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DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D17 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D17 | Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
DXY-DAily SetupPrice is expected to retest the 99.122 resistance level, where I will be looking for lower-timeframe sell confirmations. My initial target for the downside move is the 98.313 support zone. If this level breaks decisively, I will monitor the next support area for continuation. My invalidation for the bearish scenario will be a clean break and retest of 99.339, which would signal potential bullish continuation in line with the broader trend. While executing the sell setup, I will also be watching closely for a bullish reversal around 97.863, which aligns with my higher-timeframe bias.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Fm254
Key Forex Economic Events (17-21 November 2025)The global economic calendar for the upcoming week (commencing Monday, November 17, 2025) features a series of pivotal data releases and central bank events that are likely to influence currency pairs, bond yields, and risk sentiment across major markets. With the US Federal Reserve's policy trajectory under scrutiny amid persistent concerns about inflation, the highlight is Wednesday's 9:00 a.m. USD FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could provide critical insights into future rate decisions. This is complemented by preliminary GDP figures from Japan and Canada on Monday, UK CPI on Wednesday, and a flurry of flash PMI readings on Friday spanning the EUR, GBP, and USD. Traders in South Africa (ZA), operating in the SAST timezone, should note the alignment of these events with local trading hours to manage volatility effectively. The week kicks off on Monday with Asia-Pacific focus: at 1:50am, Japan's Preliminary GDP q/q offers an early gauge of growth momentum in the world's third-largest economy, potentially impacting JPY crosses. This is followed at 3:30pm by Canada's CPI y/y, a key inflation metric that could sway Bank of Canada expectations and strengthen or weaken the CAD against its US counterpart. Midweek intensity builds on Wednesday, where the 9:00am release of Great Britain’s CPI y/y will test the Bank of England's resolve on monetary tightening amid elevated cost-of-living pressures. The centerpiece, however, is the 9:00am USD FOMC Meeting Minutes—a verbatim recap of the Federal Open Market Committee's latest deliberations. Market participants will parse these for dovish or hawkish signals on balance sheet runoff, terminal rate projections, and labor market resilience, with any surprises capable of triggering sharp USD moves. Thursday appears lighter, marked as tentative for a 3:30pm USD NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) preview or related indicator, though no firm details are confirmed—advising caution for position sizing. The week culminates on Friday with a PMI barrage starting at 10:00 a.m. EUR Flash Services PMI, followed by the 11:30 a.m. GBP Flash Services PMI, 4:45 p.m. USD Flash Services PMI, and 11:00 a.m. USD Flash Manufacturing PMI (noting potential overlap in timing for the USD releases). These high-frequency surveys will provide forward-looking snapshots of the Eurozone, the UK, and the US private sector's health, often serving as leading indicators for GDP and employment trends. Strong readings could bolster hawkish repricing, while weakness might fuel recession fears. In summary, this week's calendar is dominated by inflation reads, growth proxies, and Fed commentary, presenting a high-impact environment for forex, equities, and fixed income. The FOMC Minutes stand out as a potential catalyst for volatility, with flash PMIs offering a capstone on Friday. For South African users (@alndobo), monitoring these in SAST—particularly the overlapping 9:00 am slots—will be essential for risk management. Positioning ahead of these events with appropriate stops and leveraging multi-asset correlations could yield opportunities, but vigilance against data surprises remains paramount in an uncertain macro backdrop.
TVC:DXY
by NDOBObanks
Bretton Woods 2.0?Examining the long-term trend of TVC:DXY since the 1980s, we might be facing a staggering 40% reduction in valuation, potentially landing us around 60. If the US were to devalue the dollar this drastically, could it effectively erase the national debt? 🤔 Is Trump bold enough to consider such a move? We know the FED is going to cut eventually, the question is when and by how much? Initial claims came in higher than estimated, with cracks beginning to show in the labor market, how much longer can JPow hold out?
TVC:DXY
by httpz
DXY Selling Idea before huge buys After years trying to understand the Forex Market, this is my next trading idea using Wyckoff Schematic Drawings. Only learnt about this this year. So lets break it down to understand this theory in Monthly Time Frame on DXY Dollar Index Chart. Spring Theory is Three SC Sell Climax being done before the buy setup, Meaning? After first SC then an ST Secondary Test of the low..Two SC must be reated before the buys. Posted chart just as a guide and analysis of Wyckoff Theory. First SC @$78.00 Second SC @$71.13 Third SC should be around $64.00/$65.00 area. Then to buy up taking out BS Buy Climax areas @$121.00 and $114.00 area to creat new HH Higher highs around $126.00 and $136.00 area. For now Sells are in play which is good oppounity on long term to buy Forex pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD.
TVC:DXY
by meldale69
DXY 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
Shutdown Ended, What Is Next for the US Dollar?US shutdown ended after 43 days and set a new record. During the shutdown, a lot of economic data could not be released, and the lack of government spending caused a limited liquidity shortage. Now that the shutdown has ended, what is next for the US dollar? US economy is expected to be hit by the shutdown in the fourth quarter. The impact is estimated to be around 1.5 percent on an already weakening economy. Over the last 25 years, annualized quarterly GDP growth has averaged 2.3 percent. Since 2021, US GDP rose above this average on a yearly basis. GDP was 2.8 percent in 2024, and this year it is expected to fall to 1.9 percent, below the long-term average, and it could drop further because of the shutdown. Growth in 2026 is also expected to be weak, with a forecast of only 1.8 percent. While GDP is weakening, inflation forecasts still point to a near 3 percent pace, which is somewhat high in our view. This will keep the FED busy. Inflation implies a weaker currency unless supported by high rates. The FED has a dual mandate and cannot overlook the weakening GDP and softening labor market, so despite elevated inflation risks, rate cuts will continue. This will put ongoing pressure on the dollar, at least first half of 2026. Dollar performance cannot be assessed without considering the euro, since 57.6 percent of the dollar index is tied to it. The eurozone is also expected to stay below its 25-year average growth rate of 1.32 percent. A 1.10 percent GDP rate with inflation below 2 percent is acceptable for the ECB. While the FED will be cutting rates, the ECB will likely hold, as Lagarde said in the latest press conference: “We are in a magnificent place.” For the short term, the dollar is about to break its trend channel to the downside. Economic data from the US is expected to come in very weak. With expectations of weak data and easing liquidity problems, short-term downward pressure could push the index to 98.55 first. Below that initial support, the selloff could deepen. However, the long-term trend from 2011 is still holding(white trend).
TVC:DXYShort
by ftdsystem
DXY – Watching for Bullish Shift Above 99.765Hello traders, The Dollar Index (DXY) has completed a deep retracement — over 50% of the previous bullish leg — tapping into the daily bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showing a bullish reaction from that area. At this stage, if the market can hold Tuesday’s low and break above 99.765, it would confirm a bullish momentum shift, opening the path toward the next liquidity level at 100.397 as my main target. However, if the price breaks below Tuesday’s low, this bullish scenario becomes invalid, and further downside movement could be expected. Simple structure — just waiting for confirmation of direction. 📈
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by VahidTradingCR
1
Trump leaving office - Political risk rises after Epstein emailsJeffrey Epstein allegedly claimed that Donald Trump spent hours in a house with one of the late trafficker’s victims and suggested the U.S. President was aware of his activities, according to an email released by congressional Democrats. Will this latest scandal be enough to take Trump out of office? Probably not, but there is a non-zero chance still right. For now, the potential end of the government shutdown appears to be overshadowing any market reaction. Still, traders shouldn’t overlook what a change in leadership could mean. Last week, we explored how a J.D. Vance presidency might reshape U.S. markets by challenging corporate monopolies and potentially strengthening the dollar. The same logic applies here: if Trump were to lose the presidency, markets could quickly begin pricing in the next administration’s economic outlook.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull Markets
DXY (USD)Expecting upside continuation. We can see on HTF we have Bullish MS, with HH & HL formation. Fundamentals: - Rate cuts bets faded. - Oct FOMC, Powell slightly less dovish to Hawkish tone - want to be cautious with future rate cuts & want to be data dependant. - Dec rate cut probabilities dropped from 95% chance to 63% chance. This means that US yields remain high, less investor outflow because of interest rate differentials, therefor we can see USD upside. The only think thats probably impacting it is the US lockdown, and is now the longest ever, therefor investors still cautious as they would like to see data before we can see big drivers.
TVC:DXYLong
by Jawad_Khalili1
The dollar softens as weak data boosts Fed rate-cut expectations According to ADP data, US companies laid off an average of 11,250 employees per week in October, reaffirming how quickly labor market conditions have softened over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell for a second straight month to 98.2 (prev. 98.9, cons. 98.3), marking the lowest level since April’s reciprocal tariff announcement. The NFIB noted that the government shutdown and tariffs have weighed on business sales. The dollar may stay range-bound, awaiting fresh price catalysts between hopes for a shutdown resolution and further Fed rate cuts. DXY briefly tested the ascending channel's lower bound before rebounding slightly. The index remains between both EMAs, suggesting a potential extension of the consolidation trend. If DXY closes above EMA21, the index may advance toward the following resistance at 99.80. Conversely, if DXY breaks below EMA78 and the support at 99.50, the price could fall below the channel’s lower bound.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
Gold Vs DXYIt means using gold’s price in U.S. dollars as a report card on the dollar (and on paper money in general). Gold is priced in USD (e.g., $2,000/oz). If gold goes up a lot vs the dollar, that often signals: The dollar is losing purchasing power (inflation / debasement fears), or People are seeking a “safe haven” outside fiat currency. If gold is weak vs the dollar, it usually means: The dollar is relatively strong, Markets are more comfortable holding cash, bonds, or risk assets instead of “hard money.” So “checking gold against the dollar” is basically asking: “How much real value does a dollar still buy, measured in something that can’t be printed?”
TVC:DXY
by tylerluk