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US30 trade ideas

US30: Will History Repeat Itself?US30: Will History Repeat Itself? On the left side of the chart, we can see that after breaking below the second pattern, US30 experienced a sharp bearish move. Now, a similar pattern is forming, and the index has just printed another historical high. If price breaks below the current structure—just as it did previously—there’s a strong possibility of another aggressive drop. A breakdown could trigger a repeat of the past sell-off, especially if momentum shifts to bearish and if Powell makes interesting comments at the Jackson Hole Symposium. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by KlejdiCuni
8
DowJones uptrend supported at 45050Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45766 Resistance Level 2: 45920 Resistance Level 3: 46080 Support Level 1: 45050 Support Level 2: 44900 Support Level 3: 44733 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Dow Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45766 Resistance Level 2: 45920 Resistance Level 3: 45080 Support Level 1: 44900 Support Level 2: 44733 Support Level 3: 44566 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 - Giant Break OutDear Friends in Trading, Keynote: As long as price remains above 45000, potential for more Bullish continuation remains high. Especially after yesterday's sentiment for September. Quality: It's a giant break-out candle. This candle has the potential to serve as all 4 functions going forward. I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight Thank you for taking the time study my analysis. PS: I really apologies for changing the format again. I am aiming to find the golden thread between my eyes for work, and simplified clarity for ideas. I will settle on a standard template soon.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by ANROC
2
Breaking: Dow Jones's Overbought RSI Signals Correction Risk Current Price: $45631.74 Direction: SHORT Targets: - T1 = $45150.00 - T2 = $44500.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $46000.00 - S2 = $46350.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of seasoned traders and market experts who closely monitor the Dow Jones. Leveraging collective intelligence, this approach identifies exaggerated momentum trends and potential reversal points. Many professionals agree that while the Dow Jones has gained significant ground, conditions such as overbought RSI and failing momentum indicators suggest a high-probability corrective phase. **Key Insights:** The Dow Jones has surged in value over the past weeks amid increased optimism regarding economic resilience and robust earnings reports from major corporates. However, key technical indicators are flashing warning signs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows extreme overbought conditions above 70, historically a precursor to price stagnation or correction. Volume analysis also reveals weakness in buying pressure, further supported by bearish divergence across key oscillators. The macroeconomic landscape remains a potential catalyst for volatility, with central banks globally hinting at further tightening amid stubborn inflation. Traders are advised to remain cautious as equity indices like the Dow Jones frequently react sharply to rate hikes or hawkish policy outlooks. **Recent Performance:** The Dow Jones has rallied more than 8% in the past month, driven by improving sentiment around corporate profitability and relief over lighter-than-expected economic data. However, upward momentum appears to be stalling at key resistance levels, as price activity creates narrowing candles, indicative of indecision. Furthermore, recent sessions have seen increased intraday failures to hold higher price levels, signaling weakening upside conviction. **Expert Analysis:** Prominent financial analysts are flagging concerns about the Dow's sustainability in this high-price zone. Market technicians observe multiple bearish technical patterns forming, including divergence on the MACD and a thinning Bollinger Band width indicating lower volatility ahead. These signals, combined with declining buyer enthusiasm, make the current trading environment ripe for a potential pullback. On the fundamental side, persistently elevated interest rates and looming recessionary fears may continue to weigh on valuation multiples. **News Impact:** Recent news surrounding geopolitical instability and renewed supply chain disruptions may add pressure on sentiment, fueling a risk-off environment. Additionally, upcoming earnings reports could spark further volatility as the market adjusts to existing macroeconomic headwinds. While some major companies have outperformed expectations, overall guidance leans cautious, emphasizing the need for traders to tread carefully. **Trading Recommendation:** Given the overextended technicals and diminishing buying momentum, taking a SHORT position on the Dow Jones presents a sensible choice. Price action and technical indicators suggest a correction phase is plausible, offering opportunities to capitalize on expected downside movements. Setting tight stop-losses around $46350 ensures protection in case the index defies odds and breaches resistance levels further. Maintain vigilance against macroeconomic updates that could cause abrupt sentiment changes. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
DJ:DJIShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
US30 Correction in Play — Will 45,285 Hold?US30 – Overview After Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks boosted rate-cut expectations (now nearly 90% probability for September), indices remain in focus with volatility high. 🔹 Technical Outlook The Dow is currently in a bearish correction toward 45,410. If the price stabilizes below 45,410, the correction could extend toward 45,285. Failure to break 45,285 would likely trigger a rebound, pushing the price back toward 45,690 and 45,860. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 45,410 – 45,285 – 45,100 Resistance: 45,690 – 45,860 ✅ Summary: The Dow is consolidating within a correction phase. The bias remains broadly bullish in line with Fed expectations, but a deeper dip to 45,285 is possible before another upward attempt. A breakout above 45,690 would confirm fresh bullish momentum.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Dow Jones Bulls Preparing Another Robbery — Are You In?🚨💰 US30/DJ30 Index CFD Market Heist Plan 🏦🎭 🕵️ Dear Thief OG’s, Ladies & Gentlemen of the robbery squad… the vault is wide open again! This time we’re sneaking into the Dow Jones (US30) for a Bullish Day/Swing Heist. 🔥 🎯 Robbery Blueprint Asset: US30/DJ30 Index CFD (Day/Swing Trade) Plan: Bullish 📈 Entry (Thief Style): The thief never knocks once… we layer the doors! Multiple buy limit orders 🔐: Layer 1 → 45,600.0 Layer 2 → 45,400.0 Layer 3 → 45,200.0 (You can expand the layers depending on your risk appetite 🕳️) Stop Loss (SL) 🛑: 📍 Thief SL @ 44,600.0 (Adjust based on your own risk & startergy – remember, survival is key in every robbery 🏃💨) Target (TP) 🎯: 🚓 Police barricade spotted @47,000.0! Our sweet escape is planned at 46,800.0 before sirens catch us. 💰 🏆 Thief Strategy Multiple limit order entries (layering method / scaling in). Enter at any price level if you’re fast, but layering is the OG Thief move. Manage your SL & risk like a pro robber – no reckless moves, or you’ll end up behind market bars! 🚔 💡 Why This Heist? 💡 The US30/DJ30 is primed for a bullish run 📈, driven by real-time market signals: Technical Analysis: Strong support levels holding firm, momentum indicators screaming bullish! 📊 Fundamental Outlook: Check global market data, COT reports, and sentiment analysis for confirmation. 🔗👉 Volatility Watch: Stay sharp for news releases that could spike volatility. 📰⚠️ ⚠️ Thief’s Risk Management ⚠️ News Alert: Avoid new trades during major news drops to dodge wild price swings. 🚫 Position Management: Use trailing stops to lock in those sweet profits. 🔐 Risk Control: Adjust lot sizes and SL based on your layered entries and risk profile. 📉 🏆 Join the Heist! 🏆 💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to power up our Thief Trader crew! 🚀 Let’s make bank with ease using the Thief Trading Style! 💸😎 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, and let’s keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱‍👤
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by The-Thief
US30 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy# US30 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy **Current Position**: 45,657.5 (Aug 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) * 🎯 Executive Summary US30 positioned above critical 45,000 resistance turned support, showing bullish momentum with multiple theory convergence suggesting continuation toward 46,200-46,800 zone, with 70% upside probability. --- # 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS *INTRADAY ANALYSIS (5M - 4H)** *5-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Candlestick Patterns *Current Formation**: Bullish flag consolidation after breakout *Key Patterns**: *Hammer/Doji near 45,600**: Bullish continuation signal *Shooting Star above 45,750**: Take profit/reversal warning *Volume Confirmation**: Required above 150% average for sustainability *# Technical Indicators *RSI(14)**: 58-62 (Bullish momentum zone) *VWAP**: 45,635 ± 25 (Dynamic support/resistance) *Bollinger Bands**: Upper band test at 45,720, expansion phase active *EMA(20)**: 45,610 (immediate dynamic support) *# Entry/Exit Signals *Long Entry**: Break above 45,680 with volume *Stop Loss**: Below 45,580 (100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,780 (R:R 1:1) *Target 2**: 45,850 (R:R 1:1.7) *15-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Harmonic Patterns *Active Pattern**: Bullish ABCD completion at 45,200-45,250 *Butterfly Extension**: Target projection 46,200-46,400 *Fibonacci Confluence**: - 61.8% extension at 46,180 - 78.6% extension at 46,450 *# Wyckoff Analysis *Phase**: Markup phase after successful reaccumulation *Character of Movement**: Strong hands accumulating *Volume**: Increasing on advances (bullish confirmation) *Next Expected**: Continued markup to distribution zone *# Entry Strategy (15M) *Pullback Entry**: 45,580-45,620 support zone *Stop Loss**: Below 45,520 (60-100 point risk) *Target**: 45,820-45,900 *Risk/Reward**: 1:2.5 *30-Minute Timeframe Analysis** *# Elliott Wave Count *Primary Count**: Wave 5 of (3) in progress - Wave 1: 44,500 → 45,200 - Wave 2: 45,200 → 44,900 - Wave 3: 44,900 → 45,650 (current) - Wave 4 Expected: 45,400-45,500 - Wave 5 Target: 46,200-46,500 *# Alternative Count *Wave (3) Extension**: Current move as wave 3 of 5 *Target**: 46,800-47,200 *Invalidation**: Below 45,200 *# W.D. Gann Analysis *Square of 9**: - 45,600 = 214² ÷ 10 (current support) - 46,000 = 215² ÷ 10 (next major resistance) - 46,400 = 216² ÷ 10 (extended target) *Time Theory**: Next major turn window Aug 27-29 *Angle Theory**: 1x1 Gann line at 45,200 (major support) *1-Hour Timeframe Analysis** *# Ichimoku Kinko Hyo *Tenkan-sen (9)**: 45,640 (current support) *Kijun-sen (26)**: 45,480 (strong support) *Kumo Cloud**: 45,200-45,400 (support zone) *Chikou Span**: Clearly above price (bullish) *Future Cloud**: Bullish twist confirmed for next 26 periods *# Moving Averages Matrix *SMA(20)**: 45,520 *EMA(20)**: 45,580 *SMA(50)**: 45,320 *EMA(50)**: 45,410 *SMA(200)**: 44,800 *Golden Cross Status**: All short-term MAs above long-term (bullish) *# 1H Trading Setup *Bull Flag Pattern**: Breakout above 45,700 *Entry**: 45,720 with volume confirmation *Stop**: 45,550 (170 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,950 (R:R 1:1.35) *Target 2**: 46,200 (R:R 1:2.8) *4-Hour Timeframe Analysis** *# Advanced Pattern Recognition *Cup & Handle**: Handle formation in progress *Ascending Triangle**: Base at 45,000, apex at 45,750 *Volume Profile**: Point of Control at 45,400 *Key Levels**: *Major Support**: 45,000-45,200 *Minor Support**: 45,400-45,500 *Minor Resistance**: 45,750-45,800 *Major Resistance**: 46,000-46,200 *# 4H Swing Strategy *Pattern**: Bullish continuation after consolidation *Entry Zone**: 45,500-45,600 on pullbacks *Stop Loss**: Below 45,200 (300-400 point risk) *Target 1**: 46,200 (R:R 1:1.5) *Target 2**: 46,800 (R:R 1:3) *Target 3**: 47,200 (R:R 1:4) --- # 📈 SWING ANALYSIS (4H - Monthly) *Daily Timeframe** * Elliott Wave Structure *Supercycle**: Wave (V) from 2020 lows in progress *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (V) extension phase *Primary**: Wave (3) of 3 targeting 47,000-48,000 *Intermediate**: Currently in wave 5 of (3) * Long-term Wave Count *Wave (1)**: 18,591 → 29,568 (COVID recovery) *Wave (2)**: 29,568 → 24,681 (correction) *Wave (3)**: 24,681 → current (in progress) - Target: 50,000-52,000 (1.618 extension) * Wyckoff Daily Analysis *Phase**: Markup phase continuation *Accumulation**: Completed between 40,000-42,000 *Character**: Professional money leading *Distribution Signs**: None yet, markup continuing * Gann Daily Forecasting *Master Time Cycle**: 180-day cycle bullish through Q4 2025 *Price Squares**: - 46,225 = 215² (immediate target) - 47,524 = 218² (major target) - 48,841 = 221² (extended target) *Seasonal**: September-October historically strong for Dow *Weekly Timeframe** * Major Elliott Wave Structure *Grand Supercycle**: Wave (III) from 1932 lows *Supercycle**: Wave (V) of III in final stages *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (V) - strongest part of bull market * Weekly Harmonic Analysis *Shark Pattern**: Completion target 47,500-48,000 *Crab Pattern**: Deep retracement only if below 42,000 *ABCD Extensions**: 1.272 at 46,800, 1.618 at 48,200 * Weekly Gann Analysis *Annual Cycle**: Bullish through early 2026 *Master Numbers**: - 47,000 (major psychological and Gann level) - 48,000 (strong resistance zone) - 50,000 (major long-term target) *Monthly Timeframe** * Macro Structure Analysis *Primary Degree**: Wave (5) of V nearing completion *Long-term Target**: 52,000-55,000 (final wave target) *Timeline**: Peak expected 2026-2027 *Post-Peak Correction**: Potentially 30-40% decline * Monthly Indicators *RSI**: 65 (bullish but watch for divergence) *MACD**: Strong bullish momentum *Volume**: Confirming uptrend *Seasonal Pattern**: Q4 typically strong for Dow Jones --- # 📋 CRITICAL LEVELS & TARGETS *Immediate Levels (24-48 Hours)** * Resistance Zones *R1**: 45,750-45,800 (immediate) *R2**: 45,900-45,950 (minor) *R3**: 46,050-46,100 (significant) *R4**: 46,200-46,300 (major) * Support Zones *S1**: 45,550-45,600 (immediate) *S2**: 45,400-45,450 (minor) *S3**: 45,200-45,300 (significant) *S4**: 45,000-45,100 (major/psychological) *Short-term Targets (1-2 Weeks)** * Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) *Target 1**: 46,200-46,400 *Target 2**: 46,800-47,000 *Target 3**: 47,500-47,800 * Bearish Scenario (30% Probability) *Target 1**: 44,800-45,000 *Target 2**: 44,200-44,500 *Target 3**: 43,500-43,800 *Medium-term Projections (1-3 Months)** * Primary Uptrend Scenario *Phase 1**: 46,500-47,000 (September) *Phase 2**: 47,500-48,000 (October) *Phase 3**: 48,500-50,000 (November-December) * Correction Scenario *Pullback Target**: 42,000-43,500 *Duration**: 4-8 weeks *Recovery**: Q1 2026 new highs --- # 📅 DETAILED DAILY TRADING STRATEGIES *MONDAY, AUGUST 26, 2025** * Pre-Market Analysis *Gap Assessment**: Expected gap up 50-100 points *Key Level**: Hold above 45,600 for continuation *Volume Requirement**: >120% average for gap sustainability *Morning Session (9:30 AM - 12:00 PM EST)** *# Setup 1: Gap & Go Strategy *Condition**: Gap up >45,700 with volume *Entry**: First pullback to 45,650-45,680 *Stop Loss**: 45,580 (70-100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,850 (R:R 1:1.7) *Target 2**: 45,950 (R:R 1:2.7) *# Setup 2: Breakout Play *Entry**: Break above 45,780 with volume >150% avg *Stop Loss**: 45,680 (100 point risk) *Target 1**: 45,920 (R:R 1:1.4) *Target 2**: 46,080 (R:R 1:3) *Afternoon Session (12:00 PM - 4:00 PM EST)** *# Setup 3: Flag Pattern Continuation *Setup**: Pullback to 45,620-45,650 support *Entry**: Bounce with volume confirmation *Stop**: 45,550 (70-100 point risk) *Target**: 45,850-45,920 * Risk Management - Monday *Max Position Size**: 2% account risk *Max Daily Loss**: 3% of account *News Watch**: Economic data releases, Fed officials --- *TUESDAY, AUGUST 27, 2025** * Market Context *Gann Time Window**: Major turn date potential *Technical Focus**: Momentum continuation vs. profit-taking *Volume Expected**: Above average *Trading Sessions** *# Setup 1: Trend Continuation *Bullish Follow-through**: If Monday closes >45,750 - Entry: Pullback to 45,700-45,730 - Stop: 45,620 (80-110 point risk) - Target 1: 45,920 (R:R 1:2) - Target 2: 46,150 (R:R 1:4) *# Setup 2: Reversal Recognition *Bearish Reversal**: If rejection from 46,000 area - Entry: Break below 45,650 - Stop: 45,750 (100 point risk) - Target 1: 45,450 (R:R 1:2) - Target 2: 45,250 (R:R 1:4) *# Setup 3: Range Trading *Consolidation Range**: 45,600-45,850 *Buy Zone**: 45,600-45,630 *Sell Zone**: 45,820-45,850 *Stops**: 50 points outside range --- *WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, 2025** * Market Dynamics *Mid-week Character**: Often consolidation day *Pattern Development**: Triangle/flag completion expected *Federal Reserve**: Watch for policy communications *Strategy Focus** *# Setup 1: Breakout Preparation *Consolidation Pattern**: Symmetrical triangle *Breakout Level**: Above 45,880 or below 45,550 *Volume Requirement**: >200% average for valid break *Target Distance**: Equal to triangle height (~300 points) *# Setup 2: Scalping Strategy *Timeframe**: 5-15 minutes *Range**: 45,650-45,750 *Entry Signals**: RSI oversold/overbought extremes *Targets**: 25-50 point moves *Stops**: Tight 20-30 points * Risk Parameters - Wednesday *Reduced Position Size**: Anticipating lower volatility *Tighter Stops**: Market likely range-bound *Multiple Small Trades**: Rather than swing positions --- *THURSDAY, AUGUST 29, 2025** * Technical Setup *Elliott Wave**: Potential wave completion *Harmonic Patterns**: Butterfly/Gartley completion zones *Volume Pattern**: Building for Friday breakout *Primary Strategies** *# Setup 1: Pre-Breakout Positioning *Accumulation Zone**: 45,600-45,700 *Distribution Zone**: 45,900-46,000 *Position Size**: Larger for Friday breakout *# Setup 2: Pattern Completion *Harmonic Entry**: 45,580-45,620 (Butterfly D point) *Stop Loss**: Below 45,500 *Targets**: 45,900, 46,200, 46,500 *High probability setup**: Multiple confirmations --- *FRIDAY, AUGUST 30, 2025** * Weekly Close Significance *Monthly Close**: Critical for long-term charts *Options Expiration**: Increased volume and volatility *Position Squaring**: Professional money adjusting *End-of-Week Strategies** *# Setup 1: Weekly Breakout *Above 45,900**: Bullish for next week - Target: 46,200-46,500 - Stop: 45,650 - Hold over weekend if strong close *# Setup 2: Weekly Reversal *Below 45,500**: Bearish warning - Target: 45,200-45,000 - Stop: 45,650 - Consider closing before weekend *# Setup 3: Month-End Positioning *Strong Close >45,800**: Monthly bullish signal *Weak Close <45,600**: Caution for September *Volume Analysis**: Key for validation --- # ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT *Position Sizing Framework** * Account Risk Models *Conservative**: 1% risk per trade *Moderate**: 2% risk per trade *Aggressive**: 3% risk per trade (maximum) * Dynamic Sizing Formula ``` Position Size = (Account Equity × Risk %) ÷ Stop Distance ``` * Volatility Adjustment *High Volatility Days**: Reduce position size by 25-50% *Low Volatility Days**: Standard position size *News Event Days**: Reduce or avoid new positions *Stop Loss Methodology** * Technical Stops *5M Chart**: Recent swing high/low + 20 points *15M Chart**: Support/resistance + 30 points *1H Chart**: Key levels + 50 points *4H Chart**: Major levels + 100 points * Time-Based Stops *Scalping**: Maximum 1-2 hours in trade *Day Trading**: Close all positions by 3:45 PM EST *Swing Trading**: Re-evaluate every 48 hours *Profit Taking Strategy** * Scaling Out Method *25% at Target 1**: Lock in profits early *50% at Target 2**: Secure majority of gains *25% at Target 3**: Let winners run * Trailing Stops *Initial**: 50% of original stop distance *Progressive**: Tighten as profits increase *Final**: Break-even + spread when possible --- # 📊 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE FRAMEWORK *Success Metrics** * Primary KPIs *Win Rate**: Target >60% *Risk/Reward Ratio**: Minimum 1:2 average *Maximum Drawdown**: Limit to 8% weekly *Profit Factor**: Target >1.5 *Sharpe Ratio**: Measure risk-adjusted returns * Trade Quality Assessment *A-Grade Trades**: All confirmations present (>80% win rate) *B-Grade Trades**: Most confirmations (60-70% win rate) *C-Grade Trades**: Few confirmations (40-50% win rate) *Avoid D-Grade**: Insufficient setup quality *Weekly Review Protocol** * Analysis Questions 1. **Setup Quality**: Were entry criteria consistently met? 2. **Risk Management**: Were stops appropriate for volatility? 3. **Market Context**: How did fundamental factors impact technicals? 4. **Execution**: Were entries and exits well-timed? 5. **Emotional State**: Did psychology affect trading decisions? * Continuous Improvement *Pattern Recognition**: Which setups worked best? *Market Conditions**: Optimal volatility ranges for strategies *Time of Day**: Most profitable trading hours *News Impact**: How events affected technical levels --- # 🚨 CRITICAL ALERTS & DECISION POINTS *Immediate Alerts (Next 24-48 Hours)** * Bullish Catalysts *Break above 45,800**: Accelerated move to 46,200 *Volume spike >200%**: Confirms breakout validity *Gap up >100 points**: Strong institutional interest * Bearish Warnings *Break below 45,400**: Correction deepening *Volume spike on decline**: Distribution signals *Multiple rejections at 46,000**: Resistance holding *Weekly Watchpoints** * Technical Invalidations *Elliott Wave**: Below 45,200 invalidates bullish count *Harmonic Patterns**: Failure at 45,580 negates butterfly *Wyckoff**: Below 45,000 suggests distribution * Confirmation Signals *Volume Surge**: Above average on advances *Breadth**: Individual Dow components participating *Sector Rotation**: Industrial strength supporting index *Monthly Considerations** * September Seasonality *Historical Tendency**: Weakest month for equities *Strategy Adjustment**: More conservative positioning *Hedging**: Consider protective puts if extended * Federal Reserve Impact *Policy Meetings**: September 17-18 FOMC *Economic Data**: Employment, inflation reports *Market Sensitivity**: Tech sector influence on Dow --- # 🎯 SCENARIO PLANNING *Base Case Scenario (70% Probability)** * Bullish Continuation *Next Week**: 46,200-46,500 target range *September**: Consolidation 45,500-47,000 *Q4 2025**: New highs 47,500-50,000 *Catalysts**: Strong earnings, Fed dovishness *Alternative Scenarios** * Correction Scenario (25% Probability) *Trigger**: Break below 45,000 with volume *Target**: 43,500-44,500 (Fibonacci support) *Duration**: 4-8 weeks *Recovery**: Q1 2026 resumption * Extended Rally (5% Probability) *Trigger**: Break above 47,000 with strong volume *Target**: 50,000-52,000 (Elliott Wave target) *Timeline**: Q4 2025 - Q1 2026 *Risk**: Overextension, sharp correction follows --- **⚡ EXECUTION SUMMARY**: US30 at 45,657.5 is positioned for continued upside with multiple technical confirmations. Key resistance at 45,800-46,000 must be cleared with volume for next leg higher. Strict risk management essential given elevated levels and potential for increased volatility. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
Dow Jones: Will It Finally Break All-Time Highs?While SPX 500 and Nasdaq have already smashed their all-time highs, Dow Jones is still grinding toward its breakout. In this analysis, I’ll break down the current consolidation phase, key Fibonacci levels, and precise long triggers to watch. We’ll zoom into daily and lower time frames to find actionable entries, manage risk, and avoid FOMO. Clear, skeptical, and to the point. 🔮 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by SkepticLab
3