DXY — Sunday War MapThe U.S. government has reopened after a 43-day shutdown, but the gap in economic data remains.
Several key datasets were not collected during the closure, and the missing information cannot be reconstructed.
As a result, the Dollar is now trading on partial visibility rather than complete fundamentals.
Macro Overview
The most recent complete inflation report is September CPI at 3.0%, with core inflation also at 3.0%.
Earlier in the month, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) briefly moved above 100.
It then retreated toward 99 after consumer sentiment fell to a three-year low.
Last week’s muted behavior reflects uncertainty, not a structural shift.
When information is missing, liquidity becomes cautious and price action compresses.
Key Events This Week (Nov 17–21)
FOMC Minutes — Wednesday, Nov. 20
This release provides the first reliable view into Federal Reserve discussions since the shutdown.
Markets will look for whether policymakers supported multiple rate cuts or expressed hesitation.
Consumer Sentiment — Friday, Nov. 22
Last month saw a more than 30% year-over-year decline.
Another weak reading will influence Dollar positioning.
Delayed Data Returns
Housing, industrial production, and jobless claims will re-appear gradually this week.
These incomplete releases still matter ahead of the December 9–10 Federal Reserve meeting.
The Dollar is currently driven more by data absence than by clear economic direction.
MSM — Market Structure Mapping
DXY remains inside a major daily bullish range:
Range Low: 97.672
Range High: 99.985
Price sits near the 50% geometric midpoint.
Last week closed at 98.776, maintaining structural balance and preserving the broader bullish framework.
VFA — Volume Flow Analytics
Price continues to hold on the 98.725 bullish volume node, a level typically used for quiet accumulation.
This suggests ongoing absorption of buy-side orders at discount levels ahead of potential volatility expansion.
OFD — Order Flow Dynamics
Liquidity remains concentrated around two notable participation zones:
Aggressive buyers: 98.243
Aggressive sellers: 99.225
These zones are often retested early in the week to assess participation or clear weak inventory before direction establishes.
PEM — Precision Execution Modeling
Mid-range conditions are typically used to clear stops on both sides before intent forms.
Execution criteria for the week:
Respect higher-timeframe direction
Wait for confirmation
Avoid mid-range noise
Act only when structure, flow, and behavior align
High-quality setups generally appear after liquidity sweeps, not before.
Psychological Frame
The major risk this week is acting on incomplete data.
The shutdown left a statistical gap that has not yet been resolved.
Professionals avoid committing capital until visibility improves.
The appropriate approach for the week is simple: observe first, act later.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
