DOLLAR INDEX – Falling Wedge Pattern📉 The Dollar Index is forming a falling wedge, a classic reversal pattern.
🔹 Price is approaching the upper trendline resistance (point E).
🔹 Expect a potential pullback toward the support zone (highlighted in blue).
🔹 Pattern repeats: After E, a corrective dip is likely before the next move.
✅ Key Points:
Falling wedge usually signals trend reversal or continuation.
Watch for breakout confirmation above resistance for bullish continuation.
Current focus: resistance zone near 98–98.2, then potential drop to 96–97 support.
💡 Lesson: Patience pays — wait for clear rejection or breakout before trading this setup.
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Trade ideas
DOLLAR INDEX WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking at the chart (USD Index, Weekly timeframe):
1. Current Context
Price has been in a clear downtrend from the highs above 110.
Recently, it has moved sideways between 96.90 – 99.30 (the two boxed ranges you marked).
Current weekly candle is green, showing a short-term attempt to bounce.
2. Key Zones
Resistance zone: 98.53 – 99.34 (upper box). Price has repeatedly failed to close above this region.
Support zone: 96.92 – 96.12 (lower box). Buyers have stepped in here multiple times to prevent deeper falls.
3. Directional Bias
Macro bias (weekly structure): Still bearish, because the overall trend is lower and price is consolidating near the bottom after a strong selloff.
Immediate/short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish, since the last candles show rejection of the lower end (around 97) and price is pushing back up toward resistance at 98.50+.
4. What to Watch
If price breaks and closes above 99.34, bias shifts bullish with room toward 100.95.
If price rejects the 98.5–99.3 zone again and rolls over, expect continuation lower toward 96.00 and potentially 95.30.
👉 Summary:
Bias is bearish overall, but short-term corrective bullish as price moves within the range. Directional confirmation will come only when price breaks out of either the 99.30 resistance or the 96.12 support.
DXY Showing signs of strength as we can see in weekly TF price rejects this weekly area and confirms reversal through doji candle on a weekly TF fed is not supposed to cut rates in next meeting there are possibilities that dollar can regain its strength
price did not break below the previous week low..
Dollar I Weekly Range I 50% Target I Model 1GM Traders, we have seen price has been accumulating thru the whole august, now it dipped bellow the range and strongly rejected and created OB. It has change to to go to 50% of that range where is doouble top liquidity which.
Have a great trading week !!
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
DXY (US Dollar Index) 2H chart.DXY (US Dollar Index) 2H chart, you can see my drawn a breakout setup with targets marked.
Here’s the breakdown:
Current price: ~97.42
Trendline breakout setup is shown, with bullish continuation in mind.
First target point is marked around 98.00
Second target point is marked around 98.60
✅ So the bullish targets are:
TP1: 98.00
TP2: 98.60
Dollar Index Holds Firm on Fed CautionFundamental approach:
- DXY edged higher this week amid firmer US data and cautious Fed rhetoric that tempered aggressive easing bets. Risk sentiment was mixed, with markets awaiting core PCE for policy cues, supporting the dollar on rate differentials and data resilience.
- Stronger jobless claims and an upgraded Q2 GDP print underpinned the greenback, while Fed speakers highlighted divisions over the pace of additional cuts, limiting the index's downside.
- DXY could stabilize or firm if core PCE surprises, while a soft print may rekindle cut expectations and weigh on the dollar.
Technical approach:
- DXY broke the descending trendline and retested the key resistance at around 98.60. The index is around EMA21, and it is awaiting an apparent breakout to determine the upcoming trend.
- If DXY breaks above EMA21 and key resistance at 98.60, the index may retest the following resistance at 100.
- On the contrary, failing to close above 98.60 may lead the index to retest EMA78 or the following support at around 97.15.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY – Reversal in Motion, Correction Next?In my previous DXY analysis, I highlighted that all the bad news might already be priced in for the USD, opening the door for a reversal.
That scenario is now unfolding: after making new dips, the index bounced strongly from the 95 zone and is currently trading around 98.
After such a sharp rebound, the market looks ready for a correction. This pullback phase could provide traders with attractive opportunities – especially to position short on the major USD pairs, but at better, higher prices.
Trading Plan:
• The reversal has confirmed, but I expect a correction before continuation.
• I’m looking for retracements to offer entry levels for USD shorts via majors.
• As always, flexibility is key – monitor price action closely to time entries correctly.
The market has started to shift – now it’s about waiting for the correction to align risk and reward properly. 🚀
DXY Breakout Trade Setup – Bullish Channel & High R:R OpportunitChart Overview:
Instrument: U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Current Price: 98.371
Analysis Date: September 26, 2025
🔍 Technical Structure:
1. Bullish Channel:
A clear ascending channel is drawn, indicating a strong short-term uptrend.
Price action has been respecting the channel well, moving between the upper and lower trendlines.
A bullish breakout is either anticipated or just confirmed above the channel.
🟦 Trade Setup (Long Position):
✅ Entry Point:
Price: 98.267 (blue horizontal line labeled "Entry Point")
This is slightly below the current price (98.371), suggesting an entry on a slight pullback after breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Price: 97.986 (also marked 97.982 on the lower blue line)
Located below a recent support zone and below the breakout structure.
This gives a safety buffer if the breakout fails.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit):
Price: 99.676
This is based on the measured move from the height of the channel, projected upward from the breakout point.
📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Very favorable; visually it appears to be around 4:1 or higher.
Small stop loss area (red box) relative to the large target area (green box).
High RRR makes this setup attractive for risk-managed traders.
🔎 Additional Observations:
Trend: Strong bullish momentum leading into the breakout.
Volume / Confirmation: Not shown on the chart, but ideally you’d want volume confirmation for the breakout.
Timing: Entry and confirmation should align with break and retest of the channel top.
✅ Summary of the Trade Plan:
Component Value
Entry 98.267
Stop Loss 97.986
Take Profit 99.676
Risk-Reward ~4:1
Trade Type Long (Buy)
Strategy Breakout + Retest
⚠️ Important Notes:
Wait for confirmation (like a bullish candle close above the channel or successful retest).
Be aware of macroeconomic news that can affect DXY (e.g., Fed announcements, interest rate decisions, inflation data).
Use position sizing appropriate to your risk tolerance.
DOLLAR REBOUND TO TAKE PROFIT ZONE DOLLAR ,the united states dollar remains a key driver for EURUSD,AUUSD,GBPUSD,USDJPY,XAUUSD,BITCOIN SILVER ,COPPER,when i shared a perspective on the rebound we started seeing a sharp drop in weekly gains of EUR,GBP,GOLD ,SILVER AUD ,CAD, ZAR.
IF THE DXY REBOUND FINALLY REACH TAKE PROFIT ZONE ,OTHER PERS TRADING AGAINST THE DOLLAR WILL STRUGGLE.
#DOLLAR #DXY #US10Y
DXY Daily Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY Daily Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Fundamentals:
The U.S. economy continues to print strong economic data, which typically supports the dollar. However, the DXY has failed to create new highs and is currently sitting below key resistance. This suggests that much of the positive data is already priced in. With buying momentum slowing, there is an increasing probability that traders will begin taking profits — potentially triggering a sell-off.
Technicals:
After a liquidity hunt/manipulation above previous highs, price broke below a key level, confirming a Change of Character (CHoCH).
Post-breakout, price accumulated sell positions under the key level and was driven lower, reaching as far as 95.900.
A pullback followed, with price retesting the minor key resistance at 98.300, but failing to break higher.
We are now watching closely for a liquidity grab within the 98.300–98.880 liquidity zone.
📌 Trading Plan (DTF Bias – Bearish):
Point of Interest (POI): 97.950
Stop Loss (SL): 98.880 (above liquidity zone)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 95.800
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 95.100
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
US Dollar: Hold Off On Selling The USD! Higher Prices Ahead?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD recovered last Friday after the FED cut the rate .25 basis points. The USD was also supported by higher T-note yields.
What's next?
Although price swept the Swing Low last week, it recovered, trading back up into the consolidation. There is a bullish tone to this movement, and a manipulative one as well. The sell side LQ was taken, followed by a quick recovery.
The highlighted bullish FVG indicates bullish order flow.
There is a potential iFVG just above the +FVG. Monitor it to see if price will respect it as support. Should it hold, look to long the USD.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USD Sell the Rumor, Buy the NewsUSD set a fresh three-year low on the Fed's rate cut announcement last week. Since then, however, bears have taken a back seat and bulls have chewed through several short-term resistance levels. This highlights just how one-sided that move was in the earlier part of the year and for q3, it's been a build into a falling wedge formation which is often approached with aim of bullish reversal.
This sets the stage for a test of the 99 level, which is confluent with both a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 major move - and the resistance side of that formation.
Notably, this resembles last year's move, when the USD set a fresh low on the Fed's first rate cut announcement of the year only for bears to be stalled thereafter. It wasn't until Q4 that USD bulls were able to take over but when they were - they drove an aggressive move into the end of the year.
In that scenario, there was also a similar move in Treasury yields as rates jumped even as the Fed was cutting overnight rates - and the rationale behind that was that a Fed cutting into a high inflation backdrop simply boosted long-run inflation expectations, which further erodes fixed yields. That can drive capital from bonds and possibly even into stocks, but more importantly for traders, that's what helped to boost the Greenback in Q4 of last year even as the Fed was cutting. - js
DXY at a Critical Juncture — What’s the Fed’s Next MoveHey Guys,
I’ve put together a swing-style analysis for the DXY.
This one’s been highly requested — my followers are valuable to me, and I never turn them down.
DXY Daily Levels:
- Resistance: 100.606 – 99.837
- Support: 96.530 – 95.902
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently dropping due to Fed policies.
No steps are being taken to push the dollar higher.
Because of this, investors are choosing gold as a safe haven instead of buying dollars.
Gold keeps hitting new ATHs, and naturally, the dollar index is sliding.
Unless the Fed takes action to support the dollar, this decline will continue.
In short, the drop in the dollar is entirely due to the policies implemented by the Fed Chair.
Remember — DXY isn’t heavily influenced by technical analysis; it’s driven by Fed policy.
That said, since the index has fallen so much, I believe we might see some steps taken in the coming months to lift the dollar.
I’ll be sharing updates right here.📢
Once support or resistance levels are broken, I’ll post new insights immediately.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to all my friends who support me — you’re the best. ❤️
Powell Flags Rich Valuations as Dollar Holds the High GroundOur plan from last month is unfolding: weekly liquidity pockets around 97–98 on the DXY have now been tapped, with first profit targets reached on several cross pairs.
Technically, we see:
EUR/USD divergence – euro pushed into absorption while the dollar closed higher.
Heavy weekly liquidity – price action continues to respect the upper band near 98.
From the macro side, Fed Chair Jerome Powell added a quiet but important layer.
In his latest speech, he noted that U.S. equities appear “fairly highly valued,” a gentle reminder that financial conditions matter and valuations are stretched.
He balanced that with a steady-hand message on policy, but the hint was clear: risk assets are not priced for perfection.
MIXED SIGNALS ON THE DOLLAR INDEXThe dollar index has beautifully retraced 100% of a bearish Butterfly pattern that was identified between July 1st and August 13th 2025, hitting the monthly support target of 95.911. There has been a strong bounce from this support zone into the weekly closing range.
What we currently have now is also a bullish Butterfly pattern on the daily chart and the bounce from the support zone has retraced to exactly the 0.382 fib level (97.336). The weekly hammer candle suggests that bulls will attempt to reach the 0.5 fib level, however lower time frames shows that the bulls are losing their strength. As such, I am not expecting DXY to continue grinding up next week without a major pullback to retest the weekly candle wicks. Basically expecting a lot of volatility in both directions.
I thank you for checking out my publication and I wish you a successful trading week. Cheers!!
DXY Is it finally time for the Dollar to shine?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. This pattern has been showing incredible symmetry, having clear correction phases (red Channels) followed by bullish phases, where the price rallied to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Right now the price has almost hit the bottom of this multi-year Channel Up, while at the same time making a new (2nd) bottom for the 2nd Bearish Leg of the (red) correction phase.
With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern, we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively in the long-term, targeting at lest 120.000 on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext.
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Dollar short-term BULLISH until proven otherwiseCAPITALCOM:DXY
After a deep liquidity sweep down to ~95.80 followed by a sharp buying response, a string of higher lows, and a higher high into the 97.39–97.78 area. Price is currently pausing just above the shaded Daily BPR.
That sequence (sweep → big rejection → higher low → higher high) is the technical basis for a bullish bias while price stays above the recent higher-low area.
Watching development for now...