DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – Elliott Wave & Wedge Pattern Analysis | The US Dollar Index (2H timeframe) is currently developing a corrective wedge structure (A–B–C–D–E) following a completed 5-wave bearish impulse. The current price action suggests a potential bullish correction from the E-point.
🔹 Technical Structure Breakdown:
The previous bearish leg completed a Wave (5), marking the end of an impulse cycle.
Price is now consolidating within a rising wedge pattern, forming the A–B–C–D–E structure.
The E-point is acting as a near-term support, aligning with the ascending wedge base.
Retracement targets:
50.0% → short-term correction level
78.6% → ideal reversal zone before continuation
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 97.600 – 97.500
Resistance Zone: 97.900 – 98.100
Fib Targets: 50% and 78.6% retracement of the recent swing
⚡ Analyst View:
The E-point bounce could lead to a short-term bullish corrective move toward the 50–78.6% Fibonacci levels before resuming the next bearish leg as part of a broader downtrend.
Traders should monitor reaction at the wedge top for possible rejection and reversal confirmation.
🧠 Pattern: Rising Wedge inside corrective phase
🕓 Timeframe: 2H
💰 Instrument: US Dollar Index (DXY)
🎯 Bias: Short-term bullish correction → medium-term bearish continuation
Trade ideas
DXY Rejects IFVG & FVG2 – Bearish Liquidity Grab Ahead?📉 DXY – Fair Value Gap Rejection & Southside Liquidity in Play
Price action on DXY is showing clean rejections off both the IFVG and FVG 2, with buyers failing to hold above these supply zones. This rejection adds weight to the bearish bias as we continue to respect imbalances overhead.
🔑 Key points:
• FVG 1 likely to flip into an Inverted FVG (IFVG) → potential supply zone.
• Rejection off IFVG / FVG 2 confirms weak bullish momentum.
• Southside liquidity (SSL) is exposed beneath the recent swing lows.
• Prior FVG around 97.200 has already been tested and remains a key liquidity magnet.
📌 Scenarios to watch:
• A daily close below 97.600 strengthens bearish continuation.
• Southside liquidity sweeps expected with targets at and below 97.200.
• Invalidation: reclaim of 97.800 could fuel another leg higher toward 98.271 (upper liquidity/target).
💡 Bias: Bearish unless DXY reclaims 97.800. Watching for liquidity grabs and continuation lower into 97.200 and below.
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⚠️ This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
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#DXY #USD #FairValueGap #Liquidity #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex #DollarIndex #PriceAction #ICT
DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY, or U.S. Dollar Index, measures the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major currencies. It reflects how the dollar is performing against these international peers and serves as a key indicator of the dollar’s global value.
Key Points about DXY:
It tracks the U.S. dollar against the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
The euro has the largest weighting in the index (~57.6%), making it the biggest influence on the DXY.
Movements in the DXY indicate whether the dollar is strengthening or weakening overall.
A rising DXY means the dollar is gaining value against this currency basket; a falling DXY means it is losing value.
The index impacts global trade, commodity prices (like gold and oil), and international investment flows.
Practical Use:
The DXY is widely followed by forex traders, economists, and policymakers to gauge dollar strength.
It helps assess the U.S. dollar's impact on global markets and forecast currency market trends.
#DXY #DOLLAR #US10Y
DXY – 2H Chart SetupThe Dollar Index is showing signs of strength after bouncing from the 97.20–97.30 demand zone and reclaiming short-term structure. Price is currently consolidating around 97.55, and holding above this support keeps the outlook bullish.
📈 Bullish Bias:
Above 97.50 support, price is likely to push higher.
Next upside targets are 97.80, then 98.20 – 98.40 key resistance zone.
Retests of the 97.50–97.40 area could provide buy opportunities before the next leg up.
What data releases are at risk from the shutdown? The US dollar came under renewed pressure this week as the federal government entered its first shutdown in nearly seven years.
The shutdown, expected to last at least three days, means traders should not expect the September nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report this week. This key release, often one of the most closely watched on the calendar (by traders and the Federal Reserve), will now be delayed until government operations resume.
Other reports likely to be delayed or canceled include:
Wednesday, 8 October: FOMC Minutes
Wednesday, 15 October: Core and headline CPI inflation
Thursday, 16 October: Producer Price Index (PPI)
Thursday, 16 October: Retail sales
Friday, 17 October: Housing starts
EUR USD and DOLLAR UPDATE
The Dollar Index (DXY) is grinding through a daily order block and has just pierced 97.882.
Technical
If we close above 97.882, that confirms a break and opens continuation toward higher liquidity zones. With tomorrow’s heavy macro news, the setup has volume behind it for a potential massive move.
Macros
U.S. government shutdown is weighing on confidence and trimming growth forecasts (each week may shave 0.1–0.2pp off GDP).
The Fed remains cornered — markets price in rate cuts, but policy credibility is under scrutiny.
Safe-haven flows are mixed: gold at records, dollar stabilizing after Supreme Court support for Fed’s Cook.
Data releases are being delayed by the shutdown, which adds uncertainty and volatility.
EURUSD
We’re short and holding.
4-month rangebound structure remains
Be aware
Dollar strength is being fueled by technical break + macro volume. EURUSD is vulnerable if DXY confirms above 97.882.
But with policy risk and shutdown uncertainty, expect volatility spikes and liquidity hunts around tomorrow’s big data.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) OutlookThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a major corrective structure after topping out in 2022. On the monthly chart, price action suggests we are in the final stages of a Wave II correction, with a potential bottom forming around key Fibonacci retracement levels.
The correction appears to be forming a WXY/ABC structure, with wave c in progress.
Price is currently within the 0.618 – 0.786 retracement zone of the prior impulse.
The long term ascending channel from 2008 lows remains intact, with support aligning around this Fib cluster.
A bullish reaction from this zone could trigger the beginning of Wave III, which historically is strong and impulsive.
Invalidation: Sustained break below 87.00 would weaken the bullish count
Targets:
1 = 132.91
2 = 141.88
If this count holds, DXY could be setting up for a multi-year bullish cycle, suggesting that the dollar may regain strength in the coming years, impacting major USD pairs across the board.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
DXY: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 97.331 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 97.393 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USD Breakdown in the making?Price has been consolidating within Fibs golden ratio while creating a typically bearish descending triangle, applying Elliot Theory (still learning btw) I find this pattern interesting at the bottom of a HTF bullish channel. With current monetary policy (as I understand it) Trump is intentionally weaking the Dollar to favor USA manufacturing. If this trend continues I believe it´s possible DXY reaches 91.00 levels and potentially keep boosting risk assets and/or gold.
50 DMA supports bearish momentum, Is the Dollar about to break down?
My USD analysis 1st of October 2025I made a very long sophisticated USD post but it was taken down (thanks tradingview <3) where I called long on USD. My reason was just pure technical and how it was at a support range. I think there is still more upside despite the drama that's happening around the USD. I would wait for a retest at the support then make an attempt to go long. This might potentially be a formation of a double bottom. Gold and Silver skyrocketing, but I believe there is so much potential for USD.
US DOLLAR LIQUIDITY GAMES🇺🇸 US Dollar Range Politics – Liquidity Before Clarity
The dollar isn’t trending — it’s negotiating.
📊 Current Setup
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): 98.322 → testing the value area high
Range Floor: 96.747 → the value area low
Structure: Bearish range, with liquidity being hunted before any true direction emerges.
🏛️ Macro Backdrop
Tariffs are reshaping global flows.
Fiscal gridlock + shutdown risk clouds investor confidence.
Inflation + Fed policy signals remain mixed.
Every headline feels like an amendment to a bill no one fully understands.
The result: the dollar drifts sideways in a liquidity-seeking phase. Traders should expect chop inside the box until a decisive catalyst (data, Fed action, or policy shift) provides clarity.
🌍 Cross Pair Impact
This stalemate spills into the majors:
EURUSD & GBPUSD → reflecting the same sideways ranges and fake-outs.
USDJPY → volatility compressed, waiting for dollar direction.
Crosses are trading in sympathy — liquidity hunts on both ends, with no clean trend until DXY escapes its range.
🧭 Takeaway: The dollar is boxed in by politics and policy. Patience rules here: trade the range, wait for the breakout.
Dollar Index Elliott Wave Analysis | next move ABCIn this , we break down the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) using Elliott Wave Theory. 📊
✅ 5-wave impulsive structure (1–5) has completed
✅ Market entering corrective phase (ABC)
✅ Key support: 97.40 – 97.20
✅ Resistance zone: 98.00
✅ Short-term bias: Possible corrective upside before continuation
This analysis is crucial for EUR/USD traders, as Dollar Index movement directly impacts Euro strength. Watch till the end to understand the upcoming correction and trading opportunities. 🚀
#ElliottWave #DollarIndex #ForexAnalysis #DXY #EURUSD
US Dollar Index: Bullish! Buy The Dip!Expecting price to retrace into the +FVGs below. Look on the 1H for a CISD when price comes into contact with either of the two poi's. Once a directional change is confirmed, buy it.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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