire flywheel depends on that premium — and it’s now gone. 3. The MSCI Catalyst: A Binary Structural Event MSCI is reviewing whether companies with >50% digital asset exposure should remain in: MSCI World MSCI USA MicroStrategy fits the proposed category perfectly: ➡️ Digital Asset Treasury Company ➡️ Balance sheet ~70% BTC Decision date: January 15, 2026 If excluded: Forced selling: ~$2.8B Potential cascade: up to $8.8B Equivalent to 15–20% of MSTR’s market cap These outflows are mechanical, not discretionary. 4. Liquidity Risk: The Hidden Problem The October 10th BTC drop exposed MSTR’s fragility: ~17% BTC drop ~90% liquidity evaporation in MSTR’s order book Thin depth for a company of this size Large block orders cause outlier moves If MSCI-related outflows hit in a volatile period, MSTR may not have enough liquidity to absorb multi-billion flows. This is not a solvency problem — it’s a market microstructure problem. 5. The Paradox: While Risks Rise, MSTR Keeps Buying Recent actions: Purchased 8,178 BTC (~$830M) Issued five BTC-backed structures this year Continues using financing to expand BTC exposure Saylor reiterates resilience even under 75–90% BTC drawdowns If MSCI does not exclude MSTR, the stock could stage a violent rerating because the market has already priced in significant downside risk. 6. Key Takeaways MSTR has decoupled sharply from BTC in 2025 The mNAV premium has collapsed, removing its leveraged upside MSTR now trades near or below NAV, losing its structural advantage MSCI’s January decision is the defining catalyst If excluded → forced selling If retained → high-beta rebound potential MicroStrategy is no longer just a BTC proxy. It is now a test of: Index methodology, Market microstructure, Capital-structure engineering, And whether a listed company can operate as a quasi-ETF on Bitcoin.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by OrbisInvestment
2
Best Ways of Trading1. Trade with a Clear Strategy (Not Emotion or Guesswork) One of the biggest mistakes new traders make is trading without a defined plan. The best way to trade is to follow a tested strategy. Some proven trading styles include: a) Trend Trading This approach involves identifying the overall market direction and trading in line with it. Trend traders use tools like moving averages (20, 50, 200), MACD, or trendlines to determine direction. The idea is simple: “Trade with the trend until it ends.” b) Swing Trading Swing trading works best for people who cannot monitor markets all day. This approach aims to catch reversals or continuation moves over days to weeks. Traders look for key support/resistance, breakouts, and candlestick patterns. c) Intraday Trading Intraday traders look for small, high-probability moves within a single session. The best intraday setups come from volume spikes, VWAP, breakout zones, and strong trend days. d) Momentum Trading Momentum traders focus on stocks or instruments that show strong volume and price acceleration. When markets move rapidly in one direction, momentum traders ride the wave. e) Options Trading Options allow traders to profit using leverage and hedge positions. Buying calls and puts, selling options for premium, or using spreads can significantly enhance risk-reward profiles. f) Algorithmic or Systematic Trading A growing method that uses rules, automation, or AI-driven models. This reduces emotions and increases consistency. The best traders select one main strategy and master it, rather than attempting everything. 2. Follow Multi-Time-Frame Analysis Always confirm trades using multiple time frames. For example: Long-term trend – weekly chart Medium trend – daily chart Entry timing – 15-minute or 5-minute chart This prevents taking trades against the broader market direction. When all time frames align, the probability of success increases dramatically. 3. Master Risk Management (The Heart of Successful Trading) Even the best strategy fails without proper risk control. The strongest traders treat risk management as the core of their system. a) Risk per Trade Smart traders risk 1–2% of their capital on any single trade. This helps avoid catastrophic losses. b) Stop-Loss Use Always define where the trade is wrong and set a stop-loss accordingly. A systematic stop-loss protects capital and preserves longevity. c) Position Sizing Your position size should be based on your risk per trade and stop-loss distance, not on emotions or random judgment. d) Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) Successful traders aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 RRR. This means: If you risk ₹1, you target ₹2 or ₹3. e) Avoid Overtrading One of the most common reasons traders lose money is taking too many trades. Quality beats quantity. Risk management is the backbone of consistent long-term profitability. 4. Use Technical and Fundamental Analysis Together The best trading approach usually combines elements of both. Technical Analysis helps with: Timing entry and exit Understanding trend structure Recognizing chart patterns Interpreting market psychology Key indicators include RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and volume-based tools. Fundamental Analysis helps with: Identifying long-term direction Understanding earnings, interest rates, inflation Recognizing geopolitical and macroeconomic risks Selecting strong long-term stocks or commodities A trader who understands both sides sees the market differently and more accurately. 5. Develop Strong Trading Psychology The market is a psychological battlefield. The best traders keep emotions under control. Some core psychological frameworks include: a) Discipline and Patience Only take setups that match your strategy. Good traders wait for the right moment. b) Emotion Control Fear and greed destroy accounts. The best way to avoid emotional decisions is to follow a rule-based system. c) Accepting Losses Even top traders lose 40–50% of trades. Losses are part of the game. The goal is to keep them small. d) Avoiding the “Revenge Trade” Trap Never attempt to win back losses instantly. This leads to impulsive decisions and bigger losses. Mastering psychology is as important as mastering charts. 6. Backtest and Forward-Test Your Strategy Before risking real money, test your strategy historically (backtesting). Check: Win rate Average gain vs average loss Maximum drawdown Consistency during different market conditions Follow this with paper trading to see real-time behavior. A strategy that performs well in backtests and paper trading has higher chances of success in real markets. 7. Use Technology to Your Advantage Modern trading has advanced tools: Algorithmic screeners Charting platforms AI-driven market sentiment analysis Automated alerts Portfolio trackers Order execution bots Technology increases efficiency and reduces human error. 8. Follow Market Cycles and Global Trends Markets move in cycles: accumulation, uptrend, distribution, correction. Understanding economic cycles, liquidity conditions, central bank policy, and geopolitical events helps you choose the right instruments and strategies. For example: High inflation phase → commodities tend to outperform Low interest rates → equities rally Geopolitical tensions → gold, USD strengthen Trading in sync with macro trends improves accuracy. 9. Diversify Your Trading Portfolio Do not rely on one asset or one market. Trade multiple instruments (equities, commodities, indices, currencies) to reduce risk. A diversified portfolio smoothens performance and reduces emotional pressure. 10. Keep a Trading Journal A trading journal is one of the most effective tools for improvement. Record: Entry & exit levels Strategy used Reason for trade Emotions felt Result and analysis Review your journal weekly. It reveals patterns in your behavior, helping you correct mistakes and become a more consistent trader. Conclusion: What Is the Best Way of Trading? There is no one “best way,” but the best traders combine: A clear, tested strategy Multi-time-frame confirmation Strong risk management Mastered psychology Smart use of technology Discipline in execution Trading is not about predicting the future; it's about managing risk, following a system, and staying emotionally stable. If you approach it scientifically and patiently, you can achieve long-term success in any market.
NASDAQ:MSTREducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
1
MSTR Swing Watch: Bullish Momentum AheadMSTR QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-11-25 Ticker: MSTR Signal Type: 1-Month Short-Term Prediction Direction: CALL (LONG) Confidence: 63.8% (Medium conviction) Current Price: $168.47 Entry: $168.47 Target 1: $171.25 Final Prediction: $171.95 (+2.07%) 30min Target: $172.28 (+2.26%) Stop Loss: $165.94 Expected Move: +2.07% Volatility: 46.9% Trend: BULLISH 🧠 Key Technical & Chart Insights Support/Resistance: Support: $165.94 Resistance: $172.28 Trend Context: Short-term bullish momentum confirmed by Katy AI prediction and moderate confidence level. Volatility: High implied volatility (46.9%) indicates potential for rapid movement within the 1-month horizon. 🎯 Trade Rationale Entry at $168.47 aligns with Katy AI’s short-term bullish projection. Stop Loss at $165.94 manages downside risk. Target at $171.25–$171.95 provides ~2% potential upside. Confidence moderate; position sizing should reflect risk tolerance. ⚠️ Key Risks High volatility environment may trigger short-term swings. Stop loss should be strictly followed to manage downside. Market news and crypto sector sentiment may impact MSTR’s short-term trend.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by quantsignals
2
MSTR Chess Game: When Smart Money Plays Against Saylor! Did you play chess before? For me, i started playing it in the past 3 days, and even though i reached a nice speed rank, the performance and game review still show the blind movement! And this is EXACTLY what Saylor is doing! Let me show you the data: He bought $1.5B at $52K (March), then added $3B at $60K+ (November) - always buying the momentum, not the value! Now MSTR down -50% from $360 while BTC only -10%... You see the pattern?! Weeks ago (Oct 1, around $360) i told my friend, "If I play with 1-2, I will say this guy is ass*** and i will try to cost him a loss, and i will play the game to make him buy my sells then rekt him and buy his loss." Just a few weeks and here we are! MSTR losing -50% and BTC run to his buy AVG $74K, yes, he is still in a safe zone, but the real game starts now! The Technical Setup (this is where it gets interesting!): So i use multiple methods - GANN 50% retracement hitting at $145, Fibonacci Golden Pocket at $152-163, and Volume Profile showing the highest trades at $147. Even RSI at 28 is showing divergence while price is making new lows! Here's my trade plan: Entry Zone: $145-155 (I'm scaling in here!) Target 1: $183 (taking 25% off) Target 2: $190 (another 50% off) Stop Loss: $139 (below monthly support) Risk/Reward: 1:2.8 (this is a beautiful setup!) But wait, there's more data! The correlation is crazy: MSTR/BTC: 0.84 correlation BTC/NDQ: 0.72 (and rising!) If MSTR breaks $140, we could see BTC at $83-79K and NDQ dropping 5-8%! Will Saylor survive? Here's the math: BTC needs to hit $29K for margin calls - that's NOT happening! He has $3.2B in unencumbered BTC Bonds not due until 2027-2029 His software business still makes $50M quarterly. So he plays it nicely, and the team behind still has more to do! Strategic Bitcoin Reserve talks, Gensler leaving, Q1 2025 crypto regulations - they're doing their best to make everything hold! The sentiment data (this is golden!): Fear & Greed: 25 (Extreme Fear) Put/Call ratio: 2.3 (highest since 2022!) Social volume: -78% last 7 days You know what this means?! Smart money accumulating while retail panicking! My analysis using: GANN boxes on log scale (this is KEY!) Custom MA ribbons with volume weighting Multi-timeframe RSI divergence Fibonacci zones from multiple swings So what's the play?! If you're conservative: Wait for the weekly close above $180 Scale by 25% at a time Use BTC/GOLD as a hedge If you're aggressive like me: Accumulate $145-155 NOW +2% invest Sell $190+225 calls for income Consider the BTC/MSTR pair trade Next 30 days watch: Monthly close Dec 31 (CRITICAL!) Q4 BTC purchases announcement Fed meeting Jan 29 MSTR earnings Feb 3 Anyway! Would MSTR be saved now and rebound?! YES! Professional accumulation is happening at these levels - the risk/reward is too good! they do their best to make everything hold, the system is upgraded, the thinking scale has become faster than your mind now! So, we're all here to make profits, and i wish i could short MSTR at $360, but now I'm buying! if you like what you read and what you see, please press the like button, and your comments are welcome Thanks, tradingview, for giving me a space here! we ask Allah to reconcile and repay #MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #Saylor
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by HamadaMark
1
Why We Loaded $MSTR at $169 (5:1 Risk/Reward to $355)Have you ever watched a stock pull back 65% and wondered if it was opportunity or disaster? Have you ever missed a major setup because fear told you to stay away? This analysis breaks down why NASDAQ:MSTR at $169 presented a textbook geometric retracement opportunity with exceptional risk/reward asymmetry. Hello ✌️ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational breakdown of structure-based position entry. 🎯 Analytical Insight on MSTR MicroStrategy pulled back from $543 to $169 a 65% retracement that brought price directly into a major accumulation zone. This wasn't random. It aligned perfectly with: Fibonacci retracement from 2020 lows to 2024 highs A long-term ascending trendline dating back to 2020 The monthly $112 support zone that held as a floor Our position entry: $169 Our invalidation level: $131.80 (below structure) Our first target: $360 (previous resistance zone) Risk: $37.20 per share Reward: $191 per share Ratio: 5.13:1 This setup didn't require predicting the future. It required identifying where risk was defined and reward was probable based on historical price structure. 📚 Educational Section: Why Geometric Retracements Work The Psychology of Pullbacks When price drops 65%, most traders experience: Fear that it will continue falling forever Doubt about whether the trend is still valid Paralysis from watching others panic sell Professional traders see the same chart differently: Defined risk at structural support Historical patterns of mean reversion Favorable asymmetry when risk is small relative to potential reward The majority fears what professionals buy. 📉 Understanding Market Structure Markets don't move in straight lines. They: Trend in one direction (impulse) Retrace to gather liquidity (correction) Resume the primary direction (continuation) The 0.618 to 0.786 retracement zone historically shows the highest probability of reversal in trending assets. Why? Early sellers have exhausted Value buyers recognize the discount Risk can be defined tightly below support At $169, MSTR offered: Clear invalidation below $131.80 Multiple timeframe confluence Structural support from prior consolidation 🎯 Why This Entry Made Sense Risk Was Defined Below $169, the next logical support was $131.80. If price broke below that level, the bullish structure would be invalidated. This gave us a clear exit point before entering. Reward Was Probable The previous resistance zone at $360 represented a 113% gain from entry. Even a conservative 50% retracement would target $220+, still offering excellent reward. Structure Aligned Monthly support held Trendline from 2020 intact Retracement zone tested multiple times Volume showed exhaustion, not acceleration 📊 Tools Used for This Analysis Fibonacci Retracement Identified the 0.786 level as a deep pullback zone where buyers historically step in. Trendline Analysis The ascending line from 2020 provided dynamic support that price respected. Volume Profile Showed accumulation at lower levels with decreasing selling pressure. Horizontal Support Zones The $105-110 monthly level acted as a psychological floor, preventing further collapse. Risk/Reward Calculator Entry: $169 Stop: $131.80 Target: $360 Result: 5.13:1 asymmetry 🛡️ Risk Management Framework Stop Loss Below Structure Our stop at $131.80 was placed below the invalidation point. If price reached that level, our thesis would be wrong and we'd exit with controlled loss of $37.20 per share. Position Sizing Based on Risk With $37.20 risk per share, position size was calculated to risk only 1-2% of total capital. This meant even if wrong, the account remained intact. Target Based on Structure, Not Hope $360 wasn't arbitrary. It represented previous resistance where sellers had historically appeared. We planned to reduce exposure at that level. 🧠 Trader Psychology: Why Most Miss These Setups Fear of Catching a Falling Knife After a 65% drop, the brain assumes it will continue. But without defined support, there's no knife just falling into the void. At $169, support was visible and the stop at $131.80 was clear. Recency Bias The most recent price action (the drop) feels like it will continue forever. Historical structure suggests otherwise, but emotions overpower data. Herd Mentality When everyone is bearish, contrarian positions feel uncomfortable. But the best risk/reward setups rarely have crowd consensus. Waiting for Confirmation Many traders wait for price to "prove" itself by moving higher first. By then, risk has expanded and reward has diminished. Entry at $169 with $37.20 risk is superior to entry at $250 with $118.20 risk to the same stop level. 📌 Proper Entry Execution We didn't enter the entire position at once: First third at $169 (initial position) Second third at $155 if support retested (average down if structure held) Final third reserved if $140 tested (closer to stop but maximum opportunity) This scaling approach: Reduced emotional pressure Improved average entry if structure tested Maintained discipline through volatility 🏆 What Professionals Do Differently They Don't Chase Momentum Entry at $543 (the top) felt safe because price was rising. Entry at $169 felt dangerous because price was falling. Professionals understand that perceived safety is often maximum risk. They Define Risk First Before asking "how much can I make," they ask "how much can I lose." The $131.80 level answered that question clearly. They Accept Being Wrong If MSTR broke $131.80, the position would be exited without hesitation. No hoping, no averaging down into a broken structure. Wrong is wrong. They Journal Every Decision Entry logic, risk parameters, and target zones were documented before entry. This removes emotion from exit decisions later. 🎯 Key Takeaways ✅ Risk/reward asymmetry matters more than being right: A 5:1 setup allows you to be wrong multiple times and still profit overall if position sizing is consistent. ✅ Structure defines opportunity: Random entries have random outcomes. Entries at defined support with clear invalidation have statistical edges. ✅ Emotions are the enemy: When $169 felt scary, that was the signal. When $543 felt safe, that was the warning. ✅ Patience beats prediction: We didn't predict $169 was the bottom. We identified it as a zone where risk was small ($37.20) and reward was large ($191). That's enough. ⚠️ Important Disclaimers This analysis is educational and reflects a specific position entry based on technical structure. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MSTR or any security. Position entries, stop losses, and targets are shared for educational purposes to demonstrate risk management principles. Your risk tolerance, timeframe, and capital allocation should differ based on your individual circumstances. Past price structure does not guarantee future performance. MSTR could have broken $131.80 and invalidated this setup entirely, resulting in a controlled loss. Not all setups work, which is why risk management exists. Always conduct your own analysis, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions. All trading and investing involves risk of loss. ✨ Support This Content If this breakdown helped you understand structure-based entries and risk management, leave a comment with your thoughts or questions. Your engagement helps us create more educational content like this. 📜 Do your own research. Manage your risk. Trade with discipline.
NASDAQ:MSTREducation
by RB_T
MSTR - Wave 4? - Next stop 197-202 then reload for 220-235!THESIS The recent price action confirms a bullish Elliott Wave impulse move from the $155.61 low. The market has validated an Extended Wave 3 by successfully holding the maximum 61.8% retracement level during the deep Wave 4 pullback (low of $177.82). We are now in the final thrust of Minor Wave 5, we should then see a 3 wave pullback which sets up the full corrective rally to our higher-degree target of $220-$235! Analysis & Targets (Aligned to the Chart) 1. 🎯 Wave (A) Completion: The Final Minor Impulse The current action is the final push of Minor Wave 5 (the fifth wave of the initial impulse from the $177.82 low). • Entry Signal: The bounce from the $177.82 low confirmed the Wave 4 bottom. • Target Zone (A): The technical projection for Wave 5 (using W5 = W1 or 0.618 \times W1-3) places the peak between $196 - $202 • Action: This is the initial profit-taking zone. Look to sell calls here, as this completes the first major structural move. 2. 🌊 Wave (B) Correction: The High-Grade Reload Once the Wave (A) target is hit, a larger corrective pullback (Wave (2) in the larger context) is mandatory before the final surge. Since the preceding Wave 4 was sharp/deep, this Wave (B) correction is likely to be shallow/sideways (a Flat or Triangle) to adhere to the Principle of Alternation. • Target Zone (B): We project a 38.2-50-61.8% retracement of the entire impulse. This places the reloading zone between $182 - $172 (The green box on the chart). • Action: This is the Optimal Reloading Zone for long positions before the final rally. 3. 🚀 Wave (C) Final Target: The Greater Rally Peak The final Wave (C) completes the overarching corrective rally. This leg is targeting a significant Fibonacci retracement of the prior, large bear wave. • Target Zone (C): The $220 - $235 box is perfectly aligned with the high-probability 38.2% of the massive Wave 3 down that preceded this entire rally. • Action: This is the final take-profit target for the entire trade structure. Key Levels to Watch • Buy Target (Sell Limit): $197 (Exit Minor W5). • Reload Zone: $182- $172 - (Buy the Wave B dip). • Invalidation Price: $170 (A close below this invalidates the entire impulse). Good luck with the final wave! Remember to manage risk and set a stop loss! I am a guy on the internet and not a financial advisor! #ElliottWave #MSTR #Bitcoin #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by iJEBUS
1
$MSTR BUY THE DIP!MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ: MSTR) is navigating a significant correction phase. The stock, currently trading around $185.88, has experienced a steep 30% decline over the past month, largely attributed to a concurrent 13% drop in the price of Bitcoin. This downturn has been more severe for MSTR than for the underlying asset, with the stock falling 65% from its all-time high set in November 2024, compared to Bitcoin's 6% retracement over the same extended period. Amid this volatility, a contingent of market observers, primarily active on social media platforms, maintains a thesis of resilience for the Bitcoin-focused treasury firm. Their argument centers on MicroStrategy's established public market stature and its systemic importance within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. They highlight that, according to metrics from CompaniesMarketCap, MicroStrategy ranks as the 433rd largest company globally by market capitalization. This position, they argue, suggests a lower probability of a catastrophic collapse, positing that external entities or market participants would likely intervene to "bail out" the firm rather than face the widespread repercussions of its failure. This perspective draws a distinction between MicroStrategy and private crypto companies that have failed, citing its regulatory transparency and public accountability as key buffers. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart for MSTR indicates two critical support zones that could halt the current descent. The primary support level is identified near $120, with a secondary, stronger support zone around $100. These levels are viewed as potential accumulation areas where buying interest may resurge. Conversely, for any sustained recovery, key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent downtrend provide clear resistance targets for taking profits. The first and more immediate target resides at the 0.236 Fibonacci level, approximately $226.79. A stronger bullish momentum would then face significant resistance at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, around $270.83, which represents the second major take-profit zone. In summary, while fundamental debates about the company's durability persist, the technical framework suggests a path defined by the $100-$120 support range and a recovery trajectory capped by resistance near $227 and $271. The stock's trajectory will likely remain tightly coupled to Bitcoin's price action, with these technical levels serving as crucial markers for both downside risk and potential recovery.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by KalaGhazi
MicroStrategy - The red channel of doom returns - November 2025Ah, MicroStrategy…. the stock that’s half software company, half Bitcoin cult. Every time you think it’s about to behave like a normal tech firm, Michael Saylor pops up with a grin, another billion dollars of debt, and the conviction of a man who’s never heard the words “margin call.” And here we are, November 2025, staring at the Red Channel Crossover. Sounds ominous doesn’t it? Like something NASA would warn about before the Sun goes super nova. Déjà Vu: February 2022 Says Hello Look left. 
The last time price action crossed into the red channel was February 2022. Market structure broke. Price dumped. Holders prayed. And then just when everyone thought it was over, sneaky sellers rotated the gravity dial to 2G. Now we’re back at it. November 2025, same crossover, same setup, same “this time is different” nonsense. Every influencer on X is already typing “Buy the dip 🚀”, as if adding a rocket emoji somehow fixes negative momentum. The technicals The green channel represents calm waters, an uptrend, happy times, and Saylor buying jets with the profits. The red channel is the opposite. It’s like when the hangover kicks in and you realise that was not sugar free Red Bull. Each time MSTR entered this red zone, it meant one thing: Broken market structure, 50–70% correction, Mass denial phase. Right now, the chart’s showing that same red crossover again, after breaking below structural support around the $240 area. If you’re still shouting “to the moon” at this point… well that rocket exploded months ago. RSI & sentiment RSI is rolling over faster than a drunk at a wedding. Momentum’s drained and what’s left are bag holders explaining to their spouses that “it’s a long-term store of value.” It’s not. It’s a tech stock with a crypto addiction. So what happens next? If history’s anything to go by, and it usually is, price action is heading for the same fate it suffered post February 2022: First, a short-lived bounce to sucker in the hopeful. Then, the slow, grinding descent into despair. A retrace toward the $80–$100 region would fit perfectly with prior cycle behaviour. And if Bitcoin confirms its own Gaussian bear trend, well… let’s just say Michael Saylor’s going to need more than “diamond hands”, he’ll need a therapist. Before that can happen expect price action to test the $300 area to confirm broken market structure. Today price action is considerably oversold, this idea only becomes validated after a resistance confirmation on past support . Wrote that in bold for those of you who struggle to get past the headline. I blame Tik-Tok Conclusions Every cycle it’s the same story: 1. MSTR breaks structure. 2. The red channel appears. 3. Everyone panics. 4. Then comes the silence. The only variable is how many motivational tweets Saylor can post before margin calls start rolling in. This setup isn’t new, isn’t rare, and isn’t bullish, it’s just math doing its job while people pretend it’s spiritual warfare. So yes, the red channel crossover is back. Same movie. Different year. Still ends badly for the extras. Ww Disclaimer ================================================================== This isn’t financial advice, obviously. If you need a stranger on the internet to tell you not to buy a company using borrowed money to gamble on Bitcoin, you deserve the portfolio you get. If it pumps, you’ll take credit.
If it dumps, you’ll blame the FED.
Either way, I’ll be here limiting my desire to say "I told you so".
NASDAQ:MSTR
by without_worries
16
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Leverage Could Drive Sharp Weekly Downsi Current Price: $179.25 Direction: SHORT Confidence Level: 68% Targets: - T1 = $173.00 - T2 = $167.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $184.50 - S2 = $189.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** I'm combining insights from multiple professional traders across financial video platforms with real-time sentiment tracking from the X trading community. This collective view leans cautious on MicroStrategy, highlighting that its high-average Bitcoin purchase prices and poor recent share performance could set up further downside in the coming week. Several traders pointed to the MNAV threshold and overleveraged position in Bitcoin as structural weaknesses that could be quickly exposed if BTC pulls back. The wisdom here is clear: leveraged exposure to a volatile asset like Bitcoin magnifies price swings in MSTR. **Key Insights:** Here's what's driving this short bias: many traders stressed MicroStrategy’s vulnerability to Bitcoin price drops, given their majority buys between $80,000 and $100,000 per BTC. They noted the cushion at a current BTC price of $91,000, but if Bitcoin slips under $80,000 and the MNAV falls below 1.0, forced liquidation could trigger a cascade of selling in MSTR. The key point is that MSTR has already dropped 60% in a market where Bitcoin itself has rallied – that underperformance is telling. What's interesting is that even some historically bullish voices on crypto proxies are now warning about the company's concentrated risk profile. Traders are watching the $180 zone as a fragile balance point – failure to hold it could see quick moves down to $173 and $167 within days. The idea is that technical weakness aligns with fundamental risk, creating a high-probability short setup for this week. **Recent Performance:** In the past three to four months, MicroStrategy has sold off roughly 60% from highs near $457. Instead of tracking Bitcoin's recent strong rallies, it has lagged significantly, suggesting that investor confidence has waned. The price has hovered near $179 recently, but intraday probes under $175 last week hint at sellers dominating the tape. This divergence from Bitcoin strength is a red flag for traders looking for relative strength plays. **Expert Analysis:** Several professional traders I follow identified MicroStrategy’s MNAV danger zone as a key technical and fundamental tripwire. The average Bitcoin purchase prices, documented in their analysis, drastically reduce flexibility in volatile markets. They also pointed out that the hype around MSTR tends to spike only when Bitcoin goes parabolic – the absence of such hype in current conditions is another bearish tell. In technical terms, repeated rejection near $184-$189 forms a clear short-term resistance area ripe for fades. **News Impact:** The most impactful recent discussion revolves around upcoming macro catalysts – Jerome Powell’s speech and PCE inflation prints – which could inject volatility into Bitcoin, thereby affecting MSTR’s price. Multiple traders noted that any surprise downside move in BTC could disproportionately hurt MicroStrategy due to its leveraged exposure. Coupled with the market’s newfound skepticism about their high purchase prices, news alignment is skewed negative for the week. **Trading Recommendation:** Putting it all together, I’d initiate a SHORT position near current levels ($179.25) with first target at $173.00 and second at $167.00 over the next 5-7 trading days. Stops should be set at $184.50 and $189.00 to protect against a squeeze if Bitcoin unexpectedly spikes. Position sizing should be moderate given macro event risk, but the alignment of technical selling pressure, fragile fundamentals, and cautious sentiment across platforms supports this short bias.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
MSTR Weekly Alert: High-Risk Put Setup with Katy Conflict SignalMSTR QuantSignals V3 — Weekly Signal (2025-11-28) Model: STR (V3 Weekly) Expiry: 2025-12-05 (7 Days) Direction: PUT (SHORT) Confidence: 55% (Low-Moderate) Risk Level: 🔴 HIGH 📈 Core Signal Data Strike Focus: $175.00 Entry Range: $4.33 Target 1: $6.50 Stop Loss: $3.25 Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+1.42% 1W) Options Flow: Bullish (PCR 0.74) Composite Bias: -0.17 (Neutral) Volatility: Elevated (gamma-sensitive week) ⚠️ Note: This is a SPECULATIVE signal due to conflicting indicators and short expiration. 🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION Direction: BUY PUTS Confidence: 55% Conviction Level: SPECULATIVE / HIGH-RISK ⚠️ KATY-LLM CONFLICT DETECTED Type: DIRECTION Conflict Severity: HIGH LLM Recommendation: BUY CALLS Katy Prediction: BUY PUTS (-4.19% projected move) Katy Confidence: 50% Forecast: Price decline toward $176.12 (-3.35%) Signal Resolution: Follow Katy’s direction — consistent bearish trajectory across 168 prediction points. 🧠 Analysis Summary Katy AI Forecast Neutral trend label but clear bearish price slope. Forecast path shows persistent decline → $176.12 target. 50% confidence = neutral designation, but directionally consistent. Technical Analysis Bearish: VWMA: -0.82% Volume: 1.5× expansion → confirms selling Bullish: Weekly performance +1.42% Key Levels: Resistance: $184.97 Support: $176.12 (Katy target) News & Macro Neutral news environment. MSTR remains heavily correlated to Bitcoin. BTC holding key levels → may dampen downside or accelerate it. Options Flow PCR 0.74 → bullish flow bias Highest volume at $110 calls → speculative, not strong directional commitment Flow contradicts Katy’s bearish model
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals