$PALLADIUM (monthly): PRINTING on WAVE 3, much MORE to comeOnly last month I published another one of my METALS trade, $PALLADIUM.
I couldn't resist, MONTHLY chart was enough for me to go in, it was $1207 then, 5 weeks ago, and approaching $1600 now.
I called the money wave, basically, that's what they call WAVE 3 in Elliot's Wave Theory. And it's not done yet.
The monthly candle is of a GOD-type, flipped $1513 (multi-year support/resistance level dating back to 2019), gaining momentum (RSI 84, overbought technically, but could easily get much much more overbought, as METALS often do).
My favourite Elliot's WAVE oscillator has only started flipping into green territory.
This is just the beggining, imo, although there might be a short-term cool-down at some point. Long-term, this MONTHLY is an absolute GEM.
👽💙
Trade ideas
Palladium: Testing a Long from Current LevelsIt might be worth trying a long position on palladium from the current levels.
There’s a chance that the long-awaited correction has begun, and the downward move could deepen. However, the tight stop-loss at the level 1425 on this trade is encouraging — as is the accumulated profit, which allows for such tactical entries.
A small amount of risk seems acceptable here; if anything goes wrong, the position will close at the stop.
PALLADIUM ( XPDUSD ) BULLISH BREAKOUTPalladium peaked on March 2022 @ 3400$ before sharply dropping to consolidate in the price range of 800$ - 1300$. The insiders have been accumulating the precious metal in this tight consolidation for the past two years. At its peak at $3400, Palladium was more expensive than Gold. Following the accumulation phase, Palladium is on the verge of a breakout. A close above the consolidation phase on the daily TF, accompanied by high volume, will offer a buying opportunity.
PALLADIUM - Short Setup, Bearish Rotation In MetalsA very bearish setup is developing:
Since the top, there is nowhere on the chart that has a whipsawing candle like this:
A very big Shooting Star!
This setup has my favourite conditions met:
- Whipsawing candle that sweeps liquidity through key resistance (2021)
- Tidy 1.618 Golden Window (1.618 - 1.786) - taking extremity pivots of Accumulation to draw the fib trendline.
Palladium has quite weak price action overall comparing to other metals and this very bearish whipsaw might be a signal for the overall metals market that we're passing through a major pivot.
This is also considering that SILVER may have topped at my 1.618 target @ $54:
And GOLD may perhaps also have topped after hitting the ultra long term 2.272 (image below is a previous thread I made - click to enter):
In addition news arrives that "Gold price pulls back from record as Trump eases trade concerns" - www.mining.com
Interesting isn't it how this type of news arrives exactly as GOLD, SILVER and PALLADIUM all hit hit respective Phi ratio landmarks / significant resistances !
...
Palladium may chop, however it often dumps hard when it swings bearish - I doubt it can take out this candle wick high - and even if it did then it would still be very bearish.
The candle closes in a few hours.
And from here there is a possibility that this might be the next wave down, though I won't hold anywhere near that long.
In summary, we have multiple signals from Gold, Silver, Palladium and Trump tariff news that metals may be topping / hitting a significant peak.
I entered a short position here.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider that crypto is a dangerous market.
Palladium Wave Analysis – 17 October 2025- Palladium reversed from long-term resistance level 1600.00
- Likely to fall to support level 1500.00
Palladium recently reversed down from the long-term resistance level 1600.00 (former strong support from 2020 and 2021, acting as resistance after it was broken at the start of 2023, as can be seen below).
The resistance level 1600.00 was strengthened by the upper weekly Bollinger Band and by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the weekly downtrend from the end of 2022.
Given the long-term downtrend, Palladium can be expected to fall to the next round support level 1500.00.
Palladium - a precious metal in demandPalladium is a precious metal in demand.
Applications -
- Automotive sector for Catalytic converters and EV adoption.
- Geopolitical supply side pressure ( Russia ) and Recycling delays.
- Industrial use electronics, chemical catalysts, hydrogen storage , fuel cells.
- Healthcare - Dental Alloy, Implantable medical devices
- Aerospace
- Jewlery
- Water Treatment
- Optics and Photography
Palladium has been on an absolute tear. Price has moved from October 3rd at 1211 , in which the 200 MAV channel was tested. To a recent swing high of 1532.
Everything has to breathe out, and price is now retracing. Areas of interest for a potential reversal include
1. Confluence of Trendline and Fibonacci 50% retracement = around $1375
2. Confluence of the Demand Zone and Fibonacci 61.8% retracement = around $ 1335.
These offer good areas to consider a long position. The sentiment for all precious metals is bullish. Your long position could be a swing trade or better still a position trade.
Gold and Silver are at ATH. Platinum is close. Palladium can easily double from here.
Palladium (XPDUSD) – Cup & Handle Breakout in Play?Palladium is showing a Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly chart – a strong bullish continuation setup. After a long rounded base (cup), price has pulled back slightly to form the handle, and now it’s testing the neckline zone.
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Breakout Zone: 1,270 USD
🎯 Target: 1,680 USD (cup depth projection)
🛑 Invalidation: Below 1,200 USD
📈 Bullish View: A confirmed breakout and weekly close above 1,270 could spark a move towards 1,680. Momentum traders may look for entries on the breakout with stops below handle support.
📉 Bearish Risk: Failure to hold above 1,200 would invalidate the pattern and could lead to deeper downside.
⚖️ Trade Plan Idea:
✅ Entry: Breakout above 1,270
✅ Stop: Below 1,200
✅ TP: 1,680 (first target)
“Palladium Double Bottom Thief Plan – Will $XPDUSD Steal 1350?”📝 TradingView Description (Thief Style, Polished, Stylish, Funny-Pro Vibe)
Asset: XPD/USD “Palladium vs U.S Dollar”
Market Map: Forex Metals – Swing/Day Trade Strategy
📊 Plan – Thief Strategy in Action
The bullish plan is confirmed with:
✅ Double bottom pullback & retest
✅ Triangular moving average support
✅ Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle formed
✅ Re-accumulation at the neutral zone
This looks like Palladium is warming up for a climb!
🎯 Entry – Thief Layer Style
Instead of a single entry, I use layered buy limits (multiple limit orders):
💎 1240
💎 1250
💎 1260
💎 1270
(Traders can adjust/increase layers based on their own style.)
🛡 Stop Loss (SL) – Thief’s Guard Line
My SL idea → 1200
👉 But remember: It’s your account, your rules. Choose your own risk shield.
🎯 Target – Thief’s Escape Point
Main target: 1350
Strong resistance barricade around 1400 → could act as a police trap zone (overbought + liquidity zone).
📌 Best play: Escape with profits before the barricade!
🔑 Key Notes to the OG’s
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), this isn’t about following my SL or TP blindly.
Trading is risk. Manage it your way → take money, then make money.
🔄 Related Correlation Watchlist
Keep an eye on metals & correlated assets for cross-check confirmation:
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – often leads sentiment in precious metals
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver) – momentum clues for XPD
OANDA:XPTUSD (Platinum) – strong structural correlation with Palladium
TVC:DXY (U.S Dollar Index) – dollar strength/weakness directly impacts Palladium
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style trading strategy just for fun & educational purposes. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#XPDUSD #Palladium #Forex #Metals #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Gold #Silver #Platinum #DollarIndex #ThiefStrategy
Palladium’s bull run is knocking on a two-year highPalladium’s bull run is knocking on a two-year high.
Technical Analysis XPDUSD rose toward the previous high near 1,360 after forming a series of higher swings, supported by diverging bullish EMAs that suggest stronger bullish momentum.
If XPDUSD breaks above 1,360, it would mark a new two-year high and may target the next level at 1,500.
However, before pushing higher, it may pull back to test support around 1,170–1,200 before the uptrend resumes.
Fundamental Analysis
The Palladium bull run is driven by geopolitical tensions, especially the risk of new trade barriers on Russian palladium export, which are creating uncertainty and spurring speculative buying.
In addition, global mine output has not increased meaningfully, and some regions are facing operational and environmental setbacks, tightening global supply.
Another factor is safe-haven demand led by gold, which has lifted the broader precious-metals products and supported demand in palladium.
Overall, palladium prices are supported by supply concerns and robust industrial demand, though volatility is likely in response to production headlines or shifts in precious-metals sentiment.
The outlook is positive but requires caution. Market participants should closely monitor Russia’s export policy and mine updates from South Africa and North America.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XPDUSD Long AnalysisPalladium has shifted from a mid-August downtrend into a choppy recovery and now shows signs of a trending bullish phase on the 4-hour timeframe. Price has cleared short-term resistance around 1,176.87 → 1,246.75 and is currently trading ~1,237 (your chart). The moving averages have flattened then begun to slope upward, and the most recent swing shows a higher low / higher high rhythm — the basic condition you want for a bullish continuation.
The chart’s annotated zones show a clear supply band around 1,246.7 (nearby resistance) and a higher upside magnet around 1,366.84 (your marked major target). That gives a visible path for an upside trade with a defined invalidation area below recent demand.
Why bulls have the edge now:
• Price is back above the shorter MAs and testing the prior supply band — buyers have absorbed previous selling.
• The 4H swing structure: recent higher lows vs earlier lows (buyers defending lower levels).
• Momentum in the last push is relatively clean (no long upper wick exhaustion) — the move is controlled, not a spike.
Important macro/contextual notes (trade-sensitivity):
• Palladium is sensitive to industrial/catalytic demand and to USD strength; watch auto demand news and USD moves.
• Palladium can gap on low liquidity and on supply/disruption headlines — plan for slippage around big events.
________________________________________
Key levels to respect (copy/paste friendly)
• Current price (approx): 1,237.11
• Immediate resistance (short-term supply): 1,246.75
• Primary support (near-term demand / pullback buy zone): 1,176.87
• Major upside target / magnet: 1,366.84
• Deeper support (if bulls fail): lower dotted green levels on your chart (≈ 1,100–1,050 area historically)
A clean 4H close above 1,246.75 removes local supply pressure and is the simplest technical confirmation for the next leg up toward 1,366.84. Conversely, a decisive 4H close back below 1,176.87 would invalidate this bullish plan and suggest re-evaluation.
________________________________________
Trade risk plan & management (rules you should follow)
• Position sizing: size so the dollar risk to your stop equals 1–2% of account equity. That keeps any single loss manageable.
• Partial profits: take 30–40% at the first meaningful resistance on the way up (see trade setups below). This locks gains while leaving a runner for the bigger target.
• Stop management: after a first partial is taken, move your stop to breakeven (or a small profit) to make the remainder risk-free. Then trail the stop under each new 4H higher low (or use a volatility trail like 1.5×ATR(20,4H)) to give the trade room while protecting gains.
• Event risk: reduce size or avoid adding right before major macro/industry events that can move metals (e.g., major US data, central bank windows, supply/disruption news).
• Plan for slippage: Palladium can gap — factor realistic slippage and wider fills into your sizing and stop placement.
• Fail scenario: if price closes below 1,176.87 on 4H, exit and wait for a new structure to form.
________________________________________
Trade setups (bullets only)
A) Breakout (higher-probability, confirmation entry)
• Entry: buy after a confirmed 4H close above 1,246.75, or on the retest of 1,246.75 after that close (better risk control).
• Stop-loss: 1,200 (below the breakout zone and recent short-term structure).
• Take Profit 1: 1,320 → take 30–40% off.
• Take Profit 2: 1,366.84 → scale out remaining position (trail remaining).
• Sizing tip: risk 1% of equity to the stop for the full position.
________________________________________
Execution checklist (quick)
1. Confirm no major data/event in the next 4-12 hours (if you’re entering short term).
2. Prefer a 4H close above 1,246.75 for the breakout plan, or a clear price action buy signal in 1,200–1,176.87 for the pullback plan.
3. Place stop and position size to risk 1–2% max.
4. Book partials at TP1, move stop to breakeven, then trail using 4H higher lows or 1.5×ATR.
5. If the market closes 4H below 1,176.87, exit and reassess.
________________________________________
Final takeaway
Technically this is a bullish, controlled setup: structure shows buyers defending lower levels and the path to ~1,367 is clear if price can hold above local demand and overcome the short supply band at 1,246.7. Use disciplined sizing, partial profit-taking at intermediate resistance, and an active trailing stop to protect gains — that combination gives you upside capture while controlling downside risk.
Palladium Market Roadmap | Bullish Case vs Overbought Resistance💎 XPD/USD | Palladium vs U.S Dollar – Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Plan:
Bullish confirmation looks solid here — backed by Triangular Moving Average pullback + retest ✅ and a Double Bottom formation 🥂 which adds strength to buyers’ side.
I’m laying out my Thief Strategy (Layering Style Entry Method):
Entry is not fixed at a single point 🎯 — instead, I prefer layering multiple limit orders to build positions gradually.
👉 Example Buy Limit Layers:
1180
1190
1200
1220
(You can increase or adjust layers based on your own conviction.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
📍 My reference SL: 1150
(Note: I’m not recommending you only follow my SL. Always set risk at your comfort level. Manage wisely!)
🎯 Target (TP):
⚠️ “Police barricade” 🚔 acts as strong resistance + overbought conditions → possible bull trap.
My target zone: 1320
(Again, this is just my style. Take profits when it suits your strategy — protect your gains!)
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch:
OANDA:XPTUSD (Platinum vs USD) → Often moves with Palladium due to industrial/auto demand links 🚗
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) → Precious metals correlation, safe-haven appeal 🏆
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) → Volatility cousin, tends to echo similar swings ⚡
PEPPERSTONE:USDX (Dollar Index) → Strong USD can weigh on metals overall 💵
Key Correlation Insight:
Palladium is more industrial-demand driven compared to gold/silver. When auto-sector demand spikes, palladium shines 🌟, but when USD strengthens or risk-off flows dominate, metals may face pressure.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy created for educational + fun purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#Palladium #XPDUSD #MetalsTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PreciousMetals
XPDUSD: Strong Confluence + MomentumBias: Long
Trade Type: Reversal
Trend: Range
Area of Value: Yearly Open + Quarter Open + 6 Hit Support
Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram Crossing to High Tide.
Entry: 1,102.37
Exits: Stop Loss @ 1,063.95 ; Take Profit @ 1,217.82
Analysis
Fact 1: XPDUSD is in a Range between 908.50 and 1,245.35 since 2023.
Fact 2: XPDUSD movements between the ranges are relatively fast where a power move toward the resistance @ 1245.35 is also met with a power move reversal to the support @ 908.50
Fact 3: XPDUSD last move towards the resistance broke the resistance, and the reversal towards the support is a slow crawling move instead of a fast power move.
Fact 4: XPDUSD slowed down and seemed to bounce on the Area of Value that is full of confluence, paired with the timing of the momentum of MACD Histogram on 1D.
Conclusion:
XPDUSD broke its Resistance Level and instead of reversing down further to the support with a power move the bears seemed to have stopped at the Area of Value (1,102.37) confluenced by Yearly and Quarterly Opens + a strong 6 Hit support level, paired with a MACD Histogram crossing to High Tide. I believe that XPDUSD will bounce off the Area of Value and atleast reach 1,217.82 before resistance takes place.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.00
STRONG BUY | PALLADIUM Strategy: Impulse Correction
Direction: Bullish
Moving Average: Blue above Red
Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached
MACD > 0
Support : Finding additional confluence, as the weekly bounces off a massive support structure
1st Target = 1336
2nd Target = 1449
3rd Target = 1595
Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one)
INSIGHTS: Mining companies are pressing Trump to add tariffs to palladium imports from Russian. Should this happen, we should see an increase in price as SA and Russia export the most Palladium.
Re-entering this trade as I have a string conviction on it.
Trade 5/20
Palladium Faces Bearish SignalA very unfavorable and non-positive candle has formed on the daily chart for the continuation of the upward movement.
In any case, we need to watch the Monday open and price action, but for now everything points to a decline of about 5–6%.
Tomorrow it will become clearer, but for now I’m just noting this idea and keeping palladium under watch — I may consider opening a short.
XPD/USD Market Strike – Bullish Pending Heist with Layer Entry⚡💎 XPD/USD "Palladium" Metal Market Heist Plan 💎⚡
🕵️♂️ Dear Thief OG’s, Robbers & Money Raiders…
The vault is open — Palladium is shining, and we’re about to strike.
📊 Asset: XPD/USD "Palladium" (Swing/Scalping Trade)
💡 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Heist)
🎯 Entry (The Break-in Point)
💥 Primary Breakout Level: 1150.000 ⚡
Thieves don’t walk in one door — we layer the entries.
Multiple buy limit orders stacked like weapons:
1150.000 (confirmed breakout entry 🚀)
1140.000
1130.000
1120.000
👉 You can add more layers based on your vault-robbing capacity.
📌 Set your TradingView alarm at 1150.000 — so you don’t miss the breakout spark that opens the gates.
🛑 Stop Loss (The Escape Route)
This is Thief SL @ 1090.000 (after breakout confirm).
Adjust your SL depending on your own robbery style & risk.
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen of the Thief Gang — protect your loot wisely.
🏆 Target (The Stolen Gold)
⚡ High Voltage shock zone @ 1230.000 — don’t get fried!
🎯 Secure your loot & escape before the guards catch you at 1220.000.
📌 Thief Notes
This robbery isn’t one shot — it’s layering strategy style: stacking orders at different levels for maximum haul.
Scalpers can ride the quick waves 🌊, Swing traders hold for the vault explosion 💣.
Trail your SL to protect the stolen bags 💼💰.
💖 Support the gang! Smash the Boost Button and let’s keep robbing markets together.
Thieves never sleep… Stay sharp, alarms ON, and hands ready to snatch profits! 🕵️♂️💎🚀
PALLADIUM Sell pressure below its 1W MA200.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up that priced its last Higher High on the week of July 14. Despite this week's very aggressive spike, the trend remains bearish as long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, and this is one more sell opportunity offered.
We expect a similar decline with the previous Bearish Leg that fell all the way to the 0.786 Fibonacci extension. This is translated to a 980.00 Target.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Palladium Market Alert! Strong ATR Resistance Ahead @ 1190🚨 XPD/USD (Palladium) Market Heist Plan: Bullish Swing/DAY Trade Strategy 🚨
Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG's! 👑💎 The charts are signaling a potential heist opportunity. Here's the plan to target a move toward $1190. Remember, this is my plan; you are the master thief of your own capital. Adjust, execute, and escape with your profits on your own terms.
🎯 The Heist Plan (Technical Setup)
Asset: XPDUSD | Palladium vs US Dollar
Direction: BULLISH 🐂
Entry Method: Thief's Layering Strategy 🎰
Use multiple BUY limit orders to layer into the position as price dips.
Suggested Layers: $1150, $1145, $1140, $1135, $1130
(Increase or decrease layers based on your capital & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Escape Hatch): $1120
This is the Thief's OG SL. Adjust your own escape hatch based on your strategy!
Target (Escape Point): $1190 🎯
Why here? Strong ATR resistance + potential overbought zone + the "police barricade" (key resistance). Take your stolen money and run!
⚠️ Crucial Note: This is not financial advice. Your money, your rules. I am not liable for your trades. Manage your own risk.
🔍 Why This Heist? The Intel Report (Fundamental & Sentiment)
Current Price Intel (10 Sept 2025):
💰 Live Price: ~$1,129
📉 Daily Change: -3.46% (Sale is ON!)
Market Sentiment & Psychology:
😊😟 Retail Sentiment: 52% Long | 48% Short
🏦 Institutional Sentiment: 58% Long | 58% Bullish | 42% Short
⚖️ Fear & Greed Index: 50 (Neutral) - No extreme emotions; perfect for a calm, calculated heist.
Fundamental Score (60/100): 🔍
🚗 Strong Automotive Demand: 80% of Palladium use is in catalytic converters.
🌍 Supply Constraints: Ongoing issues from major producers (Russia/South Africa).
⚡️ Counterpoint: Long-term risk from EV adoption reducing demand.
Macro Score (55/100): 🌐
💵 Weak USD: A weaker dollar supports dollar-denominated commodities like Palladium.
⚠️ Risks: Trade tariffs and potential cuts to EV subsidies could impact auto sector demand.
🎯 Overall Outlook: Neutral with a Slight Bullish Bias. The supply-demand dynamics are resilient, creating a potential bounce play from current levels.
👀 Related Assets to Watch ($)
XPTUSD (Platinum) - Sister metal, often correlated.
XAUUSD (Gold) - Safe-haven flow indicator.
USDINDEX (DXY) - Inverse relationship; weaker DXY = stronger commodities.
GM (General Motors), F (Ford) - Auto sector health.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Palladium #XPDUSD #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Commodities #MetalsTrading #Bullish #Investing #TradingSignals #MarketHeist
Palladium Wave Analysis – 2 September 2025- Palladium reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1200.00
Palladium recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1075.00 (low of the previous wave A), 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from April and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 1075.00 started the active short-term wave B.
Palladium can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1200.00, which reversed the price at the start of August.
PALADIUM LONG we can see trend change on 1h.
i expect the market to go up from here.
trade according to strategy you have and trade in this direction.
On daily we can see the consolidation which i belive will play out if we lose prevos HL on daily trend.
On daily we can also see that we are on strong support, e don have daily candels for long direction but i belive we weill se some up movement from here.