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Dxy and euro🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) Today’s news impact: Bearish bias Here’s why: 🔹 ADP forecast is VERY weak (5K) vs previous 42K That’s a massive drop in expected hiring. Weak jobs → weaker economy → higher chance of FED rate cuts → DXY bearish. 🔹 Export & Import Price Index expected LOWER (0.1% vs prior 0.3%) Lower price indexes = lower inflation pressures → more reason for rate cuts → DXY bearish. 🔹 No strong USD-positive news today Everything is soft data. Soft data = soft dollar. 👉 Conclusion: DXY today = Bearish pressure unless numbers come out surprisingly strong. 🇪🇺 EUR (Euro) Today’s news impact: Slightly Bullish bias Even though no big euro numbers today, one thing stands out: 🔹 Lagarde speech (ECB President) If she keeps her usual tone (still fighting inflation, careful about rate cuts), the euro holds strength. Hawkish speech → EUR bullish Neutral speech → EUR stable Only dovish speech → EUR bearish But normally Lagarde stays on the cautious side = euro stable-to-bullish. 👉 Conclusion: EUR today = Neutral to slight Bullish until Lagarde speaks. ⭐ Final Summary DXY: Bearish (weak ADP forecast + weak inflation data) EUR: Slightly Bullish (Lagarde speech risk, USD weakness gives EUR strength) If you want, send me the EUR/USD 4H chart and I’ll match the news bias with your trendline structure for the perfect decision.
TVC:DXY
by Avo-Trades
DXY 4h BUYWhat Is Occurring RIGHT NOW 👉 The chart is showing an LPS retest inside a bullish re-accumulation before continuation upward. The clean correction toward 98.50 → 98.00 is exactly where institutions re-load positions before major expansion. 4. Analysis of the Last 5 Candles (Very Important) Candle −1 (latest candle) Small body, long lower wick → buyers absorbing sell-pressure at the retest region. Candle −2 Bearish but with lower wick → selling attempts rejected. Candle −3 Bearish engulfing type but on reduced volume, confirming correction not reversal. Candle −4 Doji structure → market indecision as price meets first demand pocket. Candle −5 Strong bearish push but again with a lower wick → supply weakening as price approaches demand. Summary: The last 5 candles show progressive loss of selling momentum, confirming the scenario of an LPS. 5. Expected Path (According to Chart Structure Only) Primary scenario shown on your chart: Pullback into 98.20–98.60 demand → Expansion toward 102.00 → 104.20 Ultimately reaching the green target box. The upward projection shown on your chart aligns perfectly with Wyckoff Phase E mark-up. 🔥 Final Conclusion The chart is currently in Wyckoff Phase E (early Mark-Up), performing an LPS retest after a completed accumulation range. Price is preparing for upward continuation following the corrective pullbac
TVC:DXYLong
by WallStreetVeteran
Bullish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.83 1st Support: 98.40 1st Resistance: 99.53 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
Dollar Index Bearish Setup: Dead Cat Bounce Then Collapse. The weekly chart shows a strong bearish signal, with a bearish engulfing candle forming and a confirmed double top structure on the daily chart. Price has already broken below the neckline of this double top, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Currently, price is consolidating just below the 50 EMA. With RSI deeply in oversold territory and stochastic oscillators near cycle lows, a short-term relief bounce is likely. This bounce could push price toward the 99.032 level, just below the 21 EMA, which now acts as a key resistance zone. On the daily timeframe, the 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA, reinforcing a bearish trend and suggesting that upward moves will face strong resistance. More importantly, the weekly stochastics have already crossed down, and the weekly MACD is showing clear signs of momentum loss. In conclusion, after a potential short-term bounce to fill the gap on the 4-hour chart—where a death cross is also forming—the broader expectation is for a significant bearish continuation in the Dollar Index. As always, I thank you for supporting my publications with a boost and sharing your own thoughts in the comment section. I wish you the best trading in the coming week. Cheers!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RICHINVESTOR
DXY is in SIDEWAYS consolidation phase in near future📈 DXY – Long-Term Elliott Wave Analysis (Monthly) – The US Dollar Index continues to follow a clear multi-decade Elliott Wave structure inside a rising purple channel, and the long-term configuration strongly suggests that a major Cycle Wave (1–5) impulse has already completed. The advance began with Wave (1) rising sharply off the long-term base, followed by a deep Wave (2) correction back to channel support. From there, the index entered its strongest bullish phase, producing a powerful Wave (3) rally that pushed price into the upper boundary of the long-term channel. After this expansion, the Dollar consolidated through Wave (4), a prolonged sideways/down correction that held the channel midline, before finally completing the sequence with Wave (5), which tagged the upper channel once more and confirmed a multi-decade cycle top. Following this Cycle Wave (5) top, DXY transitioned into a large A–B–C corrective structure, forming Cycle Wave (2). The first leg, Wave A, broke the uptrend decisively. The subsequent Wave B rally was corrective and choppy, failing to retest the highs and respecting the underside of the channel midline. The ongoing decline represents Wave C, which structurally aligns with a classic deep retracement. Confluence from the long-term channel, structural levels, and Fibonacci projections places the ideal Wave C low inside the 88–92 zone, highlighted as the red box on the chart. This region corresponds with the 0.5–0.618 retracement of the entire Wave (1–5) advance, making it the most logical area for Cycle Wave (2) to complete. Momentum also supports a continued corrective bias in the near term. The monthly RSI sits around 44–47, historically consistent with mid-correction conditions rather than a completed low. Previous major cycle bottoms formed closer to RSI 30–35, hinting that further downside pressure may still be required before a durable reversal emerges. Key horizontal levels add confluence: 92.00 serves as the first structural support, while the 88–90 zone marks the primary inflection point for the end of Wave C. Strong resistance overhead rests at 105, followed by 120–122 at the channel midline. Once Wave C completes and Cycle Wave (2) bottoms, the structure supports the beginning of a massive Cycle Wave (3) advance. This next impulsive sequence has long-term targets at 110–115 initially, then 125–130 as the mid-cycle rally develops, followed by a potential retest of the 135–140 range at the upper channel. The final Cycle Wave (5) of the future structure projects toward 150–155, aligning with the extended upper channel shown on the chart. This represents the super-cycle bullish scenario for the Dollar. An alternative, lower-probability scenario suggests that Wave B may not have fully completed, allowing additional sideways action before Wave C resumes downward. However, only a sustained break below the long-term lower channel boundary (around 80–82) would invalidate the bullish super-cycle outlook. Until then, the primary expectation remains that DXY is approaching the final stage of its Wave C decline, after which a multi-year uptrend should begin. Overall, the next 1–3 months appear biased toward downside continuation into the 88–92 support zone to finalize Cycle Wave (2). The subsequent 3–6 months favor the emergence of a strong bullish reversal that begins the early stages of Cycle Wave (3). The long-term chart remains structurally bullish, and once the corrective C-wave completes, the Dollar is positioned for a powerful multi-year advance.
TVC:DXYLong
by TraderzWorld
DXY FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
NOV.30,2025 ANALYSIS ON THE DOLLAR INDEX (DXY)DXY is at crossroads with a monthly indecision Candlestick. Glass ceiling tops of 99.978 is still hanging, However the week still closed with a higher low defended on the 200EMA on the 4H timeframe with a bullish kicker reversal two candle pattern. Considering the weekly candle close, there is real risks to the downside, My 21 period RSI is below 50 on 4H confirms real downside risk too . My bias on the dollar index is still to the upside but however if you trade the long side apply tight stop loss using the 200EMA on 4H or the 35EMA on daily chart as the decision yard. If price loses these EMAs then short side is confirmed for 97.148 target. There is also a hidden bullish divergence on the daily and weekly chart so upside potential is equally weighted to the downside double tops target. Therefore prepared for both scenarios this coming week. Thank you for supporting my publications with your boosts and comments. Best of forex trading everybody. Cheers
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by RICHINVESTOR
U.S. Dollar Index Gearing Up for a Powerful Upswing!💵 DXY — U.S. Dollar Index | Profit Pathway Setup (Swing Trade) 🧭 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed Setup) 📈 Market Type: Index (USD Strength Focus) 🧠 Strategy Style: Layered Limit Entry with SMA Pullback + Triangular MA Breakout 🎯 Trade Plan Breakdown 📊 Setup Insight: The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has confirmed a bullish momentum as price reclaims above the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and breaks through the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) resistance zone — signaling potential continuation strength for the dollar. 📥 Entry Zone (Layering Strategy): My “Thief Strategy” approach uses multiple limit layers for precision stacking entries: Buy Limit Layers: 99.00 → 99.50 → 100.00 (You can extend or adjust layers based on your own conviction and risk appetite.) 🛑 Stop Loss: My Thief SL sits near the recent lower low wick for structure protection → 98.50 💬 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my exact SL. You manage your own risk — make money, take money, your call. 🎯 Target (Take Profit): The moving average line is acting like a police barricade — strong resistance area, potential overbought trap zone. Be smart and escape with profits near 102.00. 💬 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — TP is flexible. Lock profits where you’re satisfied; don’t let greed arrest your gains. 🚓💰 🌐 Correlated Market Watch Keep an eye on these correlated pairs & assets for confirmation signals or divergence clues: 💶 $EUR/USD → Inverse correlation (DXY up → EUR/USD down) $XAU/USD (Gold) → Often moves opposite to USD strength 💷 FX:GBPUSD → Mirrors EUR/USD volatility when DXY surges BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Weakens when DXY strengthens due to liquidity shifts 💹 FX:USDJPY → Supports bullish dollar narrative if yield spreads widen These pairs can help you validate sentiment and timing entries better — especially during London & New York sessions when DXY liquidity peaks. 🧩 Technical Key Points ✅ SMA pullback confirms bullish continuation zone 🔺 Triangular Moving Average breakout shows renewed strength 🧱 99.00–100.00 acts as accumulation floor 🚨 102.00 remains resistance barricade zone (potential trap) ⏰ Best observed during London/NY overlap for volatility cues ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun and education. Not financial advice. Trade wisely and manage risk like a pro. #DXY #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas #PriceAction #SMAStrategy #MovingAverages #CurrencyTrading #DollarStrength #ForexSignals #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ChartPatterns #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #ForexCommunity #TradingView #DXYAnalysis
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
The Dollar Isn’t Falling. It’s Being Repriced.The dollar didn’t weaken because of a single headline. It weakened because two forces aligned at the same moment—policy certainty and political uncertainty. Futures now price a full December rate cut. That removes the dollar’s yield premium and lifts liquidity expectations. But the bigger shift is political. Odds have increased that Kevin Hassett could replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. Markets understand the implication: potential pressure on Fed independence. Currencies respond quickly to credibility risk. EURUSD strengthened. Gold firmed. Bitcoin stabilized despite its bearish structure. Now the technical side. The dollar still trades inside a bullish consolidation between 99.245 and 100.395. Structure is intact, but behaviour has shifted under the surface. Pressure is building inside the box. Gold holds a weekly bullish consolidation above 3996.290. Price is absorbing quietly—typical when investors hedge independence risk. Bitcoin remains in a weekly bearish consolidation between 95,950 and 80,524. A rare decoupling from the debasement narrative. The macro story supports upside, but structure has not yet released. This environment demands a behaviour-first lens. Market Structure maps the containment. Geometry shows the compression. Volume Flow reveals participation rotation. Order Flow exposes intent before trend. Execution depends on pressure validation, not prediction. Today is not a trend shift. It is a credibility repricing. The dollar hasn’t lost structure. It has lost premium—while gold and crypto absorb the early rotation of capital into assets less dependent on institutional stability. When policy becomes predictable and leadership becomes political, markets adjust before headlines explain why. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
TVC:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
Dollar Breaks The Wedge Support As SP500 Eyeing More UpsideHey guy, hope everyone is doing well. As you know, we have seen some minor pullback on stocks yesterday as JPY come up a bit, after some hawkish remarks from BOJ Ueda. And at the same time cryptocurrencies also experienced a pretty sharp sell-off. But I believe these are all just temporary flows at the start of a new week and month. Position adjustments will still happen, and possibly after some pause on stocks we will resume higher, meaning that the dollar could stay in this weak mode, especially since the DXY ame out of a wedge pattern and now signals more downside. In such case, this previously broken trendline could be retested as a resistance around 99.65–99.85, tomorrow or in the second half of this week I would expect more dollar weakness. GH
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
DXY: Dollar Index Mid-Term OutlookThe U.S. Dollar Index is maintaining a steady corrective rhythm on the 4-hour timeframe, with recent price behaviour indicating a potential shift in momentum as markets transition into December. Current swings highlight an evolving structure where buyers and sellers continue to balance out ahead of key macro catalysts. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TVC:DXY
by WeTradeWAVES
1 last visit to the trenches.good eve' us dollar looks interesting to me, starting to print a 3 day - 1 week hidden bear on various oscillators, stuck at the 100 resistance. so long as it bear flags beneath this 100 level, i believe the dxy is going to come down 1 final time to the low 90's before a bottom is attained. --- calling this one a leading diagonal, despite the irregular structures in the sub-waves. with something like the dxy, i don't mind being a bit more flexible with how i approach charting it. --- 🎯 = 93
TVC:DXYLong
by lunarsyndicate9
DXY at a KEY “Decision Point” on the Supply ZoneAfter an extended bullish duration, the DXY is now challenging a technically critical “Supply Zone” (100.150 – 100.600). Further away from key levels, both pump and dump up and down, momentum oscillators on all time frames give us mixed signals of exhaustion from buyers and that we are near to making a big decision in the direction of our market. A comprehensive technical look that includes the broader structures and multi-month macroeconomic supply-demand analysis. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Critical Resistance (Purple Zone): We are currently sitting right inside that 100.150 – 100.600 corridor. This is a level we know well—it’s packed with strong selling pressure and smart money order blocks. Think of this zone as a huge mental hurdle for the bulls; trying to go "Long" here without seeing a clean, high-volume breakout is just asking for trouble with a bad risk/reward setup. Trend Structure: That ascending yellow trendline connecting the lows since September has been holding the price up so far. But look closer—the space between the price and this trend support is squeezing tight (Compression). This usually tells us one thing: volatility is kicking in and a big move is brewing. Negative Divergence (RSI) : Here’s the warning sign. While the daily chart is trying to make new highs or just hanging on at resistance, the RSI is losing steam and making lower highs. This "Bearish Divergence" is a classic signal that the trend is running on fumes. Momentum (MACD) : The MACD histogram is fading out, which confirms the bulls are getting tired. It hints that profit-taking—and the sellers taking over—is likely just around the corner. MACROECONOMIC AND FUNDAMENTAL DYNAMICS Fed Expectations : The market is scrambling to rethink the Fed's rate path for 2025. We are watching the data like hawks right now; even a small sign of cooling in jobs or PMI data could spark a rejection from this resistance and send the DXY correcting downwards. Bond Yields : Any pullback in the US 10-Year Treasury Yields (US10Y) is going to add fuel to the fire for sellers on the Dollar Index. Liquidity Hunt: Watch out for the "fakeout." Market makers might try to push the price just above that 100.600 level to grab liquidity and hunt the stops of early shorters before slamming it back down. Keep your eyes peeled on the Price Action here. STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK Since we are banging our heads against resistance, opening new long positions here just isn't juicy enough risk-wise. Bearish Scenario: If we see a hard crash with volume breaking that ascending yellow trendline, that seals the deal for a reversal. If that happens, we’re looking at intermediate supports first, with the main target being that 96.50 level down low. Bullish Scenario : Unless we get a solid daily candle close above 100.800, any rallies should be looked at as opportunities to sell. If the price stays above that level, then this idea is dead in the water. Conclusion: It’s a "sit on your hands" moment. Waiting for that trend support to break is the safest confirmation we can get before jumping in. Disclaimer : Just sharing my personal notes and educational analysis here, not financial advice.
TVC:DXY
by celilADIGUZEL
DXY | Price Action - Awaiting a Clear BreakoutMacro approach: - US dollar index has traded slightly weaker so far this week, pressured by rising expectations of another Fed rate cut and soft US data at the start of Dec. Sentiment toward the greenback has been cautious amid a pullback in US yields and ongoing repricing of the Fed’s policy path.​ - Markets are increasingly discounting a high probability of a Dec FOMC cut as recent communication and prior easing have reinforced the view that policy is moving deeper into an easing cycle, undermining the US dollar’s yield advantage. At the same time, the latest ISM manufacturing release showed activity remaining in contraction territory, adding to concerns over US growth momentum and limiting support for the currency. Risk appetite in equities and metals has also improved, further reducing near‑term safe‑haven demand for the dollar.​ - US dollar index may remain under pressure if the upcoming US labor market data and services surveys indicate further cooling, reinforcing the case for additional Fed easing. Key catalysts include this week’s jobs indicators, the ISM Services Index release, and fresh Fed speeches, which could potentially shift rate-cut expectations and drive renewed volatility in the index.​ Technical approach: - DXY consolidated within the range of 99.00-100.28. The index is between both EMAs, indicating a sideways movement remains intact. - If DXY breaches above 100.28, the price may rise toward the following resistance at 101.70. - Conversely, closing below EMA78 and 99.00 may prompt a further decline toward the subsequent support at 97.60. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXY
by DatTong
DXY Analysis (4H Chart)DXY Analysis (4H Chart) The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a steady downtrend, trading below both short-term EMAs, which shows weakening bullish momentum. Price has now dropped into a key support zone — an area where buyers previously stepped in. At this level, two potential scenarios stand out: 1. Bullish Reaction (Green Path) If buyers defend the support zone again, DXY could see a bounce toward the 21 EMA and potentially higher. This would signal short-term stabilization after the recent drop. 2. Break Below Support (Red Path) If the support fails, the downtrend may accelerate, opening the door for a deeper move lower. This would confirm sellers maintaining strong control. Summary DXY is currently testing a major support zone. Trend remains bearish while below EMAs. Market may either bounce from support or extend the decline depending on upcoming momentum.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Harry_Megat