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US DOLLAR UPDATE DXYDXY — Rangebound but Firm: 98.19 Holds the Line Dollar holds steady inside Friday’s range — a quiet coil before the macro rotation. 🧭 Context The Dollar spent Monday trapped between Friday’s high and low, liquidating the upper wick at 98.190 before closing back within range. Price currently sits near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (98.123), keeping the bullish range intact but unconfirmed. The market is balanced, not directional — patience is the edge here. 📊 Technical Map Structure: Price remains inside a clean bullish range with a volume imbalance still unfilled near 97.436. Momentum: Mildly bullish but range-dependent — upward bias, no breakout confirmation yet. Key Levels: Support → 97.672 / 97.436 Pivot → 98.123 Resistance → 98.190 / 98.420 🌐 Fundamental Pulse This week’s key drivers: PMI flash, GDP (Thu), and PCE inflation (Fri) — all high-impact data that will steer the Fed narrative. Yields remain firm but cooling; risk appetite mixed as traders await fresh growth signals. Without new inflation pressure, the Dollar likely stays rotational within its higher-timeframe band until late-week catalysts. 🎯 Plan Primary: Avoid midrange noise. Best setups are at range extremes — 97.6 support and 98.2 resistance. Execution Filter: Wait for volume expansion or 1H close confirmation before breakout engagement. Alternative: Failure to hold 98.12 reopens imbalance toward 97.43; a break above 98.19 invites continuation to 98.4–98.6. ⚠️ Risk / Alt Range = noise. Stay tactical. High-frequency trades only until volatility expands. 🧠 Mindset Pulse “In dull markets, discipline is the premium asset — not conviction.” Professionals don’t chase noise; they preserve readiness.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
DXY: Last Dip Before Lift-Off?Previous roadmap played out well — time to refresh the view. Global (1W) TVC:DXY remains in an uptrend. Since 2008 we’ve built a textbook five-wave impulse. Since 2022/2023 that impulse has been in correction — base read: a single zigzag (SimpleZ). Base case: correction completes → trend resumes with new highs ahead. Alternatives Flat: push toward 114–115, then a deep pullback. Double zigzag (W–X–Y): bounce first, then one more leg down. Local (12H) Finishing ABC where C likely prints an ending diagonal → expecting the down leg to terminate and a rising phase to begin (either corrective or impulsive). Price Action Imbalances below may still get tapped; we’re below a key level, but the core scenario is dollar strength ahead. What’s your take? Which path do you favor — Base (new highs), Flat (114–115 then pullback), or W–X–Y (one more leg lower)?
TVC:DXYLong
by shakatrade1_618
18
DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe. After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest. At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios: 1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range. 2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement. I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
TVC:DXYLong
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.71 1st Support: 96.64 1st Resistance: 99.98 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
Forex weekly review: fundamental analysis I found myself feeling a little fed up during the week starting Monday 13 October, unable to form a strong confidence in the near term direction of the currencies. I felt lack a lack of US data is really starting to bite, central bank speakers didn't really tell us anything new, Mr trump's brokerage of peace in the middle east didn't create any 'risk on oomph'. All we were left with was snippets of headline news regarding China's reaction to 'tariff escalation', none of which I felt comfortable trading in either direction. But, far be it for me to complain about a US government shutdown making my trading decisions more difficult. There are actual people wondering when their next day of work will be and if they will even have a job to go back to. On a positive note, we did get a couple of catalysts moving the currencies, 'soft' employment data from the UK and Australia created momentum for potential short term trades, I say short term because the data was against the tide of 'hawkish interest rate rhetoric' from both countries. Earnings season kicked of fairly positively, it may well be that the tech company earnings over the next couple of weeks will create our best opportunities in the absence of US data, but hopefully the shutdown will end before it comes to that. I have read US CPI data will be reported at some point despite the shutdown, I'm unsure how relevant it will be considering it'll be old news. The previous week's JPY euphoria (negative JPY) was unwound due to new LDP leader TAKACHI attempting to sound hawkish. Which leaves us with a cloud surrounding our two staple currencies, the USD (no data) and JPY (rate hike uncertainty). Finally, the week ended with a bit of back and forth, concerns over the US banking sector created risk off sentiment, seeing the VIX rise to 28. But Mr Trump tempered the negativity with positive china comments. I begin the new week without a clear bias, prepared to trade momentum with a catalyst in either direction. On a personal note, it was a week of two AUD JPY trades, both stopped out. I stand by my AUD JPY long 'risk on' trade, especially as the stop loss was behind 1hr support. But I accept that Friday's AUD JPY short trade was a mistake, perhaps an attempt to pre-empted the market out of frustration, I tried to predict a risk off end to the week. A mistake, especially considering Mr Trump's positive china comments. And a reminder to myself to trade clear momentum with a catalyst. With that in mind, the time to trade to bank induced negativity would have been during Friday's Asian session. Let's see what the new week brings.
TVC:DXY
by johnelfedforexblog
DXY - Potential FutureAlthough there is a clear bearish channel (purple 1px lines), I believe this is not the true pattern and it will form a low on the orange rail, then go upwards to the top rail as capital flies to safety, before the real decline of the DXY begins. TA is a mapping of a more complex system, we can use to navigate these charts, however its simplicity leads me to believe the market makers are capable of manipulating expectation while channels are still forming. TA is a game between market maker (Gods of the markets) and individuals who use it. Therefore tricks etc.. apply. Let's see.
TVC:DXY
by mypostsareNotFinancialAdvice
DXY — Between Balance and Breakout Date: Sunday, October 19 Timeframe: Daily Analyst: @CORE5DAN Context The U.S. Dollar Index holds a bullish daily range between 99.197 and 97.048, now sitting around the Fibonacci 50% retracement at 97.044. Friday’s session formed a tight box — high 98.190, low 97.672 — showing compression inside balance conditions. Price trades above mid-range, with a volume imbalance near 97.436 acting as a magnet for short-term rotation. Key liquidity rests just below 97.700, and reactions there could define early-week direction. Technical Map • Structure: Short-term bullish, still inside a broader weekly bearish framework. Watch 97.436–97.700 — a clean reaction zone where imbalance and liquidity converge. • Momentum: Range-bound bullish, confirming control but lacking expansion. A daily close above 98.190 opens the path toward the range high at 99.197. • Volume: Imbalance remains unfilled — ideal for mean-reversion setups before any breakout impulse. Fundamental Pulse (Week Ahead) • Macro Drivers: — US GDP advance data: key for growth tone. — Core PCE inflation: the Fed’s favored inflation gauge. — Fed speakers and PMIs: tone setters for November rate outlook. • Yields: — The 10-year sits near 4.6%. — A push higher = bullish Dollar, stronger short-term flows. — A pullback = potential consolidation across USD pairs. • Global Flows: — Mild rotation out of risk assets and emerging markets supports the Dollar. — EURUSD and XAUUSD both reflect this hesitation near key supports. Plan Bias stays bullish in the short term, bearish in the long term. We favor volume imbalance fills and reaction trades at 97.436–97.700 before re-evaluating structure. If macro data or yield spikes support Dollar demand, expect continuation toward 98.190+. Otherwise, a drift below 97.436 would signal distribution and confirm corrective pressure. “Structure is the compass; sentiment is the weather.” Mindset Pulse “Authority comes from clarity, not prediction.” Trade what’s confirmed — not what’s comfortable.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767. Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level. A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15. The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward. Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
DXY Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! DXY Price is expected to retest the horizontal supply area early next week as liquidity builds up below Friday’s close. Smart Money may engineer a short-term rally into this zone before resuming the bearish move toward 98.38. ------------------- Stop Loss: 98.71 Take Profit: 98.38 Entry: 98.58 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
DXY Will Go Higher! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 98.541. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 99.742. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
Dollar index - Macro Bearish divergenceA lot of information in the above 6-month chart of the dollar index, could discuss for hours.. some highlights: 1) The bearish divergence currently printing shall confirm by July 2023 should 100 level collapse. It is the only time in history a bearish divergence of this strength has printed on the 6-month chart. 2) IF it confirms, the index will target the lower side of the channel around 60-70 level. 3) Notice the trend of the index, lower highs lower lows. It is remarkable how many are bullish on the dollar, in the macro sense. 4) Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ made considerable gains in the 10-year period that followed a rejection from the upper side of the channel. Many ‘experts’ now talk about the coming lost decade. Gold is the only option, they say. Is that what you see in this chart?! Not what I’m seeing.. Will return in July to see how this candle prints, however with 1.3 months to go it is not looking good for the dollar. Ww
INDEX:DXYShort
by without_worries
18