darth.stocks

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About me At a certain time you run out of greater fools... The time is now.
Last visit Joined a year ago
Markets Allocation
26 % commodities 13 % stocks 10 % forex 52 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 27% | 80 CL1! 13% | 40 SP1! 8% | 24 USDJPY 6% | 19
darth.stocks darth.stocks GDX, D, Short , 2 days ago
GDX: GDX & Miners : Shorting now
74 0 6
GDX, D Short
GDX & Miners : Shorting now

We should have reached the cycle top...

darth.stocks darth.stocks XAUUSD, D, Short , 9 days ago
XAUUSD: Gold : Feeling safe to suggest a short
156 0 8
XAUUSD, D Short
Gold : Feeling safe to suggest a short

With today's tumbling of 10Y and 30Y deliverable interest futures I feel safe to suggest a short... It is some bit of difficult to judge Gold from COT Data since I would not call them as bearish as Silver, but with the various times before mentioned correlation to RW1! and RQ1! I'd rather go short within next month...

darth.stocks darth.stocks SP1!, D, Long , 13 days ago
SP1!: S&P 500 : Meltup till 2700 in Q3
88 2 6
SP1!, D Long
S&P 500 : Meltup till 2700 in Q3

After having reached my 2350 correction target, the next target region is in the 2500 region. With yesterday's really dovish FED decision of just 2 more possible rate hikes this year (0.5% more), I rather believe the fiscal stimulus promised by the new US Government and the rising inflation expectations will likely overheat US economy. I doubt that this is already ...

darth.stocks darth.stocks DX1!, W, Long , 16 days ago
DX1!: DXY: Log and targeting 108
40 0 8
DX1!, W Long
DXY: Log and targeting 108

Current COT positioning suggest the possibility of 108-110 in the DXY. On Break expect 114-115...

darth.stocks darth.stocks XAGUSD, D, Short , 16 days ago
XAGUSD: Silver : continuing short
117 0 10
XAGUSD, D Short
Silver : continuing short

Expecting a correction the next 2-3 days till max 17.50. If you are not yet short, this should be the next really good entry level. But the overall impression is really BEARISH !

darth.stocks darth.stocks CL1!, D, Long , 16 days ago
CL1!: Crude thoughts : preparing for a long
218 0 9
CL1!, D Long
Crude thoughts : preparing for a long

After last week's anticipated drop this week's data provide sufficient support to prepare for a long. Commercials interests rose from Nov 2016 to Feb 2017 from 276K to 556K Net Long Contracts. This results in about 280 Mil loss per 1 USD drop of crude (from end Feb). We should see now a consolidation in the 47 Region within the next days and a move back to 55-50 ...

darth.stocks darth.stocks SP1!, D, Long , 23 days ago
SP1!: SP1! : staying long if 2350 holds
53 0 4
SP1!, D Long
SP1! : staying long if 2350 holds

Quite a time since my last S&P500 update... My target was around 2250-2300, but we had a melt up till 2370. I guess we will see a correction back to 2350 and if that holds COT data provide the possibility for a further melt up to 2480 region.

darth.stocks darth.stocks XLI, W, Short , 23 days ago
XLI: XLI : short
33 0 3
XLI, W Short
XLI : short

For sure it's a rising wedge...But with Trumponomics (from now on Promisonomics) failing I rather believe that we have a false breakout. Correction should be at least to 55 region. On break back to 40...

darth.stocks darth.stocks XLF, W, Short , 23 days ago
XLF: XLF: preparing for a "sharper" correction
60 0 6
XLF, W Short
XLF: preparing for a "sharper" correction

With XLF hitting 25 Region - a long term resistance - it is reasonable thinking about a short via FAZ ...

darth.stocks darth.stocks XAGUSD, D, Short , 23 days ago
XAGUSD: Silver : Short and underperforming other PM's
110 0 7
XAGUSD, D Short
Silver : Short and underperforming other PM's

I'm just publishing some private discussions that are already 3 weeks old... I have to admit I got some bit of surprised on the extend of the price correction after Dec. low but I am getting sufficiently bearish again to suggest a short. The primary mid tern Target is in the 14.50 Region.

darth.stocks darth.stocks CL1!, D, 23 days ago
CL1!: Crude Thoughts : Staying Neutral but preparing for trade
129 0 4
CL1!, D
Crude Thoughts : Staying Neutral but preparing for trade

At my last update I didn't hide my bearishness on crude but currently I am some bit more optimistic. I am expecting a test of 52 and on break we should be happy to see the long awaited correction back to 48. The other possibility is up to 55 or even 57.5 . So waiting to see what's going to happen...

darth.stocks darth.stocks GDX+GDXJ, D, Short , 23 days ago
GDX+GDXJ: GDX & GDXJ : how could it be this time?
100 0 6
GDX+GDXJ, D Short
GDX & GDXJ : how could it be this time?

Quite a time since my last update, but don't you think it is getting more and more obvious what is happening ? Watch out for JPYUSD ! We might see a drop till 110 and miners ups again but my minimal target is the Region of Jan 2016 lows...

darth.stocks darth.stocks SFL, W, Short , 23 days ago
SFL: SFL: don't even think about a long
76 0 7
SFL, W Short
SFL: don't even think about a long

So..., some extraordinary chart/discussion since I really got upset due to an article on seakingalpha... SFL is an offshoot from the John Fredriksen Company Frontline. There are really close financial interests between SDRL and SFL as well as FRO and SFL. The recent warning by SDRL on filing Chap. 11 really needs a careful discussion/analysis of the money flow ...

darth.stocks darth.stocks GDX, D, Short , 2 months ago
GDX: GDX: 35-39 Day Periodicity suggests SHORT !
158 2 3
GDX, D Short
GDX: 35-39 Day Periodicity suggests SHORT !

I've previously shown the some bit of slightly periodic behaviour of GDX/XAU/HUI ... Local maximum should be done and within next few days the next leg down should start.

darth.stocks darth.stocks RDSA, W, Long , 2 months ago
RDSA: Shell RDSA : clear long
32 0 6
RDSA, W Long
Shell RDSA : clear long

Target should be in the 34-35 Eur (or whatever next currency it will be) Region... Should be a good entry point now.

darth.stocks darth.stocks GC1!, D, 2 months ago
GC1!: Gold: difficult times
87 0 4
GC1!, D
Gold: difficult times

Impressive rally since December... But on low Volume. I guess there will be a fight for the 1220 Region and maybe a surge till 1250 but my target remains in the 1040-1050 region for Q1/H1.

darth.stocks darth.stocks CL1!, D, 2 months ago
CL1!: Crude thoughts: seriously bearish
178 1 6
CL1!, D
Crude thoughts: seriously bearish

It's a really crowdy trade ... It's time to be cautious!! With the OPEC meeting I guess w might see a surge till the 56 region but from COT positioning a 10-20% correction back to the 45 Region is likely.

darth.stocks darth.stocks XAU+HUI, D, Short , 2 months ago
XAU+HUI: HUI XAU GDX GDXJ : Back on short side
34 0 3
XAU+HUI, D Short
HUI XAU GDX GDXJ : Back on short side

After a really nice retest of the Head and Shoulders Neckline it is time to get back to the short side. Target remains the 2016 low region.

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