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NASDAQ 100 (US100) Technical Analysis The Nasdaq is moving within a rising channel on the 2H timeframe, after sweeping liquidity from previous lows and rebounding from the FVG 2H demand zone. The likely scenario is a continuation of the bullish move toward 25,960 – 26,000, aligning with the upper trendline and potential resistance area. However, a failure to hold above 25,160 may trigger a corrective pullback toward 24,380 before any renewed bullish momentum. 📊 Fundamental Outlook: The Nasdaq remains supported by stable U.S. bond yields and easing Fed tightening expectations, along with positive earnings from major tech firms. However, slower growth in parts of the tech sector and upcoming inflation data could temporarily limit further upside momentum. 📅 Short-term Bias: Bullish 🎯 Upside Targets: 25,960 – 26,000 📉 Pullback Target: 24,380 ⛔ Invalidation Level: Below 23,990 #US100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
FPMARKETS:US100Long
by ramibakour8
US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated. However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken. If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout. ________________________________________ 🔍 Technical Outlook • The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in. • A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising. • That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs. ________________________________________ 🎯 Personal View The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset. A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up. If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions. ________________________________________ 💬 In summary: The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
SKILLING:US100Short
by ZuperView
US100 | Expansion Phase Alignment The Market Flow | Oct 23, 2025 Technical Overview • Price confirms a breakout above the active countertrend trigger (green). • All observed timeframes are in bullish alignment — wave structure expanding higher. • Immediate resistance lies near 25,175 , where the 100% Fibonacci projection aligns. • Clearing this zone opens continuation toward higher Fibonacci extensions — 25,353 , 25,418 , 25,464 , and 25,583+ . • Structural pivots remain supportive above 24,763 and 24,613.7 (daily pivot zone). Trade Structure & Levels • Bias: Long above 24,613.7 • Trigger = 25,095–25,143 breakout zone • Primary Invalidation = 24,613.7 (daily pivot) • Secondary Invalidation = 24,323.5 (H4 pivot) • Targets → Fibonacci extensions: 25,353 → 25,418 → 25,464 → 25,583 • Phase: Expansion Risk & Event Context • Focus remains on U.S. macro data and yield repricing. • Short-term volatility expected around key data prints; sustained closes above the trigger confirm momentum continuation. Conclusion The US100 shows multi-timeframe bullish alignment, initiating an expansion phase above the countertrend trigger. As long as price holds above the daily pivot at 24,613.7, the structure supports progressive upside toward the Fibonacci expansion cluster. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SKILLING:US100Long
by TheMarketFlow
NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️‍♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style): Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are: 🟢 24,300 🟢 24,400 🟢 24,500 🟢 24,600 (Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.) 🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL): ❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan). 💰 Target Area (Profit Zone): 🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap. ✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓). ⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s: I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way. 🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map: Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ). Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker. Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside. Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar. 📌 Other Related Charts to Watch: SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark. TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves). TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️‍♂️💸 #NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG: This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that): - Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery. DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
1
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈: 🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000) The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000. 🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000. 🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension. 🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption. 🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009) The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market. 🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉. 🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️. 🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)* The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses: ⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012) Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves . 🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength. 📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal. 🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻. 📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies. 🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012) A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows. 🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands. 📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break. 💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021) This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves. 🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal. 💡 Fundamentals: Rise of cloud computing Mobile-first economy AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history 🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3. 🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈. 🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022) A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity. 🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones. 📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral. 🌍 Macro Headwinds: Interest rate hikes Inflation fears Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis) 🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding* This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress): 🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅ Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior. 🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion. 🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅ Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation. 🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026) This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2). 📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks. 🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up. 💡 Fundamentals: AI hypergrowth US tech dominance AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐 🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027) A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle. 📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3. 🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally. 🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase. 🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029) The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2. 🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off 📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up 📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks 🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms. 🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029) Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold. 🧠 Expect: Systemic debt pressure Currency shifts Economic reset themes Potential Fed policy overcorrection Liquidity crunch 🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K. 📚 Final Thoughts Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈. ✅ Wave Count Aligned ✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected ✅ SMC Structure Intact ✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync 📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊. "Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
USTEC rebounds on trade optimism. Potential for further gains?USTEC rose as confirmation of the Trump–Xi meeting lifted sentiment and offset mixed corporate earnings. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded despite uneven results, while IBM (IBM) slipped on softer software revenue. However, the company's broader performance remained resilient, with strong demand in AI and automation services driving solid growth in its infrastructure and hybrid cloud segments. Investors remain cautious ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with sentiment hinging on upcoming policy signals and trade developments. From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded from the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. A break above the 25200 resistance may prompt further upside toward the channel's upper bound and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel and a close below 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by lixing_gan
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish. On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area. From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside. 📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by awaisulabdeen