Swatch stock is considered a contrarian story for a few key reasSwatch stock could be considered a contrarian investment due to a combination of factors suggesting it's currently undervalued and facing headwinds, while also possessing inherent strengths that could lead to a future turnaround. Here's a breakdown of why:
Negative Sentiment & Challenges:
Contrarian Investment Thesis (Potential Upsides):
Contrarian Classification: Stockopedia classifies Swatch as a "Contrarian" stock based on a composite score of fundamental and technical measures. This suggests that the stock exhibits characteristics that are out of favor but potentially offer value.
Undervalued: Swatch is currently undervalued.
Strong Financial Health: Despite challenges, InvestingPro data indicates Swatch maintains a "GOOD" financial health score with positive indicators. The company has impressive gross profit margins and a strong current ratio, indicating operational efficiency and liquidity.
Solid Balance Sheet: Swatch has a strong balance sheet with substantial cash and equivalents, and significant property value, with very little financial debt.
Dividend Yield: Swatch offers a dividend yield of around 3.92%, providing some return for investors even during a downturn.
Experienced Management & Family Ownership: The Hayek family's partial ownership suggests management is invested in the long-term success of the company.
Potential for Recovery: Swatch itself suggests 2025 "promises positive momentum worldwide," although they acknowledge continued restraint in Chinese demand.
Brands & Market Position: Swatch owns well-known brands across different price segments, giving it a broad market reach.
SWGAY trade ideas
Swatch AG (UHR.vx) bullish scenario:The technical figure Falling Wedge can be found in the daily chart in the Swiss company The Swatch Group Ltd (UHR.vx). The Swatch Group Ltd is a Swiss manufacturer of watches and jewellery. The Swatch Group is the world's largest watch company and employs about 36,000 people in 50 countries. The group owns the Swatch product line and other brands, including Blancpain, Breguet, Certina, ETA, Glashütte Original, Hamilton, Harry Winston, Longines, Mido, Omega, Rado, and Tissot. The Falling Wedge broke through the resistance line on 21/04/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 312.60 CHF. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 285.60 CHF if you decide to enter this position.
The Swiss company said it expects record sales in 2023 boosted by the return of demand in China, Hong Kong and Macau, which was hit by the return of COVID-19 cases last year, and as Chinese tourists resume their travels.
"Group Management anticipates strong sales growth in 2023 in all regions and segments," Swatch said, noting that consumption had quickly recovered in Hong Kong and Macau as well as China after pandemic restrictions were lifted.
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Trading Idea - #SWATCHSELL Limit Order!
ENTRY: 275 CHF
TARGET: 208 CHF (profit 23%)
STOP: 294 CHF
I assume that the price of the SWATCH share can recover in the short term. This would go up to the POI level of CHF 274.
As SWATCH has become heavily dependent on the Chinese market and the Corona fear continues to dominate the markets, further pressure on the share is to be expected.
Swatch Group Swatch Group | Bull flag breakout | This setup only recently caught my attention (I missed the initial channel break). Thus far we’ve moved through and closed above R2. The MACD is a currently crossing above zero and the RSI is at a bullish 64 reading.
This chart forms part of a larger research note and should not be considered financial advice.