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Tesla, Inc.

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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA Sep 22 Game Plan – “Charging Toward 433 or Stalling at 425?1️⃣ Big Picture on the 1-Hour Chart * Price action: TSLA finished around 425.60, riding a rising channel that’s been building since last week. Price tested the mid-channel line and is now sitting slightly above the lower trend support. * Key levels: * Resistance: 430–433.25 (recent top & call wall) * Support: 416.8 → 412.5 (channel support & high-volume level) * Indicators: * MACD is flattening but still positive, suggesting momentum is cooling but not gone. * Stoch RSI near mid-range (~62) leaves room for a push higher or a deeper dip if sellers show up. The structure leans mildly bullish as long as price respects the lower trendline, but TSLA needs to clear 430+ with conviction for the next leg up. 2️⃣ GEX / Options Flow * Big call concentration sits near 433–435, then again up at 450 and 465. * Strong put support shows around 402–400, with a key HVL near 412.5 that often acts like a magnet if selling accelerates. * Options positioning shows about 83% calls vs puts, with an IVR of 20.3—liquidity is good and premiums are moderate. This options picture supports the idea that market makers could keep TSLA boxed between 420 and 433 early in the week. A decisive break over 433 could invite a gamma-driven squeeze toward 440–450. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts & Suggestions * Scalp / day trade: A clean break above 430–433 with volume can target 440 quickly. Keep a tight stop under 426. * Support bounce: If the open dips toward 416–412.5 and holds, look for a bounce back to 425+. * Fade setup: A hard rejection at 433 with heavy sell volume opens room back toward 416 → 412.5. 4️⃣ Bottom Line TSLA is coiling inside a rising channel. Bulls want a decisive move over 433 to unlock higher levels, while bears need a break below 416 to gain control. The first hour Monday should set the tone for direction. Disclaimer: This is just market opinion for educational discussion. It’s not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA Breakout Above $360 Opens Swing Trade SetupTesla broke the $360 resistance four days ago, a level that had been holding price down for the last 120 days. Once broken, price surged quickly toward the $420 zone. In my view, if we get a chance to buy again near the 370 green support zone, it would be a great swing trade opportunity — especially with the rising trendline still intact. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: 420.95 360 acted as resistance for months, now flipped to strong support. Green zone (360–375) aligns with the uptrend, key area to watch for re-entry. 🛡️ Support & SL 🟢 370 zone | SL: 345 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Hold above 370 → continuation toward 450–475. Bearish Case: Break below 345 → deeper correction. Bias: Bullish while above 370. 🌍 Fundamental Insight Valuation: Tesla trades at a relatively high P/E ratio (60–70 range) compared to traditional automakers, reflecting growth expectations rather than current earnings. Revenue Growth: While margins have compressed due to price cuts, top-line growth remains supported by strong EV demand and expansion in new markets. Innovation & AI: Tesla’s positioning in AI, autonomous driving, and energy storage continues to attract investor optimism beyond just vehicle sales. Risks: Competition from other EV makers and margin pressure are key risks investors are watching. ✅ Conclusion Tesla’s breakout above 360 ended months of pressure. A pullback into the green support zone would be a strong swing entry with trendline confluence. While valuation is stretched versus peers, bullish momentum and growth expectations continue to support the stock. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by husseindergham
2
Tesla: Interconnected ATHsStructural update to: Chronologically connecting pivots via fib channels creates a probabilistic map that captures the rhythm and scale relationships inherent in systematic price movements. Fractal Wave Marker & Fractal Corridors were used to transform raw price data into a coherent, multiscale structure. Combo of those indicators makes you actually pay attention to ongoing patterns and get an idea how formations on smaller scale can be part of a bigger structural narrative.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
8
Tesla on Track – Golden Zone Respect Leading to $867 TargetAs we discussed in the earlier setup, Tesla retraced beautifully into the golden zone (62–79% retracement area) after sweeping sell-side liquidity. This zone aligned with a higher-timeframe order block, providing strong confluence for a bullish reaction. The price has since respected that golden zone, confirming buyers stepped in aggressively and validating the bullish bias. From here, the market structure points toward continuation to the upside, with immediate targets at prior buy-side liquidity pools, eventually extending toward the $867 region, a level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and liquidity resting above previous highs. This setup illustrates a textbook ICT/SMC play: Liquidity Sweep ✅ Golden Zone Respect ✅ Strong Bullish Reaction ✅ Clear Buy-side Targets Ahead ✅ If momentum holds, Tesla remains positioned for a multi-month expansion leg toward the $867 target zone. ⚠️ DYOR: Not financial advice. Always confirm setups with your own framework and risk management.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by INSIDER_INTEL
Tesla: Bullish Momentum Points to $500 Breakout Current Price: $426.07 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $450.00 - T2 = $500.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $410.00 - S2 = $395.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify Tesla's high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that the aggregated views from professional traders often produce high-quality forecasts. Tesla’s position as one of the most active and closely monitored equities by institutional investors amplifies the importance of consensus-driven strategies in this stock. **Key Insights:** Tesla has benefited from its strong electric vehicle (EV) market leadership, underpinning its growth trajectory as the EV industry expands globally. Traders highlight Tesla's ability to maintain robust operational margins despite headwinds such as rising commodity and transportation costs. Tesla’s ambitious Full Self-Driving (FSD) vision and upcoming AI developments have sparked significant enthusiasm among tech-focused investors, bolstering its long-term growth outlook. From a technical perspective, Tesla is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling upward strength. Recent trading volumes show consistent institutional accumulation, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below overbought levels, confirming room for continued upside. Professional traders expect Tesla to test the $450 level in the coming sessions, with the $500 mark identified as the next major extension point. **Recent Performance:** Tesla has demonstrated impressive resilience in 2025, rallying over 30% year-to-date while outperforming many of its peers in both the automotive and technology sectors. This upward momentum has been fueled by strong quarterly revenue growth and better-than-expected production numbers, despite macroeconomic concerns like inflationary pressures and volatile supply chains. Tesla’s recent price movement shows a robust support zone around $400, with increasing buying pressure pushing the price toward new highs. **Expert Analysis:** Market experts are largely optimistic about Tesla's future prospects, emphasizing the rapidly unfolding EV growth story and Tesla’s early entry advantages. As governments worldwide implement tighter emissions regulations and incentivize clean-energy adoption, Tesla stands out with its scalable production capacity and differentiated market position. Analysts also highlight catalysts such as the Cybertruck launch scheduled for late 2025 and margin expansion driven by cost-saving measures at key Gigafactories. Technically, experts highlight Tesla’s bullish setup, formed by a series of higher lows and higher highs. Fibonacci retracement analysis places the next major resistance at $450, with $500 highlighted as the psychological and technical breakout point for long-term investors. Tesla’s MACD indicator remains strong, supporting an extended bullish trend. **News Impact:** Recent news regarding Tesla's continued success in expanding its market share in Europe and Asia has positively influenced sentiment. Additionally, CEO Elon Musk's statement outlining new advancements in robotics and AI platforms has sparked excitement about non-automotive revenue streams. Tesla's upcoming Investor Day, scheduled for Q4 2025, is likely to introduce updates on strategic innovations, driving higher investor confidence. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on Tesla’s technical setup, strong fundamentals, and favorable news flow, a long position is recommended. Traders should consider targeting the $450 level as the first resistance, while $500 serves as the medium-term price objective. Stops should be placed at $410 and $395, reflecting prudent risk management. Tesla’s continued momentum in 2025 makes this trade a compelling opportunity for growth-focused investors. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
TESLA 989 IN NOVEMBER 🧩 Method in short • Impulse + Midpoint → anchor the base geometry. • Mirror slope → project equal angles forward. • Octaves → copy slopes upward; price vibrates between them. • Confluence → all red rails meet at the Rome date. 🔑 Sniper Rules • ✅ Valid as long as TSLA stays above the white base slope. • ✅ Bounces on the midpoint diagonal confirm strength. • ❌ A close below the base slope cancels the 989 projection. 🎯 Targets • Midpoint retest → acceleration. • Upper octave → resistance. • Final convergence → 989 by Nov 20, 2025. ⸻ All roads lead to Rome. For Tesla, that Rome is $989. This is a geometry-based projection, not financial advice. Use your own confirmations and risk management.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TEPELENA
TSLA eyes on $409.56: Golden Genesis fib to hold "High Ground"TSLA has been surging based on various news. Now retracing towards a Genesis fib at $409.56 Clean bounce would indicate very strong trend. Golden Genesis fibs are important milestones. High gravity fibs can capture price into orbit. Expect consolidation around it then sling shot. . Previous analysis that caught a PERFECT BOTTOM: Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. ======================================================== .
NASDAQ:TSLA
by EuroMotif
$TSLA Financials: Q2 vs Q1🏛️ Research Notes A climb to even sub-ATH levels signals profound market irrationality, implying Tesla not only recovered its losses but has also reversed a widespread, likely permanent, client boycott across its key markets (US, EU, Canada). The closer examination of Q2 fundamentals ahead of the Q3 2025 release would be a great help. ⚖️ Q2 vs Q1 Revenue Decline : Revenue fell -12% YoY, automotive sales down -16% → confirms weakness in U.S., EU, and China. Gross Margins : Erosion continued as price cuts + BYD competition intensified. Operating Income : Dropped -42% YoY, reflecting higher expenses + lower leverage. Net Income : Down -16% YoY → analysts’ earnings downgrades justified. Cash Flow & Liquidity : Free cash flow fell, inventory buildup worsened liquidity strain. Balance Sheet : Inventory levels rising as deliveries lag production. Short-term : Bounce faces major resistance near supply zones — failure to break higher could trap late buyers. Mid-term: With Q2 confirming Q1 risks, the bull case weakens unless Q3 shows clear recovery in demand and margins. Long-term: Competitive pressures (BYD, Chinese EVs, European slump) + high CapEx needs keep pressure on liquidity and valuation. 🛟 What to Watch in Q3 Delivery Numbers : Any rebound in U.S., China, or Europe sales will be critical to reversing revenue decline. Margin Stabilization : If Tesla can offset price cuts with cost savings or improvement in production efficiency Cybertruck Performance : Demand recovery and reduced recall issues are needed to restore confidence in new models. Inventory Levels : Watch if inventory growth slows - otherwise more discounting and margin erosion likely. Cash Flow Trends : Improvement in operating cash flow would ease liquidity fears. CapEx & R&D : How much Tesla spends on batteries, autonomy, and AI vs. how much cash it burns will be closely watched. Institutional Sentiment : If big funds divest, rallies may keep fading at resistance. Tesla’s bounce still looks more like a retail-driven relief rally than the start of a sustainable reversal. Q2 earnings show deterioration across key financial metrics. In Q3, watch whether Tesla can stabilize sales, margins, and cash flow failure to do so keeps the path of least resistance to the downside.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
2
Tesla’s Breakout Test: Impulse or Fakeout?Tesla’s recent price action is stirring interest again, not just for retail traders but also for chart technicians who track Elliott Wave structures across global equities. After a deep corrective phase that carried price down from 488.54 to 217.02 , Tesla has been carving out a multi-layered corrective structure. Here’s the breakdown: Wave W completed into 217.02 , marking a sharp low. This was followed by a complex X wave , which included an expanded flat where the B-wave unfolded as a triangle — a rare but valid corrective formation. Wave Y then ended with a contracting triangle, neatly completing the W–X–Y correction near 297.82 . From that point, Tesla appears to have begun an impulsive sequence: Wave 1 and 2 are already visible, with the 297.82 low as the key invalidation level. A decisive break and close above 367.71 would confirm the onset of Wave 3, targeting 397.38 (1.618× Wave 1). Momentum is supporting the structure: RSI has reclaimed the 50 level, hinting at renewed strength. What Next? If the count holds, Tesla could be in the early stages of a larger impulsive rally, with Wave 1/A projecting toward the 400–420 zone . However, traders should remember that breaking below 297.82 invalidates the impulsive outlook and revives the broader corrective scenario. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by WaveXplorer
Tesla: breakout mode, Elon’s rocket fuel for the chartTechnically , Tesla broke out of a symmetrical triangle while holding above EMA/MA supports, which confirms bullish control. The breakout unlocks targets at 368.46 (Fibo 1), followed by 411.38, 432.03, and the 1.618 extension at 464.30. Volume profile confirms strong accumulation below, leaving the upside path less crowded. Fundamentally , Tesla keeps investor attention alive. EV sales stabilized, but the focus has shifted to AI and robotaxi — Musk’s latest promises of disruption. With Fed rates peaking and yields easing, growth stocks regain momentum. Risks remain from Chinese competitors, yet Tesla’s margins are still leading the industry. Tactical plan : entry zone stands at 323–336. As long as price holds above it, buyers target 368.46 → 411.38 → 464.30. A break below 323 would flip the bias back toward 291. Bottom line: Tesla’s chart looks ready for lift-off. Musk might be dreaming of Mars, but for now, bulls are happy if he just launches the stock a few hundred dollars higher.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
Tesla - Forecast (Before and After)🕰 Weekly View Price is holding above major support at 325–340 and pushing into weekly resistance around 420–440. The broader monthly trend points higher, with upside liquidity aligned toward the 500–520 zone. 📉 Daily Structure Resistance: 420–440 supply zone. Support: 325–340 demand zone, with a secondary base near 280. Price has broken from a wedge formation and is now testing overhead supply, with potential to retest support before continuation. ⏱ 8H Breakdown Tesla has been trending steadily upward off major support. Clean structure shows momentum building. A breakout and retest scenario could drive price toward 500+ targets, while failure at 420–440 could cause a pullback into 360–380 support. 🔎 Outlook Scenario 1 → Retest support (360–380) before continuation higher. Scenario 2 → Clean breakout above 440 accelerates into 500–520 zone. Bias : Bullish continuation → mid-term target 500+.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by jamesibartram
$TSLA: Branching Effect🏛️ Research Notes Reaching branching effect through cross-cycle interconnection. Alongside I'll test some elements mentioned below. Local Progressions Rhyme and levels derived from apparent cycle compression. Added channels with darkening gradient that cover bullrun from mid 2019, driven by angle of tops. In the local scope, as price deepens into denser zone the probability of disproportional reaction gets higher. t would probably complete its intermediate and even longer-term cycles before escaping the boundary.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
5
TSLA Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Watch🚗 TSLA Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Watch Ticker: TSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Timeframe: 30-minute candles 🔍 Current Setup TSLA has been consolidating for months inside a large symmetrical triangle, marked by: Descending resistance: from ~380 down to ~347. Ascending support: from April lows near ~240, now rising toward ~320. Current price: ~348, testing the upper boundary of the triangle. This structure signals compression after a major downtrend, and the breakout direction will likely define TSLA’s next big move. 📊 Breakout Levels 🚀 Upside (Bullish Scenario) Trigger: Break and close above 350–355. Intermediate Targets: 370–380 → First resistance zone. 400–420 → Extension levels. Measured Move Target: ~450+ (based on the triangle height projection). 🔻 Downside (Bearish Scenario) Trigger: Failure at resistance and break below 320, confirmation under 310. Intermediate Supports: 300 → Psychological level. 280–260 → Stronger support zone. Measured Move Target: ~250 (triangle projection downward). 📈 Volume Analysis Volume has been contracting steadily during the triangle’s formation. A major volume spike will be key to confirming whichever direction TSLA chooses. ⚖️ Probability Bias TSLA is at the make-or-break resistance zone (~350). A breakout above 355 would strongly favor bulls, targeting 380 → 400+. But a rejection here and break below 320 would shift momentum bearish, sending TSLA back toward 280–260. ✅ Takeaway TSLA is at a critical inflection point inside a long-term triangle: Bullish Break > 355: Targets 370 → 400 → 450+ Bearish Break < 320: Targets 300 → 280 → 250 Watch for volume-backed confirmation, as this move could define Tesla’s next multi-week trend.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by QuantAi-Trend