Understanding Consolidation & Trading itWhat Consolidation Is
Consolidation is a market phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, showing indecision or balance between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Characterized by low volatility, overlapping candles, and no clear trend direction.
Often occurs after strong moves (as the market pauses) or before breakouts (accumulation/distribution).
Impact on Bulls & Bears
Bulls: View consolidation near highs as accumulation (buyers building positions before a breakout upward).
Bears: View consolidation near lows as distribution (sellers unloading before a breakdown).
Both sides place stop orders outside the range → creating liquidity pools that smart money hunts.
How Traders Can Take Advantage
Range Trading – Buy near support of the range, sell near resistance, until breakout occurs.
Liquidity Strategy – Wait for fakeouts beyond consolidation, then trade in the opposite direction (stop hunt setup).
Consolidation Across Timeframes
Lower Timeframes (1m–15m):
Looks like noise but is often where scalpers range trade.
Breakouts can give small but quick moves.
Mid Timeframes (1H–4H):
Shows clear accumulation/distribution phases.
Useful for intraday & swing traders.
Higher Timeframes (Daily–Weekly):
Represents major market indecision.
Breakouts from these zones often fuel massive trend moves.
✅ Summary:
Consolidation = sideways range = balance of bulls & bears.
Inside range → fade the extremes.
Outside range → trade support & resistance or liquidity sweep.
On different timeframes → the same consolidation can be noise on 5M, but a critical accumulation on the Daily chart.
NAS100 trade ideas
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context
The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher.
Support Zone & Initial Rally
The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels.
Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength
On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries.
Liquidity Grab & Next Move
Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above.
If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
NAS100 Outlook: Recent rise has been steady!Market context on NAS100 remains bullish clearly. The most recent move saw a steady recovery, heading towards the upper boundary of the newly projected channel. And this right here is another great opportunity to get involved.
The market is likely in the early stages of a new impulsive leg to the upside right here.
We could also have short-term consolidation or pullback, then a continuation toward the upper boundary but I believe the latter is more plausible.
My target will be at 25,100.
NASDAQ | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
I’ve opened a short on the NASDAQ based on a clear double top setup that formed yesterday. Several of my key variables aligned, giving this trade a high-probability edge:
Negative RSI divergence → showing weakening buying momentum
Lower volume on the second top → indicating exhaustion
Daily candle closure within threshold → confirming structure validity
📊 Trade Plan:
RR: 9.1
Entry: 23 931
Stop Loss: 23 178
Take Profit 1 (50%): 22 453
Take Profit 2 (50%): 21 969
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading reversal patterns like double tops, I always wait for confirmation across multiple variables (momentum, volume, candle structure). This increases probability and reduces false entries.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you see this double top holding, or is there more upside left in the NASDAQ?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
NAS100 - Divergence Detected 4 TodayDear Friends in Trading,
1) NFP Today - Be safe.
Keynote:
23860 is a liquidity pool.
Overbought Divergence detected up to 2HR TF.
NFP DATA - Anything is possible.
Let me know if anything is unclear?
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Explaining Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levelsThis video is designed to help teach you why I use the Fibonacci Defense levels as components of price action and how I use Fibonacci retracement/extension levels (related to previous market trends).
Remember, the three components of price action are TIME, PRICE, & ENERGY.
If you don't understand how price is structured before attempting to use Fibonacci concepts, it's almost like trying to throw darts blindfolded.
You must break down the previous trends in order to try to understand what is happening with current price trends (expansion/contraction/phases).
Watch this video and I hope it helps all of you understand what the markets are doing and how to use Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levels more efficiently.
All types of technical analysis are validation tools - not guarantees. The only thing we get out of technical analysis is a way to validate or invalidate our expectations. A or B. Nothing else.
Get some.
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NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise...
Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc...
Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy...
By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
US100: Is the Bullish Trend Gaining Momentum?CAPITALCOM:US100 The price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel , with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, buyers have taken control, indicating the potential for continued upward momentum.
Given the strong bullish momentum right now, there's a high likelihood that the price will break through the key resistance zone. If this happens, the price may retest the support level before pushing higher. A successful retest would strengthen the bullish structure, opening up the possibility to reach the target of 25,100 , aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal weakening bullish momentum, leading to a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Always remember to confirm your setups and manage your risk appropriately.
Good luck and trade safely!
US30 & NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it for Monday & Tuesday: 8-9 Sept.
1) Potential Targets for US30
2) Potential Targets for NAS100
Keynote: BE SAFE!
Wednesday to Friday is stacked with High Impact Data.
I personally will be focusing on catching setups for this week before Wednesday.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook.
Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control.
Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards.
Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market:
1. What is the trend?
2. Support and resistance, which is it?
You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart.
The Trend
Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end.
Support & resistance
Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag.
The Put / Call ratio
Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal.
Why 26000?
The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity.
Previous years:
Conclusion
Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation.
A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different.
If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000.
Ww
NAS100 - Potential outcome this week.Dear Friends in Trading,
“I share only my perspective. In this industry, learning never ends, but progress comes when we learn from mistakes without repeating them.” - ANROC
1) Can trend hold?
2) I believe risk appetite is diminished due to unstable geopolitical tensions.
Keynote:
The potential for an IR cut this month is good - Is this good or bad for shares in Equities?
📈 Why a rate cut can be good for stocks:
Cheaper borrowing → Companies can finance expansion, buybacks, or refinance debt at lower costs, boosting profitability.
Encourages spending → Consumers borrow more cheaply (credit cards, mortgages, auto loans), which can lift company revenues.
Asset reallocation → Lower yields on bonds make stocks look more attractive, so investors may shift capital into equities.
Weaker dollar → Helps U.S. exporters because their goods become more competitive abroad.
📉 Why a rate cut can be bad for stocks:
Signal of economic weakness → Often, the Fed cuts rates when growth is slowing or risks are rising (recession fears, financial stress). Stocks may fall if investors focus on the reason for the cut.
Diminished confidence → If markets think the Fed is “behind the curve,” sentiment can worsen.
Sector differences → Financial stocks (banks, insurers) may get hurt because their net interest margins shrink.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US100 Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for US100 is below:
The market is trading on 23633 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 23440
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ If this trend-line holds, it targets 29500.Nasdaq (NDX) has it's long-term bullish trend intact as it has mainly held its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support. If it manages to hold the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) also, then it can extend the uptrend for even longer as the similarities overall with the 2020 fractal are noticeable.
As you can see, the March - April 2025 correction in particular, is very similar with the March 2020 COVID crash. Both sharp declines (-25% and -30% respectively), found Support just before hitting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The 2020 fractal managed to rebound and reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension and even extended the uptrend to the 2.5 Fib, all while the 1W MA20 remained intact (1W candles closed above it).
Even their 1W RSI sequences are identical and even on the price action that preceded the Megaphones. As a result, we remain bullish long-term as long as the 1W MA20 holds, targeting 29500 (Fib 2.0 extension).
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USNASDEQ 100 Futures are Price consolidation High Top US100 futures are higher on Wednesday, extending gains after a cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The data eased inflation concerns, supporting risk sentiment. Oracle (ORCL) shares are surging, up more than 30% in pre-market trading following strong earnings and upbeat guidance.
The index remains bullish in structure. Price is expected to test the support area near 23,200. As long as the index holds above this level, momentum favours a move higher toward 24,200 in the next leg up.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
NAS100 – Liquidity Sweep & Short Setup (1H + 15M Scaling)After an aggressive bullish run, NAS100 swept last week’s high and immediately shifted structure (ChoCH).
This confirms external liquidity has been taken and market sentiment is turning bearish.
🔎 Trade Narrative
1. Liquidity Sweep → Last week’s high taken.
2. ChoCH → Order flow shifted bearish after sweep.
3. POIs in Play:
1H Supply Zone → First entry short (early exposure, confirmation).
15M Refined POI → Sell limit placed (precision scaling inside the 1H zone).
4. Target → Previous Day’s Low (PDL) as the next liquidity pool.
📐 Execution Plan
Entry 1: Short from 1H POI ✅
Entry 2: Sell limit at refined 15M POI ✅
Stop Loss: Above 1H supply sweep candle.
Take Profit: Previous Day’s Low (PDL).
Risk Management: Total risk capped at 1% across both entries.
🧠 Institutional Logic
Scaling entries across HTF + LTF zones provides:
Higher TF confirmation ✅
Lower TF precision ✅
Blended entry for better RR ✅
⚖️ Bias: Bearish
Targeting PDL unless price structure shifts bullish again.
US100 Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 made a sharp
Move up and made a
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance of 23,375
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq 100 Holds Pivot Zone 23,280–23,360USNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 reversed from the 23,045 support highlighted yesterday and is now trading above the pivot zone at 23,280–23,360.
Technical Outlook:
📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price holds above 23,280–23,360, upside momentum may extend toward 23,510 → 23,620 → 23,720. A confirmed breakout above 23,770 would strengthen the bullish trend and open the path to a new ATH near 24,090.
📉 Bearish scenario: On the downside, failure to hold above 23,280 would expose 23,045, with full bearish confirmation only if the index stabilizes below 22,990, targeting 22,720.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 23,510 – 23,620 – 23,720
Support: 23,280 – 23,045 – 22,720
WHY I THINK NASDAQ WOULD CONTINUE ITS BUYS
Big tech is still crushing earnings, AI plays are heating up, and the semis? Still running. Every dip lately is getting bought up fast, and that tells me one thing: smart money is still in the game.
We’ve got a potential rate cut on the horizon, inflation’s cooling off, and the market is pricing in more upside. Structure-wise, we’re seeing higher lows and breakouts across key levels.
Unless something major shakes the market, I’m staying bullish here. Momentum, fundamentals, and sentiment are all lining up. Buyers aren’t done — not even close.