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DXY Update📉 Outlook: USD remains under pressure as weak August NFP (22K jobs vs. 75K expected) reinforces bets on a Fed rate cut in mid-September. 📊 Key Levels: Support: 97.90 → 97.50 → 97.00 Resistance: 98.35 → 98.80 → 99.20 🎯 Scenarios: Bearish: Break below 97.90 → 97.50–97.00 Bullish: Recovery above 98.35 → 98.80–99.20 ⏱ Next Catalyst: US CPI (Sept 11) – a hotter print could trigger a USD rebound; soft data may extend the decline. Summary: DXY in medium-term downtrend. Short-term price trapped near critical support. Watch CPI for the next directional move.
TVC:DXYShort
by Nasim-Etemadi
EDUCATION -HOW TO TRADE NFP 🔎 Current Chart Context (Sept 1–4) Price rallied strongly from 97.60 → 98.60 on Sept 1 (likely institutional accumulation). Since then, we’ve been in a range/consolidation: Support zone: 97.90 – 98.00 Resistance zone: 98.55 – 98.65 Liquidity pools: Buy-side liquidity above 98.65 (equal highs). Sell-side liquidity below 97.90 (equal lows). This is a perfect pre-NFP “box” setup. --- 📌 Likely NFP Scenarios (Sept 5) Based on technical footprints: 1. Liquidity Sweep to the Upside → Reversal Down (High Probability) Price spikes above 98.65 resistance on the NFP release. Retail traders chase the breakout. Institutions sell into that liquidity. Reversal targets 98.00 / 97.90 support (maybe deeper toward 97.70). This would match the typical “NFP fake breakout” play. --- 2. Liquidity Sweep to the Downside → Reversal Up (Alternative) Price sweeps below 97.90 support first. Sharp rejection back inside the box. Real move then pushes back above 98.40–98.60. This scenario requires a strong rejection wick — otherwise, a clean break of 97.90 means sellers fully take control. --- 🔑 Technical Clue Institutions already built longs from 97.60. They might use NFP to take profit by running price above 98.65, then selling off. If the spike and reversal play happens → expect USD weakness after the news. --- 🎯 Trading Playbook for Tomorrow 1. Mark the range box: 97.90 (support) – 98.65 (resistance). 2. Wait for the first spike on NFP (don’t chase it). 3. If it sweeps liquidity (either side) and rejects sharply → trade the opposite direction. 4. Targets: opposite side of the box (98.65 → 97.90, or 97.90 → 98.65). --- ✅ In short: Technically, todays NFP will likely grab stops above 98.65 first, then reverse lower toward 98.00/97.90. But always wait for confirmation — the first spike is usually the trap.
TVC:DXYShort
by enwemadufranklyn1989
Non-Farm Employment ChangeHonestly, today it’s hard to make any solid analysis because of the major news that’s about to be released. That news will definitely create a big candle and make all our analyses look fake. In situations like this — right before news time and on the last day of the market — taking a position isn’t really logical, unless we open a 50/50 trade with risk management and just bet on whether the news goes in our favor or against us. To be honest, I don’t like these kinds of trades that feel like flipping a coin. I prefer to stay on the sidelines during the news and wait until next week, once the chart finds its direction, and then go with the trend.
TVC:DXY
by PouyanFa
1
Is the DXY Poised for a Breakout?Analyzing the Bullish PotentialThe DXY (US Dollar Index) appears to be on the verge of a significant upward rally. Last week, I shared my analysis highlighting a potential trigger point for a long entry, which the price subsequently surpassed, confirming the setup. According to the latest COT reports, commercial traders have reached their highest net positions of 2023. Historically, whenever commercials hit new highs, it often signals the beginning of a bullish trend in the DXY. Additionally, we observe that many currencies measured against the dollar have weakened recently, supporting my thesis of a continued upward move for the DXY. Seasonal patterns also point toward a potential bullish phase. Is this the moment for the DXY to initiate a strong bullish trend? Only time will tell, but the technical and fundamental signals are aligning in favor of a possible rally. ✅ Please share your thoughts about Dollar index in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXN1
1
Bullish reversal at pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.01 1st Support: 97.53 1st Resistance: 98.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY Outlook: Volatility Dominates as Fed Uncertainty PersistsDXY Outlook: Volatility Dominates as Fed Uncertainty Persists DXY (US Dollar Index) Analysis Report 🔎 Technical Outlook The index recently moved in a clear upward cycle, followed by a sharp rejection, highlighting the market’s sensitivity to macro shifts. Price action has transitioned into volatile swings, with both bullish and bearish impulses shaping short-term structure. Current momentum shows cyclical corrections within a broader attempt to sustain bullish rhythm, but intraday moves remain reactive to news flows. Market behavior suggests traders are seeking liquidity both sides before choosing a decisive directional move. 🌍 Fundamental Outlook Federal Reserve Policy: Speculation around rate adjustments remains the dominant driver. Softer inflation data has kept expectations for gradual easing alive, while labor market resilience adds uncertainty. Global Risk Sentiment: Dollar demand fluctuates with equity market flows — stronger equities reduce safe-haven demand, while risk-off tones boost USD. Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing tensions in trade and global supply chain disruptions support occasional flight-to-safety flows into the dollar. Comparative Growth: While the US economy shows relative resilience versus peers, diverging central bank policies (ECB, BOJ, BOE) also influence dollar positioning. Investor Behavior: Large funds are rebalancing exposure — maintaining a neutral to cautiously bullish stance on USD until clearer macro signals emerge.
TVC:DXYLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Dollar Index - Potential to break out + move to 100 still thereThe potential to break out of the trend and continue to the 100 area is still there. What initially seemed like a rejection from the trend (pls see our comment on previously posted analysis: ), turned out to be a bigger consolidation on the trend line instead. Furthermore, the consolidation (abc structure) looks like already over or over very soon. Keep an eye for buy setups - there is a lot of pips from where price is now to 100. Stay tuned.
TVC:DXYLong
by profxedge
US INDEX Decisive Moment for next Major MoveThe Dollar has had the bulls and the bears at battle for weeks at the current price action BUT its come to its breaking point where is has to elect a winner BULLS OR BEARS ? Breaking it down thru each timeframe i believe 98.500 is what we have to break to confirm bullish Rally 103.000-105.000 next targets On the other hand if we break 97.000 bears have taken over 95.000 next target zone will look at US30 and EU along w other pairs to see if i can correlate anything
THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX
by jcatchinpips
DOLLAR INDEX DOLLAR index at exactly 12;30 gave us a clear sell which gave gold buyers the opportunty to go long from 3475 level to 3530 and extending its gain on daily The US Dollar Index (DXY) is a financial index that measures the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It is widely used to gauge the overall strength or weakness of the US dollar in global currency markets. Key Facts About DXY: The index is calculated as a weighted geometric average of the US dollar’s exchange rates with six major currencies: Euro (EUR): 57.6% weight (the largest component) Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% weight British Pound (GBP): 11.9% weight Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% weight Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% weight Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% weight The DXY rises when the US dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens. It was created in 1973 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system to provide a standardized benchmark for the dollar's value. The index is maintained and published by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Why DXY Matters: The DXY is a key indicator for traders, economists, and investors to assess the dollar’s performance globally. It affects pricing in global trade and commodities, which are often denominated in US dollars, such as oil and gold. Movements in the DXY influence monetary policy decisions, financial markets, and global economic dynamics. In essence, the DXY is the benchmark for measuring the US dollar’s strength against a basket of significant global currencies, providing a comprehensive picture of its international value. UNITED STATE ECONOMIC DATA REPORT TODAY. The latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is 48.7 for August 2025, slightly below the forecast of 49.0 but above the 48.0 previous A PMI below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, so this points to a modest slowing but less severe than expected. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index stands at 63.7, down from 65.1 forecasted and marginally below the 64.8 previous data . This index measures prices paid by manufacturers for raw materials and inputs, and a reading above 50 signals rising input costs. The current elevated level suggests continued inflationary pressures on manufacturing costs, although slightly easing. Summary: US ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.7 (contracting modestly, slightly better than forecast) US ISM Manufacturing Prices: 63.7 (input costs rising, but showing some easing) These indicators suggest the US manufacturing sector is experiencing a mild contraction, with inflationary cost pressures moderating somewhat but still elevated. This mixed data can influence Federal Reserve policymaking, signaling slower growth but persistent price pressures. The COMEX gold price today, September 2, 2025, is trading near $3,550 to $3,567 per troy ounce. The gold futures recently surged, hitting new record highs above $3,550, supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Gold has gained over 1% on the day, reflecting strong safe-haven demand amid dollar weakness and inflation concerns. In summary: COMEX Gold price around $3,550 - $3,567 per ounce (September 2, 2025) Recent gains driven by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical risks Price at record levels, reflecting strong investor interest #dollar #dxy #gold #xauusd
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Strategy Unlocked — Will Bulls Control the Next Swing?⚡ US Dollar Index (DXY) Swing/Day Trade Setup ⚡ 💹 Asset: DXY (US Dollar Index) 📈 Plan: Bullish — Pending Order Strategy 📊 US Dollar Index (DXY) Real-Time Data Daily Change: +0.55 (+0.56%) Day's Range: 97.62 – 98.60 52-Week Range: 96.38 – 110.18 🔔 Trade Setup (Thief Plan) Breakout Entry: 98.800 ⚡ (Set TradingView alarm to catch the move in real time) Stop Loss: “Thief SL” @ 24,000.0 (only after breakout confirmation). 📝 Adjust your SL based on your strategy & risk appetite, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s). Target: Resistance/overbought zone at 100.20 🎩 Escape target: 100.000 (take profits before market flips). 😰 Fear & Greed Sentiment Index Level: 64 (Greed) Market Mood: Moderately greedy, driven by: 📉 Net new 52-week highs vs. lows (bullish) 📊 VIX near averages (neutral) 🛡️ Bonds underperforming stocks (risk-on) 📈 Junk bond demand narrowing spreads (greed signal) 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score Fed Rate Cut Probability: 90% (Sept 18 FOMC, 25 bps cut expected) Key Drivers: ✅ Labor Data: NFP (Sept 5) is crucial for direction. ⚠️ Trade Policy: Court ruled Trump tariffs illegal (appeal pending). ⬇️ Consumer Confidence: Michigan Index at 3-month low (58.2). ⬆️ ISM Manufacturing: Ahead of release, possible USD support. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions supporting USD. 🐂 Overall Market Outlook Score Bullish (Long): 60% Bearish (Short): 40% Bias: Short-term bullish as long as 97.60 holds. USD rebound + bond yield strength + equity weakness backing USD. ⚠️ Risk: Break below 97.60 → next target 96.55 (bearish). 💡 Key Takeaways 🎯 NFP Report (Sept 5) = decisive catalyst. ⚖️ Fed debates + trade policy = medium-term uncertainty. 📉 Breakout above 98.80 is the key to bullish continuation. 🔍 Related Markets to Watch FX:EURUSD FX:GBPUSD FX:USDJPY OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:US30 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefTrader #TradingSetup
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Dollar Index Surges:Bullish Momentum Sparks New OpportunitiesThe DXY Dollar Index Futures kicked off the new week with a strong bullish candle, signaling renewed upward momentum. According to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data, non-commercial traders are reducing their bearish bets, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Meanwhile, commercial traders are holding positions at levels not seen since 2021, suggesting confidence in the dollar’s strength. Retail traders, on the other hand, continue to push against the trend, maintaining bearish pressure. Recently, the price retested a key demand zone at the end of last week, which could present a strategic buy opportunity at a discounted level. What are your thoughts on this setup? ✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXN1
1
Dollar Index - back to 100Dollar Index headed back to the 100 area. That's our forecast based on structure analysis. If you didn't manage to get in yet, that is ok. The first move is never the first easiest setup to take. However, if the move will continue to 100, as we expect, it should at least give us another buy opportunity at the break of the trend. Anyways, the first move is gone now as the price has almost already moved the average amount of pips it usually moves on an average daily impulse. Probably it will go a bit further to confirm the break today and then start consolidating for the next impulse. Stay tuned for more updates as we'll try to post the next buy setup before it happens.
TVC:DXYLong
by profxedge
1
DXY Intraday Overview- US Dollar Index (DXY) breached the symmetrical triangle downwards and sustained downwards. - It indicates that sellers are still strong, hence the structure remains downwards. 🔽 If the immediate support level of 97.80 (fib level 0.786) is broken again, then the price will continue its fall to the next support zone between 97.56 - 97.50 🔼 However, if the price manages to recover and break through the resistance level of 97.90, we can expect a further rise to the level of 98.00.
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by Nadia_farhat